February 24, 2026 09:00 PM GMT Minth Group Limited | Asia Pacific M Idea Assessing Sentiment, Fundamental, and Event Drivers | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | Minth Group Limited (0425.HK) | From | To | | Price Target | HK$43.00 | HK$50.00 | Minth's stock is up 35% YTD (vs. HSI +4%), reflecting rising market expectations for order wins in its humanoid and liquid cooling businesses. Despite margin pressure, battery housings are a revenue driver and Mr. Chin's return is a potential event catalyst. ...

Gates Industrial (NYSE:GTES) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Gates Industrial Corporation - **Industry**: Motion Control Industry Key Points Industry and Economic Outlook - The U.S. industrial economy shows signs of recovery, particularly in the industrial OEM sector, which has exceeded expectations [2][10] - The book-to-bill ratio for Gates was reported at 1.06, indicating strong demand [4] - Recovery is noted in commercial construction equipment and agricultural machinery, with cautious optimism for 2026 [10][12] Demand Drivers - The industrial economy has faced over three years of negative performance, with PMIs being negative for approximately 38 months [12][14] - The recent uptick in demand is attributed to a post-COVID restock and a general recovery in specific end markets [16][20] - The recovery is not characterized as a V-shaped recovery but rather a gradual firming of demand [21] Distributor Insights - Strength from large equipment manufacturers typically translates to smaller OEMs, which are serviced by industrial channel partners [22][24] - A lag is expected in distributor confidence, which usually follows OEM performance by one to two quarters [26][30] Personal Mobility and Data Center Markets - Gates has seen significant growth in personal mobility, with expectations of a 30% compound annual growth rate from 2025 to 2028, targeting $300 million in revenue by 2028 [42][44] - The data center market is projected to be a $2 billion opportunity by 2028, with a focus on liquid cooling applications [44][48] Automotive Sector - Automotive OE exposure has decreased to about 8% of revenue from 15% in 2018, with a strategy of selective participation in profitable segments [50][56] - The automotive aftermarket is expected to grow at GDP plus rates, supported by an aging car fleet [62][70] Operational Efficiency and Cost Management - The European ERP rollout is progressing well, with orders being processed and manufacturing operations stabilizing [75][78] - There will be some efficiency headwinds for about one to one and a half quarters due to the ERP implementation [81][83] - The company is focused on optimizing its manufacturing footprint, with completion expected in the second to third quarter of 2026 [91][92] Financial Performance and Guidance - The company anticipates a level-loaded year in 2026, with organic growth projected at 2.5% [109][118] - EBITDA margins are expected to be around 23.5% by the end of the year, with improvements from footprint realignment [113][115] - Incremental margins are projected to be 45%-50% in the first 12 months post-implementation of operational changes [120][123] Capital Deployment and M&A Strategy - Gates has reduced leverage to 1.8 times and has over $800 million in cash on the balance sheet [130][132] - The company plans to focus on share buybacks due to the stock being undervalued, while remaining disciplined in M&A activities [133][134] Market Sentiment - Current ownership is around 65%, with a positive bias towards the company despite low ownership levels [136] This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the Gates Industrial FY Conference, highlighting the company's strategic focus on recovery, operational efficiency, and market opportunities.

Vertiv (NYSE:VRT) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Vertiv - **Industry**: Data Center Infrastructure Key Points Financial Performance and Margins - Vertiv is guiding for a revenue of $28 billion in Q1 and $29 billion for the year, with expected incrementals in the low thirties, specifically 30-35% long term [2][4] - The company focuses on a price-cost equation to maintain margin neutrality, leveraging technology and differentiated offerings to drive pricing [2][4] - Operating leverage is achieved through efficient use of capacity, with some inefficiencies expected in the first quarter due to new capacity additions [3][4] Working Capital and Cash Flow - Deferred revenue has become a significant source of cash as project sizes increase, allowing Vertiv to maintain a cash-neutral to cash-positive position throughout project lifecycles [8][10] - Strong management of inventory and payables contributes to positive working capital, with an uplift from advanced payments and milestone payments [10] Order Backlog and Customer Behavior - The backlog is increasingly filled with longer-dated orders from data center customers, particularly in the back half of the 12-18 month execution window [12][15] - There is a noted shift towards a systems-level purchasing approach among customers, driven by the need for integrated solutions and reference designs [17][20] Product Demand and Growth Areas - High demand is observed for greenfield data centers, particularly in powertrain and thermal management solutions, with a notable interest in liquid cooling technologies [22][23] - Prefabricated solutions are gaining traction, allowing for faster deployment and addressing labor shortages in the industry [20][25] Competitive Landscape and Pricing - Vertiv maintains a strong competitive position in liquid cooling, emphasizing a system-level approach that integrates various components for effective deployment [49][55] - The company is confident in its pricing strategy, leveraging system-level thinking to hold prices and gain premiums, particularly in the Americas [59][60] M&A Strategy - Vertiv's M&A strategy focuses on strategic add-ons that fill portfolio gaps or enhance market presence, with a preference for investments that can be integrated and scaled [62][63] - The company is open to exploring technology paths that complement its existing portfolio and accelerate organic growth plans [64] Future Trends - The evolution towards higher voltage DC architectures is seen as critical for future data center designs, with Vertiv developing an 800-volt DC portfolio to support this transition [36][40] - Liquid cooling is expected to become a standard part of thermal management systems, although traditional heat rejection methods will remain relevant [42][47] Conclusion - Vertiv is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for data center infrastructure, with a focus on integrated solutions, efficient operations, and strategic growth through both organic and inorganic means. The company is adapting to market trends and customer needs, ensuring a robust outlook for future performance.

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.05% to 4134 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.32% [1] - The total market turnover reached 2.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 159.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 3300 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The computing power concept surged, with stocks like TeFa Information and Dongyangguang hitting the daily limit [1] - The liquid cooling concept also rose, with Liou Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit [1] - The power equipment sector saw gains, with multiple stocks including Dongfang Electric hitting the daily limit [1] - The CPO concept was active, with Tianfu Tongxin rising over 14% [1] - The small metals sector strengthened, with Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the daily limit [1] - AI-related sectors such as Zhipu AI, Tencent Cloud, and AI chips had significant gains [1] - Conversely, the film and cultural media sectors declined, with stocks like Jinyi Film and Hengdian Film hitting the daily limit [1] - The tourism sector weakened, with Haikan Co., Ltd. dropping over 7% [1] - The prepared food concept weakened, with Haixin Food hitting the daily limit [1] - Other sectors such as millet economy, tax refund stores, and dairy stocks experienced notable declines [1] Top Gainers - The top gainers included sectors such as computer hardware, heavy machinery, and the internet, with respective five-day increases of 3.81%, 2.92%, and 2.85% [2] - Other sectors with positive net capital inflow included communication equipment, shipping, and electrical grid, with increases of 2.79%, 2.23%, and 2.15% respectively [2]

Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology - **Stock Code**: 002837.SZ - **Industry**: AI Robotics & Power, specifically focusing on server cooling technologies Key Points and Arguments 2026 Sales and Earnings Outlook - Envicool anticipates sales growth exceeding its historical target of 30% per annum, with earnings growth expected to outpace sales growth in 2026, marking a critical inflection point for mass production across multiple customers and supply chains [1][23] - The company projects total sales growth of 79% in 2026 and 49% in 2027, with earnings growth of 127% in 2026 and 67% in 2027 [1] Growth Drivers 1. **ASIC Supply Chain Breakthroughs**: Significant contributions from Coolant Distribution Unit (CDU) products are expected in the second half of 2026, particularly from the 2MW Google Project Deschutes 5 design [1][15] 2. **NVIDIA Ecosystem Penetration**: A 20x capacity expansion for Quick Disconnects (QDs) is set to be operational by the end of Q1 2026 to meet rising demand [1][16] 3. **BESS Growth**: The energy storage system (ESS) cooling segment is projected to grow significantly, driven by global demand and increased content value in overseas markets [1][19] Financial Projections - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected revenues of Rmb 11.54 billion in 2026 and Rmb 17.23 billion in 2027 [1][14] - **EBITDA Forecast**: Projected EBITDA of Rmb 1.66 billion in 2026 and Rmb 2.76 billion in 2027 [1][14] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Expected EPS of Rmb 1.45 in 2026 and Rmb 2.42 in 2027 [1][14] Margin Trends - The company expects an increase in overall margins in 2026 due to a rising mix of overseas sales, despite potential near-term headwinds from commodity price increases [1][20] - Forecasted Gross Profit Margin (GPM) of 28.6% in 2026 and 29.1% in 2027, with Net Profit Margin (NPM) of 12.3% in 2026 and 13.7% in 2027 [1][20] Capacity Expansion - Envicool is expanding production capacity both domestically and internationally, including a 20x increase in QD capacity by the end of Q1 2026 [1][17] - The company is also ramping up capacity in the US and Thailand for server cooling products [1][17] Investment Thesis - The company is rated as a "Buy" with a target price of Rmb 121.1, based on a projected P/E of 42x for 2028E discounted back to 2026E [1][24] - Envicool is positioned to capture a growing share of the global server liquid cooling market, with expectations of 5% market share in 2027E, 7% in 2028E, and 10% by 2030E [1][23] Additional Important Insights - The company is selective in domestic data center cooling projects due to intense pricing competition, while the overall industry demand remains strong [1][20] - Envicool's strong R&D capabilities and extensive experience in liquid cooling deployment position it favorably against new entrants in the market [1][16] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding Shenzhen Envicool Technology's growth prospects, financial outlook, and strategic initiatives in the server cooling market.

Core Insights - The liquid cooling industry is entering a "second development stage" marked by performance realization as AI cluster scale construction progresses [1] Group 1: Rubin Platform and Cooling Solutions - NVIDIA's CEO announced the full-scale production of the Vera Rubin platform, which features a "six-core integrated" design aimed at breaking the computing power ceiling [2] - The Rubin platform will implement 100% liquid cooling coverage and a third-generation fully cable-free design, enhancing thermal management with a modular design [2] - The cooling components for the next-generation Vera Rubin NVL144 platform are expected to reach a total value of $55,700 per cabinet, a 17% increase from the previous GB300 platform [2] Group 2: Liquid Cooling Market Growth - The liquid cooling market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the expansion of downstream industries such as computing power, energy storage, and electric vehicles [3] - The global liquid cooling market for NVIDIA GPUs is projected to reach $11.9 billion, while the ASIC liquid cooling market is expected to reach $4.6 billion, leading to an overall market size of $16.5 billion (approximately 116.2 billion RMB) by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of about 59% from 2025 to 2026 [3] Group 3: Stock Performance and Investment Opportunities - 26 liquid cooling concept stocks have seen an average increase of 79.73% since 2025, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [4] - Among these, several stocks have doubled in value, including Chunzong Technology, Siquan New Materials, and Yidong Electronics [4] - 19 liquid cooling concept stocks are expected to have a net profit growth rate exceeding 20% in 2026 and 2027, with five stocks having a rolling P/E ratio below 40 [7] - The stock with the highest predicted upside is Zhongke Shuguang, with a potential increase of 47.27% based on target prices [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - Shares of cooling system manufacturers for data centers experienced significant declines following comments from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang regarding the potential reduced need for traditional water chillers due to the capabilities of Nvidia's next-generation Rubin chips [1][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Trane Technologies Plc's stock fell as much as 11%, marking its steepest intraday drop since 2020 [1][12]. - Modine Manufacturing Co's stock dropped by 21% [1][12]. - Johnson Controls International Plc and Carrier Global Corp also saw notable declines amid the selloff [1][12]. Group 2: Technological Implications - Huang indicated that Nvidia's Rubin chips can be cooled using water at higher temperatures, potentially eliminating the need for traditional water chillers [2][10]. - Bloomberg Intelligence highlighted that chillers are a "predominant" component of data-center cooling equipment [2]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Analyst Insights - Analyst Timothy Wojs from Robert W. Baird expressed concerns about the long-term positioning of chillers in data centers as liquid cooling becomes more prevalent [3][4]. - Wojs does not foresee major risks to near-term estimates for cooling-system makers but anticipates potential order concerns later in 2026 [6]. - Citi analyst Andrew Kaplowitz described the stock decline as "overdone," emphasizing the established relationships between cooling-system manufacturers and chipmakers [8][13]. - Barclays analyst Julian Mitchell noted that Vertiv, which has a strong position in liquid cooling, may benefit from the changes discussed by Huang, despite potential headwinds for its chiller business [9][13].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenue for Q1 was $8.3 billion, at the high end of guidance, with core operating income of $454 million and a core operating margin of 5.5% [4][5] - Core diluted earnings per share for Q1 was $2.85, at the upper end of guidance, while GAAP diluted earnings per share was $1.35 [4][5] - The company ended the quarter with a net debt to core EBITDA ratio of 1.2 times and cash balances of $1.6 billion [7] Performance by Business Segment - Regulated industries generated $3.1 billion in revenue, up 4% year over year, with a core operating margin of 5.8% [5][14] - Intelligent Infrastructure revenue was $3.9 billion, driven by strength in cloud and data center infrastructure, with a core operating margin of 5.2% [5][12] - Connected Living and Digital Commerce revenue was $1.4 billion, with a core operating margin of 5.5% [6][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intelligent Infrastructure is expected to see revenue growth of 42% year over year in Q2, driven by strong demand across various sectors [8][12] - Regulated industries are projected to generate $2.78 billion in revenue for Q2, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase [8] - Connected Living and Digital Commerce revenue is expected to decline by 10% in Q2 due to planned program attrition [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on margin expansion, capital efficiency, and sustained cash generation, with a strong emphasis on AI-related revenue growth [9][16] - The acquisition of Hanley Energy is expected to enhance capabilities in modular power distribution and energy systems for next-generation data centers [12][49] - The company anticipates a diversified revenue mix, with Intelligent Infrastructure leading growth, and expects to raise full-year guidance for revenue and core EPS [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of the diversified portfolio and the ability to navigate changing market conditions [9][17] - The outlook for fiscal 2026 has been raised, with expectations of approximately $32.4 billion in revenue, an increase of $1.1 billion from prior estimates [16] - Management noted that all three segments are contributing to the better-than-expected performance, with Intelligent Infrastructure showing particularly strong results [11][17] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $300 million of shares under its existing share repurchase authorization during Q1 [7] - The core tax rate for Q2 and the full year is expected to be 21% [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more color on the new wins in the intelligent infrastructure space? - Management highlighted that the intelligent infrastructure segment is outperforming, with significant revenue increases driven by recent program wins and strong demand in cloud and data center infrastructure [22][23] Question: What are the prospects for operating margins in fiscal 2027? - Management indicated that while they are focused on FY26, they feel optimistic about achieving above 6% operating margins in FY27, driven by better mix and capacity utilization [27][28] Question: How is the healthcare business expected to evolve? - Management noted that the healthcare business remains solid, with ongoing demand across various platforms, and they are actively pursuing M&A opportunities to enhance capabilities [39][40] Question: What is the outlook for the automotive segment? - Management remains cautiously optimistic about the automotive segment, expecting potential upside in 2027 and 2028 as they continue to invest in powertrain-agnostic technologies [55][56] Question: Can you discuss the impact of the Hanley acquisition? - Management emphasized that the Hanley acquisition will enhance their capabilities in power and energy management solutions, providing a platform for ongoing revenue streams [49][50]

Summary of Arista Networks FY Conference Call (December 11, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET) - **Industry**: IT Hardware and Communication Equipment Key Points Competitive Landscape - **AI Momentum**: Strong activity in the AI space, with Arista focusing on scale-out networking to connect accelerators rather than competing directly with NVIDIA's closed systems [4][5] - **Differentiation**: Arista's unique selling proposition lies in its software (EOS) and efficient hardware design, which offers about 25% lower power draw compared to competitors [6] Market Opportunities - **Non-NVIDIA Accelerators**: Growth in non-NVIDIA accelerator ecosystems presents new opportunities for Arista, particularly in scale-out and scale-across networking [5] - **Campus Market**: Arista is targeting the $30 billion campus market, currently holding about 2.5% market share overall and approximately 5% in the large enterprise segment [15][16] Product Development - **AI and Cloud Deployments**: Arista is seeing strong growth in AI deployments, with a target of $2.75 billion in revenue, driven by both large and tier-two cloud customers [19][20] - **Liquid Cooling Technology**: Anticipated ramp-up in liquid cooling technology for data centers, expected to complement existing compute infrastructure [38][39] Financial Metrics - **Deferred Revenue**: The company has a growing deferred product revenue balance, attributed to longer acceptance terms for larger, more complex projects [24] - **Growth Projections**: Arista expects over 50% growth in the campus segment for the upcoming year, indicating strong demand and market share gains [13] Strategic Partnerships - **Engagement Models**: Different engagement models exist between hyperscalers and tier-two clouds, with hyperscalers requiring close partnerships for co-development [21][22] - **Dual Sourcing Preference**: Customers prefer dual sourcing to avoid being locked into proprietary technologies, which benefits Arista as an Ethernet vendor [32] Technology Trends - **Speed Migration**: The transition from 400G to 800G is expected to accelerate, particularly in AI applications, with Arista focusing on being first to market with next-gen products [34][36] - **Optical Technologies**: LPO (Low Power Optics) and CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) are seen as promising technologies that can reduce costs and power consumption [40] Supply Chain Management - **Component Availability**: Arista faces challenges in managing component availability due to high demand and long lead times for chips, requiring strategic pre-ordering [42][43] Conclusion - Arista Networks is well-positioned in the IT hardware and communication equipment industry, with strong growth prospects in AI, cloud, and campus markets. The company's focus on software differentiation, efficient hardware design, and strategic partnerships will be crucial in navigating competitive dynamics and supply chain challenges.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of timely and relevant research reports in identifying investment opportunities, particularly in emerging markets like liquid cooling and AI-driven storage solutions [1] - The liquid cooling market is projected to reach a trillion yuan, with domestic companies accelerating their entry into the market, highlighting the competitive landscape and potential beneficiaries within the NVIDIA ecosystem [1] - AI is driving a new cycle in storage, with HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) expected to grow fivefold over six years, indicating a significant growth opportunity in the equipment sector for key players [1]