On Wednesday, February 25, Invesco expanded its fixed income ETF lineup. It announced the launch of two new funds on the New York Stock Exchange. A Flexible Fixed Income Approach First on the docket is the Invesco MSCI Treasury Duration Rotation ETF (TROT). TROT aims to offer similar results to that of the MSCI U.S. Treasury Duration Rotation Select Bond Index. This index provides an adaptive method for playing fixed income exposure, based on how interest rates and broader economic conditions are looking. P ...

Welcome back to Morning Trade Live. It's time now for the big picture. So, let's welcome in the team from Charles Schwab.We're joined by Kathy Jones, fixed income strategist, the chief fixed income strategist, I should say, Schwab Center for Financial Research and Michelle Gibli, director of international equity research and strategy. Ladies, thanks so much for joining me. Kathy, I do want to start with you.Uh, given everything we've heard as far as the data is concerned, obviously the SCOTUS ruling on Trum ...

Core Insights - Many savers are turning to certificates of deposit (CDs) for income, which offer predictability and safety but come with lower yields compared to other fixed income options [1][2] - The national average rate for a 12-month CD is between 1.5% and 1.6%, while some higher yields may be available but often come with high minimums or penalties [2] - The ETF marketplace provides low-risk funds with yields of up to 4% or more, although they lack FDIC insurance [2][3] Group 1: Investment Options - The iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: SHV) offers a pure Treasury bill option backed by the U.S. government, yielding 3.5%, which is significantly higher than most CDs [5][6] - This ETF has historically shown minimal share price volatility, with a maximum drawdown of only 0.4% during the 2021-2022 period of aggressive interest rate hikes by the Fed [6] - The WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury ETF (NYSEMKT: USFR) invests in short-term floating rate Treasury notes, providing an alternative to fixed-rate Treasury bills [7]

All right, moving on and welcome back to Morning Trade Live. It's time now for the big picture. So, let's welcome in Cooper Howard, director of fixed income research and strategy, Schwab Center for Financial Research.Very good morning to you, Coupe. Um, look, obviously these tariffs aren't going away. There's just been a bit of a a shakeup here.Just talk us through the market reaction. Why did you have to squint to see a move on the 10-year on Friday. >> Yeah, I think that the big thing with it is because i ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Yesterday, real - money and PB accounts showed buying interests in Australian, Chinese, European, Japanese and Korean bank/corporate FRNs before the Chinese New Year holiday. The report maintains a buy recommendation on BSFR 6.375 Perp and BSFR 35 [2]. - FABUH's FY25 net profit surged 24% year - on - year to AED21.1bn, and the report maintains a buy on FABUH 6.32 04/04/34 and FABUH 5.804 01/16/35 [3][7]. - Fitch upgraded China Vanke to CC from RD on completion of distressed debt exchange and affirmed Vanke HK's CC rating [2][17]. Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - Buying interests in FRNs: Real - money and PB accounts sought to lock in yields on Australian, Chinese, European, Japanese and Korean bank/corporate FRNs before the Chinese New Year holiday [2]. - Middle East bonds: BSFR 6.375 Perp and BSFR 35 edged 0.1pt higher; FABUH 34 - 35s were unchanged to 0.2pt higher [2]. - Global sales: Global real - money and PB accounts sold long - end KSAs and long - dated China TMT papers (maturities > 20 years) [2]. - Greater China higher - yielding space: WESCHI 28/LIFUNG 5.25 Perp closed 0.3 - 0.4pt higher; FAEACO 12.814 Perp/EHICAR 26 - 27 were down by 0.1 - 0.3pt [2]. - Chinese properties: VNKRLE '27 and '29 led the space and rose 1.3 - 1.6pts; YTD, VNKRLEs have surged 10.4 - 11.0pts, supported by loans and upfront cash payments. FUTLAN 28/FTLNHD 27 were unchanged to 0.2pt higher, FTLNHD 26 was 0.2pt lower. Seazen expects to get an offshore - debt quota before Chinese New Year and could launch a USD bond offering. DALWAN 28s were unchanged to 0.1pt higher [2]. - SE Asian space: VLLPM 27 - 29 dropped 1.0 - 1.6pts; ACPM 3.9 Perp was 0.7pt lower; INDYIJ 29/IHFLIN 27 - 30/VEDLN 28 - 33s and the ReNew Energy complex were unchanged to 0.2pt higher; GLPSPs traded 0.2 - 0.3pt higher; Yankee AT1s recovered by 0.1 - 0.4pt; LGFVs were stable [2]. Market Data in the Morning - Asian IG credits were unchanged to 2bps wider. There was better selling on MEITUA and Korean IG names. NWDEVL 4.8 Perp was 0.8pt higher. YPCORP 29/VLLPM 29 were 0.6pt lower. HYSAN 4.85 Perp leaked 0.5pt [3]. - FABUH's FY25 net profit surged 24% yoy to AED21.1bn from higher income across all segments [3]. - ADSEZ's committee approved a tender offer to purchase up to USD345.137mn of ADSEZ 4 07/30/27 and up to USD150mn of ADSEZ 3.1 02/02/31. ADSEZ 27 - 29 edged 0.3pt higher [3]. Top Performers and Underperformers - Top Performers: VNKRLE 3.975 11/09/27 rose 1.6pts to 31.6; VNKRLE 3 1/2 11/12/29 rose 1.3pts to 30.3; PMBROV 11 1/2 02/18/30 rose 0.7pts to 97.5; HCELEC 4.65 12/29/26 rose 0.6pts to 66.8; LOGPH 5 1/4 02/23/23 rose 0.6pts to 11.1 [4]. - Top Underperformers: VLLPM 9 3/8 07/29/29 dropped 1.6pts to 43.0; VLLPM 7 1/4 07/20/27 dropped 1.0pts to 55.5; GARUDA 6 1/2 12/28/31 dropped 1.0pts to 91.5; CHGRID 4.85 05/07/44 dropped 0.8pts to 99.9; ACPM 3.9 PERP dropped 0.7pts to 66.4 [4]. Macro News Recap - On Monday, S&P (+0.47%), Dow (+0.04%) and Nasdaq (+0.90%) were higher. The 2/5 - year UST yield was lower. The 2/5/10/30 - year yield was at 3.48%/3.75%/4.22%/4.85% [6]. Desk Analyst Comments - FABUH's FY25 net profit surged 24% yoy to AED21.1bn from higher income across all segments. The report maintains a buy on FABUH 6.32 04/04/34 and FABUH 5.804 01/16/35, which offer c60bps yield pick - up over its senior unsecured bonds for similar tenor. The likelihood of FAB calling its T2s on their first call dates is high [7]. FAB's Financial Performance - Operating income: In FY25, FAB's operating income rose 16% yoy to AED36.7bn, mainly driven by a 36% yoy increase in non - interest income to AED16.4bn. Net interest income increased by 4% yoy to AED20.3bn [10]. - Cost - to - income ratio: It dropped to 22.4% in FY25 from 24.6% in FY24 [11]. - Net impairment charges: They fell 17% yoy to AED3.3bn, and net profit rose 24% yoy to AED21.1bn. ROTE improved to 19.2% from 16.8% in FY24 [11]. - Asset quality: NPL ratio declined to 2.2% as of Dec '25 from 3.4% as of Dec '24, while NPL coverage ratio increased to 108% from 96% [12]. - Capital adequacy: CET1 pre - dividend ratio was 14.5% as of Dec '25, CET1 post - dividend ratio was 13.3% (down from 13.7% as of Dec '24, still above the regulatory minimum of 11.6%). FAB guided CET1 ratio to be above 13.5% in FY26 [12][13]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced: No offshore Asia new issues were priced today [14]. - Pipeline: Central Nippon Expressway Co Ltd plans a 5 - year USD bond with pricing of MS + 64 and an issue rating of A1/ - / - ; Xingye Gold (Hong Kong) Mining plans a 3 - year USD bond with a 7.7% coupon and an unrated issue [15]. News and Market Color - Onshore primary issuances: 80 credit bonds were issued yesterday with an amount of RMB61bn. Month - to - date, 687 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB580bn, a 4998.2% yoy increase [17]. - Other news: Adani Energy Solutions secured a loan from Japanese banks; Mirae Asset Securities' FY25 operating revenue rose 22% yoy; Seazen expects an offshore - debt quota; HD Hyundai Heavy won an order; Minmetals Land privatization offer was approved; NIO recalls EVs; PTT Global Chemical's 2025 adjusted EBITDA fell 34.4%; Fitch upgraded China Vanke [17].

Core Viewpoint - The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) offers a low-cost, passively managed strategy for investors seeking fixed income exposure to US bonds with maturities between 5 to 10 years [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - BIV is designed to provide fixed income exposure, making it suitable for a variety of investors [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Michael Del Monte, a buy-side equity analyst, has expertise in sectors such as technology, energy, industrials, and materials, with over a decade of experience in professional services across multiple industries [1]

Company Overview - Rubicon Associates is led by a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 20 years of experience in investment management, focusing on fixed income and preferred stock portfolios, as well as asset allocation and macro portfolios [1] - The principal has managed nearly $7 billion in credit investments and oversaw research and trading activities in the credit market [1] - The firm has also managed a short-duration fund worth $20 billion and served as Chief Strategist at a wealth management firm [1] Research and Advisory - Rubicon Associates has provided analysis and investment advice for both public and private companies globally [1] - The firm has written for various financial platforms, including Seeking Alpha, Learn Bonds, and TheStreet.com, and has advised institutional and private investors [1]

Core Insights - S&P Global has launched a new initiative called Partner Perspectives, aimed at providing forward-looking analysis to help market participants navigate uncertainty and identify opportunities [1][7] - The first volume of Partner Perspectives, developed in collaboration with Vanguard, focuses on the future of capital markets and explores key structural trends in indexing, fixed income, and private markets [2][7] Indexing - U.S. equity concentration has reached six-decade highs, yet broad benchmarks continue to adapt to shifting market leadership [8] - The evolution of index funds has led to a diverse range of investment strategies, providing investors with more precise and low-cost portfolio options [8] Bond Markets - Global bond markets remain resilient despite geopolitical tensions and higher interest rates, supported by adaptable issuers and steady demand [8] - The complexity of replicating bond benchmarks requires sophisticated management techniques, including multifactor risk alignment and cost discipline [8] Private Markets - Private credit assets under management (AUM) have more than doubled since 2020 and are projected to exceed $3.3 trillion by 2029, with asset-based finance driving significant growth [8] - Despite challenges such as higher borrowing costs and slower exits, private equity maintains a positive long-term outlook, emphasizing the importance of manager selection and cost management [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Assets under management (AUM) reached a record $867 billion at year-end 2025, reflecting market appreciation and strong sales [5] - Adjusted earnings for Q4 2025 were $0.96 per unit, down 9% year-over-year, while full-year adjusted earnings increased 2% to $3.33 [23][24] - Total net revenues for Q4 were $957 million, down 2% year-over-year, with full-year revenues flat at $3.5 billion [24] - Adjusted operating margin for the year expanded to 33.7%, at the upper end of the 30%-35% target range [8][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bernstein Private Wealth business had $156 billion in AUM, contributing approximately 37% of firm-wide revenues in 2025 [5] - Private markets platform closed the year with $82 billion in AUM, up 18% year-over-year [6] - SMA franchise reached $62 billion in AUM, growing 12% organically in 2025 [6] - Active ETF suite expanded to $14 billion across 24 strategies, delivering 65% organic growth in 2025 [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Firm-wide active net flows were negative for both the quarter and the full year, with total net active outflows of $9.4 billion in 2025 [6] - Taxable fixed income saw $2 billion in outflows in Q4 and $9.1 billion for the year, driven by geopolitical uncertainty [7] - Tax-exempt franchise generated $3.9 billion in inflows in Q4 and $11.6 billion for the year, marking 13 consecutive years of organic growth [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its private markets capabilities and enhancing commercial real estate lending [9][22] - A partnership with Equitable is expected to onboard more than $10 billion of new long-duration assets by year-end 2026 [9] - The strategic direction includes disciplined investments in targeted growth initiatives, product innovation, and expanded marketing efforts [39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges and maintain strong demand for its products [41][44] - The outlook for private markets AUM is ambitious, with expectations to exceed the $90 billion-$100 billion target by 2027 [55] - Management noted that the firm is well-positioned to capture fixed income's enduring value amid ongoing market trends [18] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate for 2025 was 5.9%, with a forecast of 6%-7% for 2026 [32] - The firm experienced a decline in performance fees, with full-year performance fees totaling $172 million, down 24% year-over-year [25][35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for high-yield funds in Asia - Management discussed macro factors influencing demand, including FX risk and interest rates, noting strong structural demand for U.S. dollar-denominated strategies [41][42][44] Question: Seasonality in private wealth - Management indicated that tax impacts in Q2 are significant, with overall positive sentiment about the pipeline for new client acquisition [47][48] Question: Private credit exposure to software - Management stated that exposure to software within the private credit portfolio is not significant, with diligent monitoring of credit risks [51][53] Question: Growth of private markets AUM beyond 2027 - Management expressed ambition to exceed the current target and indicated that onboarding from the commercial mortgage lending team will contribute to growth [55]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The Macau gaming industry showed a solid start in 2026 with a 24% year-on-year growth in January's GGR, reaching 90.7% of the January 2019 level. The 2026 GGR target of MOP236bn seems conservative based on the 2025 growth momentum [7][10][11]. - In the fixed - income market, there were various price movements across different sectors such as Chinese/HK higher - yielding space, Chinese properties, SE Asian space, etc. Some bonds tightened while others widened or declined in price [2]. - Chinese IG KUAISH/MEITUA recovered and tightened 1 - 3bps in the morning [3]. 3. Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - In the FRN space, there were balanced two - way flows across AU/JP financial names, MAYMK, 2 - 3yr Korean quasi - sovereign issues, and HYNMTR, with the latter closing 1 - 2bps tighter. Front - end to belly Chinese AMC papers, POE/TMTs, and belly financial papers saw initial selling, widening spreads by 1 - 3bps, but spreads largely closed unchanged. TW lifers widened 3 - 5bps, and the Macau gaming complex had a range of - 0.2pt to + 0.1pt change. In Chinese/HK higher - yielding space, WESCHI 26 rose 1.4pts and WESCHI 28 edged 0.2pt higher, while EHICAR 26 - 27 dropped 0.7 - 2.3pts. In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 - 29 were 0.9 - 1.7pts lower. In SE Asian space, VLLPM 27 - 29 dived 7.6 - 9.6pts [2]. - In the morning, Chinese IG KUAISH/MEITUA recovered and tightened 1 - 3bps. RMs were buying perps, and PBs were switching out of short - dated to call EU AT1s. ACPM 4.85 Perp/FAEACO 12.814 Perp were 0.7 - 0.9pt lower, and NWDEVL 27 - 28 recovered 0.5 - 0.6pt [3]. Macro News Recap - On Monday, S&P (+0.54%), Dow (+1.05%), and Nasdaq (+0.56%) were higher. The S&P Global Manufacturing January 2026 PMI was 52.4 (higher than the expected 51.9), ISM Manufacturing January 2026 Prices was 59.0 (lower than the expected 59.3), and ISM Manufacturing January 2026 PMI was 52.6 (higher than the expected 48.5). The UST yield was higher, with 2/5/10/30 - year yields at 3.57%/3.83%/4.29%/4.90% [6]. Desk Analyst Comments - Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) in January 2026 increased 24.0% year - on - year to MOP22.6bn, representing 90.7% of the January 2019 GGR and being the highest January figure since 2019. The 2026 GGR target of MOP236bn seems conservative as GGR in 2025 increased 9.1% to MOP247.4bn, exceeding the revised forecast of MOP228bn. The 2026 forecast represents a 3.5% year - on - year growth from the 2025 revised GGR forecast. In 2025, Macau's tourist arrival was 40.1mn, a 15% year - on - year increase and exceeding the 2019 record [7][10][11]. - Macau gaming bonds are considered lower - beta and good carry plays. Top picks are MPELs and STCITYs, and WYNMAC'27 and '29 are yield pick - up plays. The report is neutral on MGMCHIs, SANLTDs, and SJMHOLs [13]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced: CMBC International Funding (HK) issued USD300mn with a 3 - year tenor at SOFR + 60, rated - / - /BBB - [17]. - Pipeline: No offshore Asia new issues pipeline on this day [18]. News and Market Color - There were 89 credit bonds issued onshore yesterday with an amount of RMB88bn. No credit bonds were issued on 2 Feb 2025 due to the Chinese New Year holiday. Trump said he would roll back 25% punitive tariffs and cut the levy on Indian goods to 18% from 25% in return for India stopping buying Russian oil. China's local government debt increased 15% in 2025 and remains manageable. Indonesia's coal exports declined 19.7% last year to USD24.5bn due to falling global prices. Huatai Securities raised USD698.6mn by selling HKD and RMB - denominated guaranteed bonds due 2028. UPL Limited 9MFY26 EBITDA rose 22% year - on - year to INR59.1bn (cUSD648mn) [19][20].