金属期权 2025-08-26 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属偏弱震荡，构建卖方中性波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系维持大幅度波动的 行情走势，适合构建做空波动率组合策略；（3）贵金属高位盘整震荡有所回落，构建现货避险策略。 | 表1：标的期货市场概况 | | --- | | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, construct a seller neutral volatility strategy as they are in a weak and volatile state [2] - For the black series, build a short - volatility combination strategy due to their large - amplitude fluctuations [2] - For precious metals, construct a spot hedging strategy as they are consolidating at high levels and have declined [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of 17 metal futures contracts including copper, aluminum, and zinc are presented [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of options underlying market trends and the turning points of the underlying market trends respectively [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of various metal options are given [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of various metal options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Build a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc/Lead**: Build a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [10] - **Tin**: Build a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Construct a short - bullish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [11] 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Build a neutral short - volatility option seller combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12] 3.5.3 Black Series - **Rebar**: Construct a bearish call spread strategy, a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy, and a spot covered - call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore**: Build a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [13] - **Ferroalloys**: Build a short - volatility strategy for manganese silicon [14] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Construct a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [14] - **Glass**: Build a bearish call spread strategy, a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [15] 3.6 Charts - Price charts, option volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, historical volatility cone charts, and pressure and support level charts of various metals such as copper, aluminum, and zinc are provided [18][38][57]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. For different metal options, corresponding strategies are proposed based on fundamental analysis, market trends, and option factors [8]. - For non - ferrous metals, a seller neutral volatility strategy can be constructed; for black metals, a short - volatility combination strategy is suitable; for precious metals, a spot hedging strategy is recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts are presented, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. For example, the latest price of copper CU2509 is 79,410, with a price increase of 470 and a trading volume of 4.85 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. The values and changes of these factors for different metal options are provided, such as the volume PCR of copper is 0.58 with a change of 0.01, and the open interest PCR is 0.80 with a change of - 0.00 [4]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels of different metal options are determined from the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of copper is 82,000 and the support level is 75,000 [5]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data of different metal options are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper is 9.05%, and the weighted implied volatility is 13.66% with a change of - 0.76% [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Recommendations 3.3.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper Option**: Based on the fundamental situation of increasing inventory in three major exchanges, and the market trend of high - level consolidation, a short - volatility seller option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - hedging strategy is also proposed [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Option**: Considering the inventory situation and market trend of high - level consolidation, a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot collar strategy is proposed [9]. - **Zinc/Pb Option**: Given the low - level inventory and market trend of small - range oscillation, a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot collar strategy is proposed [9]. - **Nickel Option**: Based on the inventory changes and market trend of wide - range oscillation with short - selling pressure, a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - hedging strategy is proposed [10]. - **Tin Option**: Considering the inventory situation and market trend of short - term weak oscillation, a short - volatility strategy is constructed, and a spot collar strategy is proposed [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate Option**: Based on the inventory changes and market trend of short - term bullishness, a short - bullish call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - hedging strategy is proposed [11]. 3.3.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Option**: Considering the economic data and market trend of high - level consolidation, a short - neutral volatility option seller combination strategy is constructed, and a spot hedging strategy is proposed [12]. 3.3.3 Black Metals - **Rebar Option**: Based on the inventory increase and market trend of small - range consolidation with pressure, a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - covered call strategy is proposed [13]. - **Iron Ore Option**: Considering the inventory increase and market trend of bullish oscillation, a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - collar strategy is proposed [13]. - **Ferroalloy Option**: Based on the production situation and market trend of large - range decline followed by small - range oscillation, a short - volatility strategy is constructed [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Option**: Considering the inventory increase and market trend of large - range fluctuation, a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot hedging strategy is proposed [14]. - **Glass Option**: Based on the inventory increase and market trend of weakness with pressure, a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy is constructed, and a spot long - collar strategy is proposed [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, construct a seller's neutral volatility strategy as they are oscillating; for ferrous metals, build a short - volatility portfolio strategy due to sharp post - rise declines and high volatility; for precious metals, create a spot hedging strategy as they are consolidating at high levels [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. are presented. For example, the latest price of copper CU2509 is 78,360, with a price increase of 200 and a rise - fall percentage of 0.26% [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR values of volume and open interest for different metal options are provided, along with their changes. These values are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning points of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of copper options is 1.22, with a change of 0.31, and the open interest PCR is 0.88, with a change of 0.04 [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of copper options is 82,000, and the support point is 75,000 [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different metal options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, its change, annual average, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, historical 20 - day volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper options is 9.62, and the weighted implied volatility is 15.99, with a change of 0.71 [6] 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations - **Non - ferrous Metals** - **Copper Options**: Based on the analysis of fundamentals and market trends, it is recommended to construct a short - volatility seller's option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Build a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc/Lead Options**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel Options**: Create a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] - **Tin Options**: Implement a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: Build a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [11] - **Precious Metals** - **Gold/Silver Options**: Construct a short - neutral volatility option seller's portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12] - **Ferrous Metals** - **Rebar Options**: Build a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - covered call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore Options**: Implement a bull - spread combination strategy for call options, a short - bullish call + put option combination strategy, and a long - collar strategy [13] - **Ferroalloy Options**: Construct a short - volatility strategy [14] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: Build a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [14] - **Glass Options**: Implement a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy [15] 3.6 Charts - The price trends, option trading volumes, open interests, PCR values, implied volatility, historical volatility cones, and pressure and support levels of various metal options such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. are presented through charts [17][37][75]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, construct a neutral volatility strategy for sellers when the market is oscillating; for black metals, build a short - volatility portfolio strategy after significant price fluctuations; for precious metals, construct a spot hedging strategy during high - level consolidation [2] 3. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. are presented. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2509) is 78,370, with a price increase of 150 and a price change percentage of 0.19% [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively. The volume and open interest PCR values of various metal options, as well as their changes, are provided [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of option underlying assets are determined by the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. The pressure and support levels of various metal options are presented, such as the pressure level of copper being 82,000 and the support level being 75,000 [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of various metal options are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, its change, annual average, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] 3.5 Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The inventory of the three major exchanges increased by 21,000 tons month - on - month. The market has been in a high - level consolidation pattern since June. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the open interest PCR indicates pressure above. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot long - hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina**: The domestic aluminum ingot inventory increased, and the market showed a pattern of rising and then falling. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the open interest PCR indicates increasing pressure above. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc/Lead**: The zinc ore inventory continued to accumulate, and the zinc market showed a pattern of rising and then falling. The implied volatility of zinc options continued to rise above the historical average, and the open interest PCR indicates increasing pressure above. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel**: The nickel ore price was weak due to increased supply and weak demand. The market showed a wide - range oscillation pattern. The implied volatility of nickel options remained at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates increasing short - selling power. Strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] - **Tin**: The tin ingot inventory increased slightly, and the market showed a short - term weak oscillation pattern. The implied volatility of tin options remained at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates range - bound oscillation. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate**: The inventory decreased, and the market showed a pattern of large fluctuations. The implied volatility of lithium carbonate options rose rapidly to a relatively high level, and the open interest PCR indicates continuous weakness. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy [11] 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: The US economic data was resilient, and the gold market showed a short - term weak oscillation pattern. The implied volatility of gold options fluctuated around the historical average, and the open interest PCR indicates weakening. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [12] 3.5.3 Black Metals - **Rebar**: The inventory increased slightly, and the market showed an upward oscillation pattern with pressure above. The implied volatility of rebar options fluctuated at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling pressure above. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - covered call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore**: The port inventory decreased, and the market showed a bullish oscillation pattern. The implied volatility of iron ore options fluctuated above the historical average, and the open interest PCR indicates a recent upward trend. Strategies include a bullish call spread strategy, constructing a long - biased call + put option combination, and a spot long - collar strategy [13] - **Ferroalloys**: The manganese silicon inventory decreased but remained at a high level, and the market showed a pattern of rising and then falling sharply. The implied volatility of manganese silicon options rose rapidly to a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates a weak market under short - selling pressure. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy [14] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: The industrial silicon inventory remained at a high level, and the market showed a pattern of large fluctuations. The implied volatility of industrial silicon options gradually rose to a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates a stable market. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility call + put option combination and a spot hedging strategy [14] - **Glass**: The factory inventory decreased, and the market showed a pattern of rising and then falling sharply. The implied volatility of glass options remained at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR indicates an upward trend. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility call + put option combination and a spot long - collar strategy [15]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals with a weak and volatile trend, construct a neutral volatility strategy for sellers [2]. - For the black series that has significantly declined after a continuous rise, it is suitable to construct a short - volatility portfolio strategy [2]. - For precious metals that have fluctuated at a high level and then declined, construct a spot hedging strategy [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interests of various metal futures are presented, such as copper (CU2509) at 79,010 with a 0.04% increase, and aluminum (AL2509) at 20,660 with a 0.05% increase [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of different metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points and support points of various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different metal options, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility, are presented [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations - **Non - ferrous Metals** - **Copper**: Construct a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Use a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: Adopt a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel**: Construct a short - call + put option combination strategy with a short bias and a spot long - hedging strategy [10]. - **Tin**: Use a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Adopt a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - call + put option combination strategy with a long bias, and a spot long - hedging strategy [11]. - **Precious Metals** - **Gold/Silver**: Construct a neutral short - volatility option seller portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12]. - **Black Series** - **Rebar**: Use a short - call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - covered call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Adopt a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - call + put option combination strategy with a long bias, and a spot long - collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloys**: Use a bull - spread strategy for call options and a short - volatility strategy for manganese silicon; for industrial silicon/polysilicon, construct a short - call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [14]. - **Glass**: Use a short - volatility strategy and a spot long - collar strategy [15]. 3.6 Option Charts - Price charts, option volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, historical volatility cone charts, and pressure - support point charts of various metals are provided, including copper, aluminum, alumina, zinc, lead, nickel, tin, gold, silver, and lithium carbonate [17][36][53]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, construct a seller neutral volatility strategy as they are oscillating weakly [2]. - For the black series, build a short - volatility portfolio strategy after a significant drop following continuous rise [2]. - For precious metals, construct a spot hedging strategy as they are oscillating at a high level and have declined [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Copper (CU2509) is priced at 78,800, down 530 or 0.67% with a trading volume of 8.81 million lots and an open interest of 18.08 million lots [3]. - Aluminum (AL2509) is at 20,615, down 135 or 0.65% with a volume of 14.36 million lots and an open interest of 30.20 million lots [3]. - Multiple other metal futures are also presented with their latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Quantity and Position PCR - Copper's volume PCR is 0.64 (change: 0.25), and position PCR is 0.64 (change: - 0.04) [4]. - Aluminum's volume PCR is 0.59 (change: - 0.19), and position PCR is 0.78 (change: - 0.13) [4]. - Similar data for other metal options are provided [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Copper's pressure point is 82,000 and support point is 75,000 [5]. - Aluminum's pressure point is 21,000 and support point is 20,000 [5]. - Pressure and support levels for other metals are also given [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Copper's at - the - money implied volatility is 12.15%, weighted implied volatility is 18.78% (change: 0.15) [6]. - Aluminum's at - the - money implied volatility is 12.57%, weighted implied volatility is 14.68% (change: - 0.17) [6]. - Implied volatility data for other metals are presented [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Construct a short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot long - hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Use a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot collar strategy [8][9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: Implement a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel**: Build a short - volatility strategy with a bearish bias and a spot long - hedging strategy [10]. - **Tin**: Adopt a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Use a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility strategy with a bullish bias, and a spot long - hedging strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Construct a neutral short - volatility option seller portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black Series - **Rebar**: Build a short - volatility strategy with a neutral bias and a spot long - covered call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Use a bull - spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility strategy with a bullish bias, and a spot long - collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloys**: Implement a bull - spread strategy for call options and a short - volatility strategy [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Build a short - volatility strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [14]. - **Glass**: Adopt a short - volatility strategy and a spot long - collar strategy [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product sector includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. The overall market shows that oil and fat - related agricultural products are in a strong - biased oscillatory state, oils and agricultural by - products maintain an oscillatory trend, soft commodity sugar rebounds and rises in an oscillatory manner, cotton shows a bullish upward trend, and grains such as corn and starch are in a weak and narrow - range consolidation state. [2][8] - Strategies suggest constructing option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns. [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The table presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various agricultural product futures contracts. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2509) is 4,208, with a decline of 15 and a decline rate of 0.36%, trading volume of 10.13 million lots, and an increase in open interest of 0.29 million lots. [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators of volume and open interest for different option varieties are provided. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.53 with a change of 0.19, and the open interest PCR is 0.46 with a change of - 0.00. These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are analyzed. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4300 and the support level is 4100, which are determined from the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different option varieties are given, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes, average annual implied volatility, call and put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 10.86%, and the weighted implied volatility is 13.59% with a change of 0.97%. [6] 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Oil and Oilseed Options - **Soybean No.1 and No.2**: - **Fundamentals**: USDA's July report maintains the soybean production in the 25/26 season at about 118 million tons, with an increase in crushing volume and a decrease in exports, resulting in an increase in inventory and the inventory - to - sales ratio. - **Market Analysis**: Soybean No.1 shows an oversold rebound pattern. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is at a relatively high level, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 4300 and 4100 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a neutral call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, build a long collar strategy. [7] - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: - **Fundamentals**: The purchase volume of soybean meal in different months is provided. - **Market Analysis**: Soybean meal shows a pattern of decline, consolidation, and then rebound. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is slightly above the historical average, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 3100 and 2900 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a neutral call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, build a long collar strategy. [9] - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: - **Fundamentals**: Malaysian palm oil exports are expected to decline, and production is increasing. - **Market Analysis**: Palm oil shows a bullish upward trend. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility of palm oil is decreasing to below the historical average, open interest PCR is above 1.00, and the pressure and support levels are 10000 and 8000 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bull - biased call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, build a long collar strategy. [10] - **Peanuts**: - **Fundamentals**: The spot price of peanuts in the Northeast is stable, imports are decreasing, and the inventory is still high. - **Market Analysis**: Peanuts show a pattern of weak consolidation under bearish pressure. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is at a relatively low level, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 9000 and 8000 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bearish spread strategy for directional trading; for spot hedging, hold a long position + buy put options + sell out - of - the - money call options. [11] 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Hogs**: - **Fundamentals**: The spot price of hogs is falling, slaughter volume is high, and demand is average. - **Market Analysis**: Hogs show a pattern of small - scale upward movement under bearish pressure. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is rising to above the historical average, open interest PCR is below 0.50, and the pressure and support levels are 18000 and 13600 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bear - biased call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, hold a long position + sell out - of - the - money call options. [11] - **Eggs**: - **Fundamentals**: Egg prices are rising and then stabilizing, affected by high - temperature weather. - **Market Analysis**: Eggs show a pattern of weak consolidation with upper pressure. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is at a high level, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 4000 and 3400 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bearish spread strategy for directional trading; construct a bear - biased call + put option combination for volatility strategies. [12] - **Apples**: - **Fundamentals**: The estimated apple production is increasing, and the inventory in cold storage is decreasing. - **Market Analysis**: Apples show a pattern of weak bearishness gradually rebounding. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is slightly above the historical average, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 8900 and 7000 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a neutral call + put option combination for volatility strategies. [12] - **Jujubes**: - **Fundamentals**: The arrival volume and price of jujubes in the market are provided. - **Market Analysis**: Jujubes show a pattern of rebound, rise, and then decline. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is rising to above the historical average, open interest PCR is below 0.50, and the pressure and support levels are 11400 and 9000 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bear - biased strangle option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, hold a long position + sell out - of - the - money call options. [13] 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: - **Fundamentals**: The number of ships waiting to load sugar in Brazilian ports and the quantity of sugar are provided. - **Market Analysis**: Sugar shows a pattern of oversold rebound. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is at a relatively low level, open interest PCR is around 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 5900 and 5700 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a neutral call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, build a long collar strategy. [13] - **Cotton**: - **Fundamentals**: The growth conditions of American cotton are provided. - **Market Analysis**: Cotton shows a pattern of rebound and then consolidation. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is decreasing to a low level, open interest PCR is below 1.00, and the pressure and support levels are 15000 and 13000 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bullish spread strategy for directional trading; construct a bull - biased call + put option combination for volatility strategies; for spot hedging, hold a long position + buy put options + sell out - of - the - money call options. [14] 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: - **Fundamentals**: The price and inventory conditions of corn in different regions are provided. - **Market Analysis**: Corn shows a pattern of bearish downward movement. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility is at a relatively low level, open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 2320 and 2300 respectively. - **Strategies**: Construct a bearish spread strategy for directional trading; construct a bear - biased call + put option combination for volatility strategies. [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural products sector includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. Oilseeds and oils show a relatively strong and volatile trend, while oils, agricultural by - products maintain a volatile market. Soft commodity sugar rebounds and fluctuates upward, cotton shows a bullish trend, and grains such as corn and starch are weakly and narrowly consolidated. It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product options have various price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the latest price of soybean A2509 is 4,241, with a rise of 28 and a rise rate of 0.66%, trading volume of 14.61 million lots (a decrease of 3.65 million lots), and open interest of 18.11 million lots (an increase of 0.81 million lots) [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Quantity and Position PCR - The quantity and position PCR of different option varieties vary, which can be used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean A is 0.23 (a decrease of 0.11), and the position PCR is 0.48 (an increase of 0.02) [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different option varieties are determined. For example, the pressure level of soybean A is 4,500, and the support level is 4,100 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties also shows differences. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean A is 10.525, the weighted implied volatility is 11.72 (an increase of 0.33), and the difference between implied and historical volatility is - 0.40 [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean A and B**: The USDA July report adjusted the supply - demand data of US soybeans. Soybean A showed a rebound after a decline in June and July. The implied volatility of soybean A options is at a relatively high level, the position PCR is below 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 4,500 and 4,100 respectively. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The purchase volume of soybean meal from March to September is different. Soybean meal showed a rebound after a decline in June and July. The implied volatility of soybean meal options is slightly above the historical average, the position PCR is around 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 3,450 and 2,900 respectively. Similar to soybean A, it is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8][9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The export and production data of Malaysian palm oil in June are different. Palm oil showed a bullish trend. The implied volatility of palm oil options is decreasing to below the historical average, the position PCR is around 1.00, and the pressure and support levels are 10,000 and 8,000 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bullish call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **Peanuts**: The price of peanuts in Henan and the northeast shows different trends. Peanuts showed a weak consolidation trend. The implied volatility of peanut options is at a relatively low level, the position PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 9,000 and 7,200 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bearish spread strategy for direction and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - products Options - **Pigs**: The domestic pig price showed a decline last week. Pigs showed a weak trend after a rebound. The implied volatility of pig options is above the historical average, the position PCR is below 0.50, and the pressure and support levels are 18,000 and 13,800 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot [11]. - **Eggs**: The domestic egg price rebounded last week. Eggs showed a weak bearish trend. The implied volatility of egg options is at a relatively high level, the position PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 3,500 and 2,800 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bearish spread strategy for direction and a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. - **Apples**: The inventory of apples in cold storage is at a low level. Apples showed a weak rebound trend. The implied volatility of apple options is below the historical average, the position PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 8,900 and 7,000 respectively. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. - **Red Dates**: The inventory of red dates decreased slightly. Red dates showed a rebound and then a decline. The implied volatility of red date options is decreasing and is above the average, the position PCR is below 0.50, and the pressure and support levels are 14,000 and 8,600 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bearish strangle option combination strategy for volatility and a covered call strategy for spot [13]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: The number of ships waiting to load sugar in Brazilian ports decreased. Sugar showed a rebound after a decline. The implied volatility of sugar options is at a relatively low level, the position PCR is around 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 6,100 and 5,700 respectively. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Cotton**: The开机 rate of spinning and weaving factories decreased, and the commercial inventory of cotton decreased. Cotton showed a rebound trend. The implied volatility of cotton options is decreasing and is at a low level, the position PCR is below 1.00, and the pressure and support levels are 14,000 and 13,000 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bullish spread strategy for direction, a bullish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a covered call strategy for spot [14]. 3.5.4 Grains Options - **Corn and Starch**: The spot price of corn showed a weak trend, and the futures market was also weak. Corn showed a bearish trend. The implied volatility of corn options is at a relatively low level, the position PCR is around 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 2,400 and 2,240 respectively. It is recommended to construct a bearish spread strategy for direction and a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [14].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated July 17, 2025, covering various energy and chemical options including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, etc [2][3] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of multiple underlying futures contracts such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, etc [4] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The report presents the volume and open interest PCR data of various options, along with their changes, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the market [5] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various options are analyzed based on the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [6] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The report shows the implied volatility data of various options, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes, as well as the difference between implied and historical volatility [7] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Different Options Energy Options Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis: OPEC+ increased oil supply in July, and US shale oil production recovered. The short - term market is weak [8] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open interest PCR indicates increasing short - selling power, pressure level is 500, and support level is 510 [8] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] LPG - Fundamental analysis: Global supply divergence decreases, demand from the blending market is uncertain, and PDH profit has recovered [10] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, open interest PCR indicates increasing short - selling power, pressure level is 5100, and support level is 4000 [10] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Alcohol Options Methanol - Fundamental analysis: Domestic methanol production is expected to increase after maintenance, and port inventory is accumulating [10] - Option factor research: Implied volatility is below the historical mean, open interest PCR indicates a weak - oscillating market, pressure level is 2950, and support level is 2200 [10] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Ethylene Glycol - Fundamental analysis: Port inventory is accumulating, and the de - stocking process will slow down [11] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, open interest PCR indicates a weak market, pressure level is 4350, and support level is 4300 [11] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a volatility - selling strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Polyolefin Options Polypropylene - Fundamental analysis: PP trade inventory is accumulating, and port inventory is decreasing [11] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, open interest PCR indicates a weak market, pressure level is 7500, and support level is 6800 [11] - Strategy recommendations: Use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options Rubber - Fundamental analysis: The price of natural rubber has rebounded, but downstream demand is weak [12] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open interest PCR is below 0.6, pressure level is 15000, and support level is 13000 [12] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility [12] Polyester Options PTA - Fundamental analysis: PTA production load has increased, and the maintenance season is over [13] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open interest PCR is below 0.8, pressure level is 5000, and support level is 3800 [13] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility [13] Alkali Chemical Options Caustic Soda - Fundamental analysis: The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity has slightly decreased [14] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open interest PCR is around 0.8, pressure level is 3400, and support level is 2200 [14] - Strategy recommendations: Use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] Soda Ash - Fundamental analysis: Domestic soda ash inventory has accumulated, and enterprise shipments have slowed down [14] - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, open interest PCR is below 0.5, pressure level is 2080, and support level is 1100 [14] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a bearish spread strategy for direction, a bearish call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] Urea Options - Fundamental analysis: The supply - demand gap has decreased, and the market has strengthened after a short - term decline [15] - Option factor research: Implied volatility is below the historical mean, open interest PCR is below 0.8, pressure level is 1900, and support level is 1700 [15] - Strategy recommendations: Construct a neutral call + put option selling strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15]