Market Trends & Industry Dynamics - The global supply chain and China's reliance on it are recurring concerns [1] - The urgency of the race for chip production is highlighted, with support from the US government and investments in companies like Intel [3] - China's potential lack of internal supply chains could weaken its negotiating power and lead to inflated valuations [4] - The tech movement is receiving unprecedented support globally, not just in the US and China [5][4] - Government shutdown has implications for all the economy sectors, but tech sector seems not to be affected [11] Investment Opportunities & Potential Risks - High valuations in the tech sector may be justified by the influx of capital and long-term potential [6] - Diversification is crucial to mitigate idiosyncratic risks associated with concentrated investments [13] - Adjacent industries to AI, such as those benefiting from "eye movements" (e.g., Hitachi, Caterpillar), present investment opportunities beyond Nvidia and OpenAI [9][8] - Rebalancing portfolios by taking gains from overplayed tech stocks and reallocating to other sectors is a prudent strategy [14] Company Focus - Nvidia and OpenAI's valuations are under scrutiny, with concerns about revenue justifying investments and potential overspending [7] - The enthusiasm surrounding infrastructure deals and OpenAI's private market valuation of $500 billion is acknowledged [10]

Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant growth, with several stocks showing strong momentum gains, placing them in the top 10th percentile of their peers [1][2]. Company Performance - Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) has seen its momentum score rise from 89.38 to 91.51, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 58.93% and a 54.25% increase over the past year [8]. - Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) increased its momentum score from 89.14 to 91.51, with a year-to-date rise of 102.91% and an 81.22% increase over the last year [8]. - Silicon Motion Technology Corp. (SIMO) experienced a momentum score jump from 89.91 to 92.49, with an 86.77% increase year-to-date and a 67.36% increase over the past year [8]. - Wolfspeed Inc. (WOLF) led with a dramatic momentum score rise from 2.57 to 99.26, achieving a year-to-date increase of 272.40% and a 186.76% increase over the last year [8]. Market Trends - The substantial gains in these chipmakers suggest a bullish trend, likely driven by increasing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies [9].

Adam Smith wrote about free-market incentives nearly 250 years ago, describing them as the "invisible hand†of capitalism. ...

Core Insights - The analyst has over a decade of experience in global markets, focusing on macroeconomic analysis, portfolio management, and equity research [1] - The current role involves leading multi-asset strategies and managing equity portfolios, combining top-down macro insights with bottom-up stock selection [1] - The research emphasizes economic cycles, monetary policy, and systemic risks, with a specialization in growth stocks while maintaining a broad perspective across all equity styles [1] Company and Industry Analysis - The analyst utilizes Bloomberg Terminal, advanced Excel models, and quantitative tools for valuation, risk monitoring, and sector analysis [1] - The goal is to share high-conviction ideas, focusing on undercovered names, contrarian opportunities, and the geopolitical and macro forces influencing capital flows [1] - The analysis is designed to be rigorous, strategic, and actionable for both retail and institutional investors [1]

I aim to provide alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multipl ...

Group 1: Tesla - A group of Tesla shareholders and state officials are urging investors to reject CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay plan [3] - Tesla's Q3 deliveries report has received positive feedback [3] Group 2: Google - Google plans to invest $4 billion in Arkansas to construct a new data center on over 1,000 acres in West Memphis, powered by Entergy [4] Group 3: Labor Market - The U.S. federal government shutdown has postponed the release of key economic reports, leading market participants to seek alternative data sources [5] - The Chicago Fed's real-time unemployment forecast for September 2025 is 4.34%, slightly up from 4.32% in August and 4.09% in September 2024 [5] - Job cuts reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas through September 2025 total 946.4K, compared to 609.2K through September 2024 [6] - ADP private sector employment data shows a decline of 32K jobs in September, a significant drop from a revised gain of 54K in August [6] - August JOLTS data indicates job openings at 7.227 million, a slight increase from 7.208 million in July [7] - Initial jobless claims' four-week moving average is 237.5K as of September 20, compared to 225.3K a year ago [7] Group 4: Market Reactions - FICO shares have surged while credit reporting stocks have declined following a shift in the licensing model [9] - Edison (EIX) shares fell after the cancellation of a California grid upgrade grant [9] - Occidental (OXY) shares dropped amid analyst criticism regarding the OxyChem sale [10] - Boeing (BA) has delayed the 777X program and plans to replace striking workers in St. Louis [10] - Applied Materials (AMAT) shares fell due to new export rules affecting sales to China [10]

the market on close. I'm Marley Caden here in Chicago alongside Sam Bodis at the New York Stock Exchange. We'll close our show how we do every day with some final thoughts on the session.Of course, we did not get our usual unemployment numbers today and we will not get our non-farm payrolls report tomorrow with the government closure still in effect. What we did get was some data that continues to show a softening labor market. The Chicago Fed released data that says that the unemployment rate remained unch ...

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) stock continued its impressive rally, rising 3.9% on Thursday, bringing its total monthly gain to more than 50%. INTC stock is climbing. See the real-time price action here. Government's Intel Stake SurgesThe surge has also significantly increased the value of the U.S. government's controversial 10% equity stake in Intel, which now stands at roughly $16 billion, according to CNBC. Read Next: Tesla, Rivals Brace For EV Market ‘Collapse’—Thanks To TrumpThe federal government first en ...

AMD is reportedly in talks to contract with Intel Foundry, the latest show of support for the ailing chipmaker. David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images Close Key Takeaways Intel (INTC) was down and out, and then the White House flipped a switch and made it one of the hottest stocks on Wall Street. Semafor yesterday reported chip designer Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) was in early talks to become an Intel Foundry customer. The report noted it was unclear how much of AMD's business would go to Intel ins ...

Signage outside the Intel headquarters in San Jose, California, US, on Thursday, Sept. 18, 2025.Shares of U.S. chipmaker Intel climbed 3% Thursday, putting the monthly gain over 50%.The surge pushed the stock past $37, hiking the value of the U.S. government's 10% stake in Intel to roughly $16 billion. The Trump administration negotiated an $8.9 billion investment in Intel common stock in August, purchasing 433.3 million shares at $20.47 per share.Press secretary Karoline Leavitt celebrated the surge with a ...