Santa Claus Rally
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Soloway: Santa Claus Rally Not Likely, Technical Weakness in A.I. & Bitcoin
Youtube· 2025-12-08 20:37
We're going to take a look at some of the technical levels in the markets and the close the year and what we'll be watching next year. Joining us now, Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist at Verified Investing. Gareth, thanks so much for being with us today.You know, we are seeing a bit of a pullback in the markets today ahead of the Fed meeting kicking off tomorrow. You know, any thoughts on the recent action and also what to expect coming into this week. Yeah.So, I mean, it's very interesting that we s ...
There's a stable view of the economy overall, says Defiance ETFs CEO Sylvia Jablonski
Youtube· 2025-12-08 11:53
Joining us now, Sylvia Jablonsky, Defiance ETF's co-founder and CEO. And we were talking about the some of the positive action we've seen in the stock market in the last what week and a half or so, which maybe calmed some of the fears that we did have earlier uh about whether we wouldn't have a Santa Claus rally. In fact, a lot of people said what we normally see in September and October, we were seeing in November. Some of the uh you know, we see a lot of lows set in October.I want to start with you with w ...
Get Your Santa Claus Rally Caps On. Then Prepare for a Comedown.
Barrons· 2025-12-05 23:54
Core Insights - The last two weeks of December have historically been the best weeks for stocks, with an average return of 1.4% since 1950 [1] Group 1 - The performance of stocks during the last two weeks of December shows a consistent positive trend [1] - An average return of 1.4% indicates a strong seasonal effect in the stock market during this period [1] - This trend has been observed over a significant time frame, specifically since 1950, highlighting its reliability [1]
A.I. Bubble "Inflating," "Not Popping:" Tech-Tied Stocks to Watch in CapEx Cycle
Youtube· 2025-12-03 20:00
Market Overview - The Dow is experiencing a positive trend, up 450 points and has risen in six of the last seven trading days [1] - There is speculation about a potential "Santa Claus rally" in the market [2] AI Bubble Discussion - There is a belief that an AI bubble is forming, similar to past technological revolutions [2][3] - Concerns are raised about overindebtedness rather than just overvaluations in the stock market [3][4] Economic Indicators - The bond market is highlighted as a more critical area to watch for signs of overindebtedness [4] - Expectations of monetary stimulus are increasing, with potential rate cuts anticipated [8][9] Sector Performance - Two out of the seven "MAG" stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 this year, indicating selective strength in certain sectors [6] - There is optimism about capital expenditures (capex) and cyclical spending, particularly in energy, industrials, and materials [13][14] Investment Strategies - Dividend-paying technology stocks are recommended as safer investments in a potentially over-leveraged environment [12] - Industrial metals, such as copper and steel, are expected to benefit from a significant capex cycle [14][15] Credit Concerns - Credit default swap (CDS) spreads for major hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft are currently tight, indicating market confidence [19][20] - Monitoring CDS spreads may provide insights into the market cycle and potential earnings misses [20]
Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: American Eagle Outfitters, Equinix, Garmin, Honeywell, Uber, Wendy’s and More
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 14:15
Thinkstock Quick Read After a brutal Monday, investors were treated to a snap-back rally in stocks on Tuesday. All of the major indices and Cryptocurrencies finished the day higher on Tuesday as hopes for an interest rate cut remained positive. If the Fed does lower rates next week, that could be the catalyst to kick off an end-of-the-year “Santa Claus Rally.” Some investors get rich while others struggle because they never learned there are two completely different strategies to building wealth. ...
A.I. "All Up from Here:" Why Dale Smothers Says "Get into These Names Now"
Youtube· 2025-12-02 23:10
Market Overview - The market has seen a rebound in technology and cryptocurrency trades, with a notable increase over six of the last seven days, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards risk-taking [1][3] - Profit-taking was observed leading into November, with the S&P 500 hitting a low of around 6,500 on November 20th, but a recovery is anticipated through the end of the year [2][3] Technology Sector - AI-related stocks experienced significant sell-offs, with declines of 30% to 40% from their highs, but are expected to rebound as the market stabilizes [3][5] - Companies like Palantir, Nvidia, and Applied Digital are highlighted as attractive investment opportunities due to their current discounted prices [5][6] - The ongoing competition between AI firms, particularly between OpenAI and Google, is expected to drive continued capital expenditure in the sector [7][8] Investment Strategies - A recommendation is made for long-term investors to enter the technology sector now, likening the current market conditions to a "Black Friday sale" that will not last [5] - For those seeking lower volatility, an ETF option is available that provides downside protection while still allowing for potential gains [10] Utilities and Precious Metals - The demand for power from AI technologies is expected to boost the utilities sector, which is seen as a stable investment with dividend potential [12][13] - Precious metals like gold, silver, and copper are anticipated to benefit from lower interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties, with silver also gaining from its use in technology [14][15] Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts are viewed as crucial, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut that may continue into 2026 [16][17] - A broadening recovery in sectors such as healthcare and financials is anticipated, with optimism for the US economy to regain its status as a leading global economy [19][20]
US stocks close higher, bitcoin bounces back, plus CrowdStrike beats Wall Street expectations
Youtube· 2025-12-02 22:24
Market Overview - Major indices experienced gains, with the Dow up 184 points (0.4%), NASDAQ slightly higher, and S&P 500 up 0.25% [3][4] - Tech sector led the day with a 1% increase, followed by industrials and communication services, while energy sector was the worst performer, down 1.25% [4][5] Company Highlights - Apple achieved its seventh consecutive day of gains, rising 7% over the past 10 days, with six of those days marking all-time closing highs [6] - Boeing stock surged approximately 10% in a single day, contributing to industrial sector gains [7] - Airlines also performed well, with United Airlines up 3%, Southwest up nearly 2%, and Delta Airlines up 1.5% [8] CrowdStrike Earnings - CrowdStrike reported Q3 EPS of $0.96, beating estimates of $0.94, and revenue of $1.23 billion, exceeding the $1.21 billion estimate [26][27] - Q4 guidance for adjusted EPS is projected between $1.09 and $1.11, with revenue expected between $1.29 billion and $1.3 billion [27] - Net new ARR grew 23%, accelerating from 20% in the previous quarter, indicating strong performance [29] Marvel Earnings - Marvel reported Q3 EPS of $0.76, slightly above the estimate of $0.74, and revenue of $2.075 billion, beating the midpoint of guidance by $15 million [41][42] - The company announced the acquisition of Celestial AI for $3.25 billion, which initially caused shares to drop over 6% [43][44] Investment Strategy Insights - Market performance is seen as a reassessment of concentrated positions rather than a broad risk-off trade, with investors looking towards 2026 [10][12] - Valuations for several mega-cap tech companies are near five-year lows despite accelerating earnings, presenting potential investment opportunities [13][14] - Global diversification is recommended, with a focus on developed and emerging markets, particularly in sectors like AI and technology [19][20]
Halftime Report traders talk possibility of a market rally into year-end
CNBC Television· 2025-11-28 17:54
WE'LL SHOW YOU THE S&P IS LOOKING PRETTY GOOD AS WELL. THERE'S YOUR FULL PICTURE RUSSELL UP ABOUT ONE HALF OF 1% YIELDS DOWN. AND THAT WAS PRETTY GOOD FOR STOCKS TO JOE DO YOU WANT TO YOU CAN ANSWER THE QUESTION OF WHAT YOU WANT FOR THE HOLIDAYS.I MEAN THE KIDS HAD SOME PRTY GOOD ANSWERS. YOU WANT A SANTA CLAUS RALLY. >> A SANTA CLAUS RALLY WOULD BE GOOD.AND I THINK IT LOOKS IT LOOKS A LOT LIKE WE'RE POTENTIALLY GOING TO GET IT. WE'VE REVERSED A LOT OF THE NEGATIVE MOMENTUM THAT GREETED US IN THE MONTH OF N ...
Consumer Bifurcation Forming, Volatility Curb Set-Up for Santa Calus Rally?
Youtube· 2025-11-28 13:30
Market Overview - The CME has halted futures trading, leading to a quiet market on Black Friday, with some metals starting to trade [1] - Volatility in equity markets has decreased, with the VIX at one-month lows and a four-day winning streak for equities [1] - The S&P 500 is down only 4% from Wednesday's close, indicating a potential Santa Claus rally [1] Consumer Spending and Retail Sector - Consumer spending is expected to reach $1 trillion this holiday season, surpassing last year's estimates [1] - Retail earnings have been strong, with significant attention on upcoming reports from Macy's, Dollar Tree, and Dollar General [1] - There is a bifurcation in the market, with consumer sentiment declining while GDP growth expectations remain high at 4% for the current quarter [1] Retail Winners and Losers - Kohl's stock surged 40% post-earnings, highlighting unexpected winners in the retail space [2] - Discount retailers like Dollar General and Dollar Tree are under observation, while Costco is noted for being in a downtrend [3] Oracle's Financial Situation - Oracle's stock has dropped about 27% in the month prior to trading being halted, with concerns over rising borrowing rates [4][5] - The company is seeking a $38 billion loan to fund data centers in Texas and Wisconsin, raising credit risk concerns [6][7] - Credit default swaps for Oracle have increased, indicating heightened credit risk, with the stock down 40% from its all-time high in September [7][8]
The Big 3: ORCL, CVNA, WDC
Youtube· 2025-11-20 19:00
Market Overview - Nvidia's strong earnings report has eased concerns about the AI growth story, positively impacting related stocks [3][4] - The overall market remains in a risk-off trend, struggling for gains despite some outliers like Google [3] Oracle - Oracle's stock has pulled back 18.5% in the last month despite a robust earnings report, indicating market skepticism about future revenue [4][5] - The critical price levels for Oracle are 210 (support) and 230 (resistance), with potential upside targets at 260 and 275 [7][9][12] - Historical trends suggest a possible Santa Claus rally, which could benefit Oracle if it maintains above the 200-day moving average [8][9] Carvana - Carvana's CEO announced a growth plan with a predicted 40% growth rate, leading to a slight boost in stock performance [17][18] - The stock is currently at a critical support level around 325, with potential upside targets of 347 to 350 [19][20] - Concerns remain regarding high default rates on auto loans, but Carvana has shown resilience compared to other growth stocks [18][19] Western Digital - Western Digital received a price target upgrade from Bank of America, suggesting a potential upside of 25-26% [30] - The critical price level for Western Digital is 150, which needs to be maintained for a rebound towards 170 [32][34] - The stock has shown strong performance year-to-date, up over 240%, but faces potential downside risks if it breaks below 150 [39]