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NY Fed president floats chance of a rate cut in ‘near term' – sparking bets on December cut
New York Post· 2025-11-21 15:12
Core Viewpoint - New York Fed President John Williams indicated that there is potential for further interest rate adjustments in the near term, primarily due to labor market weaknesses overshadowing inflation concerns, which has led traders to increase their expectations for a quarter-point cut at the Fed's December meeting [1][4][13]. Interest Rate Outlook - Williams stated that monetary policy is currently "modestly restrictive" but less so than before recent actions, suggesting that there is room for further adjustments to align the federal funds rate closer to neutral [2][4]. - Following Williams' comments, the odds of a rate cut increased significantly from 39% to nearly 75% [4]. Labor Market Insights - The recent jobs report showed that employers added 119,000 jobs in September, exceeding expectations of 50,000, although the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [6][10]. - Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson expressed concerns about the labor market, indicating that the better-than-expected job growth might lead officials to maintain current rates, especially with upcoming labor data being delayed until December [5][9]. Analyst Perspectives - Global brokerages are divided on the implications of the mixed jobs data for the December interest rate decision, with some firms like JPMorgan and Standard Chartered withdrawing their forecasts for a rate cut, while others like Deutsche Bank and Citigroup maintain their predictions for a quarter-point cut [9][10][12]. - Analysts noted that the absence of November labor data could complicate the decision-making process for Fed officials [9][12]. Economic Conditions - Williams highlighted that downside risks to employment have increased as the labor market cools, while upside risks to inflation have lessened, indicating a shift in economic conditions [13]. - The concentration of job gains in acyclical sectors like healthcare may signal a potential economic slowdown, despite resilient consumer spending trends [15][16].
Futures Slide As Bitcoin Flash Crashes To April Low Ahead Of $3.1 Trillion Opex
ZeroHedge· 2025-11-21 12:28
Economic Developments - Japan's government approved a JPY 21.3 trillion ($135.5 billion) economic stimulus package, marking the largest since the COVID pandemic, with JPY 17.7 trillion in new spending [28][53] - Japan's inflation rate increased to 3% in October, aligning with market expectations, and has remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target for 43 consecutive months [52][54] - The U.K. government is facing a borrowing overshoot in October, leading to plans for tax increases and spending cuts in the upcoming budget [5] Currency and Trade - The Indian rupee fell to a record low against the dollar amid uncertainty regarding a potential U.S. trade deal [3] - The U.S. is considering lifting tariffs on EU goods, including beef and other foods, to help maintain affordable grocery prices [4] - Trump's administration lifted a 40% tariff on certain Brazilian agricultural products, including coffee and beef, to help reduce domestic food prices [6] Corporate News - Netflix, Comcast, and Paramount Skydance submitted bids for Warner Bros. Discovery by the November 20 deadline [5] - OpenAI is partnering with Hon Hai to design and manufacture hardware for data centers, with Hon Hai planning to invest up to $5 billion in U.S. manufacturing [5] - AnaptysBio shares fell 15% after GSK initiated litigation against the company [4] Market Performance - The S&P 500 experienced its sharpest intraday reversal since April, with a decline of 1.56% after initially rising [42][50] - Bitcoin is on track for its worst monthly performance since the June 2022 crypto crash, down 35% from its October highs [10][43] - Gap Inc. shares rose 4.5% after reporting stronger-than-expected sales, indicating effective marketing strategies [11] Central Bank Insights - The Fed's Anna Paulson expressed caution ahead of the December meeting, indicating that each rate cut raises the bar for the next [7][13] - JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's economists no longer expect a rate cut in December, citing a rebound in payrolls [13][27] - The Congressional Budget Office revised its estimate of Trump's tariffs' impact on deficits to approximately $3 trillion over the next 10 years, down from $4 trillion [9]
How AI is transforming Standard Chartered
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-20 20:00
AI has the ability to fundamentally allow us to invest more in the areas that grow the fastest while automating and changing the way that we do other things. It's a substitution effect and it's not just a substitution effect in terms of people because don't think of it that way. Think of it as an enhancer of productivity.>> I think the the set of tools around AI will be amongst the most powerful in in my working life. It's already changing uh the way that we monitor large volumes of transactions to to help ...
Standard Chartered's ‘Big Bet’ on Digital Assets
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-20 10:57
In July 2025, Standard Chartered became the first major bank to enable spot trading of cryptocurrencies. Winters and De Giorgi say they are taking necessary steps at a moment of transformation for global finance. When I look at the way our financial markets business has evolved in response to shifting client needs, there's a constant need to innovate, the constant need to innovate in terms of payment systems.And there's the big one that that's being. It's getting a lot of airtime now, which is, you know, ar ...
Banking on Transformation: Standard Chartered and the Future of Finance
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-20 04:45
There are many elements of a CFO's job that are the same across every industry: planning, budgeting, risk management, reporting. But Diego De Giorgi believes the role of a CFO at a bank is unique. I think it's very different.In a nutshell, if you are the CFO of an industrial business, you make chemicals, widgets or something. You are the company's resident expert on matters financial. But a bank does finance.And a bank is really a living organism where the CFO plays a very meaningful role in the deployment ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-20 02:48
Standard Chartered's embrace of artificial intelligence has allowed the banking giant to ditch dozens of software programs as it continues to hunt for ways to root out expenses across the firm https://t.co/wY4MPDsUGR ...
Standard Chartered CFO: “London is home”
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-19 22:07
London is home [music] and it's home because it's one of the deepest capital markets in the world. It's got a great talent pool. We can hire excellent people here. We can attract them.It's a liquid market. All of the investors of the world either operate from here or have an outpost operating from here. >> Speaking of its status as a leading financial center, postrexit, a lot of people ask questions about whether that would be [music] sustainable and we've seen that playing out over the last few years.How d ...
X @CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap· 2025-11-18 22:25
LATEST: 📊 Bitcoin's sell-off below $90,000 may already be complete, according to Standard Chartered's Geoffrey Kendrick, who noted that various key metrics have dropped to levels historically associated with market bottoms. https://t.co/NhRs7R6zj7 ...
X @The Block
The Block· 2025-11-18 17:25
Standard Chartered says bitcoin sell-off likely over, eyes year-end rally https://t.co/tzeYcPqoOw ...
FTSE 100 Down 1.25%; Bank, Miners Among Major Losers
RTTNews· 2025-11-18 11:55
Market Overview - The U.K. stock market's benchmark FTSE 100 is experiencing a significant decline, down 120.72 points or 1.25% at 9,554.71, marking the fourth consecutive session of losses [2] - Concerns regarding the global economic outlook, particularly related to the AI bubble, U.S. tariffs, and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, are negatively impacting investor sentiment [1] Sector Performance - Major bank stocks such as Standard Chartered, HSBC Holdings, and Barclays have seen declines ranging from 3.2% to 3.5% [2] - Other notable declines include Anglo American Plc down 3.7%, Convatec down 3.6%, and IAG down 3.1%, with Fresnillo and Antofagasta also down nearly 3% [2] Company-Specific Movements - Companies like Schroders, WPP, Prudential, Rio Tinto, Diageo, 3i Group, Mondi, Airtel Africa, Glencore, and Rolls-Royce Holdings are also experiencing sharp declines [3] - In contrast, ICG is gaining nearly 6% due to stronger than expected earnings, while Imperial Brands is up 2.7% following a nearly 5% increase in annual adjusted operating profit [3] - Other companies such as Rightmove, BAE Systems, Sainsbury (J), AstraZeneca, British American Tobacco, and Centrica are showing modest gains [3]