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8月起,信用债保持流动性
HUAXI Securities· 2025-08-07 01:21
Rating of the industry investment The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Core views of the report - In July, credit spreads first narrowed and then widened, with institutional behavior amplifying the market trends. Looking ahead to August, the liquidity of funds is expected to remain stable, but the growth of wealth - management scale will slow down, potentially increasing the volatility of credit bonds. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on credit bonds with good liquidity. The new tax regulations may enhance the coupon - rate attractiveness of credit bonds and draw in some incremental funds. Additionally, it is advisable to pay attention to the repair opportunities of medium - to - low - rated 2 - 3 - year and high - rated 3 - 5 - year credit bonds, as well as the investment opportunities of bank capital bonds with good liquidity [1][2][19] Summaries based on relevant catalogs 1. Seize repair opportunities and maintain liquidity 1.1 Credit bonds: focus on the repair market of medium - to - low - rated 2 - 3 - year and high - rated 3 - 5 - year bonds - In July, the long - end interest rate fluctuated upward, and credit bonds experienced increased volatility. Credit spreads first narrowed and then widened. In the early part of the month, loose liquidity and the recovery of wealth - management scale led to a narrowing of credit spreads. In the middle, the significant increase in the scale of Sci - tech Bond ETFs boosted the trading of credit bonds. However, in the late part, due to the adjustment of the bond market and tightened liquidity, wealth - management products preemptively redeemed funds, causing funds to sell credit bonds in the secondary market, leading to a widening of credit spreads. By the end of the month, the central bank's efforts to maintain liquidity led to a decline in interest rates and a repair of credit spreads [11][12] - In August, the growth of wealth - management scale is expected to slow,reducing the demand for credit bond allocation. As both yields and credit spreads are at low levels, the volatility of credit bonds may increase. It is recommended to focus on credit bonds with good liquidity [19] - The new tax regulations will increase the coupon - rate attractiveness of credit bonds, potentially attracting incremental funds. The varieties with relatively large adjustments in late July may experience a repair market. It is advisable to focus on the repair opportunities of medium - to - low - rated 2 - 3 - year and high - rated 3 - 5 - year bonds, especially those within 5 years [2][24] - During the adjustment period in late July, some high - rated individual bonds with good liquidity were sold first, resulting in a significant increase in yields. These bonds have relatively large repair space and faster repair speed. Specific individual bonds can be screened through brokerage data [25] 1.2 The impact of the new tax regulations on bank capital bonds may be limited - Theoretically, the new tax regulations reduce the cost - effectiveness of newly issued bank capital bonds relative to newly issued interest - rate bonds and general credit bonds. However, in practice, the main holders of bank capital bonds are bank self - operations, bank wealth - management products, and public funds. Bank self - operations often hold these bonds for business cooperation purposes, while bank wealth - management products and public funds are more focused on trading, so they may not consider the impact of taxes in the short term [31] - If the pricing of newly issued bank capital bonds after August 8 includes the tax premium of the new regulations, it may present a good investment opportunity as the high liquidity of new bonds may drive the narrowing of the spread between new and old bonds. The new regulations may also enhance the willingness of institutions to allocate old bonds, potentially leading to a duration - based market. Liquid 4 - 5 - year large - bank capital bonds are the best choice for capital - gain speculation [31][32] 2. Urban investment bonds: sentiment in both primary and secondary markets declined, and spreads of medium - and short - duration bonds narrowed - In July, the supply of urban investment bonds remained weak, with positive but year - on - year decreasing net financing. The overall issuance sentiment was high but gradually weakened. The proportion of issuance multiples above 3 times decreased from over 60% in the first three weeks to around 50% in the last two weeks. The proportion of bonds with a maturity of over 5 years slightly increased, while the weighted average issuance coupon rate continued to decline [37] - Provincial performance varied, with most provinces having net inflows and about one - third still having net outflows. Shandong had the largest net financing, while Jiangsu had the largest net outflow [38] - Urban investment bonds showed differentiated performance in July. The yields of 1 - year bonds slightly decreased, while those of bonds with a maturity of 3 years and above increased. The credit spreads of bonds with a maturity of 5 years and within generally narrowed, while those of long - duration bonds mostly widened [40] - In the secondary market, the buying sentiment of urban investment bonds was fair, but it weakened slightly compared to June. The proportion of TKN transactions decreased from 75% to 71%, and the proportion of low - valuation transactions decreased from 74% to 64%. The trading of medium - and long - duration bonds was stable, and the proportion of low - grade bonds increased [44] 3. Industrial bonds: supply continued to increase, and low - rated and long - duration bonds performed better - In July, the issuance and net financing of industrial bonds increased year - on - year. The net financing of the public utilities, non - bank finance, food and beverage, and building decoration industries was relatively large. The issuance sentiment weakened significantly in late July [48] - The proportion of long - duration bonds with a maturity of over 5 years decreased significantly. The issuance interest rates of bonds within 1 year and 3 - 5 years decreased slightly, while that of bonds over 5 years increased slightly. Compared with urban investment bonds, the average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds were lower [50] - In July, the yields of industrial bonds showed differentiated performance, and most spreads narrowed. Low - rated and long - duration bonds with coupon - rate advantages performed better. The yields of 1 - year and 10 - year AA+ and AA and below medium - term notes generally decreased, while those of most medium - to - high - grade varieties increased. Credit spreads generally narrowed [51]
港股概念追踪 | 新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 23:44
(原标题:港股概念追踪 | 新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)) 智通财经APP获悉,8月6日,交通运输部、财政部、自然资源部印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方 案》,到2027年,全国完成新改建农村公路30万公里,便捷高效、普惠公平的农村公路网络基本建成; 实施修复性养护工程30万公里,技术状况优良路率保持在70%以上,实施安全生命防护工程15万公里, 改造危旧桥梁(含生命通道渡改桥、漫水桥)9000座,农村公路安全和服务保障能力进一步提升;建制 村通公交率达到55%以上。相关概念股:中国交通建设(01800)、中国中铁(00390)、中国铁建(01186)。 2025 年上半年,全国范围内基建投资呈现"多点开花"态势,为经济发展持续提供动能,全国工程机械 平均开工率为 44.81%。其中,第二季度开工率为 47.1%,环比一季度上涨 4.62%。 15 个省份平均开工率超过 50%。其中,安徽、福建、河南、江西、浙江和重庆六个省份连续 6 个月综 合开工率超过 50%。表明全国范围内基建投资呈现"多点开花"态势,尤其以华东、华南地区领跑。 根据统计局数据,2025 上半年狭义/广义 ...
新一轮农村公路提升行动方案印发 基建股有望继续发力(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 23:36
国泰基金表示,展望下半年,随专项债逐步落实到项目,《中央城市工作会议》部署方向的相关政策逐 渐落地,预计增量的财政政策支持、融资端的改善对投资端和实物量的效果将逐渐显现;同时扩内需预 期增强,基建投资和重点区域建设有望政策加码。 财通证券(601108)发布研报称,当前国家在韧性城市、城中村改造等方面的投资有望加大力度,同时 战略布局下中西部区域投资较为景气,结合保险资金长周期考核制度加强,基本面稳健的建筑高股息标 的配置价值继续凸显,该行认为一方面应重视低估值高股息央国企;另一方面建议关注受益新疆煤化工 项目落地标的;具备核心竞争力企业也有望从周期底部中脱颖而出。 天风证券(601162)认为,继续强调基建改善+破净价值提升的投资主线,以及此前证监会对破净股松 绑,叠加化债资金对于建筑企业报表改善,持续看好建筑企业中长期的基本面及估值回归。 8月6日,交通运输部、财政部、自然资源部印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方案》,到2027年,全国完 成新改建农村公路30万公里,便捷高效、普惠公平的农村公路网络基本建成;实施修复性养护工程30万 公里,技术状况优良路率保持在70%以上,实施安全生命防护工程15万公里,改造 ...
淮宿蚌城际铁路全线开始铺轨
Ren Min Wang· 2025-08-06 15:24
8月6日,中铁一局施工人员在淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场作业(无人机照片)。 当日,在淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场,中铁一局施工人员将首对500米长钢轨铺设在无砟轨道上,这标志着淮宿蚌城际铁路全线开始铺轨。 淮宿蚌城际铁路途经安徽省淮北市、宿州市、蚌埠市,线路全长约161公里,设计时速350公里,建成后将成为皖北城市群连接合肥都市圈及 长三角地区的便捷通道。 新华社记者 周牧 摄 这是8月6日拍摄的淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场。 新华社记者 周牧 摄 当日,在淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场,中铁一局施工人员将首对500米长钢轨铺设在无砟轨道上,这标志着淮宿蚌城际铁路全线开始铺轨。 淮宿蚌城际铁路途经安徽省淮北市、宿州市、蚌埠市,线路全长约161公里,设计时速350公里,建成后将成为皖北城市群连接合肥都市圈及 长三角地区的便捷通道。 新华社记者 周牧 摄 8月6日,中铁一局施工人员在淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场作业。 当日,在淮宿蚌城际铁路铺轨施工现场,中铁一局施工人员将首对500米长钢轨铺设在无砟轨道上,这标志着淮宿蚌城际铁路全线开始铺轨。 淮宿蚌城际铁路途经安徽省淮北市、宿州市、蚌埠市,线路全长约161公里,设计时速3 ...
最新发布丨奉贤新房销售排行榜
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 14:45
Core Insights - The Shanghai real estate market saw a total of 4,711 new homes sold in June 2025, representing a month-on-month decrease of 0.98% compared to May [1] - In June, the Fengxian district recorded 100 new home registrations, with a total transaction area of 11,370 square meters and a transaction value of approximately 476.77 million yuan [1] Sales Performance - The top-selling properties in June included: - Xiangyu Jiangwan Yufu in Jinhui with 19 registrations, ranking first - China Railway Construction Xiyu in Xidu with 16 registrations, ranking second [5] - The detailed sales data for June includes: - Xiangyu Jiangwan Yufu: 19 units, 1,654 square meters, 59.78 million yuan - China Railway Construction Xiyu: 16 units, 1,648 square meters, 67.48 million yuan - Zhongjian Yujingyuan: 12 units, 1,459 square meters, 78.00 million yuan - Other notable properties include Shangjiangnan Jinghuimingting, Zhongjian Haiyuefu, and others with varying sales figures [6][7]
中铁隧道局集团未经批准或不按批准范围擅自进行施工被罚
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-08-06 02:31
近日,信用中国公布了中铁隧道局集团有限公司的行政处罚决定,粤穗交运罚﹝2025﹞3(2025)06230003号行政处罚决定书文号显示, 2025年1月5日,广州市交通运输局执法人员在广州市枕箱水道凫洲大桥桥区周边水域进行日常稽查,发现中铁隧道局集团有限公司有未 经航道部门批准或不按批准范围擅自进行施工作业行为,依据《广东省航道管理条例》第二十九条第(二)项,广州市交通运输局对其 作出责令停止施工、限期拆除建筑物或设施,罚款1万元处罚。 | 行政处罚决定书文号 | 京建法罚(市)字(2025)第010110号 | 下载修复申请材料 | 在线申请修复 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 处罚类别 | 罚款 | | | | 处罚决定日期 | 2025-06-18 | | | | 处罚内容 | 对你单位处5500元罚款的行政处罚 | | | | 罚款金额(万元) | 0.55 | | | | 没收违法所得、没收非法财 | | | | | 物的金额(万元) | | | | | 暂扣或吊销证照名称及编号 | - | | | | 违法行为类型 | 《北京市建设工程施工现场管理办法》第三十一条及《北 ...
中国中铁:在专用牵引供电设备等环节深度参与高速磁浮列车项目研究
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-05 08:06
Group 1 - The company, China Railway (601390), is deeply involved in the research of high-speed maglev train projects, specifically in areas such as dedicated traction power supply equipment, high-speed turnouts, test line engineering, and system integration verification [1]
中国中铁:公司在专用牵引供电设备、高速道岔等环节深度参与高速磁浮列车项目研究
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-05 07:52
Core Insights - The company, China Railway (601390.SH), is deeply involved in the research of high-speed maglev train projects, specifically in areas such as dedicated traction power supply equipment, high-speed turnouts, test line engineering, and system integration verification [1][2] Group 1 - The company confirmed its participation in the high-speed maglev train project through an investor interaction platform [1] - The focus areas of the company's involvement include specialized traction power supply equipment and high-speed turnouts [1] - The company is also engaged in test line engineering and system integration verification related to the maglev project [1]
中国中铁(601390.SH):在专用牵引供电设备等环节深度参与高速磁浮列车项目研究
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-05 07:40
Core Viewpoint - China Railway (601390.SH) is deeply involved in the research of high-speed maglev train projects, focusing on specialized traction power supply equipment, high-speed turnouts, test line engineering, and system integration verification [1] Group 1 - The company is participating in the research of high-speed maglev train projects [1] - Key areas of involvement include specialized traction power supply equipment and high-speed turnouts [1] - The company is also engaged in test line engineering and system integration verification [1]
反内卷行情持续,国企共赢ETF投资机会凸显
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 06:50
Core Insights - The Guoqi Gongying ETF (159719) has shown a 0.58% increase as of August 5, 2025, with a recent price of 1.57 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 5.42% over the past three months [1] - The ETF has a net asset value increase of 56.65% over the past three years, ranking 85 out of 1836 index equity funds, placing it in the top 4.63% [2] - The ETF has a historical annual return of 100% since its inception, with a maximum monthly return of 14.61% and an average monthly return of 4.14% [1][2] Performance Metrics - The ETF's maximum drawdown over the past six months is 8.26%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.29%, and it has the fastest recovery time of 60 days among comparable funds [2] - The management fee for the ETF is 0.25%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are the lowest among comparable funds [2] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past two months is 0.115%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [2] Index Composition - The ETF closely tracks the FTSE China State-Owned Enterprises Open Win Index, which reflects the performance of Chinese state-owned enterprises listed in mainland China and Hong Kong, focusing on globalization and sustainable development [2] - The index consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 companies listed in Hong Kong [2] Top Holdings - The top holdings in the ETF include: - China Petroleum (601857) with a weight of 15.94% and a price increase of 1.42% - China Petrochemical (600028) with a weight of 11.93% and a price increase of 0.89% - China State Construction (601668) with a weight of 9.59% and a price increase of 0.71% [4]