Key Takeaways TPR has surged 85% in a year, far outpacing the industry and the broader market's returns.TPR raised its FY26 revenue view to $7.75B and EPS to $6.40-$6.45 after strong Q2 results.TPR posted Q2 growth of 34% in China, 22% in Europe and 17% in North America.Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) has experienced a remarkable increase in its stock price over the past year. The stock has rallied 85%, significantly outpacing the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry’s 21% growth. The company’s enhanced operational ...

Core Insights - Tapestry reported better than expected earnings, primarily driven by the strong performance of its Coach brand [1] - The company has shifted its focus towards Gen Z consumers, recognizing the need to adapt to their preferences and shopping behaviors [2][9] - Coach has transitioned from being perceived as "affordable luxury" to "expressive luxury," capitalizing on Gen Z's willingness to spend more on nonessential goods [9] Company Strategy - The company utilizes both big data and small data to understand consumer preferences, including direct interactions with customers [2][3] - Coach maintains strong relationships with leather suppliers and has not faced significant sourcing issues, despite concerns in the industry [5][6] - The company anticipates that 70% of its growth will come from international markets over the next two years, mitigating the impact of tariffs on domestic sales [6] Market Position - Coach has experienced over 20% growth in its brand in the most recent quarter, indicating strong demand [9] - The brand's price point, typically in the $500-$600 range, positions it competitively against higher-end luxury brands, allowing it to attract a broader customer base [11] - Coach is currently the only brand in its accessible luxury segment that is experiencing growth, while many competitors are struggling or contracting [15][16] Financial Performance - The company has managed to maintain its price points despite increased costs from tariffs, resulting in improved margins per item sold [12][13] - Leather prices have risen approximately 20% compared to the previous year, with projections indicating that prices will remain 7-10% higher in the future [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying strong candidates can be challenging due to inherent risks and volatility [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Tapestry (TPR) is highlighted as a recommended growth stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] - The company is recognized for its high-end shoes and handbags, making it a strong growth pick currently [3] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Tapestry has a historical EPS growth rate of 17.1%, with projected EPS growth of 23.8% this year, surpassing the industry average of 17.1% [5] - Earnings growth is crucial for investors, as double-digit growth often indicates strong future prospects [4] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - Tapestry's year-over-year cash flow growth stands at 10.6%, significantly higher than the industry average of -1.1% [6] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 21.2%, compared to the industry average of 7.6% [7] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - The current-year earnings estimates for Tapestry have increased by 13% over the past month, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [9] - Positive earnings estimate revisions are correlated with near-term stock price movements, validating the stock's potential [8] Group 5: Conclusion - Tapestry has achieved a Growth Score of A and a Zacks Rank 1, suggesting it is a potential outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors [10][11]

免税/旅游数据 #1月离岛免税销售额同比+44.8%。 2026年1月，海南离岛免税购物市场迎来"开门红"，实现购物金额45.3亿元，同比增长44.8%。 #春节期间海南旅游预订火热。 【国金商社】2月金股中国中免H：1月离岛免税超预期，看好春节旺季期间销售表现，继续重点推荐！ 今日早盘中国中免A股大涨5.1%，H股大涨8.2%，持续推荐！ 免税/旅游数据 #1月离岛免税销售额同比+44.8%。 2026年1月，海南离岛免税购物市场迎来"开门红"，实现购物金额45.3亿元，同比增长44.8%。 【国金商社】2月金股中国中免H：1月离岛免税超预期，看好春节旺季期间销售表现，继续重点推荐！ 今日早盘中国中免A股大涨5.1%，H股大涨8.2%，持续推荐！ OTA平台数据显示，截至2月初，春节假期海南日均机票订单量同比增长45%+。 去哪儿数据显示，海南春节酒店整体预订热度同比增长191%。 木鸟民宿数据显示，海南春节民宿订单同比上涨79.6%，人均消费增长15%。 中期：高端消费回暖持续验证！#雅诗兰黛25Q4中国大陆净销售额增长13%，连续实现双位数增长。 太古集团中国内地零售物业销售额FY25增速较Q1-3扩大 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tapestry, Inc. has received a "Buy" rating from BTIG with a new price target of $175, indicating positive investor sentiment despite mixed actions from other investors [1][6]. Investment Actions - Thrivent Financial for Lutherans has reduced its investment in Tapestry by selling 31,329 shares, representing a 43.3% decrease in their holdings, leaving them with 40,966 shares valued at approximately $4.6 million [2]. - Keybank National Association OH has increased its stake in Tapestry by 14.8%, acquiring an additional 5,952 shares, bringing their total holdings to 46,066 shares valued at around $5.2 million [3]. - The National Pension Service has purchased a new stake in Tapestry valued at approximately $608,000 during the third quarter, indicating growing interest from institutional investors [4]. Stock Performance - Tapestry's stock price is currently $152.10, reflecting a 6.22% increase, with fluctuations between $144.38 and $153.10 today, and a 52-week high of $153.13 and a low of $58.39 [5]. - The market capitalization of Tapestry stands at approximately $31.13 billion, with a trading volume of 3,250,077 shares today [5].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the need for careful analysis before making investment decisions [2][3] Group 1 - The article discusses the lack of any current stock or derivative positions held by the author in the companies mentioned, indicating a neutral stance [1] - It clarifies that the information provided is not a specific offer for products or services, nor does it constitute financial advice [2] - The content is presented as factual and up-to-date, but it does not guarantee accuracy or completeness in the analysis of the subjects discussed [2][3]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the need for careful analysis before making investment decisions [2][3] Group 1 - The article discusses the lack of any current stock or derivative positions held by the author in the companies mentioned, indicating a neutral stance [1] - It clarifies that the information provided is not a specific offer for products or services, nor does it constitute financial advice [2] - The content is presented as factual and up-to-date, but it does not guarantee accuracy or completeness in the analysis of the subjects discussed [2][3]

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.07 [Table_Industry] 纺织服装业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | 领跑，上调全年指引 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | 盛开(分析师) | 021-23154510 | shengkai@gtht.com | S0880525040044 | | 钟启辉(研究助理) | 021-23185686 | zhongqihui@gtht.com | S0880125042254 | 本报告导读： Coach 驱动高质量增长与利润率扩张。年轻化获客和爆款产品矩阵为核心驱动。大 幅上调 FY2026 全年业绩指引。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 纺织服装业《FY26Q3 HOKA 重回高双增速，上 调全年业绩指引》2026.01.31 纺织服装业《25Q4 纺服基金持仓环比基本持平， 12 月服装类零售额同比增长 1.2%》2026.01.25 纺织服装业《美棉价格历史深度复盘——美国、 巴西 2 ...

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, surpassing revenue and earnings estimates, and raised its fiscal 2026 guidance [1][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $2.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.20, and reflecting a 34% year-over-year increase [4] - Net sales reached $2,502.4 million, beating the consensus estimate of $2,310 million, with a 14% year-over-year increase [4] - Excluding the impact of Stuart Weitzman, pro forma net sales increased by 18% on both nominal and constant-currency bases [5] Brand Performance - Coach brand net sales were $2.14 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 billion, marking a 25% year-over-year increase [7] - Kate Spade's sales were $360 million, below the consensus estimate of $368 million, representing a 14% decline year-over-year [7] Regional Sales Insights - North America sales increased 17% year-over-year to $1.72 billion, while Greater China improved 35% to $343.1 million [8] - European revenues rose 27% to $159.1 million, while Japan saw a 9% decline to $128.3 million [8] Margin and Cost Analysis - Adjusted gross profit was $1.89 billion, up 16% from the previous year, with an adjusted gross margin of 75.5%, an increase of 110 basis points [10] - Adjusted operating income rose 31% to $719.8 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 28.8%, up 390 basis points [11] Shareholder Returns - Tapestry returned approximately $400 million to shareholders through share repurchases and declared a quarterly cash dividend of 40 cents per share [15] - For fiscal 2026, the company expects to return $1.5 billion to shareholders, an increase from the previous estimate of $1.3 billion [16] Future Outlook - Management raised the fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to over $7.75 billion, reflecting about 11% growth year-over-year [20] - The company anticipates operating margin expansion of roughly 180 basis points and earnings per share of $6.40-$6.45, representing growth of over 25% year-over-year [22]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy focused on identifying mispriced securities through understanding the financial drivers of companies, often revealed by a DCF model valuation [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment approach is centered on small cap companies across US, Canadian, and European markets [1]. - The methodology allows for flexibility beyond traditional investment categories such as value, dividend, or growth investing, considering all prospects of a stock to assess risk-to-reward [1].