Group 1 - Friedrich Global Research aims to identify the safest and best performing companies for stock investment, focusing on free cash flow, efficient capital allocation, and superior results to find high-quality management teams [1] Group 2 - The founder of Bern Factor LLC has nearly 40 years of investing and analysis experience, with expertise in both quantitative and qualitative analysis, as well as technical analysis [2] - The founder has a diverse background, having worked in various sectors including retail, military, and management, which provides a broad perspective on macroeconomics and detailed operational insights [2]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Insights - Dr. Duru has been blogging about financial markets since 2000, providing unique perspectives that challenge conventional market wisdom [1] - The blog "One-Twenty Two" covers a variety of financial topics including stocks, options, currencies, and Bitcoin, utilizing both technical and fundamental analysis [1] - Dr. Duru's educational background includes a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering from Stanford University and a Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems [1] Company and Industry Analysis - Dr. Duru's experience includes independent consulting in operations research, management consulting in product development, and business intelligence [1] - The blog aims to deliver narratives that are different from mainstream financial analysis, appealing to both students and fans of financial markets [1] - The content is also featured on Seeking Alpha, indicating a broader reach and potential influence in the investment community [1]

Market Trends & Analysis - The market is experiencing a persistent uptrend with major averages hovering near all-time highs, and a breakout in June fostered additional upside momentum [1][2] - Technical analysis suggests a price objective of approximately 6880 with a timeframe of 2026 for the S&P 500, with support around 6130 [2] - The 20-day moving average is pointing higher for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, advising clients to stay invested as long as this trend continues [12][13] - August and September typically carry seasonal headwinds and volatility [11] - October tends to carry volatility but also major lows, potentially offering a reset for Q4 [13][15] Oil & Energy Sector - Crude oil showed an oversold indication on the monthly chart around April-May lows, but needs to break above resistance in the mid $70s to reverse the downtrend [5] - The energy sector continues to underperform [5] Yield Curve & Interest Rates - The yield curve is considered important, especially with events like Jackson Hole, employment reports, CPI, and PPI, but remains at the low end of the range [6] - A neutral bias on yields has been maintained for most of the year [7] - Peaks in the fed funds rate tend to be associated with peaks in the S&P 500 [8] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase with a neutral short-term bias, having broken out above former resistance at approximately 108,000 [19] - Bitcoin has support around 111,000 and a potential objective of approximately 134,000 to 135,000 based on the breakout [19]

Technical Analysis Foundation - OHLCV (Open, High, Low, Close, Volume) data serves as the foundation for cryptocurrency technical analysis [1] Data Acquisition - The guide details how to download OHLC and OHLCV data to XLSX & CSV formats using Python, Excel, and Google Sheets [1] - CoinGecko API is used in conjunction with the aforementioned tools for data retrieval [1]

Group 1 - The investor has a deep value investment approach, focusing on a 50%-50% allocation between shares and call options [1] - The investment strategy is contrarian and involves high risk, often dealing with illiquid options [1] - The investor prefers stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 2 - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs [1] - Technical analysis is used to optimize entry and exit points, utilizing multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]

Sure. Let's get right to it. We have four identical charts and um annotated different ways, but what we know is this stock had its peak in February uh as annotated there by those converging or in line.It dropped 41% in the tariff selloff, double the S&P, and it's recovered but has not made a new high. Uh the next way to draw the lines again lines are subjective in the eye of the practitioner. You can see the second iteration here.uh whether you want to call that a cup and handle or you want to call it uh co ...

Economic Indicators - The economic calendar for August 15, 2025, includes significant releases such as Advance Retail Sales for July, Empire Manufacturing data for August, and Import Price Index for July, which are crucial for understanding consumer spending and trade costs [1] - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for July will provide insights into factory output trends, while the Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment for August will assess consumer confidence and long-term inflation expectations [2] SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) - SPY is currently at 644.00, with bulls aiming for a push to 645.25, a resistance level with historical bounce potential [3] - If SPY holds above 645.25, targets include 646.79 and 648.49, while a drop below 644.00 could lead to tests at 642.94 and potentially down to 638.36 [3] Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) - QQQ is positioned at 580.50, a pivotal zone, with bullish targets set at 582.43 and 584.91, reflecting strong volume support [4] - If QQQ fails to maintain 580.50, bearish targets include 578.75 and 574.88, indicating potential downward pressure [5] Apple Inc. (AAPL) - AAPL is resting at 233.50, with bulls targeting 234.81 and 236.13 as key resistance levels [6] - A break below 233.50 could lead to tests at 232.50 and down to 230.24, indicating potential bearish movement [7] Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - MSFT is holding at 522.50, with bullish targets at 524.70 and 529.01, supported by past volume activity [8] - If 522.50 fails, bearish targets include 521.33 and 516.89, suggesting possible declines [9] NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) - NVDA is at 181.50, with bulls looking to push to 182.54 and 186.91 as upper targets [10] - A failure to hold 181.50 could lead to bearish targets at 179.30 and down to 175.49 [11] Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) - GOOGL is stationed at 201.50, with bullish targets at 202.55 and 204.42 [12] - If 201.50 weakens, bearish targets include 200.39 and 197.55 [13] Meta Platforms Inc. (META) - META is leaning on 780.50, with bulls targeting 783.21 and 788.50 as potential highs [14] - A break below 780.50 could lead to tests at 776.59 and down to 772.13 [14] Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - TSLA is at 336.50, with bullish targets at 338.78 and 342.46 [15] - If 336.50 weakens, bearish targets include 334.66 and down to 331.43 [15]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月13日 華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看我們發現比特幣之前 在前面的高點的附近 做了一個假突破 而且成交量是比較的大 而且最後你可以看是一個倒紡錘 那麼這兩天它就出現了有一個反彈 目前想要嘗試再度站回到這個上面 那麼目前來說 還算是可以，有一點 陽線的成交量出來 我就不知道說在這邊 會不會再出現這種 比較放量的大陰線 如果說有的話 我就會猜測 這邊是不是有一些大資金 會考慮賣出 但就目前來說還算是可以 那麼之前這第一次沖高 可以把它視作是一個測試 看一看這邊還有沒有足夠的買盤 能夠把價格撐起來 目前來說我們可以看到價格 又重新回到這個區間 我感覺還算是可以好吧 我們看到更小的一小時級別 這個是比特幣的一小時級別 我們可以看到前面這一帶的高點 來到這邊做假突破跌回來 跌回來之後那麼在昨天的行情更新中 是提醒大家 在這邊其實是出現了 一個盤口的看漲背離 我們可以看到價格沒有更低 但CVD非常明顯的在這邊有很多人做空 但是那麼多的合約做空 價格也沒有跌到更低的地方去 那麼就表明著說 現貨這邊其實還是有買 ...

All right, so we're taking a look right here at the S&P compared to Bergkshire Hathaway. You're seeing from the beginning of the year, um, you know, Bergkshire is the blue line. It was outperforming and then that's clearly changed right around here.This is right around the time that Warren Buffett announced he would step back. So, give us your your take on this stock and the direction that you see it going in. Well, the S&P 500 of course has been moving higher and Bergkshire has not.So, let's be honest, Ber ...