Workflow
Earnings ESP
icon
Search documents
2 Business Services Firms Poised to Beat Estimates This Earnings Season
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 17:30
Industry Overview - The U.S. service sector exhibited strong momentum in Q1 2025, driven by economic stability and growth in non-manufacturing activities, with key growth factors including the AI revolution, demand for cost efficiency, and regulatory compliance [1][2] - Multiple service industries such as transportation, warehousing, retail, finance, and healthcare showed resilience and healthy activity, highlighting the sector's role in economic stability and growth [2] Economic Performance - The U.S. GDP grew by 3% in Q2 2025, a significant recovery from a 0.5% decline in Q1, with non-manufacturing activities remaining robust as indicated by a Services PMI of 50.8% in July, signaling expansion [4] - Essential services like waste management saw steady demand, while risk mitigation and consulting services gained importance due to evolving regulations, leading to increased demand for specialized service providers [5] Earnings Outlook - PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) is expected to report Q2 2025 revenues of $898.6 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 2.8%, with earnings estimated at 31 cents per share, indicating a 3.2% decline year-over-year [9] - Bit Digital (BTBT) is projected to report Q2 2025 revenues of $25.4 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 12.4%, with an estimated loss of 3 cents per share, representing a 200% widening year-over-year [11] Stock Performance Indicators - PAGS has an Earnings ESP of +8.20% and a Zacks Rank of 2, scheduled to announce results on August 14 [10] - BTBT has an Earnings ESP of +20.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, also set to report on August 14 [12]
Lowe's (LOW) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Lowe's, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Company Summary - Lowe's is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.4% [3]. - Revenue is projected to be $24.01 billion, which is an increase of 1.8% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.36% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Lowe's is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.56%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Lowe's holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lowe's exceeded the expected earnings of $2.88 per share by delivering $2.92, resulting in a surprise of +1.39% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lowe's has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Industry Comparison - In the Zacks Retail - Home Furnishings industry, Home Depot is expected to report earnings of $4.71 per share, with a year-over-year change of +0.9% and revenues of $45.51 billion, up 5.4% from the previous year [18]. - Home Depot's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.1% over the last 30 days, but it has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.34%, indicating a higher likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [19].
Analog Devices (ADI) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Analog Devices (ADI) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended July 2025, with a consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Analog Devices is $1.93 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +22.2%, while revenues are expected to reach $2.76 billion, up 19.2% from the previous year [3]. - A positive earnings surprise could lead to a stock price increase, whereas a miss may result in a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Analog Devices is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.72%, suggesting a bullish sentiment among analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Analog Devices currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, enhancing the likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Analog Devices exceeded the expected earnings of $1.69 per share by delivering $1.85, resulting in a surprise of +9.47% [13]. - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in all of the last four quarters [14].
Analysts Estimate ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - ZIM is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.50 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 51.3% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $1.77 billion, which is an 8.5% decline from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 33.33% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the potential deviation from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - ZIM currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, ZIM exceeded the expected earnings of $1.89 per share by delivering $2.45, resulting in a surprise of +29.63% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, ZIM has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While ZIM does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [17].
TJX to Report Q2 Earnings: Essential Insights Ahead of the Report
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 18:30
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. is expected to report growth in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with revenues estimated at $14.1 billion, reflecting a 4.5% increase year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is stable at $1.01, indicating a 5.2% rise compared to the same period last year [2] Group 1: Business Performance - The company has been focusing on providing an exceptional shopping experience and unmatched value, leading to increased customer transactions and loyalty [3] - The apparel and home categories are performing well, with HomeGoods' net sales estimated at $2.2 billion for the fiscal second quarter, up 4.8% year-over-year [3] - TJX anticipates consolidated comparable sales growth of 2-3% and consolidated sales between $13.9 billion and $14 billion for the second quarter [5][10] Group 2: Growth Strategies - The company is benefiting from an aggressive expansion strategy and a growing e-commerce presence, which are contributing to sustained growth [4] - TJX has a strong inventory position, allowing it to capitalize on market opportunities and introduce new product assortments both in stores and online [4] Group 3: Financial Outlook - Earnings per share for the second quarter are projected to be in the range of $0.97 to $1.00, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1-4% [5][10] - The management has projected a pretax profit margin between 10.4% and 10.5%, which represents a decline of 40-50 basis points from the previous year's margin of 10.9% [6]
EL's Q4 Earnings on the Horizon: Essential Insights for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 17:06
Core Insights - The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. is expected to report declines in both net sales and earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with net sales estimated at $3.4 billion, reflecting a 12.2% decrease year-over-year [1][9] - The earnings consensus for the fourth quarter has risen by 2 cents to 8 cents per share, indicating an 87.5% decline compared to the previous year [2][9] - The company is facing challenges due to weak consumer sentiment in Mainland China and a downturn in global travel retail, impacting the prestige beauty sector [3][4] Sales and Earnings Expectations - The anticipated organic net sales decline for the fourth quarter is projected at 13.4%, following a 28% drop in Asia travel retail during the third quarter [4] - Retailer destocking across various regions, including Asia-Pacific and North America, is expected to further pressure sales despite gradual improvements in retail trends outside of travel retail [4] Operating Expenses and Profitability - The Estee Lauder Companies has experienced a significant increase in operating expenses, which rose by 580 basis points as a percentage of sales in the fiscal third quarter, primarily due to investments aimed at growth [5] - Any potential deleverage in operating expenses may negatively impact profit margins [5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a Profit Recovery and Growth Plan focused on margin expansion, targeted investments, and process simplification to enhance agility [6] - An expanded presence in high-growth digital channels and positioning in emerging markets are seen as positive factors that may support performance in the fourth quarter [6] Earnings Prediction - The company's earnings model suggests a likelihood of an earnings beat, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +36.11% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7]
Amcor to Report Q4 Earnings: Here's What to Expect for the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 16:56
Core Insights - Amcor Plc (AMCR) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 4, with expected revenues of $5.17 billion, reflecting a 46.3% increase year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is 21 cents per share, indicating no change from the previous year, although this estimate has decreased by 4.6% over the past 60 days [1][2] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMCR's fiscal fourth-quarter revenues is $5.17 billion, indicating a significant growth of 46.3% from the prior year [1] - The earnings estimate for the quarter is 21 cents per share, unchanged from the year-ago quarter, but has seen a downward revision of 4.6% in the last 60 days [1][2] Volume and Segment Performance - Amcor's total volume growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters until Q4 of fiscal 2024, where it saw a 1% growth, followed by 2% growth in the first and second quarters of fiscal 2025, and flat volumes in Q3 [6][7] - For Q4, a volume growth of 0.3% is projected, primarily driven by the Flexibles segment, while Rigid Packaging sales are expected to decline by 10.6% due to lower volumes and weaker price/mix [4][7] Segment Projections - The Flexibles segment is projected to achieve a sales figure of $2.71 billion, reflecting a 1.1% year-over-year growth, with a volume growth of 1% and a favorable price/mix of 1% [8] - The Rigid Packaging segment is expected to see a sales projection of $0.76 billion, indicating a 10.6% year-over-year decline, with a 2% dip in volumes and a price/mix decrease of 1% [9] Share Price Performance - Over the past year, Amcor's shares have decreased by 3.5%, compared to a 5.8% decline in the industry [10] Peer Comparisons - Sealed Air Corporation reported adjusted earnings per share of 89 cents, surpassing estimates, with total sales of $1.335 billion, slightly down year-over-year [12][13] - Packaging Corporation of America reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.48, beating estimates, with sales growing 4.6% year-over-year to $2.17 billion [14][15] - Avery Dennison Corporation delivered adjusted earnings of $2.42 per share, slightly beating estimates, but total revenues dipped 0.7% year-over-year to $2.22 billion [15]
NTES Set to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 16:46
Core Insights - NetEase (NTES) is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on August 14, with revenue expectations of $3.86 billion, reflecting a 10.02% year-over-year growth [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is $2.04, an increase of 2 cents over the past month, compared to $1.66 in the same quarter last year [1][9] - NTES has exceeded earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.17% [2] Revenue Drivers - The anticipated growth in Q2 2025 is attributed to strong gaming revenues and successful global launches, building on the momentum from Q1 [3] - Key titles such as Marvel Rivals, FragPunk, and Once Human are expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with Marvel Rivals maintaining high engagement after its Season 2 update [4][9] - Established titles like Where Winds Meet and Identity V are also projected to provide stable contributions, supported by ongoing content releases and regional expansions [5] Challenges - Despite the positive outlook, certain segments are expected to face challenges, particularly Youdao's learning services and NetEase Cloud Music, which may continue to struggle with revenue pressures [6] - The innovative businesses segment, including the Yanxuan e-commerce platform, is likely to experience intensified competition, impacting revenue growth [6] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks model indicates that NTES currently has an Earnings ESP of -0.25% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a lower likelihood of an earnings beat compared to previous quarters [7]
Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Amer Sports, Inc. is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on August 19, with a consensus estimate of $0.02 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 60%. Revenues are projected to reach $1.19 billion, marking a 19.4% increase from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections during this period [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Amer Sports is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +50.00%. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a strong likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Amer Sports was expected to post earnings of $0.15 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $0.27, resulting in a surprise of +80.00%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [12][13]. Conclusion - Amer Sports, Inc. is viewed as a strong candidate for an earnings beat, but investors are advised to consider additional factors beyond earnings results when making investment decisions [16].
Auna S.A. (AUNA) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Auna S.A. due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Auna S.A. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.13 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +333.3% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $314.67 million, which is a 7.8% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 13.04% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Auna S.A. aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - Auna S.A. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. - The company's surprise history shows it has beaten consensus EPS estimates two out of the last four quarters [14]. Market Reaction - The stock may experience upward movement if earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - Historical performance indicates that even with an earnings beat, other factors can influence stock movement, making it essential to consider broader market conditions [15].