能源化工期权 2026-01-06 能源化工期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号：F3074095 | 交易咨询号：Z0017896 | 邮箱：lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 原油 | SC2602 | 432 | -6 | -1.46 | 5.20 | -1.41 | 2.96 | -0.08 | | 液化气 | PG2602 | 4,132 | 40 | 0.98 | 8.66 | 1.37 | 5.94 | -0.32 | | 甲醇 | MA2602 | 2,207 | 21 | 0.96 | 13.53 | 3.48 | 4.46 | -0.95 | | 乙二醇 | EG2602 | 3,649 | -57 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View - The agricultural product options market shows different trends: oilseeds and oils are weakly oscillating, by - products are oscillating, soft commodities like sugar are slightly oscillating, cotton is strongly consolidating, and grains such as corn and starch are narrowly consolidating with a bullish bias [2]. - It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures have various price changes, trading volumes, and open - interest changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2603) is 4,143, up 21 with a 0.51% increase, trading volume is 1.72 million lots (up 0.67 million lots), and open interest is 5.05 million lots (down 0.05 million lots) [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - **Volume and Open - Interest PCR**: Each option variety has different volume and open - interest PCR values and their changes, which reflect the sentiment and strength of the market. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.41, up 0.06, and the open - interest PCR is 0.89, down 0.04 [4]. - **Pressure and Support Levels**: From the perspective of option factors, each option variety has corresponding pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4200, and the support level is 4000 [5]. - **Implied Volatility**: The implied volatility of each option variety also varies. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 10.535, and the weighted implied volatility is 12.76, up 0.40 [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Recommendations - **Oilseeds and Oils Options** - **Soybean No.1**: Fundamentally, China's soybean procurement and Brazilian soybean import costs have an impact. The option strategy includes constructing a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal**: Fundamentally, trading volume, delivery volume, and basis have changed. Option strategies involve constructing a neutral short call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil**: Fundamentally, production has decreased and exports have increased. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Peanut**: Fundamentally, downstream consumption is weak. The option strategy is to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - **By - product Options** - **Pig**: Fundamentally, supply has decreased and demand is in the peak season. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [10]. - **Egg**: Fundamentally, supply is sufficient and demand is weak. Option strategies involve constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy [11]. - **Apple**: Fundamentally, cold - storage inventory has decreased. Option strategies include constructing a long - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - **Jujube**: Fundamentally, inventory has decreased. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased wide - straddle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [12]. - **Soft Commodity Options** - **Sugar**: Fundamentally, production in Thailand has decreased and domestic industrial inventory is increasing. Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12]. - **Cotton**: Fundamentally, China's cotton production has increased. Option strategies include constructing a bull - spread call option strategy, a neutral short call + put option combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot [13]. - **Grain Options** - **Corn**: Fundamentally, the corn germ market is weak. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short call + put option combination strategy [13]. - **Starch**: Option strategies are not detailed in the text, but related data on price trends, option factors, etc. are provided [309][311]. - **Log Options**: Option strategies are not detailed in the text, but related data on price trends, option factors, etc. are provided [328][330]

能源化工期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号：F3074095 | 交易咨询号：Z0017896 | 邮箱：lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权 2025-12-24 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

农产品期权 2025-12-19 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要：油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡，油脂类，农副产品维持震荡行情，软商品白糖小幅震荡， 棉花偏强盘整，谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Metal Options Strategy Morning Report [1] - Date: December 18, 2025 - Report Summary: The report provides an analysis of the metal options market, including the performance of various metal futures, option factors, and trading strategies [2] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The有色金属 sector is expected to move upward, and a neutral volatility strategy for sellers is recommended [2] - The黑色系 sector is expected to maintain high volatility, and a short volatility strategy is recommended [2] - The贵金属 sector is expected to rebound, and a bull spread strategy is recommended [2] Group 4: Futures Market Overview - Copper (CU2601): The latest price is 92,680, up 380 (0.41%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 6.63 million lots, down 3.58 million lots, and the open interest is 13.65 million lots, down 0.93 million lots [3] - Aluminum (AL2601): The latest price is 21,985, up 145 (0.66%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 4.34 million lots, down 2.73 million lots, and the open interest is 12.40 million lots, down 0.85 million lots [3] - Zinc (ZN2601): The latest price is 23,045, up 135 (0.59%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 12.06 million lots, down 1.80 million lots, and the open interest is 5.92 million lots, down 1.40 million lots [3] - Lead (PB2601): The latest price is 16,825, up 55 (0.33%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 4.02 million lots, down 0.05 million lots, and the open interest is 2.69 million lots, down 0.28 million lots [3] - Nickel (NI2601): The latest price is 113,300, up 570 (0.51%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 13.96 million lots, down 1.77 million lots, and the open interest is 9.41 million lots, down 1.15 million lots [3] - Tin (SN2601): The latest price is 334,240, up 9,230 (2.84%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 16.68 million lots, down 5.58 million lots, and the open interest is 3.21 million lots, down 0.02 million lots [3] - Alumina (AO2601): The latest price is 2,573, up 23 (0.90%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 19.30 million lots, down 9.09 million lots, and the open interest is 18.04 million lots, down 1.05 million lots [3] - Gold (AU2602): The latest price is 982.48, up 5.18 (0.53%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 27.59 million lots, down 1.80 million lots, and the open interest is 19.71 million lots, up 0.09 million lots [3] - Silver (AG2602): The latest price is 15,594, up 589 (3.93%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 162.71 million lots, up 5.57 million lots, and the open interest is 38.90 million lots, up 2.49 million lots [3] - Lithium Carbonate (LC2602): The latest price is 106,900, up 7,560 (7.61%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 3.36 million lots, up 2.37 million lots, and the open interest is 3.36 million lots, down 0.06 million lots [3] - Industrial Silicon (SI2602): The latest price is 8,480, up 50 (0.59%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 4.29 million lots, up 1.59 million lots, and the open interest is 9.10 million lots, down 0.06 million lots [3] - Polysilicon (PS2602): The latest price is 62,175, up 2,490 (4.17%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 4.47 million lots, up 1.45 million lots, and the open interest is 3.58 million lots, down 0.19 million lots [3] - Rebar (RB2601): The latest price is 3,130, up 35 (1.13%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 6.27 million lots, down 1.26 million lots, and the open interest is 22.66 million lots, down 1.52 million lots [3] - Iron Ore (I2602): The latest price is 793.00, up 12.00 (1.54%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 0.55 million lots, down 0.03 million lots, and the open interest is 7.18 million lots, down 0.02 million lots [3] - Manganese Silicon (SM2602): The latest price is 5,744, up 2 (0.03%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 1.65 million lots, up 0.06 million lots, and the open interest is 2.96 million lots, down 0.09 million lots [3] - Silicon Iron (SF2602): The latest price is 5,428, up 50 (0.93%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 5.39 million lots, up 0.50 million lots, and the open interest is 3.79 million lots, up 0.22 million lots [3] - Glass (FG2602): The latest price is 1,013, up 17 (1.71%) from the previous day. The trading volume is 2.90 million lots, up 0.59 million lots, and the open interest is 4.11 million lots, up 0.05 million lots [3] Group 5: Option Factors Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels are determined by the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Implied Volatility - The implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of the future volatility of the underlying asset [6] Group 6: Strategy Recommendations Copper Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bull spread strategy using call options to obtain directional returns [7] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value returns [7] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [7] Aluminum Options - Directional Strategy: None [9] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value and directional returns [9] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [9] Zinc Options - Directional Strategy: None [9] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value [9] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [9] Nickel Options - Directional Strategy: None [10] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value [10] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a covered call strategy by holding a long position in the spot market and selling call options [10] Tin Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bull spread strategy using call options to obtain directional returns [10] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value returns [10] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [10] Lithium Carbonate Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bull spread strategy using call options to obtain directional returns [11] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value and directional returns [11] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [11] Silver Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bull spread strategy using call options to obtain directional returns [12] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value [12] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [12] Rebar Options - Directional Strategy: None [13] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value [13] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a covered call strategy by holding a long position in the spot market and selling call options [13] Iron Ore Options - Directional Strategy: None [13] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value and directional returns [13] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a long collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [13] Manganese Silicon Options - Directional Strategy: None [14] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value returns [14] - Spot Hedging Strategy: None [14] Industrial Silicon Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bear spread strategy using put options to obtain directional returns [14] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value and directional returns [14] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [14] Glass Options - Directional Strategy: Construct a bear spread strategy using put options to obtain directional returns [15] - Volatility Strategy: Construct a short volatility strategy using put and call options to obtain time value [15] - Spot Hedging Strategy: Construct a long collar strategy by holding a long position in the spot market, buying put options, and selling out-of-the-money call options [15]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report's industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For selected varieties in each sector, the report provides option strategies and suggestions based on the analysis of the underlying asset market, option factor research, and option strategy recommendations [10]. - The general strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various energy - chemical option underlying futures contracts such as crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2602) is 427, with a price increase of 3 and a price change percentage of 0.73%, trading volume of 9.47 million lots, volume change of 4.62 million lots, open interest of 3.91 million lots, and open interest change of 0.45 million lots [5]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume - to - Open - Interest PCR - The report shows the trading volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, trading volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change of various option varieties. For instance, the trading volume PCR of crude oil is 0.88, with a change of 0.05, and the open interest PCR is 0.73, with a change of - 0.05 [6]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - It provides the pressure points, pressure point offsets, support points, support point offsets, maximum call option open interests, and maximum put option open interests of various option varieties. For example, the pressure point of crude oil is 540 with an offset of 0, and the support point is 400 with an offset of - 40 [7]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The report lists the at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average implied volatility, call option implied volatility, put option implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatilities of various option varieties. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 24.75%, and the weighted implied volatility is 27.19% with a change of 0.34% [8]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions for Different Varieties 3.5.1 Energy Options: Crude Oil - **Underlying Market Analysis**: The demand of US refineries has stabilized and rebounded. During the recent decline in oil prices, shale oil production has changed little. Refineries have strengthened the diesel output rate due to arbitrage demand, and the overall on - balance - sheet inventory remains healthy. OPEC's short - term supply is flat, Libya's exports have recovered rapidly, CPC Terminal's exports remain weak, and Russia's exports are not hindered. The crude oil market showed a weak trend in December after a rebound in November [9]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of crude oil options fluctuates below the average, the option open interest PCR is below 0.70, indicating a weak market, and the pressure point is 540 and the support point is 430 [9]. - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy of put options for directional gains; construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy to obtain option time value and directional gains, and dynamically adjust the positions to keep the delta short; construct a long collar strategy for spot long - hedging [9]. 3.5.2 Energy Options: LPG - **Underlying Market Analysis**: The number of LPG warehouse receipts has increased slightly this week. The supply side has seen a slight increase in the arrival volume, and port inventory has accumulated. On the chemical demand side, the start - up rate of PDH has increased this week, but there are rumors of maintenance plans, and the demand is weakening. The LPG market showed a weak and volatile downward trend in December [11]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of LPG options fluctuates around the average, the option open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market, and the pressure point is 4500 and the support point is 4000 [11]. - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy of put options for directional gains; construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy to obtain option time value and directional gains, and dynamically adjust the positions to keep the delta short; construct a long collar strategy for spot long - hedging [11]. 3.5.3 Alcohol Options: Methanol - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Last week's inventory was 123.44 million tons, a decrease of 11.5 million tons from the previous period. The inventory of production enterprises is 35.28 million tons, a decrease of 0.87 million tons month - on - month, and at a low level year - on - year. The methanol market showed a weak trend with a rebound and then a decline [11]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of methanol options fluctuates around the historical average, the option open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market, and the pressure point is 2300 and the support point is 2000 [11]. - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy of put options for directional gains; construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy to obtain option time value and keep the delta short; construct a long collar strategy for spot long - hedging [11]. 3.5.4 Other Varieties - Similar analysis and strategy recommendations are provided for other varieties such as ethylene glycol, PVC, rubber, PTA, caustic soda, soda ash, and urea, including underlying market analysis, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions [12][13][14][15].

Group 1: Report Summary - The report focuses on energy and chemical options, covering various sectors such as energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [10]. - It provides option strategies and suggestions for selected varieties in each sector, including fundamental analysis, market trends, option factor research, and option strategy recommendations [10]. Group 2: Market Overview - **Futures Market**: The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various energy and chemical futures contracts, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, ethylene glycol, etc. [5]. - **Option Factors**: It includes data on option volume - PCR, open interest - PCR, pressure and support levels, implied volatility, and historical volatility for different option varieties [6][7][8]. Group 3: Option Strategies Energy Options - **Crude Oil**: Fundamental analysis shows stable US refinery demand and unchanged shale oil production. The market has a weak trend. Option strategies include bear - spread combinations, selling call + put option combinations, and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [9]. - **LPG**: With an increase in warehouse receipts and mixed supply - demand conditions, the market is weak. Strategies involve bear - spread combinations, selling call + put option combinations, and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [11]. Alcohol Options - **Methanol**: Inventory is decreasing, and the market is weak. Strategies include bear - spread combinations, selling call + put option combinations, and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [11]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Polyester load is decreasing, and inventory is increasing. The market is weak. Strategies involve bear - spread combinations, short - volatility strategies, and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [12]. Polyolefin Options - **PVC**: Inventory is increasing, and the market is weak. Strategies include bear - spread combinations and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [12]. Rubber Options - **Rubber**: Tire factory开工率 has mixed trends, and inventory has changed. The market is in a weak consolidation. Strategies involve selling neutral call + put option combinations [13]. Polyester Options - **PTA**: Production load is stable but low. The market has a weak rebound and then a decline. Strategies involve selling neutral call + put option combinations [13]. Alkali Options - **Caustic Soda**: Capacity utilization is increasing, and the market is weak. Strategies include bear - spread combinations and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [14]. - **Soda Ash**: Inventory is decreasing, and the market is in a low - level weak oscillation. Strategies include bear - spread combinations, short - volatility strategies, and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [14]. Other Options - **Urea**: Enterprise inventory is decreasing, and port inventory is increasing. The market is short - term weak. Strategies involve selling neutral call + put option combinations and long - collar strategies for spot hedging [15]. Group 4: Charts - The report includes price charts, trading volume and open - interest charts, option volume - PCR and open interest - PCR charts, implied volatility charts, and historical volatility cone charts for various energy and chemical options, such as crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. [17][34][55]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy and chemical industry is divided into several sectors including energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [9] - For each sector, specific options are selected to provide option strategies and suggestions [9] - Option strategy reports for each option variety are prepared based on the analysis of the underlying market, option factor research, and option strategy recommendations [9] - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview | Option Variety | Latest Price | Change | Change Rate | Trading Volume (in 10,000 lots) | Volume Change | Open Interest (in 10,000 lots) | Open Interest Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Crude Oil | 457 | 5 | 1.15% | 6.65 | -2.28 | 2.98 | -0.17 | | Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) | 4,310 | 9 | 0.21% | 5.39 | 0 | 6.84 | -0.16 | | Methanol | 2,107 | -11 | -0.52% | 105.31 | 5.68 | 93.47 | -1.37 | | Ethylene Glycol | 3,781 | -40 | -1.05% | 12.60 | -9.17 | 29.52 | -0.41 | | Polypropylene | 6,331 | -21 | -0.33% | 20.60 | -2.21 | 45.02 | -0.97 | | Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) | 4,481 | -22 | -0.49% | 59.49 | 0.57 | 99.01 | -3.13 | | Plastic | 6,735 | -48 | -0.71% | 21.01 | 2.37 | 38.65 | -1.62 | | Styrene | 6,563 | -11 | -0.17% | 33.86 | -6.88 | 27.96 | -1.70 | | Rubber | 15,100 | 5 | 0.03% | 8.77 | -1.42 | 4.86 | -0.94 | | Synthetic Rubber | 10,460 | -25 | -0.24% | 9.15 | -3.12 | 3.21 | -0.69 | | p-Xylene | 6,850 | -22 | -0.32% | 2.95 | -2.84 | 3.76 | -0.02 | | Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA) | 4,702 | -20 | -0.42% | 49.07 | -0.93 | 82.44 | -3.52 | | Short Fiber | 6,244 | -22 | -0.35% | 1.29 | 0.35 | 2.11 | -0.13 | | Bottle Chip | 5,660 | -34 | -0.60% | 1.27 | -0.47 | 1.62 | -0.12 | | Caustic Soda | 2,120 | -26 | -1.21% | 22.01 | -7.02 | 16.96 | -0.38 | | Soda Ash | 1,147 | -8 | -0.69% | 66.89 | -4.22 | 106.67 | -3.64 | | Urea | 1,688 | -2 | -0.12% | 15.60 | 3.54 | 20.93 | -0.03 | [4] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The PCR indicators are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the market. The open interest PCR is the ratio of put option open interest to call option open interest, and the trading volume PCR is the ratio of put option trading volume to call option trading volume [5] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of the underlying option are determined by the strike prices with the largest open interest in call and put options [6] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility includes at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, call option implied volatility, and put option implied volatility. The weighted implied volatility is calculated using trading volume - weighted average [7] 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: US refinery demand has stabilized and recovered. Shale oil production has slightly declined, and refineries have increased diesel output due to arbitrage demand. OPEC's short - term supply is flat, Libyan exports have quickly recovered, and Russian exports are not blocked. In the Middle East, Kuwait's refinery has resumed operation earlier than expected, weakening the support for low - sulfur fuel oil [8] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of crude oil options fluctuates above the average level; the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market; the pressure level is 540, and the support level is 430 [8] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy with put options for directional returns; construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value and directional returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: US propane inventory is starting to decline but remains at a historical high. The cost - end crude oil is under pressure from oversupply and geopolitical issues, and the LPG price has shown a market trend of over - sold rebound and slight consolidation [10] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of LPG options has significantly decreased to near the average level; the open interest PCR is around 0.80, indicating a weak market; the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4150 [10] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a long - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value and directional returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Port inventory has decreased, and enterprise inventory is at a relatively low level. The market sentiment has improved, and the methanol price has shown a trend of over - sold rebound [10] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of methanol options fluctuates around the historical average level; the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weakly oscillating market; the pressure level is 2300, and the support level is 2000 [10] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy with put options for directional returns; construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Port inventory is expected to increase at a slower pace, and the supply - demand balance sheet is expected to improve. The ethylene glycol price has shown a weak market trend [11] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of ethylene glycol options fluctuates below the average level; the open interest PCR is below 0.70, indicating strong short - side power; the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 3500 [11] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy with put options for directional returns; construct a short - volatility strategy for time value returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: PE and PP production and trading enterprise inventories have decreased. The polypropylene price has shown a weak market trend [11] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of polypropylene options has decreased to near the average level; the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a weak market; the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [11] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy with put options for directional returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: The exchange's rubber inventory and warehouse receipts are expected to significantly decrease. The rubber price has shown a weakly oscillating market trend [12] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of rubber options has decreased to near the average level after a sharp rise; the open interest PCR is below 0.60; the pressure level is 16000, and the support level is 15000 [12] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value and directional returns [12] 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: PTA social inventory is decreasing, and the downstream load remains high. The PTA price has shown a rebound trend [12] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of PTA options fluctuates above the average level; the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating an oscillating market; the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [12] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value [12] 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Supply is sufficient, and downstream demand is weak. The caustic soda price has shown a weak short - side market trend [13] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of caustic soda options fluctuates at a relatively high level; the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market; the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2200 [13] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy for directional returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] - **Soda Ash** - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Factory inventory has decreased. The soda ash price has shown a low - level weak oscillating market trend [13] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of soda ash options fluctuates at a relatively high historical level; the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - side pressure; the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [13] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a bear spread strategy for directional returns; construct a short - volatility combination strategy for volatility returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] 3.5.7 Other Options - Urea - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Enterprise inventory has decreased, and port inventory is expected to increase. The urea price has shown a trend of low - level oscillation and gradual rebound [14] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of urea options fluctuates slightly around the historical average level; the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - side pressure; the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [14] - **Option Strategy Recommendations**: Construct a long - biased call + put option combination strategy for option time value and directional returns; construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy and chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For each sector, options strategies and suggestions are provided for selected varieties. Each option variety's strategy report is compiled based on underlying market analysis, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions [9] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various energy and chemical futures contracts are presented, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, ethylene glycol, etc. [4] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume and open interest PCR data for different option varieties are provided, along with their changes. These factors are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and the turning points of the market [5] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels, as well as the maximum open interests of call and put options, are presented for each option variety, which are determined from the strike prices of the maximum open interests of call and put options [6] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data, including at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes, are provided for each option variety. The weighted implied volatility is calculated using trading volume-weighted average [7] 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy Options - Crude Oil - **Underlying Market Analysis**: The demand from US refineries has stabilized and rebounded. Shale oil production has slightly declined during the recent oil price drop. OPEC's short-term supply remains flat. The market has shown a complex price trend from August to November [8] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of crude oil options fluctuates above the average level. The open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 540, and the support level is 430 [8] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio of put options; Volatility strategy - Construct a short position combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - Construct a long collar strategy [8] 3.5.2 Energy Options - LPG - **Underlying Market Analysis**: US propane inventory is starting to decline but remains at a historical high. The cost of crude oil is affected by supply surplus and geopolitical issues. LPG has shown a market trend of oversold rebound and consolidation from September to November [10] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of LPG options has significantly declined to near the lower average level. The open interest PCR is around 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4200 [10] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - None; Volatility strategy - Construct a long position combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - Construct a long collar strategy [10] 3.5.3 Alcohols Options - Methanol - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Port inventory has decreased, and enterprise inventory is at a relatively low level. Methanol has shown a market trend of oversold rebound from August to November [10] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of methanol options fluctuates around the historical average level. The open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level is 2300, and the support level is 2000 [10] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio of put options; Volatility strategy - Construct a short position combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - Construct a long collar strategy [10] 3.5.4 Alcohols Options - Ethylene Glycol - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Port inventory is expected to increase at a slower rate, and the supply - demand balance has improved. Ethylene glycol has shown a weak market trend from August to November [11] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of ethylene glycol options fluctuates below the average level. The open interest PCR is below 0.70, indicating strong short - selling power. The pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 3800 [11] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio of put options; Volatility strategy - Construct a short - volatility strategy; Spot hedging strategy - Hold a long position in the spot + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [11] 3.5.5 Polyolefins Options - Polypropylene - **Underlying Market Analysis**: PE and PP production enterprise and trader inventories have decreased. Polypropylene has shown a weak market trend from August to November [11] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of polypropylene options has declined to near the average level. The open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [11] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio of put options; Volatility strategy - None; Spot hedging strategy - Hold a long position in the spot + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [11] 3.5.6 Rubber Options - Rubber - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Rubber inventory is expected to decrease significantly in mid - January. Rubber has shown a weak and volatile market trend from August to November [12] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of rubber options has decreased to near the lower average level after a rapid increase. The open interest PCR is below 0.60. The pressure level has significantly decreased to 16000, and the support level is 15000 [12] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - None; Volatility strategy - Construct a neutral combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - None [12] 3.5.7 Polyesters Options - PTA - **Underlying Market Analysis**: PTA inventory has decreased, and it is expected to enter a de - stocking phase. PTA has shown a market trend of rebound from August to November [12] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of PTA options fluctuates above the average level. The open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a volatile market. The pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [12] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - None; Volatility strategy - Construct a neutral combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - None [12] 3.5.8 Alkaline Chemicals Options - Caustic Soda - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Supply is sufficient, and the downstream alumina market is in a stalemate. Caustic soda has shown a weak and bearish market trend from August to November [13] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of caustic soda options fluctuates at a relatively high level. The open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2200 [13] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio; Volatility strategy - None; Spot hedging strategy - Hold a long position in the spot + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13] 3.5.9 Alkaline Chemicals Options - Soda Ash - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Soda ash inventory has decreased. Soda ash has shown a low - level and volatile market trend from August to November [13] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of soda ash options fluctuates at a relatively high historical level. The open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [13] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - Construct a bear spread portfolio; Volatility strategy - Construct a short - volatility combination; Spot hedging strategy - Construct a long collar strategy [13] 3.5.10 Other Energy and Chemicals Options - Urea - **Underlying Market Analysis**: Enterprise inventory has decreased, and port inventory is expected to increase. Urea has shown a market trend of low - level consolidation and rebound from August to November [14] - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of urea options fluctuates slightly around the historical average level. The open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [14] - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy - None; Volatility strategy - Construct a long - biased combination of call and put options; Spot hedging strategy - Hold a long position in the spot + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [14]