Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is one of the most profitable large cap stocks to buy right now. On November 18, Stifel upgraded Deckers Outdoor to Buy from Hold, while keeping the price target unchanged at $117. This sentiment was posted after the firm hosted management meetings with investors. Stifel reported that the company’s management expressed confidence in the company’s future, specifically anticipating growth for the Hoka brand and favorable supply and demand for Ugg. Earlier in its FQ2 2 ...

On November 21, John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer chief investment strategist, joined CNBC’s ‘The Exchange’ to talk about where to look for market opportunities and discuss investment opportunities amidst current market volatility and bubble talk. Stoltzfus expressed optimism about the market’s rally, which he attributed to recent encouraging news from the New York Fed and Boston Fed. He advised that the current environment is one of opportunity, but cautioned against buying the dips too wildly. Instead, he recom ...

Core Viewpoint - Anna Sports has experienced a positive stock reaction following an earnings beat and raised guidance, indicating strong performance in the apparel sector despite challenges faced by competitors like Lululemon and Nike [1][4]. Company Performance - Anna Sports reported an adjusted profit of 33 cents, exceeding estimates of 25 cents, and showing a 130% increase from 14 cents in the same quarter last year [5]. - Sales reached $1.76 billion, surpassing estimates by $30 million, and reflecting a 30% year-over-year growth [5]. - The company's outdoor performance brands, particularly Solomon, saw a 36% increase, while the technical apparel brand Arterics grew by 31% [6]. Guidance and Market Outlook - The company raised its EPS guidance from approximately 79.5 cents to 90 cents and expects sales growth in the high single to low double-digit teens percentage for the fiscal year [7]. - Strong performance in the Chinese market, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, has been a significant contributor to growth, contrasting with domestic weaknesses in the U.S. market [8]. Competitive Landscape - The footwear market remains competitive, with brands like On Holdings and Deckers (Hoka brand) gaining traction, while Nike has struggled [10]. - Anna Sports is positioned well in the apparel space, outperforming competitors like Lululemon, which faces increased competition [11]. Financial Metrics - The company reported a gross margin improvement, with 58% of sales above the previous year's 55.5%, indicating a positive trend in profitability [12]. - Operating margin improvements are expected to range between 30 and 70 basis points, with a current net income margin of approximately 3.5% [13].

Market Overview - The S&P 500 is approaching 7,000 and currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29, making it the second-most expensive in history according to the Shiller P/E ratio [1][2] General Motors (GM) - General Motors has recently seen a stock price increase following its third-quarter earnings report, benefiting from trends in the auto industry [3][4] - The shift in consumer demand away from electric vehicles (EVs) and the elimination of the $7,500 EV tax credit have positively impacted GM [4][5] - The U.S. government's introduction of a 3.75% offset on trucks manufactured in the U.S. provides GM with a competitive advantage over foreign automakers [5] - GM's third-quarter revenue fell slightly by 0.3% to $48.6 billion, exceeding estimates of $45.33 billion, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fell from $2.96 to $2.80, surpassing the consensus of $2.32 [7] - The estimated gross tariff impact for GM has been lowered to between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion, and the full-year adjusted EPS guidance has been raised to a range of $9.75 to $10.50 [8] - GM's stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of less than 7, with a history of stock buybacks reducing shares outstanding by 15% over the last year [8][9] Deckers Outdoor (DECK) - Deckers Outdoor, known for brands like Hoka and Ugg, has faced challenges, with its stock down over 50% from its peak earlier this year due to tariff pressures and consumer spending headwinds [10][11] - The stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14, based on an EPS forecast of $6.30 to $6.39 [11] - Domestic sales declined by 1.7% in the quarter, and the company faces an estimated $150 million headwind from tariffs [12] - Despite short-term challenges, international sales increased by 29.3% to $591.3 million, accounting for over 40% of revenue [15] - The wholesale revenue improved by 13.4%, and core brands experienced double-digit growth, although Ugg sales are expected to slow [15][16] - Deckers has a strong track record in managing footwear brands and is expected to return to steady bottom-line growth in the long term, making its current price a discount [16]

Company Performance - Chipotle has lowered its sales outlook, resulting in a share price drop of over 14% as consumers reduce dining out due to inflationary pressures [1] - The company has missed revenue expectations and has guided down same-store sales for the third consecutive quarter, indicating ongoing operational challenges [2] - Operating and restaurant margins have also missed expectations, raising concerns about the effectiveness of the current leadership team [2] Consumer Behavior - There is a noticeable decline in traffic at Chipotle, particularly among younger consumers aged 25 to 35, who are reportedly feeling the economic pressure [5][7] - Feedback from consumers suggests a decline in the overall dining experience at Chipotle, including perceptions of food quality and restaurant cleanliness [6][8] Broader Economic Context - The performance issues at Chipotle may not be solely idiosyncratic but could reflect broader economic trends, as other consumer-facing companies like Royal Caribbean and Garmin are also experiencing challenges [4][5] - The ongoing government shutdown is expected to have a negative impact on consumer spending, particularly affecting those who are furloughed or working without pay [10] Other Companies - Deckers reported strong quarterly results with a double beat, gaining market share and expanding margins, but the stock was sold due to a lack of catalysts for growth in the near term [12] - Gap was sold after achieving double-digit gains, despite a positive outlook on the management and brand strategy [11]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Brands has experienced a significant decline in stock performance, with a 56% drop in 2025, making it the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500 year to date [1][2]. Financial Performance - Deckers reported its fiscal second quarter results for 2026, leading to a stock price drop of over 10% [1]. - The company revised its growth outlook for fiscal 2026, lowering expected net sales growth for Hoka from mid-teens to low teens and for Ugg from mid-single digits to low-single digits [7][8]. - The gross margin for fiscal 2025 was 58%, but it is projected to decrease to 56% for fiscal 2026 [8]. Brand Performance - Deckers' two main brands, Hoka and Ugg, account for 97% of net sales, with Ugg representing 53% and Hoka 44% of Q2 net sales [5]. Market Position - Deckers' stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13, which is approximately a 50% discount compared to the average stock in the S&P 500 [15]. - The company has a strong balance sheet with $1.4 billion in cash and zero debt, positioning it well to withstand market uncertainties [12]. Investor Sentiment - Despite the recent downturn, the company has generated positive cash flow and is repurchasing shares, which is expected to enhance shareholder value [12][13]. - There is a belief that the market may be overreacting to the recent Q2 report, presenting a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors [10][16].

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) stock is currently trading within a support range of $82.59 to $91.29, where it has historically rebounded significantly, achieving an average peak return of 59.2% after three previous instances of trading at this level [1] Financial Performance - The stock has faced a decline this year due to mixed earnings and margin pressures from rising tariffs and higher selling expenses, but it has strong brand momentum from high-growth lines like Hoka and Ugg [5] - Ugg sales increased by 10.1% and Hoka sales grew by 11.1%, reaching $634.1 million in the last quarter [5] - Revenue growth for DECK stands at 16.3% over the last twelve months (LTM) and an average of 16.5% over the past three years [7] - The company has a free cash flow margin of nearly 19.2% and an operating margin of 23.6% LTM [7] - The lowest annual revenue growth in the last three years was 15.1% [7] - DECK stock trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 13.6, indicating a lower valuation compared to the S&P [7] Market Position and Risks - Deckers Outdoor has a solid financial foundation and expanding international opportunities, despite being susceptible to significant declines during market turmoil [6] - The company operates 140 retail locations worldwide and distributes through various channels, including department stores and specialty retailers [6] - Historical performance shows that DECK experienced a 44% decline during the Dot-Com crash and a 77% drop during the Global Financial Crisis, highlighting its vulnerability to market conditions [6]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is facing challenges in a competitive market, with Telsey Advisory maintaining a "Market Perform" rating and a revised price target of $105, down from $120 [2][6] - The company's stock price has declined by 12.7% following the release of its fiscal Q2 report, despite exceeding earnings per share and revenue expectations [2][3] - Concerns over slowing growth in the Hoka brand and a softer U.S. market have led to downgrades from multiple Wall Street firms [3][6] Financial Performance - Deckers reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $1.82 per share, surpassing estimates, but the full-year revenue guidance fell short of Wall Street expectations [3][5] - The company now projects full-year sales of approximately $5.35 billion, which is below the consensus forecast by analysts [5] Brand Performance - Hoka's growth is projected to be in the low-teens percentage range for fiscal 2026, a significant decrease from the 24% growth seen in the previous year [4] - Ugg is expected to grow in the low to mid single-digit percentage range, down from a 13% growth rate in the prior year [4] Market Conditions - The U.S. market is described as softer, with CEO Stefano Caroti noting a more cautious consumer base due to tariffs and rising prices [5][6] - The company is considering mitigation strategies, such as promotions, to attract shoppers amid these challenges [5][6]

After several years of upward momentum, some analysts are growing concerned about Ugg and Hoka parent company Deckers Brands after its latest earnings report on Thursday. One of those voices is Tom Nikic, senior analyst at Needham, who said the Goleta, Calif.-based company is “poised” for negative reaction by investors despite a second quarter 2026 revenue beat. More from WWD And he isn’t wrong. On Friday, shares for Deckers Brands closed for the day down over 15 percent to $86.94 a share. “The issues l ...

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corp. shares experienced a decline of over 11% following a disappointing annual forecast and concerns regarding U.S. tariffs impacting demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts annual sales to be approximately $5.35 billion, which is below the consensus estimate of $5.45 billion [3] - Deckers expects total tariff-related expenses to be around $150 million, a reduction from earlier projections of $185 million [2] Group 2: Market Conditions and Consumer Behavior - Heightened uncertainty surrounding tariffs has led to concerns that increased import costs may compel retailers to raise prices, resulting in reduced discretionary spending by consumers [1] - CEO Stefano Caroti indicated that consumers are likely to remain "cautious" in the second half of the fiscal year as higher retail prices are implemented [3] Group 3: Strategic Responses - To mitigate margin pressures, Deckers has introduced selective price increases in July and plans further adjustments throughout the fiscal year [2][3]