Implied Volatility
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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Avery Dennison Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 16:06
Company Overview - Investors in Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) should monitor stock movements due to significant activity in the options market, particularly the Dec 19, 2025 $105.00 Put, which has high implied volatility [1] Implied Volatility Insights - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectations for future stock movement, with high levels suggesting potential for a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] Analyst Sentiment - Avery Dennison currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Containers - Paper and Packaging industry, which is in the bottom 15% of the Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, one analyst raised earnings estimates for the current quarter, while three analysts lowered theirs, resulting in a consensus estimate decrease from $2.44 to $2.41 per share [3] Trading Strategy Implications - The high implied volatility surrounding Avery Dennison may indicate a developing trading opportunity. Options traders often seek high implied volatility options to sell premium, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as anticipated by expiration [4]
Long Straddle Screener Results For December 2nd
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-02 12:00
Market Volatility - Recent market volatility has decreased as the potential for more rate cuts is being digested, with the VIX Index closing at 17.24 after reaching a high of 28 earlier in November and briefly dropping below 16 this month [1] Long Straddle Strategy - A long straddle is an advanced options strategy aimed at profiting from significant price movements in either direction or an increase in implied volatility, requiring the purchase of both a call and a put option [2][6] - The maximum loss for this strategy is the total premiums paid for the call and put options, while the potential profit is theoretically unlimited, although daily losses may occur due to time decay if no significant price movement happens [3] Long Straddle Example - An example of a long straddle on KO involves buying a $72.50-strike call and a $72.50-strike put with a premium of $323, which represents a maximum loss, while the maximum profit remains theoretically unlimited [7] - The lower breakeven price for this trade is $69.27 and the upper breakeven price is $75.73, with the premium paid being 4.49% of the stock price and an estimated probability of profit at 44.2% [7]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Howmet Aerospace Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 15:11
Core Insights - Investors in Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) should monitor stock movements due to significant implied volatility in the options market, particularly the Jan 16, 2026 $75 Put option [1] Company Analysis - Howmet Aerospace currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Aerospace – Defense industry, which is positioned in the top 35% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 30 days, one analyst has raised the earnings estimate for the current quarter, while three analysts have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease of the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 97 cents per share to 96 cents [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility surrounding Howmet Aerospace shares suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement, indicating potential trading opportunities [4] - Seasoned options traders often seek high implied volatility options to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of options value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Choice Hotels Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 15:05
Group 1 - The stock of Choice Hotels International, Inc. (CHH) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Dec 19, 2025 $80.00 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a substantial price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - Analysts currently rate Choice Hotels as a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), placing it in the bottom 24% of the Hotels and Motels industry, with no earnings estimate increases and two decreases over the last 60 days, leading to a consensus estimate drop from $1.59 to $1.56 per share [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility for Choice Hotels may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options, hoping the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Option Volatility and Earnings Report for December 1 - 5
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-01 12:00
Earnings season is starting to wind down but we still have some big names due to report Q3 numbers. This week, we have Salesforce (CRM), Crowdstrike (CRWD), Marvell Technologies (MRVL), Snowflake (SNOW), Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) all set to report. More News from Barchart Before a company reports earnings, implied volatility is usually high because the market is unsure about the outcome of the report. Speculators and hedgers create huge demand for the company’s options which increases t ...
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in ADP Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:36
Group 1 - The stock of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Jan. 16, 2025 $125 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a substantial price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - Currently, ADP holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Internet – Software industry, which is in the top 28% of the Zacks Industry Rank, but analysts have lowered earnings estimates for the current quarter from $2.61 to $2.51 per share [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding ADP may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility to capture decay [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Cabot Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:15
Core Insights - Investors in Cabot Corporation (CBT) should monitor the stock closely due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the Dec 19, 2025 $95.00 Put, which has high implied volatility [1] Company Overview - Cabot Corporation currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) in the Chemical - Diversified Industry, placing it in the bottom 9% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, there have been no upward or downward revisions in analyst estimates for the current quarter, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.97 per share to $1.66 per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility in Cabot's options suggests that traders are anticipating a significant price movement, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek high implied volatility options to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of options value if the stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in RB Global Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 16:21
Core Viewpoint - Investors in RB Global, Inc. (RBA) should closely monitor the stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Dec 19, 2025 $92.50 Call option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, with high levels suggesting anticipation of a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - The current high implied volatility for RB Global options may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - RB Global currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Financial Transaction Services industry, which is in the bottom 38% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered the estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.04 to $0.97 per share [3]
Options Corner: ORCL Bullish Trade After Breakdown
Youtube· 2025-11-26 14:17
Core Viewpoint - Oracle has experienced a significant decline, down over 40% from its all-time highs in September, but is still up approximately 3.5% year-to-date, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1][9]. Market Performance - The tech sector has risen about 19.5%, with Oracle lagging behind its competitors such as Salesforce, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, which have shown a more favorable trajectory [2]. - Oracle's recent performance stands out negatively among its peers, highlighting its struggles in the current market [2]. Technical Analysis - A falling wedge pattern is observed in Oracle's chart, with two downward-trending lines converging, suggesting potential support at current levels [3]. - The stock has bounced from a notable support area, with previous highs around 241 serving as a critical resistance point [4]. - Moving averages indicate a bearish trend, with the 5-day EMA drifting below longer-term indicators, and the RSI is in an oversold condition at 25, below the 30 threshold [5]. Trading Volume and Activity - The point of control for trading activity is near 233, where the stock faced rejection, but it is stabilizing at this level, indicating a potential for recovery [6]. - A significant volume node is identified around the 215 level, which may act as further resistance [7]. Options Strategy - Upcoming options indicate an expected move of under 15% by December 19 and about 18.9% by January 16, aligning closely with the resistance level of 241 [7]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is suggested, involving buying a 200 strike call and selling a 240 strike call, which could provide a risk-managed approach to capitalize on potential upside [11][12]. - The break-even point for this strategy is set at 214, slightly above the current share price, indicating a need for upward movement to realize gains [13].
Volatility Dispersion Forces Override Liquidity Headwinds
Mott Capital Management· 2025-11-26 00:04
Market Overview - On November 25th, stocks unexpectedly rose despite unfavorable conditions such as a Treasury settlement day, increased overnight funding rates, and a drop in Bitcoin [1][4] - The S&P 500 initially fell by nearly 80 basis points at the open but reversed to finish higher, indicating a mechanical force in the market that overcame tight liquidity conditions [1][4] Volatility Insights - Implied volatility was sold ahead of the holiday trading session, which is a common occurrence due to time decay and reduced trading days [2] - The CBOE VIX decomposition tool indicated that the drop in VIX from November 24 to 25 was primarily driven by mechanical factors rather than fundamentals, with Sticky Strike and Parallel Shift being the largest contributors [6][8] Stock Performance - Meta's stock gained nearly 4% on the day, contributing positively to the index, despite a widening of its credit default swaps (CDS) [11] - NVIDIA's stock fell more than 2% during the session, trading as low as 6% at one point, but this did not prevent the overall market from rising [4] Liquidity and Rates - The overnight repo rate rose to 4.04% from 3.97%, suggesting that the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is likely to increase above 4% in the following days [24] - Significant liquidity pressures are anticipated on the following Friday and Monday, with nearly $130 billion in Treasuries due to settle [24] Company-Specific Developments - SoftBank's stock fell by 10%, erasing all gains made since early September, indicating the end of a previous gamma squeeze [26]