Earnings ESP
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Will Pan American Silver (PAAS) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 17:11
Core Insights - Pan American Silver (PAAS) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 64.28% [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $0.43 per share for the most recent quarter, surpassing the expected $0.40, resulting in a surprise of 7.50% [2] - In the previous quarter, Pan American Silver reported $0.42 per share against an expectation of $0.19, achieving a remarkable surprise of 121.05% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable shift in earnings estimates for Pan American Silver, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for continued earnings beats [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Pan American Silver stands at +8.15%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6][8] Earnings Release Information - The next earnings report for Pan American Silver is anticipated to be released on November 12, 2025 [8]
Will ADM (ADM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing its history of exceeding expectations [1][2]. Earnings Performance - ADM has a strong track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 3.57% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, ADM reported earnings of $0.93 per share, exceeding the expected $0.88 per share by 5.68% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $0.70 per share against an expectation of $0.69 per share, resulting in a surprise of 1.45% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for ADM have been revised upward, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [5]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for ADM is currently +9.81%, suggesting a bullish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. Upcoming Earnings Report - ADM's next earnings report is expected to be released on November 4, 2025 [8].
Why Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 17:11
Core Insights - Corteva, Inc. is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report, supported by a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $2.20 per share for the most recent quarter, surpassing the expected $1.89 per share, resulting in a surprise of 16.40% [2] - For the previous quarter, Corteva exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.87 per share by reporting $1.13 per share, achieving a surprise of 29.89% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Corteva have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises, with a current Earnings ESP of +1.47%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high probability of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that such combinations lead to positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [6][8] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which are often more accurate [7] - A negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss but can reduce the predictive power of the metric [9] Importance of Earnings ESP - While many companies beat consensus EPS estimates, this alone may not drive stock price increases; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP prior to quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10]
General Motors Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 16:20
Core Insights - General Motors (GM) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 21, with earnings estimated at $2.26 per share and revenues at $44.19 billion [1][10] - The earnings estimate has decreased by 6 cents over the past month, indicating a year-over-year decline of 23.7%, while revenues are projected to decline by 9.4% [2] Sales Performance - In the U.S., GM sold 710,347 units in Q3 2025, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase, with notable gains in Chevrolet (up 8.3%), GMC (up 8.6%), and Cadillac (up 25%), although Buick saw a decline of 14% [3][10] - Electric vehicle (EV) sales surged by 107% to 66,501 units, marking a new record for the company [3][10] - In China, GM delivered 470,000 vehicles, a 10.1% increase year-over-year, with the Wuling Hong Guang MINIEV being the best-selling NEV [4][10] Segment Performance - The North America segment (GMNA) is projected to have wholesale vehicle sales of 793,000 units, down 11.2% year-over-year, with revenues expected at $37.1 billion, a decline of 9.9% [5] - The GMI unit (excluding China JV) is estimated to see a slight decline in wholesale volumes to 137,000 units, with stagnant revenues at $3.5 billion, but an increase in operating income to $86 million from $42 million [6] Restructuring Efforts - GM's restructuring initiatives in China are yielding positive results, with increased market share among foreign OEMs and positive equity income from joint ventures, indicating a potential turnaround to profitability in the region [7][10] Earnings Expectations - The current model predicts an earnings beat for GM, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +5.02% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8]
Tesla Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Record Deliveries Enhance Performance?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:45
Core Insights - Tesla is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, with earnings estimated at 52 cents per share and revenues at $26.27 billion [1][10] Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for earnings per share has decreased by 2 cents in the past week, indicating a 27.8% decline compared to the previous year [2] - Revenue estimates suggest a year-over-year growth of 4.3% [2] - In the last four quarters, Tesla has missed earnings estimates twice and exceeded them twice, with an average negative surprise of 3.65% [2] Delivery and Sales - Tesla delivered a record 497,099 vehicles in Q3, a 7.4% increase from the same quarter last year, breaking a trend of three consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines [3][10] - The expiration of the $7,500 EV tax credit at the end of September likely spurred demand, as customers rushed to purchase vehicles [4] Revenue Breakdown - Automotive sales revenues are projected to decline by 5.8% in the upcoming quarter, with gross margins expected to be 16%, down 4 percentage points from the previous year [5] - Energy Generation/Storage revenues are anticipated to reach $2.93 billion, reflecting growth both sequentially and year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Megapack and Powerwall products [6] - Energy storage deployment reached 12.5 GWh, up from 6.9 GWh in the same quarter of 2024, marking a new record [6] Earnings Prediction - The model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for Tesla this season, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +10.08% [7] - Tesla currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold rating [8]
Earnings Preview: Matador Resources (MTDR) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Matador Resources (MTDR) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $1.33 per share, reflecting a decline of 29.6% year-over-year, while revenues are projected to be $902.31 million, a slight increase of 0.3% from the previous year [3]. - The stock price may increase if the actual earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline in stock price [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.07% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Matador is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -12.97%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [10]. Historical Performance - Matador has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +18.60% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. - Despite the historical performance, the current combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 4 makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat for the upcoming report [12]. Conclusion - While Matador does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions related to the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Earnings Preview: Manhattan Associates (MANH) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Manhattan Associates (MANH) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $1.18 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.6%, while revenues are projected to be $271.32 million, representing a 1.7% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.12% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Manhattan Associates is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.43%, suggesting a bearish outlook on earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Manhattan Associates exceeded the expected earnings of $1.12 per share by delivering $1.31, achieving a surprise of +16.96%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, the combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict a positive outcome for the upcoming earnings report [12][17].
GE Aerospace (GE) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for GE Aerospace, driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - GE is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, reflecting a +27% change year-over-year, with revenues projected at $10.34 billion, up 15.6% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.74% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +2.01% for GE, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - GE has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving this in the last four quarters, including a +16.08% surprise in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While GE is positioned as a strong earnings-beat candidate, investors should consider other factors that may influence stock performance beyond earnings results [15][17].
SmarFinancial (SMBK) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:01
Core Viewpoint - SmarFinancial (SMBK) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +35.2%, and revenues of $51.04 million, which is up 15.6% from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for release on October 21, and better-than-expected results could lead to a stock price increase, while disappointing results may cause a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.28% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - SmarFinancial's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.67%, which suggests a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, SmarFinancial exceeded the expected earnings of $0.66 per share by delivering $0.69, resulting in a surprise of +4.55% [13]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [14]. Industry Comparison - Bank OZK (OZK), another player in the Zacks Banks - Northeast industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.67 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of +7.7%, with revenues projected at $444.07 million, up 5% from the previous year [18]. - Bank OZK's consensus EPS estimate has been revised up by 0.2% over the last 30 days, but it currently has an Earnings ESP of -1.2%, making it difficult to predict a beat on the consensus EPS estimate [19][20].
Bridgewater (BWB) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:01
Core Insights - The market anticipates Bridgewater (BWB) to report a year-over-year earnings increase driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025 [1] - The upcoming earnings report on October 21 could significantly impact the stock price depending on whether the results meet or exceed expectations [2] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +51.9% [3] - Expected revenues are $37.1 million, which is a 36.8% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 7.32% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Bridgewater is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +4.88% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a likely earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [10] - Bridgewater's current Zacks Rank is 1, indicating a strong likelihood of surpassing the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Bridgewater exceeded the expected earnings of $0.35 per share by delivering $0.37, resulting in a surprise of +5.71% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14] Industry Context - In the Zacks Banks - Northeast industry, Webster Financial (WBS) is expected to report earnings of $1.52 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +13.4% [18] - Webster Financial's revenue is projected to be $724.91 million, up 11.9% from the previous year [19]