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Bitcoin falls, Trump says he knows who the next Fed chair will be, Cyber Monday expectations
Youtube· 2025-12-01 15:06
Retail Sector - Black Friday retail sales reached a record $11.8 billion in online spending, an increase of 11.8% year-over-year, with expectations for Cyber Monday to surpass this figure at $14.2 billion [2][4] - Macy's is expected to report a quarterly loss of 14 cents per share, a significant decline of 450% compared to the previous year [4] - Analysts are optimistic about retail performance, noting a potential shift in consumer spending dynamics and the impact of credit card debt on future sales [16][19] Technology Sector - Salesforce is set to announce its Q3 results, with expectations of solid growth and steady demand, although profitability may see only minor changes [6] - The acquisition of Informatica is projected to boost Salesforce's revenue by approximately $1.7 billion over the next year, but increased spending on AI products may affect profit margins [7] - Crowdstrike's Q3 results are anticipated to benefit from heightened demand for cybersecurity products due to rising global threat incidents [5] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline, trading below $87,000, with a drop of over 5% recently, reflecting a broader risk-off sentiment among investors [9][10] - The slowdown in inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and a downgrade of the USDT stablecoin's stability rating have contributed to the negative sentiment in the crypto market [10][11] - The People's Bank of China's warning about the risks associated with virtual currencies has further exacerbated the selloff in cryptocurrencies [11] Economic Indicators - The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), is expected to remain steady at 0.3% for total PCE and 2% for core PCE on a month-over-month basis [8] - Auto sales data for November is anticipated to show a slight increase to 15.4 million, indicating stable consumer demand for new vehicles [8] Market Outlook - Predictions for the S&P 500 in 2026 range from 7,500 to 8,000 points, with expectations of robust earnings and growing valuations, although concerns about inflation and the job market persist [53][55] - The healthcare sector is seeing increased inflows as investors shift away from large-cap tech, with strong performance noted in drug and medical device companies [40][41]
Silver Extends Record-Breaking Rally on Tight Global Supplies
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-01 13:02
Group 1 - Silver prices surged to a new peak, reaching $57.86 an ounce, after a nearly 6% increase on Friday, marking a doubling in value this year, significantly outpacing gold's 60% rally [2][4] - A record amount of silver entered London in October to alleviate a historic supply squeeze, but this has led to pressure on other trading centers, with Shanghai Futures Exchange inventories hitting a nearly decade-low [3][4] - Increased expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December have contributed to the rise in both silver and gold prices, as lower borrowing costs typically benefit non-yielding precious metals [4][5] Group 2 - The gold-silver ratio has approached 70, indicating a growing interest in how silver's price compares to gold, which is a key metric for investors [5][6] - Concerns over potential tariffs on silver, following its addition to the US Geological Survey's list of critical minerals, may deter traders from exporting the metal, exacerbating supply issues [6] - Investor interest in silver has intensified, with inflows into physically backed exchange-traded funds increasing after profit-taking in October [7]
Stocks Set to Open Lower as Bond Yields Climb, U.S. PCE Inflation Data Awaited
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-01 11:19
Economic Data and Market Trends - The U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure, is set to be released, with expectations of soft inflation reflected in recent CPI and PPI reports [1][3] - Wall Street's major equity averages closed higher, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq 100 reaching two-week highs, driven by gains in chip and energy stocks [2] - The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 4.041%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment following hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan [10][5] Corporate Earnings and Stock Movements - High-profile companies such as Salesforce, CrowdStrike, and Marvell Technology are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, attracting investor attention [6] - Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks saw significant movements, with Riot Platforms and MARA Holdings experiencing gains as Bitcoin rebounded past $90,000 [2] - New Fortress Energy surged over 23% in pre-market trading after receiving preliminary approval for a contract in Puerto Rico [19] International Market Developments - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index opened lower, with industrial stocks underperforming, particularly Airbus, which faced a decline due to a recall of jets [11] - China's manufacturing activity showed signs of contraction, with the November Manufacturing PMI at 49.2, indicating ongoing economic challenges [14][13] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index fell sharply as government bond yields increased, influenced by the Bank of Japan's potential rate hike signals [15][16]
Stock Market Today: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Down Despite Strong Black Friday Sales — NVIDIA MongoDB, Crowdstrike And Salesforce In Focus - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Benzinga· 2025-12-01 10:57
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Monday following a five-session rally over the Thanksgiving weekend, despite strong Black Friday sales, with online sales increasing by 9.4% year-over-year [1] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.04%, while the two-year bond was at 3.49%, with an 87.6% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December [3] - Major indices showed negative premarket performance: Dow Jones down 0.40%, S&P 500 down 0.53%, Nasdaq 100 down 0.66%, and Russell 2000 down 0.77% [3] Company Earnings and Performance - Investors are anticipating earnings reports from MongoDB Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB), CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD), and Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM) this week [2] - MongoDB shares were down 0.47% pre-market ahead of its third-quarter earnings report [13] - NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares fell 1.16% pre-market due to rising competition in the GPU market, particularly from Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) [6] - Nio Inc. (NYSE:NIO) shares decreased by 4% pre-market despite reporting record vehicle deliveries and reduced losses in Q3 [6] - Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) shares were down 1.11% pre-market after a 10% surge on Friday, following speculation about becoming a foundry supplier for Apple Inc.'s M-series processors [6] Sector Performance - All S&P 500 sectors, except for healthcare, were positive on Friday, with energy, IT, communications, and financial services leading the gains [7] - The Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.65%, S&P 500 by 0.54%, Dow Jones by 0.61%, and Russell 2000 by 0.58% on the last trading day [8] Economic Indicators - No economic data was scheduled for release on Monday [10] Commodities and Global Markets - Crude oil futures rose by 1.69% to approximately $59.53 per barrel, while gold prices increased by 0.80% to around $4,253.07 per ounce [11] - Bitcoin was trading 4.20% lower at $86,640.39 per coin [11] - Asian markets showed mixed results, with Japan's Nikkei 225, India's Nifty 50, and Australia's ASX 200 declining, while China's SHENZHEN and Shanghai indices were up [12]
European and Asian Stocks Mostly Lower as Global Sentiment Takes a Hit
Barrons· 2025-12-01 09:46
Market Overview - European and Asian equities experienced a decline, reflecting a risk-off sentiment as December begins [1] - London's FTSE 100 decreased by less than 0.1%, while Paris CAC 40 fell by 0.3% [1] - Frankfurt's DAX dropped by 0.7%, and the pan-European Stoxx 600 retreated by 0.2% [1] Influencing Factors - Global market sentiment is being shaped by changing expectations regarding potential U.S. interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in December [1]
Nasdaq Gains 150 Points But Records Losses For November: Fear & Greed Index Remains In 'Extreme Fear' Zone
Benzinga· 2025-12-01 07:59
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced gains on Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite rising for the fifth consecutive session as hopes for interest rate cuts increased and risk appetite returned across technology, cryptocurrency, and commodities sectors [2][3] - The Nasdaq recorded a nearly 2% decline in November, while the S&P 500 and Dow posted slight gains during the same month [2] - The Dow increased by over 3% last week, and the S&P 500 surged almost 4%, with the Nasdaq Composite climbing over 4% during the week [2] Federal Reserve Expectations - Traders currently estimate an 88% probability that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting on December 10, a significant increase from a 50% chance the previous week [3] Sector Performance - Most sectors within the S&P 500 closed positively, with energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks showing the largest gains on Friday [4] - In contrast, healthcare stocks did not follow the upward trend and closed lower [4] Notable Company Movements - Intel Corp. led the S&P 500 with a gain of over 10%, as investors returned to buy previously beaten-down technology stocks [3] - Investors are anticipating earnings results from MongoDB Inc., Vestis Corp., and Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. [5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-01 06:14
India’s unexpectedly strong economic growth last quarter has reduced chances of an interest rate cut at this week’s central bank’s policy meeting despite record-low inflation https://t.co/uxrnVE8aOI ...
Global Markets Grapple with China Slowdown, Vanke Debt Woes, and ASX Outage
Stock Market News· 2025-12-01 02:08
Key TakeawaysChina's manufacturing sector unexpectedly contracted in November 2025, with the RatingDog PMI falling to 49.9, marking the first contraction since July.Troubled property developer China Vanke (000002.SZ, 2202.HK) saw trading halted on its 2028 yuan bond after a dramatic 36% price drop to 34.5 per 100 par, signaling ongoing concerns in the Chinese real estate market.The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) experienced an outage affecting its announcement system, though initial indications sugges ...
Wall Street Rallies for Fifth Straight Day, Nasdaq Snaps Monthly Win Streak on Black Friday Trading
Stock Market News· 2025-11-28 22:07
Market Performance Summary - U.S. stock markets experienced a strong finish on Black Friday, marking a fifth consecutive day of gains across major indexes, with the S&P 500 rising 0.5% to 6,849.09, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing 0.6% to 47,716.42, and the Nasdaq Composite climbing 0.7% to 23,365.69 [1][2] - For the week, the S&P 500 gained 3.7%, the Dow advanced 3.2%, the Nasdaq surged 4.9%, and the Russell 2000 added 5.5% [3] Monthly Performance Insights - November showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 and Dow extending their winning streaks to seven months, while the Nasdaq Composite experienced its first monthly decline since March, falling 1.5% [3] Market Drivers and Sentiment - Market optimism is driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with an 83% probability of a December cut being priced in by traders [4] - Recent economic data, including a decrease in initial jobless claims to a seven-month low of 216,000, supports the case for monetary easing [4] Notable Stock Movements - Intel (INTC) was the top performer in the S&P 500, surging 10.2% due to speculation about becoming a foundry supplier for Apple (AAPL) [6] - Nvidia (NVDA) shares declined by 1.8%, concluding November with a double-digit percentage loss, reflecting concerns about competitive threats and high valuations in the AI sector [6] - Eli Lilly (LLY) slipped 2.6% after reaching a historic $1 trillion market capitalization, driven by its weight-loss drugs [6] - Sandisk (SNDK) gained nearly 4% following its debut in the S&P 500, potentially increasing demand from index-tracking funds [6] Retail Sector Performance - Major retailers like Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), and Amazon (AMZN) finished up approximately 1% to 2% on Black Friday, while Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) rose 2.9% [7] Upcoming Market Events - Investors are expected to monitor key economic data releases, including Eurozone CPI data and unemployment figures, which will provide insights into the international economy [11] - Earnings announcements from companies like Globus Maritime (GLBS) and Meituan (HKG: 03690) are scheduled, which will offer insights into corporate performance [11]
Bitcoin's 8% Rally This Past Week Is Being Powered By 2 Catalysts Investors May Not Be Paying Enough Attention To
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-28 18:45
Key Points Increasing interest rate cut expectations are one key driver investors are watching when it comes to Bitcoin's price action right now. Another key factor market experts are honing in on is how Bitcoin typically performs on a seasonal basis through year end. Here's what to make of the confluence of these two factors, within the context of Bitcoin's recent rally. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has put forward a very impressive showing over the past week, sur ...