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Nebius: Consolidation Is Ending, And The Market Still Looks Asleep
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 22:00
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, indicating a focus on insider activity as a signal for potential investment [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The use of multicolor lines and trend lines in technical analysis suggests a detailed approach to charting and market behavior [1]
Gold, silver down; bearish chart pattern in silver spooks bulls
KITCO· 2026-01-07 16:45
Group 1 - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets, including roles as a financial journalist and reporter on commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York [1] - He has covered every futures market traded in the U.S. at various times during his career [1] - Jim is the owner of "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets," which provides analytical, educational, and trading advisory services [2] Group 2 - He has worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as a senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com [2] - Jim has also served as a consultant for the "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service and was the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com [2] - He holds a degree in journalism and economics from Iowa State University [2]
EverQuote (EVER) Could Find a Support Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 15:56
Core Viewpoint - EverQuote (EVER) has experienced a bearish trend recently, losing 6.7% over the past week, but the formation of a hammer chart pattern suggests a potential trend reversal as buying interest may be emerging [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The hammer chart pattern indicates a minor difference between opening and closing prices, with a long lower wick, suggesting that the stock may be nearing a bottom and that selling pressure could be exhausting [4][5]. - This pattern typically forms during a downtrend, where the stock opens lower, makes a new low, but then finds support and closes near its opening price, indicating a potential shift in control from bears to bulls [4][5]. Fundamental Analysis - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for EverQuote, which is considered a bullish indicator, as it often leads to price appreciation [7]. - The consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased by 2% over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings potential [8]. - EverQuote currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which typically outperform the market [9][10].
Stock Of The Day: Will Micron Technology Reverse?
Benzinga· 2026-01-07 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology, Inc. is experiencing a decline in share prices due to profit-taking after a recent increase, with indications that this downward trend may continue as the shares are considered overbought [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - Markets can be viewed in three trends: long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term, with definitions varying based on individual investor perspectives [2]. - For day traders, a long-term trend may span five hours, while for buy-and-hold investors, it could extend to five years [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis suggests that similar chart patterns can emerge across different time horizons, reflecting investor psychology [3]. - The fractal nature of chart patterns indicates that emotions experienced by traders are consistent, regardless of the time frame [3]. Group 3: Micron's Current Status - Micron shares are overbought across multiple timeframes, increasing the likelihood of a continued decline [4]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is commonly used to assess overbought conditions, with a blue line above a red line indicating such a state [5]. - Micron is currently overbought on both daily and weekly RSI indicators [8].
Meta: My $111B CapEx Estimate For 2026, And Why Overbuild Fears Are Overstated
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines and trend lines are used in technical analysis to identify patterns and potential price movements [1]
Chevron: My Model Says Venezuela Barely Moves The Needle -- But Stock Can Still Run
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-06 14:25
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying at the new lower price, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines are used for visualizing support and resistance, and trend lines are drawn to identify patterns [1]
ServiceNow: The Seat Collapse Story Isn’t Showing Up (NYSE:NOW)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-05 09:40
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to technical analysis [1]
Bitcoin Holds Near $90K Despite US–Venezuela Military Shock
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-04 08:23
Core Insights - Bitcoin's price remained stable near the $90,000 level despite significant geopolitical tensions between the United States and Venezuela, indicating resilience in the cryptocurrency market [1][4][8] Market Reaction - Bitcoin briefly dipped below $90,000 before recovering, showing limited reaction to the military actions that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro [2][4] - The muted response is notable as risk assets typically experience sharp sell-offs during geopolitical crises, highlighting Bitcoin's relative stability [3][4] Technical Analysis - Analysts point to Bitcoin holding above its 21-day moving average, which is often seen as a short-term support level, suggesting potential for price gains in January if market conditions remain stable [3][8] - The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin may be entering an accumulation phase following a corrective period that saw a decline from an all-time high of over $125,000 to around $80,000 [6][7] Future Outlook - Analysts caution that volatility may increase once institutional investors return to the market after the weekend, as they typically do not participate during this period [5][8] - Any renewed selling pressure could exacerbate Bitcoin's recent corrective phase, which has already seen a significant decline [6][8]
DFSV: Superb Active Approach For Small-Cap Value Exposure
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-03 09:41
Group 1 - The individual investor focuses on equities based on cash flow potential, relative value, and economic moat, emphasizing the importance of quantitative analysis to support investment stories [1] - The investor employs algorithms and Python to identify companies that are either overhyped or overlooked by the market, indicating a strong emphasis on fundamental analysis [1] - The investor has a background in public accounting and economics, holding master's degrees from the University of Notre Dame and the University of Virginia, and has pursued a PhD in economics [1] Group 2 - The investor creates educational content on investing and economic topics through a YouTube channel, indicating a commitment to educating others in the field [1] - The investor's approach includes both long and short positions, with a noted preference for short stories, suggesting a diverse investment strategy [1]
BFH Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 20:26
Core Insights - Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) shares have increased by 22.6% over the last six months, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which grew by 5.9% and 11.8% respectively, while the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry declined by 12% [1] - The stock closed at $74.03, close to its 52-week high of $78.98, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] Company Performance - BFH has a market capitalization of $3.37 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.7 million shares over the last three months [2] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 55.17% [2] Technical Analysis - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $68.29 and $58.93, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum [3] Growth Projections - BFH anticipates credit sales growth driven by strong consumer spending, new partnerships, and holiday demand, with average loans expected to rise alongside higher credit sales [5][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 34% year-over-year increase in earnings per share for 2025, with a 3.3% revenue increase expected in 2026 [7] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for BFH, with a 0.4% increase for 2025 and a 0.1% increase for 2026 over the past 30 days [8] Strategic Investments - The company is investing in digital innovation, technology, and marketing to drive growth, with a focus on enhancing its digital capabilities [12] - BFH is also strengthening its balance sheet by lowering debt and plans to pay down $100 million in 2026 bonds this year [13] Shareholder Value - The company is committed to returning value to shareholders through share repurchases and is focusing on mergers and acquisitions [14] Long-term Outlook - Robust credit sales, disciplined risk management, and strong consumer spending are expected to favor BFH in the long term, supported by a favorable VGM Score of A [15][16]