Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Peabody Energy due to lower revenues, with a consensus estimate of a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year change of -125.3% [1][3] Earnings Expectations - Revenues for Peabody Energy are projected to be $971.6 million, which is a decrease of 10.7% compared to the same quarter last year [3] - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on October 30, and the stock may react positively if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 500% over the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Peabody Energy aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, but its predictive power is mainly significant for positive readings [9][10] - Peabody Energy currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Peabody Energy was expected to post a loss of $0.04 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.06, resulting in a surprise of -50.00% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14] Industry Context - Ramaco Resources, another player in the coal industry, is expected to report a loss per share of $0.33 for the same quarter, with revenues projected at $125.32 million, down 25.1% year-over-year [18] - The consensus EPS estimate for Ramaco Resources has been revised down by 4400% in the last 30 days, and it also holds a Zacks Rank of 4, indicating challenges in predicting an earnings beat [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Fidus Investment (FDUS) due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - Fidus Investment is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.50 per share, reflecting an 18% decrease year-over-year [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $36.96 million, down 3.7% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.42% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Fidus Investment is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.34% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - Fidus Investment currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Fidus Investment exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $0.57 per share against an expected $0.53, resulting in a surprise of +7.55% [13]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - Fidus Investment does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered for investment decisions [17].

Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) is expected to report a significant decline in earnings for Q3 2025, with an estimated earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31, reflecting a 25.6% decrease year-over-year [1][7] - Revenue estimates for the same quarter are projected at $20.84 billion, indicating a 6.3% decline from the previous year [2] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has been revised downward by 5 cents over the past 60 days, with a current estimate of $1.31 [1] - The trend of estimate revisions shows a decrease of 3.68% for Q1, 1.45% for Q2, 1.22% for EJ, and 1.62% for F2 over the last 60 days [2] Operational Challenges - UPS is facing challenges due to geopolitical uncertainties, high inflation, and tariff issues, which are expected to negatively impact shipping volumes [4][7] - Labor costs are anticipated to be high, prompting UPS to implement cost-cutting measures, including offering buyouts to delivery drivers for the first time in its history [5] Customer Relations and Business Strategy - UPS has agreed to reduce business with its largest customer, Amazon, by over 50% by June 2026, as Amazon was not deemed a profitable customer [6] - The expiration of the De Minimis exemption has led to customs bottlenecks, causing UPS to discard some shipments [8][9] Market Position and Stock Performance - UPS shares have declined over 30% year-to-date, underperforming compared to the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry's 22.4% decline [13] - The company's current Zacks Rank is 4 (Sell), indicating a challenging outlook for the near term [11] Valuation and Future Outlook - UPS shares are trading at a discount based on the forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S) ratio compared to the industry average, although rival FedEx is cheaper [17][18] - The decline in shipping demand and the recent failure of the Estafeta deal represent setbacks for UPS, impacting its expansion efforts [21][22] - Despite the challenges, UPS has the brand and network to generate steady cash flows in the long run, making it a compelling long-term investment [24]

Core Insights - Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $4.98 per share, a 21% increase from $4.11 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.64 [1] - The company's profits reached $99.03 million, up from $83.07 million year over year [1] - VMI's revenues for the third quarter were $1,046 million, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,038.8 million [1][8] Segment Performance - Infrastructure segment revenues increased by 6.6% year over year to $808.3 million, driven by strong utility demand and improved factory throughput, surpassing the estimate of $772.4 million [2] - Utility sales rose by 12.3% due to favorable pricing and higher volumes, while telecommunications sales grew significantly due to effective execution aligned with carrier investment programs [3] - Coatings revenue also saw an increase, but these gains were partially offset by a decline in Solar sales and reduced Lighting & Transportation sales in the Asia-Pacific region [3] Agriculture Segment - Agriculture revenue declined by approximately 9% year over year to $241.3 million, missing the estimate of $263.7 million, primarily due to weaker demand for irrigation equipment and macroeconomic challenges [4] - International sales faced additional pressure from project sales timing in the Middle East, while North American agricultural demand remained soft [4] Financial Overview - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $226.1 million, with cash provided by operating activities at $345.2 million, down 32% year over year [5] - VMI returned $39.2 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter and invested $41.9 million in capital expenditures for growth initiatives [5] 2025 Outlook - VMI updated its full-year 2025 guidance, anticipating net sales of approximately $4.1 billion, with infrastructure segment revenue of around $3.1 billion and agriculture segment revenue of about $1 billion [6] - The adjusted earnings per share outlook was raised to a range of $18.70 to $19.50 from the previous range of $17.50 to $19.50, with capital expenditure expected to be between $140 million and $160 million [6] Stock Performance - VMI's shares have increased by 25.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry's rise of 15.5% [7]

Core Insights - Texas Capital (TCBI) reported revenue of $340.35 million for Q3 2025, marking an 11.6% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $325.46 million by 4.58% [1] - The company's EPS for the same quarter was $2.18, up from $1.62 a year ago, representing a surprise of 23.16% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.77 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Efficiency Ratio was reported at 56%, better than the estimated 60.2% [4] - Net Interest Margin stood at 3.5%, slightly above the estimated 3.4% [4] - Net charge-offs to average total loans held for investment remained stable at 0.2%, matching the estimate [4] - Average Balance of Total Earning Assets was $31 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $30.82 billion [4] - Total Non-Performing Assets were reported at $96.08 million, lower than the estimated $118.01 million [4] - Non-Accrual Loans held for investment were also at $96.08 million, compared to the estimate of $118.01 million [4] - Net Interest Income was $271.77 million, surpassing the average estimate of $261.14 million [4] - Total Non-Interest Income reached $68.58 million, exceeding the estimate of $64.31 million [4] - Net Interest Income (FTE) was reported at $272.28 million, above the estimate of $261.7 million [4] - Service Charges on Deposit Accounts were $8.11 million, slightly below the estimate of $8.57 million [4] - Other Non-Interest Income was $12.84 million, higher than the estimate of $10.07 million [4] - Wealth Management and Trust Fee Income was reported at $3.99 million, above the estimate of $3.82 million [4] Stock Performance - Texas Capital's shares have returned -4.7% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, with earnings estimated at $1.29 per share, reflecting a 0.77% downward revision over the past 60 days, while revenues are projected at $4.29 billion, indicating a 7.6% decrease from the same quarter in 2024 [1][10] Earnings Performance - C.H. Robinson has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 11.83% [2] - The company's second-quarter 2025 results showed mixed performance, with earnings of $1.29 per share exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.17, while total revenues of $4.13 billion fell short of the estimate of $4.22 billion, marking a 7.7% year-over-year decline [7][8] Revenue Estimates - North American Surface Transportation revenue for Q3 is estimated at $2.96 billion, reflecting a 0.8% increase year-over-year [4] - Global Forwarding's Q3 revenue is projected at $799.6 million, indicating a significant 29.9% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to lower pricing in ocean services [4] - Revenues from All Other and Corporate segments are estimated at $460.6 million, representing a 19% decline year-over-year, attributed to lower transaction volumes and the divestiture of the Europe Surface Transportation business [5] Influencing Factors - The anticipated performance for CHRW in Q3 is expected to be significantly affected by the divestiture of its Europe Surface Transportation business, reduced volumes in North America truckload services, and lower pricing in ocean services [3]

Core Viewpoint - Carter's, Inc. is expected to report a decline in both revenue and earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with challenges stemming from macroeconomic pressures and a tough retail environment [1][4]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $751 million, reflecting a decrease of 0.98% compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is 78 cents per share, indicating a significant drop of 52.4% from the previous year's figure [2]. Recent Performance and Trends - Carter's has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 7.5% on average, but the last reported quarter saw a substantial miss of 60.5% against the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3]. - The U.S. Retail segment has shown modest improvement, with a 2% comparable sales gain in July and strong sales in the baby category, which increased by double digits [5]. Challenges and Market Conditions - The company faces persistent inflation and high interest rates, which are impacting its core demographic of families with young children [4]. - Discretionary spending constraints are affecting apparel demand, and the promotional marketplace is likely to have restrained top-line growth [6]. - Higher selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) as a percentage of sales are straining operating margins due to fixed cost deleverage from lower sales [7]. Strategic Initiatives - Carter's is focusing on strategic initiatives to improve long-term performance, including enhancing merchandise assortments and refining inventory management [9]. - The company is also implementing improved pricing strategies and strengthening its e-commerce capabilities to adapt to changing consumer preferences [9]. Valuation Perspective - From a valuation standpoint, Carter's is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 12.12X, which is below its five-year high of 21.14X and the industry average of 28.76X, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors [13]. - Over the past three months, CRI's shares have declined by 9.1%, compared to an 11.4% decline in the industry [14].

Core Viewpoint - Whirlpool Corporation (WHR) is expected to report a decline in both revenue and earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with challenging market conditions impacting performance [1][10]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $3.92 billion, reflecting a 1.7% decrease from the same quarter last year [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings has risen by 2.9% over the past 30 days to $1.42 per share, but this still represents a significant 58.6% decline compared to the previous year [2]. Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, the company experienced a negative earnings surprise of 13%, although it has surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 0.6% over the last four quarters [3]. Market Conditions and Challenges - Sluggish global demand, negative consumer sentiment, inflationary pressures, and market uncertainty are expected to adversely affect quarterly results [4]. - Weak home sales and reduced discretionary spending have further contributed to performance challenges [4]. - Increased promotional activity, adverse price/mix effects, and foreign currency translations are additional headwinds [4]. Competitive Landscape - The company faces volume pressure due to intensified competition, particularly from foreign rivals who have pre-loaded Asian imports ahead of tariff implementations, creating a highly promotional environment [5]. - Rising raw material costs, particularly for steel, resins, and base metals, are anticipated to impact margins in the upcoming quarter [5]. Management Actions - Management is implementing cost-cutting measures and pricing strategies to mitigate high-cost concerns, including reducing structural and discretionary costs [7]. - The company is focusing on new product introductions and launches as part of its strategy to enhance performance [7]. Valuation Metrics - WHR's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 5.25x, which is below its five-year high of 13.51x and the industry average of 8.50x, indicating potential value for investors [9]. - Over the past three months, WHR's shares have declined by 4.1%, compared to a 7.1% decline in the industry [9].

Core Viewpoint - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 21.2% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $319.2 million, which is a decline of 4.2% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.64% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +2.06% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10] - However, the current Zacks Rank for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, the company exceeded the expected earnings of $0.40 per share by delivering $0.43, resulting in a surprise of +7.50% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates each time [14] Market Reaction Considerations - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15] - It is advisable for investors to consider the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before the quarterly release to enhance the likelihood of success [16]

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Deutsche Bank (DB) reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on October 29, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expect ...