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Affirm Stock Down As Klarna's Buy Now, Pay Later Credit Loss Rises 17%
Forbes· 2025-05-31 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Despite recent growth in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) industry, concerns about future performance are rising among investors, particularly due to increasing default rates and a weakening economy [2][10][14]. Company Performance - Affirm Holdings' stock has decreased by 17% in 2025 following a prediction of lower-than-expected growth for the current quarter [2]. - In the last three years, Affirm's stock has increased by 126%, reaching $52 per share, while the industry has expanded at an annual rate exceeding 50% [3]. - The company's fiscal third quarter results showed revenue of $783 million, a 36% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share of $0.01, surpassing expectations [5]. - The fourth quarter revenue guidance is set at $830 million, which is $11 million below consensus estimates, while the gross merchandise value (GMV) guidance is $9.55 billion, exceeding expectations by $350 million [5]. Industry Trends - The BNPL market has grown significantly, with an average annual growth rate of 55% since 2021, expanding from $97 billion to an estimated $560 billion in 2025 [10]. - The rise in BNPL loans has led to increased investment in the industry, but also to rising default rates among major players [10][12]. - Nearly two-thirds of BNPL loans are issued to borrowers with risky credit scores, indicating potential credit quality issues [12]. Consumer Behavior - Affirm's business is closely linked to consumer spending in sectors like electronics, apparel, and travel, with a 10% growth in active customers reaching 22 million in the third quarter [6]. - The company has introduced 0% interest loans, which have increased by 44%, as a strategy to drive sales and enhance customer lifetime value [8][9]. Market Sentiment - Wall Street analysts view Affirm's stock as undervalued, trading 29% below the average price target of $67.18 set by 21 analysts [4]. - Despite concerns, some analysts remain bullish on Affirm, citing its leadership in the BNPL space and recent partnerships, such as with Costco [17].
A Smarter Way to Pay: Giftify's CardCash Launches Buy Now, Pay Later with ZIP
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-28 12:30
Core Insights - Giftify, Inc. has launched a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) payment option for CardCash.com through a partnership with Zip Co, enhancing customer flexibility in gift card purchases [1][2][3] Group 1: Company Overview - Giftify, Inc. operates CardCash.com and Restaurant.com, focusing on the incentives and rewards industry [9][10] - CardCash.com is a leading secondary gift card exchange platform, allowing consumers to buy and sell gift cards [10] Group 2: BNPL Integration - The BNPL option allows customers to split gift card purchases into installments at checkout, making it more accessible for shoppers [2][4] - This payment model is particularly appealing to Millennials and Gen Z consumers, who prefer alternatives to traditional credit [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Goals - The integration of BNPL aligns with Giftify's strategic vision to expand payment options and enhance customer experience [3] - The company aims to help customers maximize savings during financial constraints by combining gift card discounts with flexible payment options [5]
Mastercard vs. Affirm: Which Payments Stock Has More Room to Run?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:45
Core Viewpoint - Mastercard and Affirm represent two distinct approaches within the digital payments landscape, with Mastercard being a traditional player and Affirm emerging as a disruptor in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector [1][2]. Group 1: Mastercard Overview - Mastercard operates in over 210 countries, processing trillions of dollars annually, and has a history of steady revenue growth supported by strong relationships with banks, merchants, and consumers [3]. - In its latest quarter, Mastercard reported earnings of $3.73 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.5%, driven by increased gross dollar volume and strong consumer spending [4]. - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.7% [4]. - Mastercard is investing in cybersecurity and AI to maintain its competitive edge, but faces challenges such as reliance on transaction fees and potential softening of credit card usage due to high interest rates and growing consumer debt [5][6]. Group 2: Affirm Overview - Affirm is positioned at the intersection of e-commerce and credit, offering flexible financing solutions that appeal to younger consumers who prefer transparent terms over traditional credit cards [7]. - The company reported a 36% year-over-year growth in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) in its most recent quarter, indicating improving margins and a path toward profitability [8]. - Affirm's earnings of a penny per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 9 cents, supported by growth in GMV and rising transaction volumes [9]. - The company has established partnerships with major retailers like Amazon and Shopify, enhancing its access to consumers and positioning itself for future growth in a mobile-first payment landscape [10]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past 12 months, Mastercard stock has returned 26.9%, outperforming the S&P 500's 12% gain, while Affirm has seen a dramatic 59.1% increase [13]. - Mastercard trades at a forward P/E of 34.35X, higher than its three-year median and the S&P 500's 21.88X, while Affirm's price-to-sales ratio of 4.41X is lower than the S&P 500's 5.13X [16]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mastercard's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 13.1% and 9.3%, while Affirm's current year sales and EPS estimates signal 37% and 95.8% year-over-year improvements [18]. Group 4: Conclusion - Mastercard is characterized by consistency and profitability, offering a lower-risk profile, but lacks the disruptive innovation seen in Affirm [20]. - Affirm, while more volatile and still working towards profitability, presents a compelling growth narrative with strong partnerships and innovative technology [20][21].
Klarna Swings to profit as UK moves to regulate buy now, pay later sector
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-05-19 14:40
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2][3] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team operates from key finance and investing hubs, including London, New York, Toronto, Vancouver, Sydney, and Perth [2][3] Group 2 - Proactive employs technology to enhance workflows and has a forward-looking approach to technology adoption [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
2 High Growth Buy Now, Pay Later Stocks Challenging PayPal
MarketBeat· 2025-05-15 11:30
Core Insights - The buy now, pay later (BNPL) business model is experiencing rapid growth, with PayPal reporting a 20% increase in payment volume through its BNPL product in Q1 [1] - PayPal's BNPL customers are notably active, spending 33% more and conducting 17% more transactions compared to other users [2] - Despite the growth in BNPL, PayPal's overall revenue increased by only 2% on a constant currency basis, indicating it is not currently a high-growth stock [2] PayPal - PayPal is focusing on the BNPL segment due to the higher spending and transaction frequency of BNPL customers [2] - The company is facing challenges in maintaining growth, as evidenced by its modest revenue increase [2] Sezzle - Sezzle reported exceptional revenue growth of over 123% in Q1, alongside a significant increase in adjusted operating margin by over 1,600 basis points compared to Q4 2024 [3] - The company achieved an adjusted net income margin of over 34%, significantly outperforming competitor Affirm's margin of less than 1% [4] - Sezzle raised its revenue growth guidance for 2025 from 25% to over 62% and increased its adjusted earnings per share guidance by 47% to $3.25 [5] - Following its strong Q1 results, Sezzle's shares surged over 42% [5] - Analysts at B. Riley raised their price target on Sezzle by 60% to $101 per share, indicating a potential upside of around 12% [6] Affirm - Affirm experienced a revenue increase of 36% in the last quarter and raised its guidance for the next quarter, although the increase was less than expected, leading to a 14% drop in shares [8] - Affirm's partnership with Costco, which has an estimated e-commerce revenue exceeding $11 billion in 2024, is a significant development that could enhance its gross merchandise volume (GMV) [11][12] - Costco's e-commerce sales growth rate of 22% on a constant currency basis positions Affirm favorably compared to smaller competitors like Sezzle [12] Market Positioning - Sezzle and Affirm represent two distinct investment opportunities within the growing BNPL industry, with Sezzle being a smaller, rapidly growing player and Affirm being a more established company with significant partnerships [13]
3 Hidden Tech Stocks to Buy Now (PGY, SEZL, APP)
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 21:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential resurgence of the bull market, highlighting opportunities in lesser-known tech stocks alongside established names like the Magnificent 7 and leading AI companies [1] Group 1: Under-the-Radar Tech Stocks - Three tech stocks, Sezzle Inc. (SEZL), Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY), and AppLovin (APP), are identified as having significant growth potential and are showing strong momentum [2][3] - These companies are characterized as high-growth innovators with robust growth forecasts and favorable stock price movements, supported by a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. - Pagaya Technologies operates at the intersection of AI and financial technology, utilizing machine learning to improve credit decision-making and underwriting in consumer lending [4] - Despite a setback following a disappointing Q1 earnings report, Pagaya has shown a strong recovery, with analysts raising earnings forecasts and achieving a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - The stock trades at a forward earnings multiple of 8.3x, with projected sales growth of 20% this year and 16% next year, alongside expected earnings growth of 112% in 2025 and 39% in 2026 [6] Group 3: Sezzle Inc. - Sezzle operates in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector, providing flexible financing options while focusing on profitability and disciplined growth [8] - The stock, despite a significant rally, remains attractively valued at 26.9x forward earnings, with projected sales growth of 62% this year and 20.8% next year, and earnings expected to rise 76% in 2025 and 30% in 2026 [9][10] - Sezzle also holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting a positive earnings revision trend with significant increases in earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 [10] Group 4: AppLovin - AppLovin provides a mobile app marketing and monetization platform powered by machine learning, aiding app developers in revenue optimization [11] - The company has experienced substantial growth, with recent upward earnings revisions of 19.2% for the current quarter and 12.5% for the full year [12] - Although trading at a premium valuation of 42.5x forward earnings, the growth outlook is strong, with projected sales increases of 24.3% in 2025 and 16.3% in 2026, and earnings expected to grow by 70.6% this year and 44.8% next year [13][16] Group 5: Investment Considerations - For investors seeking high-growth tech exposure beyond major names, Pagaya Technologies, Sezzle, and AppLovin present a compelling mix of momentum, earnings strength, and long-term potential, supported by rising analyst estimates and top Zacks Ranks [17]
Affirm Card GMV Jumps 115%, Says It Can Weather ‘Recession Scenario'
PYMNTS.com· 2025-05-09 01:41
Core Insights - Affirm experienced significant growth in its fiscal third quarter, with gross merchandise value (GMV) and revenues both increasing 36% year over year to $8.6 billion and $783 million, respectively, although guidance indicates a slight deceleration in growth rates ahead [1][3][5] Financial Performance - The Affirm Card's GMV surged 115% year over year to $807 million, with 2 million active cardholders, contributing to a total of 21.9 million active consumers, up 23% from a year ago [6][1] - Revenues rose 36% to $783 million, with 0% APR monthly installments growing by 44%, accounting for 13% of the company's GMV [4][5] - Merchant counts increased by 20% to 358,000, while charge-offs are trending toward 3.5% and loss rates for Pay in 4 loans are below 1% [6] Guidance and Future Outlook - Guidance for the current quarter anticipates revenues between $815 million and $845 million, with a midpoint of $830 million, slightly below the Street's consensus of $840 million [7] - The company expects year-on-year growth of 34%, down from the 36% growth seen in the last quarter, with elevated growth rates observed in April [9] Macroeconomic Considerations - Affirm expressed confidence in managing various macroeconomic environments, anticipating increased demand for payment flexibility during stress scenarios [2][9] - The company estimates that in a recession scenario with a ~50% increase in credit stress, a reduction in approvals could cost about 10 percentage points of GMV growth [9] Consumer Behavior and Credit Reporting - Affirm noted healthy repayment rates and a slight uptick in prepayments, indicating positive credit signals [7] - The company highlighted the importance of credit reporting, stating that timely repayments help consumers build their credit history and improve their credit scores [10]
Affirm, Costco Launch BNPL Partnership for eCommerce
PYMNTS.com· 2025-05-08 22:05
Affirm is partnering with Costco to offer online shoppers the option to pay over time for transactions.The financial services company announced the collaboration Thursday (May 8) in a shareholder letter. Customers, if approved, will be to able select monthly Affirm payment plans when shopping on Costco’s website.“[We] are proud to announce our online partnership with Costco — a brand and a retailer I have personally admired for a long time because of their unwavering commitment to customer experience and tr ...
Sezzle CEO Touts New Product Momentum and Enterprise Focus; Raises 2025 Guidance
PYMNTS.com· 2025-05-07 23:37
Core Insights - The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) will not classify buy now, pay later (BNPL) companies like credit card networks, allowing Sezzle to focus on consumer engagement and platform innovation [1] Financial Performance - Sezzle reported a gross merchandise volume (GMV) increase of 64.1% year over year, reaching $808.7 million, driven by higher subscriber and user engagement [4] - Total revenue rose by 123.3% to $104.9 million, achieving a new quarterly high, while net income increased over fourfold to $36.2 million, equating to $1.00 per diluted share [4] - Operating expenses decreased to 52.4% of revenue, an 18.2-point improvement from the previous year [5] - The company raised its 2025 net income forecast by nearly 50% to $120 million, reflecting management's confidence in sustaining growth [6] Product and Service Innovations - Sezzle introduced several new features, including a Pay-in-5 beta program, enhanced shopping tools, and a financial education module called Money IQ [2][3] - The Pay-in-5 feature is expected to grow, currently accounting for under 10% of volume but showing positive initial results [11] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on enterprise-level merchants and exploring new verticals like grocery, where BNPL adoption has been slower [7] - Sezzle's On Demand product is experiencing monthly sequential growth, indicating strong consumer interest and engagement [8] Customer Engagement - Consumer purchase frequency increased to 6.1 times per year from 4.5, indicating stronger user engagement and higher lifetime value [5] - The expansion of the merchant network and online communities aims to enhance customer loyalty and financial literacy [3]
EBay Expands Klarna BNPL Services to US
PYMNTS.com· 2025-04-23 19:55
Group 1 - eBay has expanded its partnership with Klarna to offer buy now, pay later (BNPL) options to American consumers, allowing them to split eligible purchases into four interest-free payments or choose longer-term financing [1][2] - Klarna's BNPL services have already been available to eBay shoppers in several European countries, and the company has introduced a resale feature in its app that simplifies the process of listing previously purchased items on eBay [2][3] - Since December 2024, Klarna's resale feature has generated over 500,000 new eBay listings, including refurbished electronics and preowned fashion items [3] Group 2 - Klarna has a significant presence in brick-and-mortar retail, with a recent partnership with Clover enabling installment payments at over 100,000 stores [3] - eBay is also expanding its payment acceptance through a partnership with Checkout.com and has added Venmo as a checkout option for U.S. customers [4] - The consumer popularity of BNPL continues to grow, with 38% of American consumers using BNPL as of late 2024, and BNPL transactions in the U.S. valued at $175 billion [5][6]