Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) shares have dropped significantly, losing more than half of their value in 2025 due to a weaker-than-expected outlook and anticipated consumer pullback [1][6] - The company expects full-year sales to be around $5.35 billion, which is below analyst consensus [2] - The CEO indicated that the full impact of tariffs and price increases will lead to a more cautious consumer environment in the U.S. [3] Financial Performance - Deckers reported earnings per share of $1.82 for the fiscal second quarter, with revenue increasing by 9.1% year-over-year to $1.43 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations [5] - Ugg brand sales rose by 10.1% to $759.6 million, while Hoka brand sales grew by 11.1% to $634.1 million; however, sales from other brands fell by 26.5% to $57.2 million [5] Market Implications - The increase in tariffs may lead to higher prices for Deckers' products, creating margin pressure and potentially affecting consumer spending more broadly [4] - The company's current-quarter outlook has missed analysts' estimates, raising concerns about future performance [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported consolidated net sales of $655.2 million for Q3 2025, an 8% increase from $608.5 million in Q3 2024, with VOXX contributing $84.9 million [4] - Core Gentex revenue was $570.3 million, representing a 6% decline compared to the same quarter last year [4] - Consolidated gross margin improved to 34.4% from 33.5% in Q3 2024, with core Gentex gross margin at 34.9%, a 140 basis point increase [5][6] - Consolidated net income attributable to Gentex was $101 million, down from $122.5 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to a one-time gain in the prior period [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive net sales were $558 million in Q3 2025, down from $596.5 million in Q3 2024, largely due to lower shipments of auto-dimming mirrors in Europe and China [10] - Net sales from other product lines, including dimmable aircraft windows and fire protection devices, were $12.3 million, slightly up from $12 million in Q3 2024 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American OEM revenue increased approximately 5% quarter over quarter, while European revenue declined approximately 14% due to production challenges and a weaker vehicle mix [4][5] - Revenue in China totaled approximately $34 million, down 35% compared to Q3 2024, reflecting the impact of tariffs [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on aligning product strategies and optimizing customer relationships post-VOXX acquisition, with a strong emphasis on operational synergies [11] - There is a continued focus on R&D to support growth objectives, particularly in advanced technologies like in-cabin monitoring and dimmable sunroofs [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company anticipates a decline in global light vehicle production of approximately 4% in Q4 2025, with a full-year production forecast down 1% [21][22] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining gross margins despite tariff headwinds and emphasized the need for operational efficiency [23] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1 million shares at an average price of $28.18 per share during Q3 2025, with a total of 9.8 million shares repurchased year-to-date [12] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $178.6 million from $233.3 million at year-end 2024, primarily due to the VOXX acquisition and share repurchases [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the growth headwinds in Europe? - Management indicated that temporary impacts from OEM shutdowns were around $5 million to $6 million, with the primary issue being a shift in vehicle trim mix [27][28] Question: How is the company addressing tariff costs? - Management noted that they recovered 70% to 80% of Q2 tariff costs in Q3 and expect to recover most of the incremental costs in Q4 [29] Question: What is the company's exposure to Nexperia? - The company has some supplies from Nexperia but does not expect significant impact in Q4 [30][32] Question: Are there changes in ordering patterns from customers in Europe? - Management confirmed that there is decontenting on higher-end vehicles as OEMs seek to lower costs due to tariffs [39] Question: What is the outlook for FDM sales? - FDM sales are expected to exceed 2024 numbers by 200,000 to 300,000 units, with strong demand continuing [42][46] Question: What are the targets for VOXX integration? - The company aims to achieve approximately $40 million in free cash flow from VOXX within 18 months post-acquisition, with over $10 million in annualized savings already realized [67][68]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported consolidated net sales of $655.2 million for Q3 2025, an 8% increase from $608.5 million in Q3 2024, with VOXX contributing $84.9 million [4] - Core Gentex revenue was $570.3 million, representing a 6% decline compared to the same quarter last year [4] - Consolidated gross margin improved to 34.4% from 33.5% in the previous year, with core Gentex gross margin at 34.9%, a 140 basis point increase [5][6] - Consolidated net income attributable to Gentex was $101 million, down from $122.5 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to a one-time gain in the prior period [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive net sales were $558 million, down from $596.5 million in Q3 2024, mainly due to lower shipments of auto-dimming mirrors in Europe and China [10] - Other product lines generated $12.3 million in net sales, slightly up from $12 million in Q3 2024 [10] - VOXX net sales contributed $84.9 million during the quarter [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American OEM revenue increased approximately 5% quarter-over-quarter, while European revenue declined about 14% due to production challenges and a weaker vehicle mix [4][5] - In China, revenue fell 35% to approximately $34 million, impacted by tariffs and counter-tariff actions [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating VOXX and optimizing product strategies, customer relationships, and operational synergies [11] - There is a strong emphasis on R&D to support growth objectives, particularly in advanced technologies like in-cabin monitoring and dimmable sunroofs [20][23] - The company aims to maintain gross margins in the high 34% to 35% range moving into next year, contingent on stabilizing tariffs and effective cost control [70][71] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that light vehicle production is expected to decline approximately 4% in Q4 2025, with a full-year production forecast down 1% [21][22] - The company is adapting to ongoing tariff impacts and is focused on improving operational efficiencies to support profitability [23] - Management expressed confidence in the ability to recover tariff costs in Q4 and emphasized the importance of maintaining margins despite market challenges [29][70] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1 million shares at an average price of $28.18 per share during the quarter, with a total of 9.8 million shares repurchased year-to-date [12] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $178.6 million from $233.3 million at year-end 2024, primarily due to the VOXX acquisition and share repurchases [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: What were the growth headwinds in Europe? - Management indicated that approximately $5 million to $6 million in revenue headwinds were due to temporary OEM shutdowns, with the primary issue being vehicle trim mix [26][27] Question: How is the company addressing tariff cost recovery? - Management stated that they recovered 70%-80% of Q2 tariff costs in Q3 and expect to recover most of the incremental costs in Q4 [29] Question: What is the company's exposure to Nexperia? - Management confirmed they have some supply from Nexperia but do not expect significant impact in Q4 [30][32] Question: Are there changes in ordering patterns from customers in Europe? - Management noted that there is decontenting on higher-end vehicles as OEMs seek to lower costs due to tariffs [38] Question: What is the outlook for Full Display Mirror (FDM) sales? - Management expects strong growth in FDM sales, projecting an increase of 200,000-300,000 units in 2025 compared to 2024 [41][44] Question: What are the targets for VOXX integration? - Management is on track to achieve synergy targets within 18 months post-acquisition, with over $10 million in annualized savings already realized [65][66] Question: What are the challenges in the dimmable sunroofs and visors market? - Management highlighted technical challenges related to OEM certification and quality control as key hurdles to commercial viability [56] Question: What is the consumer feedback on the fire protection business? - Management reported positive consumer feedback regarding ease of installation and app integration for products launched in Home Depot [60][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported consolidated net sales of $655.2 million for Q3 2025, an 8% increase from $608.5 million in Q3 2024, with VOXX contributing $84.9 million [4] - Core Gentex revenue was $570.3 million, a 6% decline compared to the same quarter last year [4] - Consolidated gross margin improved to 34.4% from 33.5% year-over-year, with core Gentex gross margin at 34.9%, a 140 basis point increase [5][6] - Consolidated net income attributable to Gentex was $101 million, down from $122.5 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to a one-time gain in the prior period [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive net sales were $558 million, down from $596.5 million in Q3 2024, mainly due to lower shipments in Europe and China [11] - Other product lines generated $12.3 million in net sales, slightly up from $12 million in Q3 2024 [11] - VOXX net sales contributed $84.9 million during the quarter [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American OEM revenue increased approximately 5% quarter-over-quarter, while European revenue declined about 14% due to production challenges and a weaker vehicle mix [4][5] - In China, revenue was approximately $34 million, down 35% year-over-year, reflecting the impact of tariffs [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on aligning product strategies and optimizing customer relationships post-VOXX acquisition, aiming for operational synergies [12] - There is a strong emphasis on R&D to support growth objectives, particularly in advanced technologies like dimmable sunroofs and driver monitoring systems [19][20] - The company plans to enhance efficiency and optimization in the VOXX organization to support sustainable profitability [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management noted that light vehicle production is expected to decline approximately 4% in Q4 2025, with a full-year forecast of a 1% decrease [22] - The company anticipates consolidated revenue for 2025 to be between $2.5 billion and $2.6 billion, with a gross margin forecast of 33.5% to 34% [23] - Management expressed confidence in maintaining gross margins in the high 34% range into next year, contingent on stabilizing tariffs and effective cost control [60] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1 million shares at an average price of $28.18 per share during Q3 2025, totaling $28.3 million [12] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $178.6 million from $233.3 million at year-end 2024, primarily due to the VOXX acquisition and share repurchases [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth headwinds in Europe - Management indicated that temporary impacts from OEM shutdowns were minor, with the primary issue being a shift in vehicle trim mix affecting revenue [27][28] Question: Gross margin recovery - The company expects to recover most tariff costs in Q4, with a lag effect noted in the reimbursement process [29] Question: Supply chain exposure to Nexperia - Management confirmed some supply from Nexperia but does not anticipate significant impact in Q4, having prepared alternate supply solutions [31] Question: European market ordering patterns - There is evidence of decontenting in higher-end vehicles as OEMs seek to lower costs, impacting overall vehicle content [35] Question: VOXX synergy integration - The integration is ahead of schedule, with positive net income contributions from VOXX noted [45] Question: Dimmable sunroofs and visors market readiness - Challenges remain in achieving commercial viability, particularly in meeting OEM certification requirements [48] Question: Retail consumer fire protection business feedback - Initial consumer feedback has been positive, focusing on ease of installation and app integration [52] Question: Future growth in China - Management anticipates continued headwinds in the China market but remains focused on product offerings to remain competitive [62] Question: Content challenges and growth in Europe - The company is focusing on new technologies to find growth opportunities despite a declining market [66]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported consolidated net sales of $655.2 million, an 8% increase compared to $608.5 million in the same quarter last year, with VOXX contributing $84.9 million [6][10] - Core Gentex revenue was $570.3 million, representing a 6% decline versus the same quarter last year [6][12] - Consolidated gross margin improved to 34.4% from 33.5% in the previous year, with core Gentex gross margin at 34.9%, a 140 basis point increase [8][12] - Consolidated net income attributable to Gentex was $101 million, down from $122.5 million in the same quarter last year [12][30] - Earnings per diluted share were $0.46 compared to $0.53 in the same quarter last year [12][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive net sales were $558 million, down from $596.5 million in the previous year, primarily due to lower shipments of auto-dimming mirrors in Europe and China [14][15] - Other product lines generated $12.3 million in net sales, slightly up from $12 million in the previous year [15] - VOXX net sales contributed $84.9 million during the quarter [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American OEM revenue increased approximately 5% quarter over quarter, while European revenue declined approximately 14% due to production challenges and a weaker vehicle mix [6][7] - In China, revenue totaled approximately $34 million, down 35% compared to the same quarter last year, reflecting the impact of tariffs [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving operational efficiencies and cost control, with a strong emphasis on integrating VOXX and optimizing product strategies [27][30] - There is a commitment to innovation, particularly in advanced features like driver monitoring and in-cabin systems, with plans to launch with three additional customers by 2026 [25][27] - The company aims to maintain gross margins in the high-34% to 35% range moving into next year, emphasizing the importance of pricing and supply chain management [78][80] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that light vehicle production is expected to decline approximately 4% in 2025 compared to the previous year, with a focus on navigating economic challenges in Europe and China [29][30] - The company anticipates continued headwinds in the China market due to a trend towards domestic suppliers [81][82] - Management expressed confidence in achieving synergy targets from the VOXX acquisition, with an expectation of $40 million in free cash flow annually [72][73] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1 million shares at an average price of $28.18 per share during the quarter, with a total of 9.8 million shares repurchased year-to-date [15][16] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $178.6 million from $233.3 million at year-end, primarily due to the VOXX acquisition and share repurchases [16][17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth headwinds in Europe - Management indicated that temporary impacts from OEM shutdowns were minor, with the primary issue being a shift in vehicle mix leading to lower content [34][35] Question: Gross margin recovery - Management expects to recover most tariff costs in Q4, noting a lag in reimbursement [38][39] Question: Supply chain exposure to Nexperia - Management confirmed some supply from Nexperia but does not expect significant impact in Q4 [40][42] Question: European market pressure - Management acknowledged decontenting trends among OEMs to lower costs, impacting higher-end vehicles [46][47] Question: VOXX synergy integration - Management reported positive net income contributions from VOXX and is on track to achieve synergy targets [60][62] Question: Dimmable sunroofs and visors - Management highlighted ongoing challenges in achieving commercial viability but remains confident in meeting operational goals [63][64] Question: Retail consumer fire protection business feedback - Early consumer feedback has been positive, focusing on ease of installation and app integration [69][70] Question: FDM adoption challenges - Management noted cost remains a barrier for some OEMs, but progress is being made in increasing take rates [96][97]

Core Insights - The U.S. economy experienced acceleration in October despite the ongoing government shutdown [1] - Businesses reported that high tariffs are negatively impacting exports and creating uncertainty for the upcoming year [1] Economic Performance - Economic activity in October showed signs of speeding up, indicating resilience in the U.S. economy during the government shutdown [1] Business Sentiment - Companies expressed concerns that elevated tariffs are harming export activities [1] - The uncertainty created by tariffs is leading to a pessimistic outlook for the upcoming year among businesses [1]

Market Performance - The S&P 500 Index is up +0.79%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index is up +0.66%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is up +1.04% [1] - December E-mini S&P futures are up +0.68%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures are up +0.89% [1] Economic Indicators - The US CPI report for September showed a +0.3% month-over-month increase and a +3.0% year-over-year increase, which was slightly weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m and +3.1% y/y [2] - The core CPI report for September also showed a +0.3% m/m and +3.1% y/y, which was weaker than the expected +0.2% m/m [2] - The October S&P US manufacturing PMI rose by +0.2 to 52.2, exceeding expectations of no change at 52.0 [4] - The October S&P US services PMI increased by +1.0 to 55.2, stronger than the expected decline to 53.5 [4] - The final October University of Michigan US consumer sentiment index fell by -1.4 points to 53.6, which was weaker than the expected drop to 54.5 [4] Trade Relations - President Trump announced the termination of trade negotiations with Canada, citing an anti-tariff advertisement from Ontario that he found offensive [5] - The advertisement featured former President Reagan advocating for free trade and against tariffs, which Trump claimed was deceptive [6] - Lower courts have ruled Trump's reciprocal tariffs illegal, and if upheld by the Supreme Court, the government may need to refund collected tariffs and limit Trump's tariff powers [6]

David, let's start with the inflation data. Is three, the new two, and is it going to stop this Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates. I think the Fed is going to keep on kind of cutting rates is generally a better than expected report.But I think what it really shows is we have a k-shaped economy and it's sort of a k-shaped CPI report. The thing that really jumped out to me is, first of all, our rental cars coming down, there's you know, we've got a big change in demographics here and rents are. Rent ...

Deckers - Deckers shares are under heavy pressure, down approximately 14% following earnings results, adding to a 50% decline earlier this year [1] - The company reported EPS of $1.82 and revenue of $1.43 billion, both better than expected, but provided weaker guidance for 2026 sales at $5.35 billion [1] - Direct-to-consumer sales for Uggs declined by about 10%, while Hoka gained market share, indicating mixed performance [1] - The company anticipates $150 million in unmitigated expenses from tariffs, which is a headwind for the stock [1] Newmont Mining - Newmont Mining's stock is lower despite a significant earnings beat, with adjusted EPS at $1.71 and revenue up 20% to $5.5 billion [1] - The company warned of a dip in Q4 free cash flow due to construction spending in Peru and severance payments accrued in Q3 [1] - The correlation to gold prices has impacted stock performance, with a recent pullback in gold prices affecting investor sentiment [1] Procter & Gamble - Procter & Gamble shares rose by 2.25% after reporting better-than-expected earnings, driven by strong performance in beauty and grooming segments [1][2] - Beauty revenue reached $22.39 billion, with organic sales increasing and beauty sales up 6%, attributed to brands like Olay and SK2 [1] - The CFO noted a stable but challenging consumer environment, with higher-income shoppers trading up while lower-income consumers are more price-sensitive [2]

Core Insights - Proctor and Gamble reported first quarter earnings for 2026, with earnings of $1.99 per share, surpassing estimates of $1.90, and revenue of $22.4 billion, exceeding estimates of $22.2 billion [1] - The company affirmed its full-year guidance, indicating stability in its financial outlook despite flat volumes compared to the previous year and a 1% increase in pricing [1][5] Financial Performance - This marks the 40th consecutive quarter of organic sales growth for Proctor and Gamble, with eight out of ten categories maintaining or growing sales during the quarter [3] - The company is on track for its 10th consecutive year of earnings per share growth, with six out of seven regions also holding or growing sales [3] Market Environment and Challenges - Proctor and Gamble has managed to navigate tariff pressures effectively, with the anticipated headwind from tariffs reduced from $800 million to $400 million, and commodity cost pressures also halved from $200 million to $100 million [9][10] - The company noted improvements in the tariff environment, particularly due to the reduction of retaliatory tariffs in Canada and favorable policies regarding ingredient imports [7][8] Regional Performance - In China, Proctor and Gamble experienced a 6% sales increase in mainland China and a 5% increase in greater China, including Taiwan and Hong Kong, with notable growth in categories such as baby diapers and SK2 [14][15]