Group 1 - The Japanese technology investment company reported a net profit of 248.59 billion yen, which is approximately $1.62 billion, for the three months ending in December [1]

SoftBank Group sprang back to a quarterly profit after Masayoshi Son’s bet on OpenAI paid off in valuation gains on optimism around AI spending https://t.co/iRlQlCN6fT ...

(Corrects to state that SoftBank has recorded an investment gain of $19.8 billion on OpenAI rather than anticipates one in paragraph 7) By Anton Bridge TOKYO, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Japan's SoftBank Group booked a fourth consecutive quarterly ‌profit on Thursday, helped by the rising valuation of its OpenAI investment and took on more debt as ‌it deepened its exposure to the red-hot artificial intelligence sector. SoftBank reported a net profit of 248.6 billion yen ($1.62 billion) in the October-December ...

Financial Performance - SoftBank Group reported a net profit of 248.6 billion yen ($1.62 billion) for the October-December quarter, a significant recovery from a net loss of 369 billion yen in the same period the previous year [1][1][1] - This marks SoftBank's fourth consecutive quarter of profitability, indicating a positive trend in its financial performance [1][1][1] Investment Strategy - The company's earnings have been bolstered by the rising valuation of its investment in OpenAI, where SoftBank has increased its stake to around 11% with over $30 billion invested [1][1][1] - To finance its investments, SoftBank has engaged in asset sales, bond issuance, and loans backed by its other holdings, including chip designer Arm [1][1][1] Market Position and Competition - OpenAI, once seen as the leading player in large language models, is facing rising operational costs and intensified competition from companies like Alphabet [1][1][1] - Investor concerns have been raised regarding SoftBank's ability to continue funding OpenAI, especially as OpenAI does not currently generate a profit [1][1][1]

Economic Data and Forecasts - U.S. Retail Sales are expected to increase by +0.4% month-over-month in December, following a +0.6% increase in November [1] - U.S. Core Retail Sales rose +0.5% month-over-month in November, with economists predicting a +0.3% increase for December [4] - The U.S. Employment Cost Index is anticipated to remain at +0.8% quarter-over-quarter for Q4, consistent with Q3 [5] - Import and Export Price Indexes are expected to rise by +0.1% month-over-month in December, down from +0.4% and +0.5% respectively in the previous month [5] Stock Market Performance - Wall Street's main stock indexes ended positively, with Microsoft rising over +3% and Meta Platforms gaining more than +2% [3] - Chip stocks like Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices also saw gains of more than +3% [3] - AppLovin surged over +13% after the withdrawal of allegations against it, while Kyndryl Holdings fell more than -54% due to disappointing FQ3 results and CFO exit [3] Corporate Earnings - Notable companies reporting quarterly figures include Coca-Cola, Gilead Sciences, CVS Health, and Ford, with S&P 500 companies expected to see an average +8.4% increase in Q4 earnings year-over-year [7] - In the bond market, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is at 4.180%, down -0.33% [7] International Market Updates - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index is up +0.03%, with chemical stocks leading gains after a positive sector assessment by Goldman Sachs [8] - Kering's stock jumped over +12% following improved Q4 sales trends [8] - Asian markets closed positively, with China's Shanghai Composite Index up +0.13% and Japan's Nikkei 225 up +2.28% [9] Pre-Market Stock Movements - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. shares rose over +2% in pre-market trading due to strong January revenue growth [12] - Credo Technology surged more than +16% after raising its FQ3 revenue guidance [12] - Palantir Technologies rose over +2% after an upgrade to Buy from Daiwa [13]

Core Viewpoint - SoftBank Group is anticipated to report a significant profit from its investment in OpenAI during its upcoming quarterly results announcement, with particular attention on its strategies for financing its artificial intelligence initiatives [1] Group 1 - SoftBank Group's investment in OpenAI is expected to yield a healthy profit [1] - The market is keenly focused on how SoftBank will fund its ongoing spending in artificial intelligence [1]

Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 Index closed up 2.3% at 57,650.54, while the broader Topix advanced 1.9% to 3,855.28, both reaching record highs [1][6] - The Nikkei has increased by 12% year-to-date, driven by expectations of fiscal stimulus and a global tech rally [2][6] Economic Outlook - Following the ruling coalition's landslide victory in the general election, there is rising optimism for proactive fiscal policy and economic boosts in the domestic stock market [2][6] - Senior economist Takayuki Miyajima noted that expectations for fiscal stimulus under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi are supporting market sentiment [2][6] Company Highlights - Furukawa Electric shares surged 22.3% on Tuesday and have gained 49.6% over the past three sessions following solid earnings [3][6] - Mazda Motor shares experienced a 12% increase, marking the largest daily gain since last July, after reporting better-than-expected results [6] - SoftBank Group, a key player in the AI sector, rose 10.7% due to a rally in U.S. high-tech stocks and anticipation of its upcoming earnings report [6] Market Breadth - The Nikkei index saw 176 advancers compared to 46 decliners, indicating strong market breadth [6]

Market Overview - Asian shares traded mostly lower, following Wall Street's losses driven by technology stocks [1] - The S&P 500 fell 1.2% to 6,798.40, marking its sixth loss in seven days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average also dropped 1.2% to 48,908.72 [5] Technology Sector - Technology stocks were significantly impacted, with Qualcomm sinking 8.5% despite better-than-expected quarterly revenues, and Alphabet losing 0.5% due to concerns over its AI spending [5] - Amazon's shares fell 11% in after-hours trading after announcing plans to increase capital spending by over 50% to $200 billion in AI and other areas [6] - The sell-off in technology stocks was exacerbated by new AI tools from American startup Anthropic, which raised concerns about the disruption of traditional software services [6] Cryptocurrency - Bitcoin's price dropped to just under $65,000, down approximately 8% and giving back all gains since President Trump's re-election, with a peak of over $124,000 in October [4] - The cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline, briefly sinking over 12% to below $64,000 [4] Automotive Industry - Shares of Toyota Motor rose 2% following the announcement that CEO Koji Sato will step down in April, to be replaced by CFO Kenta Kon [3] Commodity Prices - Gold prices fell 0.6% to $4,858.60 per ounce after nearing $5,600 last week, while silver prices dropped 5.5% to $72.52 per ounce [7] - U.S. benchmark crude oil gained 35 cents to $63.64 a barrel, and Brent crude rose 36 cents to $67.91 a barrel [8]

Market Overview - Wall Street's three main equity benchmarks closed mixed, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropping over -17% after disappointing Q1 revenue guidance, while Super Micro Computer (SMCI) surged more than +13% following strong FQ2 results and an increased full-year revenue outlook [2] - The ADP National Employment report indicated that U.S. private nonfarm payrolls rose by +22K in January, below the expected +46K, while the ISM services index remained unchanged at 53.8, exceeding expectations [6] - U.S. rate futures show an 88.0% probability of no rate change and a 12.0% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting [8] Corporate Earnings - The fourth-quarter corporate earnings season is ongoing, with S&P 500 companies expected to report an average +8.4% increase in quarterly earnings for Q4 compared to the previous year [9] - Notable companies reporting earnings include Amazon.com (AMZN), ConocoPhillips (COP), and Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) [9] Economic Data - Investors are focused on upcoming U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data, expected to be 212K, and JOLTs Job Openings figures anticipated at 7.200 million [10] - Germany's December Factory Orders rose +7.8% m/m, while France's Industrial Production fell -0.7% m/m, and Eurozone's Retail Sales decreased -0.5% m/m [14] International Markets - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index is down -0.15% as investors await monetary policy decisions from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank [13] - Asian stock markets closed lower, with China's Shanghai Composite Index down -0.64% and Japan's Nikkei 225 down -0.88%, primarily due to weakness in technology stocks [15][17]

Market Overview - Asian stocks declined, following Wall Street's downward trend, due to ongoing trade tensions, uncertainty over U.S. monetary policy, and heavy selling in precious metals [1] - Precious metals, including gold and silver, saw significant declines, with gold dropping over 5% and silver nearly 8% [2] - Oil prices fell nearly 5% amid reports of U.S. and Iran readiness to negotiate an agreement to ease tensions [2] Chinese Market - Chinese and Hong Kong markets experienced sharp declines, with China Vanke warning of an 11.8 billion net loss for 2025 and BYD reporting a 30.1% year-on-year drop in vehicle sales for January [3] - The Shanghai Composite index fell 2.48% to 4,015.75, while the Hang Seng index dropped 2.23% to 26,775.57 [3] - Both China Vanke and BYD shares fell more than 4% in Shanghai [3] Economic Data - China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) was reported at 49.3, below forecasts, indicating contraction, while the non-manufacturing PMI also fell into contraction [4] - A private gauge indicated that Chinese manufacturing activity continued to expand in January [4] Japanese Market - The Nikkei average decreased by 1.25% to 52,655.18, reversing early gains, while the broader Topix index settled 0.85% lower at 3,536.13 [5] - Major companies like SoftBank Group, Advantest, Disco Corp, and Lasertec saw declines ranging from 3.8% to 14% [5] - Investors overlooked a private-sector survey indicating Japan's manufacturing activity grew at the fastest pace in about three and a half years [6] South Korean Market - The Kospi average plunged 5.26% to 4,949.67, ending a four-session winning streak, with major companies like Hyundai Motor and Samsung Electronics falling between 4% and 9% [7] - The Korea Exchange issued a sell-side circuit breaker for 5 minutes during the trading session [7] Australian and New Zealand Markets - Australian markets closed lower, with the S&P/ASX 200 falling 1.02% to 8,778.60, driven down by financials and materials amid rate hike concerns [7] - New Zealand's S&P/NZX-50 index finished marginally lower at 13,412.44 [8] U.S. Market Influence - U.S. stocks ended lower, with the dollar index climbing and Treasury yields surging after President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair, leading to a hawkish shift in U.S. monetary policy [8][9] - Warsh is perceived as skeptical of loose monetary policy and has previously criticized the Fed for underestimating inflation risks [9]