能源化工期权 2025-11-27 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

能源化工期权 2025-11-25 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an early morning strategy report on energy and chemical options dated November 20, 2025 [1] - It covers various energy and chemical option types, including energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, etc.), polyesters (PX, PTA, etc.), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), and others (rubber) [2] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of multiple underlying futures contracts, such as crude oil (SC2601), LPG (PG2601), and methanol (MA2601) [3] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - It presents the volume and open interest PCR of different option varieties, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of option underlyings are analyzed from the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The report shows the implied volatility data of various options, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations Crude Oil Options - Fundamental analysis shows that US crude oil inventories have different changes, with an increase in total, strategic, and commercial inventories and a decrease in Cushing inventories [7] - The price trend has been volatile, with different trends in each month from August to November [7] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 540 and 460 respectively [7] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [7] LPG Options - The LPG market is firm, with supply tightening recently. The price trend has also been volatile from August to November [9] - Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4250 [9] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [9] Methanol Options - The supply of methanol may increase, and the price has shown a weak trend since August [9] - Option factors indicate that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 2500 and 2000 [9] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread, a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination, and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [9] Ethylene Glycol Options - The supply of ethylene glycol has increased, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] Polypropylene Options - The production of polypropylene has increased, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 7000 and 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] Rubber Options - The tire production capacity utilization rate has different changes, and the rubber price has been in a weak consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 16000 and 15000 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination [11] PTA Options - The PTA load has been adjusted, and the price has shown a rebound with pressure. Option factors show that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 4700 and 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination [11] Caustic Soda Options - The production capacity utilization rate of caustic soda has changed regionally, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility is at a high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 3000 and 2200 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish spread and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [12] Soda Ash Options - The inventory of soda ash has increased year - on - year, and the price has been in a low - level weak consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 1860 and 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [12] Urea Options - The enterprise inventory of urea has decreased, and the price has shown a rebound from low - level consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 1800 and 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy [13] Group 7: Option Charts - The report includes various option charts for different underlying assets, such as price trend charts, trading volume and open interest charts, open interest PCR and trading volume PCR charts, and implied volatility charts for crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. [14][35][55]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated November 17, 2025 [1] - It covers various energy and chemical options, including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, and others [2] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various option underlying futures contracts [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR data of different option varieties are presented, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option underlying contracts are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different option varieties are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] Group 6: Option Strategy Analysis for Each Variety Energy - related Options Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis shows changes in US crude oil inventories; the market has a complex price trend from August to November [7] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 540, and the support level is 460 [7] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [7] Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - The LPG market is relatively strong; the price trend shows a pattern of decline, rebound, and consolidation [9] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4250 [9] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [9] Alcohol - related Options Methanol - Supply may increase, and the price trend is weak; the market is under pressure [9] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 2500, and the support level is 2000 [9] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options, a volatility strategy of selling bearish call + put option combinations, and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [9] Ethylene Glycol - Supply growth pressure exists; the price trend is weak [10] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [10] Polyolefin - related Options Polypropylene - Production has increased; the price trend is weak [10] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying at - the - money put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [10] Rubber - related Options Rubber - Tire production capacity utilization and inventory turnover days show certain trends; the price trend is weak and consolidating [11] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has decreased to below the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 16000, and the support level is 15000 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling bearish call + put option combinations [11] Polyester - related Options PTA - Device operation and load adjustment affect the market; the price trend shows a pattern of decline, rebound, and consolidation [11] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations [11] Alkali - related Options Caustic Soda - Production capacity utilization varies by region; the price trend is weak and bearish [12] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2200 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [12] Soda Ash - Inventory has increased year - on - year; the price trend is weak and consolidating [12] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [12] Other Options Urea - Enterprise inventory is decreasing, and port inventory is increasing; the price trend shows a pattern of low - level consolidation and rebound [13] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying at - the - money put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [13] Group 7: Option Charts - The report includes various option charts for different varieties, such as price trend charts, volume and open interest charts, open interest PCR and turnover PCR charts, implied volatility charts, and historical volatility cone charts [14][34][52]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated November 13, 2025, covering various energy and chemical option varieties [1][2] - The strategy focuses on constructing option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - Multiple option varieties are presented, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, etc., with details on their latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - PCR indicators (volume PCR and open interest PCR) for various option varieties are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying asset's market and potential turning points [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for each option variety are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest call and put option open interest [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data for different option varieties are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Each Option Variety Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis shows that U.S. refinery demand has stabilized and rebounded, shale oil production has slightly increased, OPEC exports have risen, and European refinery demand is about to enter the peak season [7] - The market has shown a complex trend of rising and falling in different months. Implied volatility is above the average, and the open interest PCR indicates a weak market. The pressure level is 590, and the support level is 450 [7] - Recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The cost - end crude oil is under supply - surplus pressure and geopolitical disturbances. The LPG market has shown a pattern of over - decline and rebound with resistance [9] - Implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak market, the pressure level is 4550, and the support level is 4200 [9] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Methanol - Port and enterprise inventories are high, and the supply is increasing. The market has been in a weak downward trend [9] - Implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, the pressure level is 2500, and the support level is 2000 [9] - Strategies involve constructing a bear spread with put options, a short - biased call + put option combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Ethylene Glycol - Port and downstream factory inventories are high, and the supply is expected to continue to increase. The market has been weak [10] - Implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling power, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [10] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread with put options, a short - volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Polypropylene - PE and PP inventories at production enterprises, traders, and ports show different trends. The market has been in a weak downward trend [10] - Implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak market, the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [10] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread with put options and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Rubber - Exchange rubber warehouse receipts are at a ten - year low, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation. The market has been in a weak consolidation pattern [11] - Implied volatility has decreased to below the average after a sharp rise, the open interest PCR is below 0.6, the pressure level is 16000, and the support level is 14500 [11] - Strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination [11] PTA - PTA social inventory has increased, and new production capacity is expected to lead to continued inventory accumulation. The market has shown a pattern of rebound with resistance [11] - Implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR indicates a volatile market, the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [11] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination [11] Caustic Soda - The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity has increased. The market has been in a weak downward trend [12] - Implied volatility is at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2000 [12] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Soda Ash - Soda ash factory inventories have increased. The market has been in a low - level weak consolidation pattern [12] - Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling pressure, the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [12] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread, a short - volatility combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Urea - Enterprise inventory is at a high level, and port inventory has decreased. The market has shown a pattern of low - level consolidation and rebound [13] - Implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling pressure, the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [13] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report, covering energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, and other energy and chemical options [1][2] - The recommended strategy is to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly as a seller, as well as a spot hedging or covered strategy to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various option underlying futures contracts are provided [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The trading volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, trading volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change of various options are presented [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The at - the - money strike price, pressure point, pressure point offset, support point, support point offset, maximum call option open interest, and maximum put option open interest of various options are given [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average implied volatility, call option implied volatility, put option implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and implied - historical volatility difference of various options are reported [6] Group 6: Option Strategy Analysis - Energy Options Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis shows that U.S. refinery demand has stabilized and rebounded, shale oil production has slightly increased, OPEC exports have increased, European refinery demand is about to enter the peak season, and diesel crack spreads remain high [7] - The market trend shows a short - term weak oscillation in August, a weak and bearish trend followed by a rebound in September, a sharp decline followed by a rebound in October, and a continuous oscillation followed by a rebound in November [7] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates around the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 470, and the support level is 450 [7] - Recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [7] Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - Fundamental analysis shows that the cost - end crude oil is under pressure from oversupply and geopolitical issues, and OPEC maintains an increasing production state [9] - The market trend shows a rapid decline followed by a rebound and then a decline since August, a rise - fall - rise - fall pattern in September, a weak - strong - rebound - oscillation pattern in October, and a continuous slight oscillation in November [9] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility has dropped significantly to around the lower - than - average level, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, the pressure level is 4550, and the support level is 4200 [9] - Recommended strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [9] Group 7: Option Strategy Analysis - Alcohol Options Methanol - Fundamental analysis shows that port inventory is 151.71 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.06 million tons, and enterprise inventory is 38.64 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.04 million tons [9] - The market trend shows a weakening and bearish trend since August, a low - level consolidation followed by a rebound in September, and a continuous weak and bearish trend since October [9] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 2500, and the support level is 2000 [9] - Recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options for the directional strategy, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [9] Ethylene Glycol - Fundamental analysis shows that port inventory is 56.2 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 15.3 million tons, and downstream factory inventory days are 13.2 days, a year - on - year increase of 0.7 days. It is expected that port inventory will continue the accumulation cycle [10] - The market trend shows a slight weak consolidation in August, a continuous weak and bearish trend since September, and a continuous weak trend in November [10] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates around the lower - than - average level, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options for the directional strategy, a short - volatility strategy for the volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [10] Group 8: Option Strategy Analysis - Polyolefin Options Polypropylene - Fundamental analysis shows that PE and PP production enterprise inventories, trade inventories, and port inventories have different trends of accumulation or de - accumulation [10] - The market trend shows a weak and slight fluctuation in August, a continuous weak and bearish trend since September, and a continuous weak and bearish decline in November [10] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility has dropped to around the average level, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy of put options for the directional strategy and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [10] Group 9: Option Strategy Analysis - Rubber Options Rubber - Fundamental analysis shows that exchange rubber warehouse receipts are at a ten - year low, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation in the later stage [11] - The market trend shows a warming and rising followed by a range - bound oscillation in August, a continuous weak and bearish trend since September, and a low - level weak oscillation in November [11] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility has decreased to around the lower - than - average level after a rapid increase, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level has dropped significantly to 16000, and the support level is 14500 [11] - Recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy [11] Group 10: Option Strategy Analysis - Polyester Options PTA - Fundamental analysis shows that the overall social inventory of PTA (excluding credit warehouse receipts) is 225.1 million tons, a month - on - year increase of 11.4 million tons, and it is expected that inventory will continue to accumulate [11] - The market trend shows a decline followed by a small consolidation and then a rapid rebound and then a decline in August, a continuous weak and bearish trend since September, and a rebound and rise in November [11] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates at a higher - than - average level, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy [11] Group 11: Option Strategy Analysis - Alkali Chemical Options Caustic Soda - Fundamental analysis shows that the average capacity utilization rate of Chinese caustic soda sample enterprises with a capacity of 200,000 tons or more is 84.8%, a week - on - week increase of 0.5% [12] - The market trend shows a rapid decline followed by a rebound and then a high - level oscillation in August, a continuous decline since September, an accelerated decline in October, and a low - level weak oscillation in November [12] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2000 [12] - Recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy for the directional strategy and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [12] Soda Ash - Fundamental analysis shows that as of November 7, 2025, the in - plant inventory of soda ash is 171.42 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.22 million tons [12] - The market trend shows a continuous weak consolidation since August, a low - level weak fluctuation in September, a continuous weak trend in October, and a decline - rise pattern in November [12] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include constructing a bear spread combination strategy for the directional strategy, a short - volatility combination strategy for the volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [12] Group 12: Option Strategy Analysis - Urea Options - Fundamental analysis shows that enterprise inventory is 157.81 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 2.38 million tons, and port inventory is 7.9 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.1 million tons [13] - The market trend shows a wide - range and large - amplitude fluctuation in August, a continuous weakening in September, a low - level weak oscillation in October, and a rebound and rise in November [13] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility fluctuates slightly around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for the volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for the spot long - position hedging strategy [13]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. Strategies are recommended for selected options in each sector [8]. - A seller - based options portfolio strategy and spot hedging or covered strategies are constructed to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview of Underlying Futures - Information on the latest price, price change, percentage change, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of various energy - chemical option underlying futures is presented, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various energy - chemical options are provided, which can be used to analyze the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the market [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points, pressure point offsets, support points, support point offsets, maximum call option open interest, and maximum put option open interest of various energy - chemical options are given, which can help analyze the pressure and support levels of the underlying options [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, change in weighted implied volatility, annual average implied volatility, call option implied volatility, put option implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and difference between implied and historical volatility of various energy - chemical options are presented [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Crude Oil Options - Fundamental analysis shows that US refinery demand has stabilized and recovered, shale oil production has slightly increased, OPEC exports have increased, and European refinery demand is about to enter the peak season [7]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to near the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 500 and the support level is 450 [7]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [7]. 3.5.2 LPG Options - The cost - end crude oil is under pressure from oversupply and geopolitical issues. LPG has shown a market trend of over - sold rebound and slight consolidation [9]. - The option implied volatility has dropped significantly to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 4550 and the support level is 4200 [9]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.3 Methanol Options - Port and enterprise inventories are high and difficult to deplete significantly in the short term. Methanol has shown a weak downward trend [9]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level is 2200 and the support level is 2050 [9]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.4 Ethylene Glycol Options - Port and downstream factory inventories are high, and the port inventory is expected to continue the accumulation cycle. Ethylene glycol has shown a weak market trend [10]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating strong short - selling power. The pressure level is 4500 and the support level is 4050 [10]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.5 Polypropylene Options - PE and PP inventories have different trends. Polypropylene has shown a weak downward trend [10]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to near the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 7000 and the support level is 6300 [10]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: None. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.6 Rubber Options - Exchange rubber warehouse receipts are at a ten - year low, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation. Rubber has shown a weak consolidation trend [11]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to below the average after a sharp rise, the open interest PCR is below 0.60. The pressure level has dropped significantly to 16000 and the support level is 14500 [11]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: None [11]. 3.5.7 PTA Options - PTA social inventory is accumulating, and although the polyester start - up will remain high, inventory accumulation is expected to continue. PTA has shown a rebound trend with pressure [11]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a volatile market. The pressure level is 4700 and the support level is 4300 [11]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: None [11]. 3.5.8 Caustic Soda Options - The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity has increased. Caustic soda has shown a weak short - selling trend [12]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level is 2600 and the support level is 2240 [12]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy. Volatility strategy: None. Spot collar hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [12]. 3.5.9 Soda Ash Options - Soda ash factory inventory has increased. Soda ash has shown a low - level weak consolidation trend [1]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1300 and the support level is 1100 [12]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [12]. 3.5.10 Urea Options - Enterprise inventory is at a high level, and port inventory has decreased. Urea has shown a low - level shock and rebound trend [13]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1800 and the support level is 1600 [13]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an early morning strategy report on energy and chemical options dated November 5, 2025 [1] - It covers various energy and chemical options including energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, etc.), polyesters (PX, PTA, etc.), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), and others like rubber [2] - The recommended strategy is to construct option combination strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of multiple underlying futures contracts are presented, such as SC2512 for crude oil at 464 with a -0.19% change, and PG2512 for LPG at 4,239 with a -0.63% change [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - PCR indicators for various options are provided, including volume PCR and open interest PCR, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and potential turning points [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for each option are determined from the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options, such as 500 and 440 for crude oil [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data for different options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility and volume - weighted implied volatility, with explanations on calculation methods [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Specific Options Crude Oil Options - Fundamental analysis shows stable and rising refinery demand in the US, with OPEC exports mostly absorbed by China, and low refined product inventories in Europe [7] - Market analysis indicates a trend of weakening, consolidation, and then a rebound since July [7] - Option factor research reveals a decline in implied volatility to near the mean, a low open interest PCR indicating a weak market, and pressure and support levels at 500 and 450 [7] - Recommended strategies include a neutral call + put option selling combination for time value and directional gains, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] LPG Options - Fundamental analysis points out pressure from oversupply and geopolitical issues on crude oil, and high propane inventories in the US [9] - Market analysis shows a pattern of decline, rebound, and then weakening since August [9] - Option factor research shows a significant decline in implied volatility to below the mean, an open interest PCR around 0.8 indicating a weak market, and pressure and support levels at 4500 and 4200 [9] - Recommended strategies are similar to crude oil options, including a neutral option selling combination and a long collar strategy [9] Methanol Options - Fundamental analysis shows high - level and hard - to - reduce port inventories and an increase in enterprise inventories [9] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since July [9] - Option factor research reveals implied volatility around the historical mean, an open interest PCR below 0.8 indicating a weak and volatile market, and pressure and support levels at 2300 and 2125 [9] - Recommended strategies include a bear spread strategy for directional gains, a bearish option selling combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Ethylene Glycol Options - Fundamental analysis shows a decrease in port inventories but an expected increase in the future due to high domestic production and incoming shipments [10] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since July [10] - Option factor research shows implied volatility below the mean, an open interest PCR around 0.7 indicating strong bearish power, and pressure and support levels at 4500 and 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include a bear spread strategy, a volatility - selling strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Polypropylene Options - Fundamental analysis shows inventory reduction in PE and PP production and trading enterprises, with higher inventory pressure on PP [10] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since July [10] - Option factor research reveals a decline in implied volatility to near the mean, an open interest PCR around 0.7 indicating a weak market, and pressure and support levels at 7000 and 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Rubber Options - Fundamental analysis shows a decline in natural rubber inventories in China [11] - Market analysis indicates a pattern of rise, fall, and then weak consolidation since July [11] - Option factor research shows a sharp rise and then a decline in implied volatility to below the mean, an open interest PCR below 0.6, and pressure and support levels at 17000 and 14000 [11] - Recommended strategies include a bearish option selling combination [11] PTA Options - Fundamental analysis shows a decline in PTA load and an expected increase in maintenance in November [11] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since August [11] - Option factor research shows implied volatility above the mean, an open interest PCR around 0.7 indicating a volatile market, and pressure and support levels at 4700 and 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include a bearish option selling combination [11] Caustic Soda Options - Fundamental analysis shows an increase in the average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity [12] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since September [12] - Option factor research shows high - level implied volatility, an open interest PCR below 0.8 indicating a weak and volatile market, and pressure and support levels at 2600 and 2240 [12] - Recommended strategies include a bear spread strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Soda Ash Options - Fundamental analysis shows stable soda ash inventories [12] - Market analysis indicates a weak and consolidating trend since August [12] - Option factor research shows high - level implied volatility, an open interest PCR below 0.6 indicating strong bearish pressure, and pressure and support levels at 1300 and 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include a bear spread strategy, a volatility - selling combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Urea Options - Fundamental analysis shows a decline in enterprise and port inventories [13] - Market analysis indicates a weakening trend since September [13] - Option factor research shows implied volatility around the historical mean, an open interest PCR below 0.6 indicating strong bearish pressure, and pressure and support levels at 1800 and 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include a neutral option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Energy and Chemical Options Strategy Morning Report [2] - Date: October 31, 2025 [2] - Covered Option Types: Energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, L, EB), polyester (PX, PTA, PF, PR), alkali chemicals (SH, SA, UR), and others (rubber) [3] - General Strategy: Construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, and enhance returns through spot hedging or covered strategies [3] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - Multiple underlying futures are presented, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc., with details on the latest price, change, change rate, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change [4] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - PCR indicators (volume PCR and open interest PCR) are provided for various options, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [5] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for each option are determined based on the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [6] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its change, are presented for different options [7] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Each Option Type Crude Oil Options - Fundamental Analysis: US refinery demand is stabilizing and rising, shale oil production cut is small, OPEC exports are increasing but mostly absorbed by China, and European refined product inventory is decreasing while crude oil inventory is rising [8] - Market Analysis: The crude oil market has shown a pattern of weakening, consolidation, and then a rebound since July [8] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility has declined to near the average, open interest PCR indicates a weak market, and the pressure and support levels are 500 and 450 respectively [8] - Strategy Recommendations: For volatility, construct a neutral short call + put option combination; for spot hedging, use a long collar strategy [8] LPG Options - Fundamental Analysis: High production and inventory in the US, potential extreme weather in winter and Sino - US trade trends may affect prices, and OPEC + policies will impact future exports [10] - Market Analysis: The LPG market has experienced a decline, followed by a rebound and then a resistance to further increase [10] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility has significantly declined to below the average, open interest PCR indicates a weak market, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4000 respectively [10] - Strategy Recommendations: Similar to crude oil, construct a neutral short call + put option combination for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Methanol Options - Fundamental Analysis: Port inventory is increasing at a slower rate, and enterprise inventory is at a relatively low level year - on - year [10] - Market Analysis: The methanol market has shown a weak trend with some rebounds [10] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, and the pressure and support levels are 2300 and 2200 respectively [10] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Ethylene Glycol Options - Fundamental Analysis: EG load has decreased, port inventory is increasing, and it has entered a inventory accumulation cycle [11] - Market Analysis: The ethylene glycol market has been in a weak trend [11] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility fluctuates below the average, open interest PCR indicates strong short - side power, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4050 respectively [11] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a bear spread strategy for direction, a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Polypropylene Options - Fundamental Analysis: PP inventory pressure is higher than PE [11] - Market Analysis: The polypropylene market has shown a weak trend [11] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility has declined to near the average, open interest PCR indicates a weak market, and the pressure and support levels are 7000 and 6300 respectively [11] - Strategy Recommendations: Use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options - Fundamental Analysis: Imported rubber prices are rising, but downstream procurement is weak [12] - Market Analysis: The rubber market has been in a weak consolidation pattern [12] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility has decreased to below the average, open interest PCR is below 0.6, and the pressure and support levels are 17000 and 14000 respectively [12] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination for volatility [12] PTA Options - Fundamental Analysis: PTA load is increasing slightly, and maintenance volume in October has decreased [12] - Market Analysis: The PTA market has shown a weak trend [12] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, open interest PCR indicates a volatile market, and the pressure and support levels are 4600 and 4300 respectively [12] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination for volatility [12] Caustic Soda Options - Fundamental Analysis: Non - aluminum demand for caustic soda has not shown significant restocking, and cost support has weakened [13] - Market Analysis: The caustic soda market has been in a weak downward trend [13] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility is at a high level, open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, and the pressure and support levels are 2600 and 2240 respectively [13] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a bear spread strategy for direction and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] Soda Ash Options - Fundamental Analysis: Soda ash inventory has increased slightly [13] - Market Analysis: The soda ash market has been in a weak consolidation pattern [13] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, open interest PCR indicates strong short - side pressure, and the pressure and support levels are 1300 and 1100 respectively [13] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a short - volatility combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] Urea Options - Fundamental Analysis: Enterprise inventory is at a high level year - on - year, and port inventory is decreasing [14] - Market Analysis: The urea market has been in a weak and volatile pattern [14] - Option Factor Analysis: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, open interest PCR indicates strong short - side pressure, and the pressure and support levels are 1800 and 1600 respectively [14] - Strategy Recommendations: Construct a neutral short call + put option combination for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] Group 7: Charts - Charts for each option type are provided, including price trends, volume and open interest, PCR indicators, implied volatility, historical volatility cones, and pressure and support levels [15][36][54]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy and chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [9]. - Select some varieties from each sector to provide options strategies and recommendations [9]. - Write options strategy reports for each options variety according to the analysis of the underlying market, research on options factors, and options strategy recommendations [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The futures prices of most energy and chemical products showed a downward trend. For example, the price of crude oil SC2512 dropped by 8 to 458, a decline of 1.78%; the price of synthetic rubber BR2512 dropped by 285 to 10,585, a decline of 2.62%. Only the price of rubber RU2601 increased by 10 to 15,395, an increase of 0.06% [4]. 3.2 Options Factor - Volume and Position PCR - The PCR indicators of different options varieties showed different trends. For example, the volume PCR of crude oil increased by 0.14 to 0.86, and the position PCR decreased by 0.01 to 0.81; the volume PCR of methanol increased by 0.26 to 0.84, and the position PCR decreased by 0.02 to 0.51 [5]. 3.3 Options Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Different options varieties have different pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 590, and the support level is 440; the pressure level of methanol is 2300, and the support level is 2200 [6]. 3.4 Options Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different options varieties also showed different trends. For example, the weighted implied volatility of crude oil decreased by 1.69 to 30.31; the weighted implied volatility of methanol increased by 1.00 to 19.46 [7]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Energy - Related Options: Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis: US refinery demand has stabilized and rebounded. During the recent oil price decline, shale oil production only decreased by 10,000 barrels per day. OPEC exports have increased, but most of them are absorbed by China, so there is no obvious visible inventory in the market. In Europe, the overall refined oil inventory is in a low - level destocking state, the crude oil inventory has increased, but the refinery demand is about to enter the peak season, and the diesel crack spread remains high [8]. - Market analysis: Since July, the crude oil market has gradually weakened and then consolidated in a range. In August, it first rose and then fell, showing a short - term weak shock. In September, it continued to be weak and bearish and then gradually rebounded. In October, it fell sharply and then stopped falling and rebounded [8]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of crude oil options has decreased to near the average. The position PCR of options is reported at around 0.80, indicating that the crude oil market has been weak recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 590, and the support level is 440 [8]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - neutral call + put options combination strategy to obtain options time value and directional returns, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the position delta neutral. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [8]. 3.5.2 Energy - Related Options: Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - Fundamental analysis: The US is under great pressure due to high production and high inventory. Extreme weather in winter and the trend of Sino - US trade will affect its price and trade flow. At present, the total export volume from the Middle East is relatively stable, and OPEC+ policies and actual production increases will affect future exports [10]. - Market analysis: In July, LPG reached a high and then fell back, continuously declining and then weakly consolidating. Since August, it has accelerated its decline, moved downward bearishly, then rebounded and rose but was blocked and fell back. In September, it first fell and then rose, gradually warming up. Overall, it shows an oversold rebound market with pressure above [10]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of LPG options has significantly decreased and returned to near the lower - than - average level. The position PCR of LPG options is reported at around 0.80, indicating that the LPG market has been weak recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 4550, and the support level is 4000 [10]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - neutral call + put options combination strategy to obtain options time value and directional returns, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the position delta neutral. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.3 Alcohol - Related Options: Methanol - Fundamental analysis: The port inventory is 1.5122 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 20,800 tons. The unloading is lower than expected, and the inventory accumulation speed has slowed down. The enterprise inventory is 360,400 tons, a month - on - month increase of 500 tons, and it is at a low level compared with the same period last year [10]. - Market analysis: In July, methanol reached a high and then fell back, continuously declining and then fluctuating greatly. Since August, it has gradually weakened and moved downward bearishly. In September, it consolidated at a low level and then rebounded. Since October, it has continued to be weak and bearish. Overall, it shows a weak market trend with pressure above [10]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of methanol options fluctuates around the historical average level. The position PCR of methanol options is reported below 0.80, indicating that the methanol market has been in a weak and oscillating state recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 2300, and the support level is 2200 [10]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - bearish call + put options combination strategy to obtain options time value, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the position delta bearish. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option. When the market rebounds to a high strike price, close the position in combination with spot sales [10]. 3.5.4 Alcohol - Related Options: Ethylene Glycol - Fundamental analysis: Last week, the EG load was 73.3%, a month - on - month decrease of 3.7%. Among them, the load of synthetic gas production was 82.2%, a month - on - month increase of 0.8%; the load of ethylene production was 68.2%, a month - on - month decrease of 6.3%. The port inventory is 579,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 38,000 tons; the inventory days of downstream factories are 13.4 days, a month - on - month increase of 0.2 days. In the short term, the arrival volume last week was moderately low, the departure volume increased, and the port inventory is expected to slightly decrease. With the high domestic load and the increase in overseas arrivals, ethylene glycol has entered the inventory accumulation cycle [11]. - Market analysis: In July, ethylene glycol weakly consolidated and oscillated at a low level, gradually rose, and then fell rapidly. In August, it continued to weakly consolidate slightly. Since September, it has continued to be weak and bearish. Overall, it shows a weak market trend with pressure above [11]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of ethylene glycol options fluctuates around the lower - than - average level. The position PCR of options is reported at around 0.70, indicating that the short - selling force of ethylene glycol has been relatively strong recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [11]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options to obtain directional returns. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility strategy to obtain time value returns. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [11]. 3.5.5 Polyolefin - Related Options: Polypropylene - Fundamental analysis: The inventory of PE production enterprises is 514,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.81%, and an increase of 2.02% compared with the same period last year; the inventory of PE traders is 50,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.70%. The inventory of PP production enterprises is 638,500 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.92%, and an increase of 12.69% compared with the same period last year; the inventory of PP traders is 220,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 7.80%; the PP port inventory is 66,800 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.62%. The overall inventory pressure of PP is higher than that of PE [11]. - Market analysis: Since July, the decline of polypropylene has narrowed, gradually stabilized, slightly oscillated and rebounded, and then rapidly declined. In August, it maintained a weak and slight fluctuation. In September, it continued to be weak and bearish. In October, it accelerated its decline and then oscillated at a low level. Overall, it shows a weak market trend with bearish pressure above [11]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of polypropylene options has decreased to near the average level. The position PCR of options is reported at around 0.70, indicating that the polypropylene market has weakened recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 6900, and the support level is 6300 [11]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: None. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [11]. 3.5.6 Rubber - Related Options: Rubber - Fundamental analysis: The offer price of the imported rubber market has risen, traders have rotated stocks, and the factory's inventory - building sentiment has been weak. The futures market has maintained a relatively strong oscillating pattern, and the spot price of domestic natural rubber has followed the market up. The downstream procurement willingness has been relatively weak, mainly replenishing goods with appropriate rigid demand. The overall trading atmosphere in the market has been average, and the actual transaction performance has been light [12]. - Market analysis: Since July, the rubber market has continued to rise in the short term, reached a high, and then fell back. In August, it gradually warmed up and rose and then consolidated and oscillated in a range. Since September, it has maintained a weak and bearish trend. In October, it continued to be weak and consolidated at a low level. Overall, it shows a weak consolidation market trend with support below and pressure above [12]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of rubber options has risen rapidly and then decreased to near the lower - than - average level. The position PCR of rubber options is reported below 0.60. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying has dropped significantly to 17,000, and the support level is 14,000 [12]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - bearish call + put options combination strategy to obtain options time value and directional returns, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the position delta bearish. Spot hedging strategy: None [12]. 3.5.7 Polyester - Related Options: PTA - Fundamental analysis: The PTA load is 78.8%, a month - on - month increase of 2.8%. In terms of equipment, the load of Yisheng Ningbo has slightly decreased, and the load of individual equipment has recovered. The maintenance volume of PTA in October has slightly decreased, and the overall load is low under low processing fees [12]. - Market analysis: In July, the PTA market continued to be weak and then rebounded and rose. In August, it fell back, slightly consolidated, and then rapidly rebounded, rose, and was blocked and fell back. In September, it continued to be weak and bearish. Overall, it shows a weak and bearish market trend with pressure above [12]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of PTA options fluctuates at a relatively high level above the average. The position PCR of PTA options is reported at around 0.70, indicating that the PTA market has been in an oscillating state recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 4600, and the support level is 4300 [12]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - bearish call + put options combination strategy to obtain options time value, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the position delta bearish. Spot hedging strategy: None [12]. 3.5.8 Alkali - Related Options: Caustic Soda - Fundamental analysis: In the spot market, non - aluminum industries have no obvious inventory - building behavior, which is lower than expected, or they are waiting for the spot price to bottom out to stimulate speculative demand. Secondly, as the maintenance is restored, the spot support may weaken. The price of liquid chlorine has risen, weakening the cost support [13]. - Market analysis: In July, caustic soda first rose and then fell. In August, it quickly fell back, then gradually rebounded, moved upward bullishly in the short term, and then oscillated at a high level. Since September, it has continuously reported negative lines and gradually weakened. In October, it accelerated its decline. Overall, it shows a weak and bearish market trend with pressure above recently [13]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of caustic soda options fluctuates at a relatively high level. The position PCR of caustic soda options is reported below 0.80, indicating that the caustic soda market has been in a weak and oscillating state recently. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 2600, and the support level is 2240 [13]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy to obtain directional returns. Volatility strategy: None. Spot collar hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13]. 3.5.9 Alkali - Related Options: Soda Ash - Fundamental analysis: As of October 25, 2025, the in - factory inventory of soda ash is 1.7021 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 16,000 tons; the available inventory days are 14.11 days, a month - on - month increase of 0.01 days. The in - factory inventory of heavy soda ash is 93.45 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.62 yuan/ton; the in - factory inventory of light soda ash is 76.76 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 0.78 yuan/ton [13]. - Market analysis: Since August, the soda ash market has continued to be weak and consolidated. In September, it fluctuated slightly at a low level and was weak. In October, it continued to be weak. Recently, it shows a low - level weak oscillating market trend with support below [13]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of soda ash options fluctuates at a relatively high level in history. The position PCR of soda ash options is reported below 0.60, indicating that the bearish pressure is relatively strong. From the perspective of options, the pressure level of the underlying is 1300, and the support level is 1100 [13]. - Strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility combination strategy to obtain volatility returns. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy, hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13]. 3.5.10 Other Energy - Chemical Options: Urea - Fundamental analysis: The enterprise inventory is 1.6302 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 14,800 tons, and it is at a high level compared with the same period last year. The port inventory is 210,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 236,000 tons, and the goods are accelerating to leave the port [14]. - Market analysis: In July, the urea market oscillated widely in a range under the bearish pressure line and then rose rapidly. In August, it continued to fluctuate widely in a range. In September, it gradually weakened. In October, it oscillated weakly at a low level. Overall, it shows a low - level oscillating and weak market trend [14]. - Options factor research: The implied volatility of urea options fluctuates slightly around the historical average level