Summary of the Conference Call on China's Internet and AI Industry Outlook for 2026 Industry Overview - The focus is on the **China Internet** industry, particularly the **AI sector** and its growth prospects in 2026, influenced by both supply and demand factors [1][2]. Key Insights AI Growth Prospects - **Supply Improvements**: Anticipated import of Nvidia H200 chips for training and expansion of domestic chip production capacity for inferencing are expected to enhance AI capabilities [2][4]. - **Demand Surge**: A breakthrough in agentic capabilities is projected to drive a significant increase in consumer (2C) adoption. Positive signals from the latest China CIO Surveys indicate a first-time uptick in enterprise (2B) spending since the second half of 2021 [2][4]. Overseas Expansion - As the domestic market faces deflationary pressures and rising competition, overseas expansion is becoming crucial. Various segments such as gaming (Tencent, NetEase), cross-border e-commerce (PDD, Alibaba), and cloud services (Alibaba, Tencent) are highlighted as key areas for growth [3][4]. - It is estimated that overseas markets contributed over **10%** of revenue for Chinese internet companies in 2025, with expectations for further growth in the next 2-3 years [3][4]. Risks and Challenges - The macroeconomic climate, competition, regulatory changes, and geopolitical tensions are identified as significant risks. A decline in consumption since Q4 2025 is impacting industry revenue growth across e-commerce, local services, and advertising [4]. - Competition in food delivery and quick commerce remains intense, particularly following the State Council's anti-involution investigation. ByteDance's continued disruption across various sectors is also noted [4]. Investment Recommendations Overweight (OW) Recommendations - **Tencent**: Identified as a top pick due to resilient core businesses and strong 2C AI applications [5]. - **Alibaba (BABA)**: Considered the best AI enabler with cloud services as a key growth catalyst [5]. - **PDD**: Valued for its attractive pricing and potential breakeven of Temu in 2026 [5]. - **TME**: Noted for its resilient business model and potential upside from the proposed Ximalaya acquisition [5]. Underweight (UW) / Equal Weight (EW) Recommendations - **JD (UW)**: Facing operational de-leverage and high investments in new businesses [5]. - **BILI (EW)**: Low visibility in gaming and high valuations are concerns [5]. - **Kuaishou (EW)**: Core business performance is lukewarm, with current valuations reflecting this [5]. - **BIDU (EW)**: While Kunlunxin is a near-term catalyst, core business challenges persist [5]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of prudent capital expenditure in AI applications to mitigate bubble risks, suggesting a focus on applications that yield better returns on invested capital (ROIC) [2][4]. - The overall industry view remains attractive, with a strong emphasis on the potential for growth in AI and overseas markets despite existing challenges [7]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China Internet and AI industry.

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of early access to investment ideas and trends, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) and EV metals sector, which is a focus area for the Trend Investing group [1][2] Group 1: Company and Industry Focus - The Trend Investing group consists of qualified financial personnel with over 20 years of experience in financial markets, focusing on trending themes such as electric vehicles, EV metals supply chain, stationary energy storage, and AI [2] - The service offers features including access to a portfolio, monthly news updates, macro trends updates, stock watchlists, CEO interviews, and community engagement [2] Group 2: Investment Positions - The article discloses that the analyst holds long positions in several companies, including TESLA, BYD CO, GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS, XIAOMI CORPORATION, ZHEJIANG LEAPMOTOR TECHNOLOGY, BAIDU, GOOGL, APTERA MOTORS, and CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY [3]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that stablecoins and tokenization are two significant growth drivers in the cryptocurrency space, providing long-term support beyond the typical volatility associated with crypto [1][8]. Stablecoins - Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to $1 or another currency, supported by reserves or supply-demand mechanisms [3]. - There are nearly 300 stablecoins currently available, with Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) being popular examples [3]. - The GENIUS Act, passed in July 2025, provides a regulatory framework for stablecoins, which may lead to increased growth in this segment [3]. Tokenization - Tokenization refers to creating digital representations of traditional assets, allowing for more automated and accessible ownership and transfer [4]. - This concept extends to ETFs and funds, with several issuers already offering tokenized funds, including Franklin Templeton and BlackRock [4]. - BlackRock has shown interest in exploring tokenization through its iShares retail brand, reaffirmed during its October 14 earnings call [4]. ETFs Focused on Stablecoins and Tokenization - Amplify launched two ETFs on December 23, 2025, focusing on stablecoins and tokenization, which invest in companies and infrastructure benefiting from these themes rather than directly in stablecoins or tokenized assets [5]. - The Amplify Stablecoin Technology ETF (STBQ) allocates around 25% to crypto assets like XRP, Solana, Ethereum, and Chainlink, with the remaining 75% in equities of companies involved in stablecoin transactions [5]. - The Amplify Tokenization Technology ETF (TKNQ) follows a similar structure but focuses more on banks and companies involved in tokenization, holding names like Baidu and Citigroup [5]. Comparison with Broader Blockchain ETFs - Stablecoin and tokenization ETFs are more theme-specific compared to broader blockchain ETFs, which capture a wider range of crypto-related trends [7]. - Funds like the Amplify Blockchain Technology ETF (BLOK) include a broader array of holdings, such as crypto mining and infrastructure providers, while STBQ and TKNQ focus specifically on financial companies [7]. Conclusion - Stablecoins and tokenization are becoming foundational elements in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, with STBQ and TKNQ representing emerging investment opportunities in this space [8].

By Yantoultra Ngui and Kane Wu HONG KONG, Jan 8 (Reuters) - Chinese semiconductor designer Montage Technology plans a second listing in Hong Kong via a $800 million to $1 billion share offering ​as soon as this month, said two people with knowledge of the matter, adding to ‌the hectic pace of fundraising in the city. If the company meets the $1 billion target, the deal would be the largest ‌in Hong Kong since China's Zijin Gold International's $3.53 billion listing in September, LSEG data showed. The t ...

Core Viewpoint - Hesai, a Chinese lidar manufacturer, plans to double its production capacity from 2 million units to 4 million units in 2026, aiming to capture a larger share of the global lidar market [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Hesai has raised hundreds of millions of dollars and is listed on both the Nasdaq and Hong Kong stock exchanges, despite facing accusations from the U.S. government regarding its ties to China's military [3] - The company reported that its production target was doubled due to "accelerating demand" in the automotive and robotics sectors [4] - Hesai has secured 4 million orders for its latest ATX lidar sensor and has 24 automotive customers, including a major European automaker [5] Group 2: Market Context - The automotive market in China has seen a significant adoption of lidar sensors, with 25% of new electric cars sold in the country now equipped with them [5] - The lidar market outside of China has proven to be volatile, as evidenced by Luminar's bankruptcy, which was partly due to failed deals with major automakers like Volvo [6] - The robotics sector is viewed as a promising market for lidar, with Ouster estimating it represents a $14 billion opportunity [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Hesai has contributed to a dramatic reduction in lidar sensor costs, achieving a 99.5% decrease over eight years, which has impacted competitors like Luminar [10] - The company is also involved in providing lidar sensors for autonomous vehicle companies such as Pony AI, Motional, WeRide, and Baidu [9]

Market Overview - U.S. equities are showing a mixed but generally positive tone as Wall Street begins 2026, with a focus on technology and artificial intelligence [1] - Major indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite initially showed strong gains but experienced some fluctuations throughout the session [1][2] Current Market Indexes and Trends - The S&P 500 Index opened up 0.48% and rose 0.7% in morning trading, but by midday, it had wavered, showing a slight decline at one point [2] - The Nasdaq Composite Index opened with a 1.03% gain and surged 1.3% in the morning, but also saw a slight retreat around midday [3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average started positively, opening up 0.09% and rising 42 points, but later reports indicated a decline of 0.26% [4] Economic Indicators - The U.S. December S&P manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 51.8, slightly down from 52.20 in November, with new orders falling for the first time in twelve months [6] - Exports have declined for the seventh consecutive month, indicating ongoing impacts from tariffs and trade tensions [6] Federal Reserve Monitoring - Market participants are closely watching the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, with a 15% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut anticipated at the next FOMC meeting [7] Major Stock News and Developments - Nvidia (NVDA) shares rose approximately $2.65, up 1.3% due to strong interest in AI-related stocks and a new licensing agreement with Groq [9] - Micron Technology (MU) is performing well, driven by supply-demand issues that could create a $100 billion high-bandwidth market by 2028 [10] - Tesla (TSLA) shares fell 0.6% after reporting declining sales for the second consecutive year [10][11] - Alphabet (GOOGL) initially rose 2% but later dropped 0.2%, while Microsoft (MSFT) fell 2.1%, impacting overall market momentum [12] - Broadcom (AVGO) shares increased by 1.9%, reflecting strong investor confidence [13] - Vertiv Holdings (VRT) climbed 8% after an upgrade from Barclays, citing substantial upside potential [13] - Baidu (BIDU) shares jumped 9.4% after announcing plans to spin off its AI chip unit, while Alibaba (BABA) rose 4.3% [14] - Nike, Inc. (NKE) was a top gainer, up 4.12%, following insider investments [15] - Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) and Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) were among the biggest losers, down 3.16% and 3.03% respectively [15] Leadership Changes - Warren Buffett stepped down from his position at Berkshire Hathaway, a significant development that will be closely monitored by investors [16]

Economic Overview - The economy in 2025 demonstrated resilience, overcoming challenges such as higher inflation, a slowing labor market, and fewer rate cuts than expected, maintaining steady growth without entering a recession [1] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes recorded gains of approximately +16.4% and +20.2% respectively, marking their longest winning streak since 2021 with double-digit gains for three consecutive years [2] Labor Market - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by -16,000 to a one-month low of 199,000, which was better than the expected 219,000 [2] Stock Market Performance - In a recent trading session, major equity benchmarks ended lower, with notable declines in chip stocks like Micron Technology and KLA Corp, both dropping over -2% [3] - The "Magnificent Seven" stocks also faced losses, with Tesla down more than -1% and Meta Platforms down about -0.9% [3] - Conversely, Nike saw a rise of over +4% after its CEO purchased nearly $1 million worth of shares [3] Trade Developments - Positive sentiment in the market was bolstered by the U.S. postponing tariff hikes on certain goods, including upholstered furniture and kitchen cabinets, while also reducing proposed duties on Italian pasta [4][7] AI Sector Developments - Renewed optimism around AI was noted, particularly with the performance of Shanghai Biren Technology Co. in its Hong Kong trading debut and Baidu's AI chip unit filing for an IPO [5] Futures Market - March S&P 500 E-Mini futures rose by +0.63%, and March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures increased by +1.08%, indicating a strong start for Wall Street in the first trading session of 2026 [6] Eurozone Economic Indicators - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index reached a new record high, with defense stocks leading the gains despite weak PMI data indicating a contraction in Eurozone factory activity [9] - The Eurozone's December Manufacturing PMI was reported at 48.8, below expectations of 49.2, signaling a decline in manufacturing activity [10]

Core Viewpoint - Baidu's subsidiary Kunlunxin has confidentially applied for an IPO in Hong Kong, reflecting the company's strategy to capitalize on China's push for technological self-reliance in the face of US tech restrictions [1][3]. Company Developments - Kunlunxin's IPO prospectus was submitted, but details regarding the size and structure are still pending [1]. - The company, which focuses on artificial intelligence chips, was initially an internal project of Baidu and was spun off in April 2021 with a valuation of 13 billion yuan [6]. Market Context - The Chinese semiconductor sector has seen significant activity, with 20 IPOs raising over 45 billion yuan (approximately US$6.4 billion) last year, making it the leading sector in terms of fundraising [4]. - The overall chip industry raised over 185 billion yuan across 1,419 cases, indicating strong investor interest and market potential [4]. Investor Sentiment - There is a growing appetite among investors for China's national tech champions, driven by the urgency to enhance domestic production capabilities and secure a competitive edge in AI [3]. - Analysts estimate Kunlunxin's valuation to be between US$16 billion and US$23 billion, reflecting positive industry developments [6]. Competitive Landscape - Other companies in the semiconductor space, such as Biren Technology and Enflame, are also pursuing IPOs, contributing to a competitive environment in the GPU sector [5].

Market Overview - Asian markets started the new year with gains, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 2.2% to 26,189.79, driven by a strong rally in tech shares [1] - South Korea's Kospi increased by 1.5% to 4,277.94, while the S&P/ASX 200 in Australia edged up 0.2% to 8,727.30 [2] - Expectations of growth in artificial intelligence are boosting demand for computer chips and infrastructure [2] Company Highlights - Alibaba's shares climbed 3.2% following the announcement of plans to spin off its AI computer chip unit Kunlunxin, which is set to list in Hong Kong in early 2027, pending regulatory approvals [1] - Baidu's stock surged 7.5% after the same announcement regarding Kunlunxin [1] Economic Indicators - Recent manufacturing data in the region has been weak, but trade remains resilient, with exports from most countries surging in recent months [3] - The near-term outlook for Asia's export-oriented manufacturing sectors is considered favorable [3] US Market Performance - The S&P 500 futures rose by 0.5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures increased by 0.3% [4] - The S&P 500 closed 2025 with a 16.4% gain, setting 39 record highs, while the Nasdaq and Dow gained 20.4% and 13% respectively [5] - Strong corporate profits and three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve contributed to market gains [7] Commodity Prices - US benchmark crude oil prices increased by $0.35 to $57.77 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by the same amount to $61.20 per barrel [9] - Silver prices gained 3.5% after a previous decline, closing the year with a 140% increase, while gold rose by 1.1% with a 63.7% annual gain [8]

Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) is one of the Best Affordable Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. On December 22, Reuters reported that companies including Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER), Lyft, and Chinese Baidu have partnered to launch driverless taxi trials in the UK by next year. As a result of this partnership, Baidu’s Apollo Go RT6 will join ride-hailing platforms in London by 2026. In addition, Wayve, which is a London-based startup, is also expected to launch its trials in 2026, driven by ...