Industry Overview - Gold prices have remained strong above $4,300 per ounce, prompting a strategic shift in the mining sector towards jurisdictions with greater stability and lower geopolitical risks [1] - Investors are increasingly favoring North American mining projects, particularly in states like Nevada, Wyoming, and the Dakotas, which are perceived as safer investments compared to emerging markets [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for December 2026 to $4,900, while Deutsche Bank anticipates an average price of $4,450 through 2026, driven by continued demand from Western ETFs and central banks [2] Company Developments - Rush Gold Corp. has initiated its first exploration programs at its Skylight and Legal Tender properties in Nevada, utilizing high-resolution satellite imaging to assess gold and silver mineralization [3][4] - The company is employing WorldView-3 satellite technology, which offers improved resolution for geological assessments, to identify high-priority areas for exploration [6] - Historical sampling at the Legal Tender property has shown high-grade results, including 1,875 grams per tonne silver and 3.04 grams per tonne gold, although no prior diamond drilling has been recorded [7] - The Skylight property, identified as an intact epithermal gold-silver system, has previously shown gold mineralization in half of the drilled holes, indicating significant exploration potential [8] - Rush Gold has secured funding for its exploration work through a private placement totaling $500,000, with its shares trading on the CSE since June 2025 [9] Other Company Highlights - Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. is expecting final federal approvals for its Grassy Mountain Gold Project in January 2026, marking a significant milestone as the first gold mining project to seek approval in Oregon [10] - Dakota Gold Corp. has reported high-grade gold mineralization at its Richmond Hill project, with significant drill results indicating strong development potential [12][13] - U.S. Gold Corp. is advancing its CK Gold Project in Wyoming, with strategic property acquisitions aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and community engagement [14][15] - Banyan Gold Corp. continues to extend mineralization at its Powerline Deposit in Yukon, with recent drilling results indicating continuity of high-grade mineralization [16][17]

18 December 2025 | 11:33AM EST Commodities Research COMMODITY VIEWS 2026 Outlook: Ride the Power Race and Supply Waves Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Samantha Dart +1(212)357-9428 | samantha.dart@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Lina Thomas +1(212)902-8376 | lina.thomas@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Eoin Dinsmore +65-6889-2401 | eoin.dinsmore@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby +1(646)446-3905 | yulia.grigsby@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LL ...

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Brent is clinging to $60 per barrel, but markets have become even less sensitive to geopolitical risk. Friday, December 19, 2025 Things are not looking good for oil, with Trump’s belligerent rhetoric vis-à-vis Venezuela only pushing ICE Brent futures to $60 per barrel after a slide below that psychological threshold earlier in the week. Sanctions against Russia or threats thereof have by now desensitized the market towards Russian supply risks, once again demonstrated by the lack of price movements ...

Let's get to Kevin Green to unpack all of this information that we've been chewing on this morning. We've got plenty to get across today. Of course, starting first and foremost with that delayed CPI report that's given us the green light this morning, KG.Cooler than expected. Um, obviously it's got a few holes in it given we didn't get October's numbers. So, nothing to work with sequentially, but what do you make of it and then obviously the market reaction this morning.Yeah, a couple of holes within this r ...

Market Overview - Crude oil market is experiencing a battle between geopolitical risks and fundamental oversupply [1][3][4] - Geopolitical risks, including those involving Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, and Venezuela, have not resulted in significant supply reductions [2] - The market is significantly oversupplied, with demand growth for 2025 projected at 1 million barrels per day, while non-OPEC supply is growing at 160% million barrels per day [3] - Fundamentals have won the battle for 2025, with crude down over 20% [5] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Demand has outperformed expectations this year, projected to grow by around 1 million barrels per day this year and potentially 120% million barrels per day next year [8] - If geopolitical risks fade and demand weakens due to global growth risks, crude could test $50 WTI, potentially even $40 [8] - US producers are unlikely to cut back dramatically at the current crude strip, with a more significant response expected $5 lower [13] US Shale Producers - For most US shale producers, $55 is the level where some barrels start to become uneconomical, accelerating drastically below $50 [10] - At current price points, a potential 50,000 to 100,000 barrels per day of production might come off [11] - US producers continue to improve efficiency and drive down break-even points [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The crude oil market is experiencing a conflict between geopolitical risks and fundamental oversupply, with fundamentals currently dominating the price dynamics, leading to a significant decline in crude prices. Geopolitical Risks - Geopolitical tensions, including conflicts involving Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine, and Venezuela, have escalated this year, which typically would suggest potential supply reductions in the oil market [2][5] - Despite these tensions, actual supply disruptions have not materialized, with sanctioned barrels finding buyers [3][4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The market is oversupplied, with demand projected to grow by 1 million barrels per day in 2025, while non-OPEC supply is increasing at 1.6 million barrels per day [3][4] - OPEC's decision to unwind production cuts has further contributed to the oversupply situation [4] - The current price decline of crude oil, over 20%, indicates that fundamentals are prevailing over supply risks [5] Price Sensitivity and Production Response - If geopolitical tensions were resolved, crude prices could test levels around $50 or even the $40s, prompting a supply response from U.S. producers [8][10] - U.S. shale producers typically find $55 as the breakeven point, with production becoming uneconomical below this threshold [10][11] - Despite expectations of production cuts due to lower prices, U.S. producers have shown resilience and efficiency improvements, which may lower the breakeven point further [11][13]

So, let's get to KG on some of these top headlines and see what is driving the price action. And let's start with crude because we of course are tracking Trump's lines this morning about a blockade of these Venezuelan oil tankers. Just talk us through the significance of that story and the impact we're seeing on the markets this morning.KJ, >> yeah, you are seeing crude up about 1.3% so far. We actually did see a pullback here a tad bit. I mean the the supply glut narrative that's taking place in the market ...

Brazil Potash Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Brazil Potash (NYSEAM:GRO) - **Industry**: Potash and Fertilizer Market - **Market Size**: Approximately $22 billion annually [4] Key Points and Arguments Potash Market Dynamics - Potash is a critical nutrient for food production, with no substitutes available [4] - The global potash market is highly concentrated, with Canada, Russia, and Belarus supplying about 80% of the market [5] - Brazil is the largest importer of potash, accounting for 22% of global imports, and is growing at four times the global rate [5] Project Development - Brazil Potash aims to develop a significant potash basin in Brazil, potentially the second largest in the world, with an initial production target of 2.4 million tons per year [5] - The project is fully permitted for construction, having completed necessary engineering, environmental, and social assessments [5][6] Geopolitical Rationale - The reliance on foreign potash suppliers poses risks, especially with geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Belarus [8] - Domestic production of potash in Brazil would enhance food security and mitigate risks associated with supply disruptions [8][9] Financial and Operational Strategies - Brazil Potash has secured long-term take-or-pay commitments from partners like Keytrade, Amaggi, and Kimia, covering 91% of initial production [12][13] - The company is exploring innovative financing structures, such as the BOOT (Build, Own, Operate, Transfer) model for infrastructure projects, which can significantly reduce capital costs [14][15] Environmental and Social Considerations - The project is located on former cattle farming lands, minimizing impact on primary rainforest areas [21] - Brazil Potash is committed to community engagement, providing training programs for local residents to enhance employment opportunities [22][23] - The project aims to utilize renewable energy sources, significantly reducing emissions compared to traditional energy sources [18][19] Future Milestones - Brazil Potash has 23 years of economic reserves, with potential for further expansion [31] - Upcoming milestones include finalizing agreements for the power line, government exemptions from import duties, and additional funding announcements [32][33] Additional Important Information - The company emphasizes the importance of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors in attracting investment [18] - The total construction cost is estimated at $2.5 billion, with plans to minimize equity dilution through asset-level financing [26][27] - The project is expected to take over four years to complete, with a focus on long-term sustainability and community benefits [27][28]

A Russia-flagged tanker came under attack in the Black Sea, Turkish authorities said, the fourth such incident in a week https://t.co/agdct6q7rA ...