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Why Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Crashed Today
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 17:00
Group 1 - Cleveland-Cliffs shares fell as much as 25% following a disappointing fourth-quarter report, despite a previous 50% increase over the past six months [1][2] - The company reported flat fourth-quarter sales, while analysts had anticipated a mid-single-digit increase, and the quarterly loss exceeded expectations [2] - CEO Lourenco Goncalves expressed optimism, highlighting improvements such as multi-year contracts with major automotive customers and reduced unit costs [3] Group 2 - Cleveland-Cliffs expects shipment volume to increase approximately 3.4% in 2026, aligning with positive comments from peer steelmaker Nucor regarding robust demand [3] - The company is pursuing a strategic partnership with South Korea's POSCO, which may influence investor sentiment moving forward [4]
Cleveland-Cliffs Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 16:19
Core Insights - Cleveland-Cliffs is reallocating melting capacity from low-margin slab orders to higher-margin flat-rolled products, anticipating continued demand for domestically produced slabs [1] - The company is experiencing improved market conditions entering 2026, driven by 50% Section 232 tariffs, melted-and-poured requirements, and new galvanizing capacity in the U.S. [2][5] - The expiration of the ArcelorMittal slab agreement is expected to significantly enhance earnings, with an estimated EBITDA benefit of around $500 million [6][11] Market Dynamics - Steel imports are negatively impacting the domestic market, creating a demand gap that has affected shipments and utilization through 2025 [2] - The company signed multi-year fixed-price contracts with major OEMs, which is expected to secure high-margin business and increase market share [4][7] - U.S. vehicle production fell for the third consecutive year in 2025, yet Cleveland-Cliffs is positioned to absorb incremental automotive demand without needing new plants [8] Financial Performance - Total shipments for Q4 2025 were reported at 3.8 million tons, with expectations to improve to about 4 million tons in Q1 2026 [13] - The realized price in Q4 2025 was $993 per net ton, down $40 per ton, but a $60 per ton improvement is anticipated in Q1 2026 [14] - The company has achieved three consecutive years of unit cost reductions, with a projected additional reduction of $10 per ton in 2026 [15] Capital Expenditure and Asset Management - Capital expenditures for 2025 were $561 million, the lowest on record, with projections of about $700 million for 2026 [16] - Cleveland-Cliffs has closed the sale of FPT Florida and is on track for $425 million in total proceeds from sales of idled properties [20] - The company is focusing on generating EBITDA and cash flow to pay down debt, with total liquidity at the end of 2025 reported at $3.3 billion [21] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing a memorandum of understanding with POSCO, which is considered a strategic priority [18][19] - Cleveland-Cliffs has redirected Stelco's output to the Canadian market, which has faced pricing challenges but is expected to improve [17]
Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-09 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total shipments in Q4 were 3.8 million tons, slightly lower than Q3 due to seasonal impacts, with expectations for Q1 to improve back to 4 million tons [17] - Q4 price realization was $993 per net ton, down by around $40 per net ton, but a substantial improvement in realized prices is expected starting in Q1 2026, with an anticipated increase of approximately $60 per ton [18] - 2025 marked the third consecutive year of unit cost reductions, with a reduction of $40 per ton, and expectations for another $10 per ton decrease in 2026 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has secured more business from automotive clients, which is expected to show throughout 2026 as OEMs reshore production back to the U.S. [4] - The cancellation of the slab contract with ArcelorMittal is projected to yield an EBITDA improvement of around $500 million by replacing lower-margin slabs with higher-margin products [28][29] - The company anticipates continued demand for domestically produced slabs due to melted and poured requirements [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Canadian government has moved to restrict imported steel, creating positive momentum for the company's Canadian subsidiary, Stelco [4] - The spot steel price is currently at a two-year high, benefiting the company due to its cost structure and ability to generate its own power [6] - Vehicle production in the U.S. was down for three consecutive years, but a return to pre-COVID levels is expected due to policy-driven reshoring [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on sustainable performance in an improved market, operating with a leaner footprint and a stronger order book [24] - The partnership with POSCO is a strategic priority, aimed at enhancing industrial cooperation and meeting U.S. trade requirements [14][52] - The company is positioned to benefit from the transition from aluminum to steel in automotive applications, leveraging existing technology and production capabilities [10][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the improving business environment, with solid order books, rising prices, and declining costs [23] - The company is confident in its ability to absorb increased automotive demand with existing production capacity, avoiding the need for new plant construction [8] - Management highlighted the importance of the recent changes in the Canadian steel market and the positive impact on pricing and shipments [12][63] Other Important Information - The company achieved the lowest total recordable incident rate since becoming a steel producer, with a 43% improvement compared to 2021 [15] - Capital expenditures in 2025 were at a record low of $561 million, with projections for 2026 to be around $700 million [20] - Total liquidity at the end of 2025 was $3.3 billion, with a focus on generating EBITDA and cash flow [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What benefit is expected from the cancellation of the slab contract? - The cancellation is projected to yield an EBITDA improvement of around $500 million by replacing lower-margin slabs with higher-margin products [28][29] Question: When should the improvement in EBITDA be expected? - The company is already selling the material in Q1, with more impact expected in Q2 and Q3 as cost flows through inventory [32] Question: How much open capacity is available for contracting? - The company has downstream capacity in every location, with significant potential to deploy more specialized steel products [40][41] Question: What is the outlook for Q1 regarding ASP and costs? - Shipments are expected to return to 4 million tons, with ASP projected to increase by $60 per ton in Q1, while costs may rise temporarily before normalizing [44][46] Question: How has Stelco performed and what is the outlook? - Stelco was disappointing in 2025 but is expected to contribute significantly in 2026 as market dynamics improve [60][62] Question: What is the status of asset sales? - The company is under contract to sell several idled properties, with total proceeds expected to reach $425 million, while larger asset sales are on hold pending POSCO negotiations [70][72]
Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-09 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total shipments in Q4 2025 were 3.8 million tons, slightly lower than Q3 due to seasonal impacts, with expectations to improve to 4 million tons in Q1 2026 [17] - Q4 price realization was $993 per net ton, down by approximately $40 per net ton, but expected to improve by about $60 per ton in Q1 2026 [18][22] - Unit costs decreased by $40 per ton in 2025, marking the third consecutive year of reductions, with further expectations of a $10 per ton decrease in 2026 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has shifted melting capacity from low-margin slabs to higher-margin flat-rolled products, anticipating continued demand for domestically produced slabs [5] - The automotive sector remains the core end market, with multi-year fixed-price contracts signed with major OEMs, expected to enhance market share and profitability in 2026 [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The spot steel price is at a two-year high, benefiting from Section 232 tariffs and increased domestic production [6] - Canadian pricing and shipments have improved following government restrictions on imported steel, positively impacting the Canadian subsidiary, Stelco [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging existing production capacity without the need for new plants, positioning itself to benefit from the anticipated increase in domestic automotive production [8][10] - A strategic partnership with POSCO is a top priority, aimed at enhancing collaboration and meeting U.S. trade requirements [14][53] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the improving business environment, citing a solid order book, rising prices, and declining costs as key factors for 2026 [22] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the return of vehicle production to pre-COVID levels, with expectations of significant throughput and profitability gains [23] Other Important Information - The company achieved a record low total recordable incident rate in 2025, reflecting a 43% improvement compared to 2021 [15] - Capital expenditures in 2025 were $561 million, with projections for 2026 to be around $700 million, reflecting normalized maintenance spending [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expected benefits from the cancellation of the slab contract - Management anticipates an EBITDA improvement of approximately $500 million from the cancellation of the slab contract, with benefits expected to materialize more significantly in Q2 2026 [27][31] Question: CapEx expectations beyond 2026 - CapEx is projected to be $700 million in 2026, increasing to $900 million in 2027 due to a blast furnace reline, then returning to $700 million in 2028 [34] Question: Open capacity and potential for contracting - The company has significant downstream capacity available, with the ability to produce specialized steel products, contingent on increased domestic automotive production [39][41] Question: Outlook for Q1 2026 - Shipments are expected to return to 4 million tons in Q1 2026, with ASP projected to increase by $60 per ton, driven by improved demand and pricing dynamics [44][46] Question: Impact of Stelco on earnings - Stelco's performance in 2025 was disappointing, but improvements are expected in 2026 as Canadian market dynamics change, contributing positively to overall results [60][64]
Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-09 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total shipments in Q4 2025 were 3.8 million tons, slightly lower than Q3 due to seasonal impacts, with expectations for Q1 2026 to improve back to 4 million tons [15] - Q4 price realization was $993 per net ton, down by approximately $40 per net ton, but a substantial improvement in realized prices is expected starting in Q1 2026, with an anticipated increase of about $60 per ton [16][30] - Unit costs decreased by $40 per ton in 2025, marking the third consecutive year of reductions, with further expectations of a $10 per ton decrease in 2026 [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has shifted melting capacity from low-margin slabs to higher-margin flat-rolled products, anticipating continued demand for domestically produced slabs [5] - Multi-year fixed-price contracts with major automotive OEMs have been signed, increasing market share and securing high-margin business for 2026 [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Canadian government has implemented restrictions on imported steel, positively impacting the Canadian subsidiary Stelco and improving pricing and shipments [4][12] - The U.S. market is benefiting from Section 232 tariffs at 50%, driving demand for domestically produced steel and reducing import competition [4][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging existing production capacity without the need for new plants, positioning itself to benefit from the anticipated increase in domestic vehicle production [8][10] - The strategic partnership with POSCO aims to enhance collaboration and meet U.S. trade requirements, with a definitive agreement targeted for the first half of 2026 [13][52] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the improving business environment, citing a solid order book, rising prices, and declining costs as key factors for profitability in 2026 [20][21] - The company is committed to maximizing profitability through operational efficiency and strategic partnerships, with a focus on the automotive sector [20][21] Other Important Information - The company achieved its lowest total recordable incident rate in 2025, reflecting significant improvements in safety performance [14] - Capital expenditures in 2025 were a record low at $561 million, with projections for 2026 to be around $700 million, reflecting normalized maintenance capital [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expected benefits from the cancellation of the slab contract - Management expects an EBITDA improvement of approximately $500 million from the cancellation of the slab contract, with benefits starting in Q1 but more pronounced in Q2 and Q3 [26][30] Question: CapEx expectations beyond 2026 - CapEx for 2026 is projected at $700 million, with expectations to rise to $900 million in 2027 due to a blast furnace reline, then returning to $700 million in 2028 [34] Question: Open capacity and potential EBITDA sensitivity - The company has significant downstream capacity available, with the need for increased domestic automotive production to fully utilize this capacity [39] Question: Outlook for Q1 and pricing expectations - Shipments are expected to return to 4 million tons in Q1, with ASP anticipated to increase by $60 per ton, driven by improved demand and pricing dynamics [43][44] Question: Impact of Stelco on earnings and market dynamics - Stelco's performance in 2025 was disappointing due to market conditions, but improvements are expected in 2026 as Canadian pricing stabilizes [60][64]
Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-09 13:30
CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Earnings Presentation February 9, 2026 For additional factors affecting the business of Cliffs, refer to Part I – Item 1A. Risk Factors of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 © 2026 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3 © 2026 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3 © 2026 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2025 HIGHLIGHTS Revenues ...
Cleveland-Cliffs Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
Businesswire· 2026-02-09 11:00
Core Insights - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported fourth-quarter and full-year results for 2025, highlighting a consistent revenue performance but significant net losses compared to the previous year [2][4][5]. Fourth-Quarter Results - Fourth-quarter 2025 consolidated revenues were $4.3 billion, unchanged from the prior year's fourth quarter [2]. - The company recorded a GAAP net loss of $235 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, an improvement from a GAAP net loss of $434 million, or $0.92 per diluted share, in the prior-year fourth quarter [2][5]. - Adjusted EBITDA loss for the fourth quarter was $21 million, compared to an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $81 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 [3]. Full-Year Results - Full-year 2025 consolidated revenues totaled $18.6 billion, down from $19.2 billion in the previous year [4]. - The company reported a GAAP net loss of $1.4 billion, or $2.91 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $714 million, or $1.58 per diluted share, in 2024 [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $37 million, significantly lower than $773 million in 2024 [5]. Operational Challenges and Strategic Actions - The performance in 2025 was negatively impacted by weak production levels in the automotive sector, an expiring slab contract, and adverse market dynamics in Canada [6]. - The company took steps to optimize its operations, including exiting non-core assets, signing multi-year contracts with major automotive customers, and reducing unit costs year-over-year [6]. - Cleveland-Cliffs achieved a record safety year with the lowest Total Recordable Incident Rate of 0.8 per 200,000 hours worked [6]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The trade environment in the U.S. is improving, which is expected to lead to better results in 2026 [6]. - The company anticipates steel shipment volumes of approximately 16.5 to 17.0 million net tons for 2026, with unit cost reductions of about $10 per net ton compared to 2025 [13]. - Capital expenditures are projected to be around $700 million, with selling, general, and administrative expenses estimated at $575 million [13].
POSCO Holdings Inc. 2025 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:PKX) 2026-02-04
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 14:43
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]
POSCO(PKX) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-29 06:00
January 29, 2026 DISCLAIMER POSCO HOLDINGS 2025 2024 2023 2025 2024 2023 | (KRWbillion) | | Revenue | | | Operating Profit | | | Net Profit | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | | Consolidated Income | 77,127 | 72,688 | 69.095 | 3,531 | 2,174 | 1.827 | 1,846 | 948 | 5043) | | Steel | 63,539 | 62,201 | 59,411 | 2,557 | 1,637 | 1,960 | 1,241 | 691 | 1,154 | | POSCO1) | 38,972 | 37,557 | 35,011 | 2,083 | 1,473 | 1,78 ...
POSCO Unit Invests in Factorial to Strengthen Solid-State Battery
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 17:30
Core Insights - POSCO Holdings Inc.'s unit, POSCO Future M, has invested in U.S.-based all-solid-state battery company Factorial, enhancing their partnership established through a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed in November 2025 [1][6] - The partnership is expected to accelerate growth in the all-solid-state battery market, with Factorial securing a high-quality supply of solid-state battery materials to improve manufacturing competitiveness [1][2] Group 1 - Factorial's all-solid-state battery platform, Solstice, provides higher energy density and safety, with successful collaborations with automakers in Korea, Europe, and North America [2][6] - The partnership will leverage POSCO Future M's material design and coating technologies, expanding portfolios to include sulfide-based solid electrolytes and advanced anode materials, which will enhance energy retention [3][6] - The global demand for solid-state batteries is expected to rise, targeting emerging applications in autonomous electric vehicles, urban air mobility, and physical AI markets [2][3] Group 2 - PKX stock has increased by 39.4% over the past year, while the industry has seen a growth of 51.6% [3] - POSCO Future M's investment aligns with the growing trend towards solid-state battery technology, which is anticipated to play a significant role in future automotive and technology applications [1][2]