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LSEG跟“宗” | 哪怕美国近期经济数据改善 市场仍估联储9月降息
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-07-30 06:03
Core Insights - The article discusses the current sentiment and positioning of funds in the U.S. precious metals futures market, highlighting a shift towards net long positions in gold and silver while palladium remains in a prolonged net short position [1][2][8]. Group 1: Fund Positioning in Precious Metals - As of last Tuesday, net long positions in U.S. precious metals futures have increased due to a reduction in short positions, with gold reaching a net long of 531 tons, the highest in 16 weeks, and silver at 7,039 tons, the highest in three weeks [2][7]. - The gold fund's long positions increased by 15% week-on-week, while short positions decreased by 3%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [7]. - The palladium fund remains in a net short position of 8 tons, marking the highest level of net short positions in 38 weeks, and has been in a net short position for 134 consecutive weeks [8]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Market Sentiment - Recent improvements in U.S. economic indicators, such as employment data and consumer confidence, have led to a rise in risk appetite among investors, favoring investments in silver, platinum, and digital currencies [2][27]. - The market currently estimates a 34.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at the upcoming meeting on September 17, with expectations of potential rate cuts later in the year [24][27]. - The article notes that inflation data is beginning to rise, which could complicate the Fed's decision-making process regarding interest rates [27][30]. Group 3: Market Trends and Predictions - The gold price has accumulated a 30.7% increase year-to-date, while silver prices have risen by 36.0% during the same period [7][11]. - The article highlights a significant divergence in performance between gold and silver, with the gold-to-silver ratio indicating market sentiment, currently at 87.465, reflecting a high level of risk aversion [22][23]. - The article suggests that if gold prices continue to rise while mining stocks decline, it may signal caution for investors [21].
URGENT: FED Meeting Less Than 24 Hours Away | XRP Holders Pay Attention
NCashOfficial - Daily Crypto & Finance News· 2025-07-30 04:01
We are now less than 24 hours away from the big FOMC meeting and this is going to be an event that definitely does impact the markets. Now, we have been patiently waiting for this because again when we think about what the Fed does next, it could definitely have big significant effects on the markets just like every other FOMC meeting that we've uh gone through. But the main thing here is that everyone is dead set on us getting rate cuts.Now, I'm going to go over a lot of information in this video. I'm goin ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-30 01:44
Australia’s core inflation cooled in the three months through June, strengthening the case for the Reserve Bank to ease monetary policy as early as August https://t.co/d0TZJBmntH ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-29 22:08
Chile’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate for the first time this year as a weak jobs market crimps activity and a slowdown in inflation deepens https://t.co/0LILYAZbeH ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-29 21:08
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate steady and boost its inflation outlook, as investors look for hints of another rate hike this year after a US-Japan trade deal reduced some uncertainty https://t.co/Q3KRaJEOU6 ...
Stocks & Bitcoin Are Set To EXPLODE Higher
From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano· 2025-07-29 21:00
Inflation & Monetary Policy - Inflation initially hovered around 3% at the start of the year, then fell to approximately 12%-2% in April, and is now near the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, representing a roughly 33% decrease since the beginning of the year [3] - The US has the largest gap between the City Inflation Surprise Index 3 months ago and today, indicating a positive surprise for the economy [4] - The US government has increased the national debt by approximately $500 billion since the debt ceiling was lifted in early July [6] - The consensus on Wall Street is that Jerome Powell will not change interest rates at the current Federal Reserve meeting, but a surprise rate cut could significantly boost stocks, Bitcoin, and gold [12] Technology & Innovation - Loom has introduced a robotic lamp that can perform chores, showcasing the potential for robots to integrate into everyday household items [14][15] - Shortcut demoed an AI Excel agent that reportedly outperforms first-year analysts from McKinsey and Goldman Sachs 89% of the time [16] - An AI Excel agent can build a multi-tab DCF model with assumptions, drivers, a Monte Carlo simulation, comps analysis, sensitivity tables, and a final dashboard in about 10 minutes [17] Billionaires & Problem Solving - Jensen Huang claims to have created more billionaires on his management team than any other CEO [20] - The success of billionaires like Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, and Jensen Huang is attributed to their ability to solve significant problems in society [24][25] - The industry needs more billionaires who are problem solvers to drive progress and improve lives [26] Societal Issues - A shooting in Midtown Manhattan resulted in four deaths, highlighting the issue of violence in society [27] - The NYPD's response to the shooting was commendable, as officers ran towards the gunfire to neutralize the threat and protect civilians [28][29] - A Blackstone employee's quick thinking and leadership in barricading the office during the shooting is considered heroic [30]
X @Wendy O
Wendy O· 2025-07-29 19:10
People are literally mad over 1) Jean pants 2) School supplies and who knows what else while the USA economy is crumbling with massive debt, inflation and no end in sight... ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-29 19:06
The Bank of Canada is nearly certain to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday as officials weigh inflation pressures against the economic damage created by US tariffs https://t.co/Ep8nJzF8w9 ...
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-07-29 19:00
From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 Inflation Is Down & The Economy Is Rocking3:47 The Robots Are Creating Billions Of Dollars7:32 Thoughts On The Violent Attack Yesterday In NYCEnjoy! https://t.co/Qyjwq27iO8 ...
Can HCA Healthcare Revive the Market's Weakest Sector?
MarketBeat· 2025-07-29 17:42
Industry Overview - The healthcare sector has seen a 0.79% decline year-to-date, making it the worst performer among the S&P 500's 11 sectors and the only one in negative territory [1] - Over the past three months, healthcare remains the worst-performing sector [1] - National healthcare expenditures in the U.S. rose from $3.756 trillion in 2019 to $5.049 trillion in 2024, a 34.42% increase, while EBITDA for healthcare services has only seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.5% during the same period [3][4] Company Performance - HCA Healthcare has gained 14% year-to-date, contrasting sharply with the 44% loss experienced by UnitedHealth Group [2] - HCA Healthcare reported Q2 results with EPS of $6.84, exceeding expectations of $6.20, and revenues of $18.61 billion, surpassing expectations of $18.49 billion, marking a 24.4% and 6.4% year-over-year increase, respectively [11] - HCA's net income increased by 13.1% to $1.653 billion [11] Company Growth and Strategy - HCA Healthcare is the largest healthcare system in the U.S., with a market cap of $81.56 billion, owning 222 hospitals and over 2,000 outpatient sites [7][8] - The company has acquired 23 companies from 2011 to 2024, including six in 2017, demonstrating a strong focus on mergers and acquisitions [10] - HCA's free cash flow increased by 36.63% from $4.127 billion in 2022 to $5.639 billion in 2024 [10] Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - HCA Healthcare has a consensus Moderate Buy rating, with nine out of 18 analysts assigning it a Buy rating and the average 12-month price target set at $396.46, indicating a potential upside of 16.56% [13] - The company forecasts EPS growth of 12.21% to $28.03 for the next year [12] - HCA Healthcare currently pays a modest dividend yielding 0.85%, with a low dividend payout ratio of 12.11%, indicating a balance between rewarding shareholders and reinvesting for growth [14]