Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies including NVIDIA, AMD, and TSMC, indicating a positive outlook for these firms in the technology sector [33]. Core Insights - The resumption of NVIDIA's H20 GPU sales to China is expected to positively impact the APAC technology supply chain, particularly benefiting companies like Inventec and Wistron [2][4]. - AMD's MI308X license applications for export to China are moving forward, which could lead to a recovery in revenue after significant write-downs [3]. - The overall demand for NVIDIA's RTX GPU series may moderate due to the increased availability of H20 GPUs, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [4][6]. Summary by Sections NVIDIA and AMD Developments - NVIDIA is filing applications to resume sales of the H20 GPU, with government assurances for license approval, and has introduced a compliant RTX PRO GPU [2]. - AMD's license applications for MI308X are under review, with expectations of resuming shipments as approvals are granted, despite prior inventory write-downs of approximately US$800 million [3]. APAC Technology Supply Chain - Inventec is positioned to benefit significantly from the H20 server rack business, with 10% of shipments to China potentially generating over 20% of sales due to higher average selling prices (ASPs) [4]. - Other ODMs like Wistron and Hon Hai are also expected to gain from the H20 export relief, enhancing their revenue prospects [4]. Semiconductor and HBM Market - The relaxation of export controls on NVIDIA's AI GPUs is anticipated to benefit upstream suppliers like TSMC and KYEC, with projections of significant growth in CoWoS demand [8]. - Samsung is expected to be the main beneficiary in the HBM market due to the resumption of H20 sales, with forecasts indicating substantial quarter-over-quarter growth in HBM bit demand [10]. Price Dynamics and Market Trends - The report notes a potential moderation in RTX GPU sales due to cannibalization from H20, with expectations of price adjustments in the secondary market [6]. - The demand for HBM is projected to surge with the resumption of H20 shipments, despite ongoing localization efforts in China [9].

And right now we are 2 minutes away from the end of the trading day. Romaine Bostick here with Scarlet Fu taking you through to that closing bell with the global simulcast. It has started.Tim Scientific is in the radio booth. Emily prevail by his side today. Carol Massar has the day off.Welcome to our audiences across all of our Bloomberg platforms, including our partnership with YouTube. Tim sent back a mixed day in markets down on the S&P 500 and slightly higher, though, on the Nasdaq. Yeah, I mean, a sli ...

AI Infrastructure & Sovereign Intelligence - DDN's President discusses the rapid rise of AI infrastructure and sovereign intelligence [1] - Sovereign AI is becoming mission-critical [1] - France and the global tech ecosystem are racing toward a future powered by a million GPUs [1] - Data intelligence is the true currency of innovation [1] DDN's Capabilities & Performance - DDN powers NVIDIA's most advanced AI systems [1] - DDN's Infinia demonstrates game-changing performance vs AWS in RAG workloads [1] AI Applications & Impact - AI has real-world impact across finance, healthcare, defense, and energy [1] - Building an AI factory is worth billions [1] Future Vision - A vision for the future where humans and machines shape intelligence together [1]

Market Overview - The main board saw significant gains with stocks like Shiji Information (+10.04%), Yidelong (+10.02%), and Desheng Technology (+10.02%) leading the rise [1] - The ChiNext board also performed well, with Information Development (+15.18%) and Zhongguang Fanglei (+8.77%) among the top gainers [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation board was led by Bole Data (+7.23%) and Changying Tong (+7.03%) [1] - Active sub-industries included SW Printed Circuit Boards (+1.91%) and SW Robotics (+1.66%) [1] Domestic News - Dier Laser announced on an investor interaction platform that its TGV equipment for semiconductor chip packaging has completed shipments, achieving comprehensive coverage of wafer-level and panel-level TGV packaging laser technology [1] - In the first half of 2025, China's export of electromechanical products reached 7.8 trillion yuan, a growth of 9.5%. Integrated circuit exports increased by 20.3% to 650.26 billion yuan, with a quantity increase of 20.6% to 167.77 billion units [1] - Basic Semiconductor's subsidiary increased its registered capital to 210 million yuan to support the construction of a vehicle-grade silicon carbide module manufacturing base in Shenzhen, enhancing its production capacity and technical strength [1] - Huawei's smart automotive product line plans to initiate high-speed L3 autonomous driving pilot commercial use in 2025, with L4 testing in urban areas, and aims for large-scale commercial use by 2027 [1] Company Announcements - Lingyi Zhi Zao expects a net profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.57% to 66.66% [2] - Guanshi Technology forecasts a net loss of 12 million to 18 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reversing from a profit of 20.31 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - Lianchuang Electronics anticipates a net profit of 18 million to 26 million yuan for the first half of 2025, recovering from a loss of 64.99 million yuan in the previous year [2] - Ruima Precision expects a net profit of 15.56 million to 21.05 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a growth of 123.64% to 202.57% compared to the same period last year [2] Industry Insights - Indian startup QWR launched AI smart glasses named Humbl, equipped with an AI assistant capable of recording videos, summarizing conversations, and providing navigation assistance [3] - NVIDIA urged customers to enable system-level error correction codes (ECC) to defend against a new variant of RowHammer attacks targeting its GPUs, known as GPUHammer [3] - LG Electronics is developing hybrid bonding machines for high bandwidth memory (HBM), entering the semiconductor equipment market, aligning with its focus on AI business growth [3] - South Korea's ICT product exports reached 115.16 billion USD in the first half of the year, a 5.8% increase from 108.83 billion USD in the same period last year, driven by strong semiconductor sales [3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies involved Core Insights - CoreWeave has become the first cloud provider to commercially deploy the NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 platform, featuring a fully integrated system with significant performance improvements, achieving 1.1 ExaFLOPS for inference and 0.36 ExaFLOPS for training, representing a 50% performance uplift over the previous generation [2][12] - The acquisition of Core Scientific allows CoreWeave to control over 1.3 GW of power resources, expected to save approximately $500 million annually in operational costs and avoid $10 billion in future rental expenses, marking a strategic shift towards a vertically integrated infrastructure platform [5][14] - CoreWeave's partnerships with major clients like OpenAI and Google position it to become a leading vendor in the AI cloud infrastructure market, contingent on its ability to deliver compute commitments consistently [5][15] Summary by Sections Event Summary - In July 2025, CoreWeave announced its commercial deployment of the NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 platform, utilizing a fully integrated rack system with advanced components, achieving significant performance and efficiency improvements [2][12] Technical Architecture - The GB300 NVL72 architecture includes 72 Blackwell Ultra GPUs, Grace CPUs, and BlueField-3 DPUs, enabling high-speed communication and efficient power management through liquid cooling [3][17] Strategic Moves - The acquisition of Core Scientific for $9 billion enhances CoreWeave's control over data center resources, reducing reliance on third-party providers and lowering deployment costs, establishing a competitive advantage in the AI cloud sector [5][14] - The report highlights the increasing divergence in the Neocloud landscape, with CoreWeave's rapid deployment capabilities and integration of hardware and software setting it apart from traditional cloud service providers [6][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NVIDIA Corp with a target price (TP) raised to $190 from $180, reflecting a potential return of 19.2% based on the current price of $159.34 [7][31][32]. Core Insights - The total addressable market (TAM) for data center semiconductors is projected to reach $563 billion by 2028, which is 13% higher than previous estimates of $500 billion. This increase is primarily driven by higher-than-expected sovereign AI demand [1][20]. - NVIDIA's data center sales estimates for FY27E and FY28E have been increased by 5% and 11% respectively, with networking sales expected to grow significantly [1][21]. - The report highlights a strong growth trajectory for AI accelerators, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% from C2025E to C2028E, driven by both merchant GPUs and ASICs [15][18]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - Sovereign demand is expected to contribute billions in revenue for NVIDIA in 2025, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [3]. - The report discusses the rapid pace of rack buildouts for NVIDIA's GB200 and GB300, alleviating previous concerns about supply bottlenecks [2]. Financial Projections - The report projects NVIDIA's gross margin to normalize to the mid-70s percentage by the end of the fiscal year, supported by the ramp-up of new products [4]. - EPS estimates for FY27E and FY28E have been raised by 6% and 21% respectively, reflecting the positive outlook on sales growth [1][6]. Sales and Revenue Estimates - AI merchant GPUs are expected to maintain a high sales share, with total sales projected to reach $338 billion by 2028, while ASIC sales are expected to grow to $59 billion [18][20]. - The report outlines a detailed sales forecast for NVIDIA's GPUs, indicating a significant increase in units and sales over the next few years [23]. Valuation - The target price of $190 is based on a consistent 30x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio applied to the estimated EPS of $6.37 for FY26E, aligning with historical averages [32].

国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 7月10日消息，NVIDIA在昨日晚间达到了一个新的里程碑，其股价一度上涨2.5%，报163.9美元/股，总 市值突破4万亿美元，成为全球首家市值达到这一高度的公司。 据报道，NVIDIA的这一市值突破得益于其在AI芯片市场的主导地位，其GPU在性能上领先全球，是目 前市场上最受欢迎的产品之一。 投资银行Wedbush在其最新报告中将NVIDIA的AI芯片称为"新的黄金和石油"，并预测NVIDIA的市值将 继续攀升，未来18个月内投资者的关注焦点将是5万亿美元大关。 Wedbush还指出，微软也有可能加入4万亿美元市值俱乐部。 ***************END*************** 半导体公众号推荐 美国对中国实施的制裁对NVIDIA的营收造成了一定影响，但该公司股价依然保持强劲，这主要归功于 CEO黄仁勋将业务重心转向主权AI，向投资者保证NVIDIA可以向其他国家销售芯片。 与此同时，微软在最新财报中显示出Azure业务33%的增长，缓解了投资者对其AI云计算变现能力的担 忧。 We ...

RT Hans C Nelson 🗽 (@HansCNelson)Grok 4 is officially the top AI model in the world!@elonmusk gambled BIG on the "the bitter lesson" with the Colossus supercompute cluster in Memphis, Tennessee, and now @xai is unstoppable.This one bold bet is why Grok 4 makes every other frontier AI model look dumb.But what is "the bitter lesson," and why does it give xAI an unassailable lead?The Bitter Lesson (coined by Richard Sutton in 2019) is an idea in AI research that says relying on human expertise as a shortcut to ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In-Line" for Greater China Technology Semiconductors [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the growth potential in China's AI semiconductor sector, with a forecasted capital expenditure increase of 62% year-over-year to RMB 373 billion for the top six companies [19]. - TSMC's revenue guidance for Q3 2025 indicates a potential growth of approximately 3% quarter-over-quarter in USD, but a decline of 1.6% in TWD [12]. - The report anticipates that China's local GPU market will significantly expand, with local GPU revenue projected to reach RMB 287 billion by 2027, driven by advancements in SMIC's leading node capacity [33]. Summary by Sections Valuation Comparison - TSMC's target price is set at 1,288 TWD, representing a 19% upside potential, with an estimated P/E ratio of 23.9x for 2024 [8]. - The average EPS growth for the semiconductor sector is projected at 40% for 2024, with a mean P/B ratio of 2.3x [8]. - The memory segment shows a notable upside potential for Giga Device, with a target price of 145.0 CNY, indicating a 20% upside [9]. TSMC Preview - TSMC's Q3 2025 revenue is estimated at NT$ 910 billion, with a gross profit of NT$ 508 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 35.1% [12]. - The gross margin is expected to be 55.8%, while the operating margin is projected at 45.5% [12]. China AI Semiconductor Demand - The report projects that China's GPU self-sufficiency ratio will increase from 34% in 2024 to 82% by 2027, indicating a strong trend towards domestic production [28]. - The total addressable market (TAM) for cloud AI in China is expected to reach USD 48 billion by 2027 [30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" (OW) rating for TSMC and expresses bullish sentiment towards AI-related investments, particularly in the semiconductor sector [2][4]. Core Insights - TSMC's CoWoS capacity is projected to grow over 30% year-on-year, reaching approximately 90-95k by 2026, which is favorable for both Nvidia and AI ASIC supply chains [1][2]. - There is strong demand for AI applications in China, but hardware supply constraints are identified as a significant bottleneck [3]. - The report highlights a robust growth forecast for cloud semiconductors in 2026, with TSMC's CoWoS-L capacity expected to expand to 68k, indicating strong demand for Blackwell and Rubin chips [2][8]. Summary by Sections AI Supply Chain Insights - The report indicates that Nvidia's B30 GPU shipments to China are uncertain and could impact China's AI capital expenditures [1][3]. - Chinese AI developers are considering alternatives like Huawei chips if Nvidia's B30 cannot be shipped, but they have not yet seen Huawei's 910C available for sale [3]. TSMC Capacity and Demand - TSMC's total CoWoS capacity is expected to be around 90-95k in 2026, reflecting a 33% increase from 70k at the end of 2025 [2][8]. - The report raises TSMC's CoWoS capacity forecast for 2026 from 90k to 93k wafers per month, with non-TSMC capacity remaining unchanged [8][9]. Customer Demand and Forecasts - Nvidia's CoWoS consumption is projected to remain at 580k units in 2026, with an increase in CoWoS-L consumption estimates due to strong demand [13]. - Broadcom's CoWoS consumption estimate is raised to 110k units in 2026, driven by higher demand for Meta's MTIAv3 chips [13]. AI Capex and Market Sentiment - The report anticipates that the top four US hyperscalers will generate $550 billion in operating cash flow in 2025, supporting ongoing investments in AI-related data centers [31][32]. - Average AI capex/EBITDA is expected to be around 50% in 2025, indicating strong financial capacity for further spending [32].