Market Overview - U.S. stocks are near record levels, with the S&P 500 slightly down by less than 0.1% from its all-time high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 273 points (0.6%) and the Nasdaq composite rose by 0.4% [1][8] Federal Reserve Expectations - There are rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut its main interest rate for the first time this year, which could stimulate the economy and has already led to a drop in mortgage rates [2] - Recent job market reports suggest a balance that could prompt the Fed to act, indicating a slow enough job market to require assistance without signaling a recession [2][3] Inflation Insights - Investors and analysts believe inflation is not on the verge of a surge, with a University of Michigan survey indicating consumer expectations for inflation remain steady at 4.8% for the upcoming year [4] - Long-term inflation expectations have crept higher but remain below levels seen in April when tariffs were announced [5] Company Performance - RH's stock fell by 4.6% after reporting lower-than-expected profit and revenue, and it reduced its revenue forecast due to tariff uncertainty and a weak housing market [6] - Oracle's stock dropped by 5.1%, although it had previously surged due to excitement over AI contracts [6] - Super Micro Computer's stock rose by 2.4% after announcing high-volume shipments of AI-related equipment, while Microsoft climbed by 1.8% following regulatory approval of changes to its Teams platform [7] International Market Movements - In international markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 rose by 0.9% to a record high, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng increased by 1.2% [9] Bond Market Trends - The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.06% from 4.01%, reflecting expectations that the Fed may soon resume cutting rates [9]

Market Performance - U.S. stocks are nearing record levels, with the S&P 500 rising 0.1% from its all-time high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 188 points (0.4%) and the Nasdaq composite increased by 0.5% [1] - Wall Street is experiencing its best week in five, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1][2] Federal Reserve Expectations - Anticipation of the Federal Reserve cutting its main interest rate for the first time this year is boosting stock prices, with mortgage rates already declining in response [2] - Recent job market reports suggest a balance that could prompt the Fed to act, indicating a slowdown that is not severe enough to trigger a recession while keeping inflation in check [3] Company-Specific Developments - RH's stock fell 4.7% after reporting lower-than-expected profit and revenue, alongside a reduced revenue forecast due to tariff uncertainty and a struggling housing market [7] - Oracle's shares dropped 4.1%, although it had previously surged due to excitement over AI-related contracts [7] - Super Micro Computer's stock rose 2.9% after announcing high-volume shipments of AI-related equipment [8] - Microsoft shares increased by 2% following the acceptance of its proposed changes to the Teams platform by EU regulators, resolving an antitrust investigation [9] Global Market Trends - Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose 0.9% to a record high, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index increased by 1.2% [10] - European markets experienced slight declines after gains in Asia [9] Bond Market Insights - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased to 4.07% from 4.01%, recovering some losses from earlier in the week [11]

With just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing , you can save thousands of dollars a year on equity research reports from banks. You'll keep your finger on the pulse and have access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of this type of information.Last time I wrote about Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI ) stock was in early August, a few days before the company reported its fiscal Q4 2025 results , so I was generally justHe leads the investing group Beyond the Wall Investing with featu ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the benefits of subscribing to Beyond the Wall Investing for access to high-quality equity research reports, which can save investors thousands of dollars annually [1]. Company Analysis - The last analysis of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) was conducted in early August, prior to the company's fiscal Q4 2025 results [1]. - The investing group Beyond the Wall Investing offers features such as a fundamentals-based portfolio, weekly insights from institutional investors, and alerts for short-term trade ideas based on technical signals [1]. Investment Strategy - The article emphasizes the importance of staying informed with the latest analysis and insights to make better investment decisions [1].

U.S. equities presented a mixed picture in afternoon trading on Friday, September 12, 2025, as investors digested recent inflation data and eagerly awaited the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. While the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP:IND) continued its upward trajectory, hitting new intraday highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) experienced a slight decline, and the S&P 500 (SPX) remained largely flat. All three major indexes had closed at record highs yesterday, fueled by inves ...

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is experiencing significant growth due to its AI hardware offerings, with a stock increase of 5.3% following the announcement of global shipments of its Nvidia Blackwell Ultra-powered systems [1][2]. Group 1: Product and Performance - The Blackwell Ultra systems, including NVIDIA HGX B300 and GB300 NVL72 racks, offer up to 7.5 times the performance of Nvidia's Hopper platform, 50% more HBM3e memory, and up to 1.1 exaFLOPS of FP4 compute [3]. - Liquid cooling technology in these systems can reduce power consumption by up to 40%, addressing critical challenges in AI data center growth [3]. Group 2: Market Positioning - Supermicro is establishing itself as a comprehensive solution provider for AI infrastructure, with over 10 new SKUs featuring Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra, simplifying deployment for enterprise and hyperscale customers [4]. - The company is transitioning from a niche hardware supplier to a key player in the global AI factory ecosystem, benefiting from the convergence of Nvidia's chip dominance and OpenAI's data center ambitions [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - As of the latest publication, SMCI shares were trading at $45.48, reflecting a 3.49% increase, and the stock is within a 52-week range of $17.25 to $66.43 [6].

I’m a retired Wall Street PM specializing in TMT; since kickstarting my career, I’ve spent over two decades in the market navigating the technology landscape, focusing on risk mitigation through the dot com bubble, credit default of ‘08, and, more recently, with the AI boom. In one word, what I’d like my service to revolve around is momentum.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the ...

Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer Inc has confirmed the commencement of high-volume shipments of its Nvidia Blackwell Ultra solutions, indicating strong demand and growth potential in the AI server market [1] Company Summary - Super Micro Computer Inc is experiencing an extension of gains in its stock price following the announcement of high-volume shipments [1] - The company specializes in AI server solutions, positioning itself favorably within the growing AI technology sector [1] Industry Summary - The AI server market is witnessing increased demand, driven by advancements in AI technologies and solutions [1] - Nvidia's Blackwell Ultra solutions are expected to play a significant role in enhancing AI computing capabilities, further propelling the industry's growth [1]

Group 1 - Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is experiencing a significant increase in stock price, currently up 6% to $46.53, following the commencement of volume shipments of Nvidia Blackwell Ultra Systems chips, indicating a strong partnership between the two companies [1] - SMCI has seen a remarkable 53% increase in 2025 and has returned to its year-over-year breakeven level, although it is still below its annual high of $66.43 reached on February 19 [2] - The stock is facing a contrarian outlook, with 11 out of 18 brokerages maintaining "hold" or worse ratings, and a consensus 12-month price target of $45.81, which represents a 2.1% discount to the current stock price [3] Group 2 - There is potential for unwinding of bearish bets in the options market, as the 10-day put/call ratio for SMCI is at 0.62, placing it in the 78th percentile of annual readings, indicating increased put buying activity [4] - Options traders are currently pricing in low volatility expectations for SMCI, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 56%, ranking in the 3rd percentile of the past 12 months, while the stock has historically outperformed these expectations [5]

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