同店销售增长

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MINISO GROUP(9896.HK):1Q25 MISSED ON ELEVATED STORE OPENING EXPENSES
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-27 01:59
Core Viewpoint - Miniso's 1Q25 revenue increased by 18.9% YoY to RMB4,427 million, but adjusted net profit (NP) declined by 4.8% YoY to RMB587 million, missing market expectations significantly. This decline is attributed to higher operating expenses related to new self-operated stores in the US, impacting the margin structure. Management remains optimistic about the full-year outlook, particularly for 4Q25, but investor concerns regarding earnings may take time to alleviate. The company is expected to present buying opportunities following the post-1Q25 earnings softness [1][2][5]. Revenue and Profit Performance - 1Q25 revenue growth of 18.9% YoY was in line with expectations, but adjusted NP fell by 4.8% YoY to RMB587 million, marking the lowest level since 3Q23. This decline contrasts sharply with the 20% YoY growth in NP recorded in 4Q24. The significant drop in adjusted NP is primarily due to a 47% YoY increase in selling and distribution expenses, which reached RMB1,021 million [2][3]. Operating Expenses and Store Strategy - The increase in operating expenses is mainly due to frontloaded costs associated with new self-operated stores in the US, which have higher operating expenses compared to franchised stores. Although the impact of these self-operated stores may diminish over time, it requires proof of effectiveness [3][4]. Management Outlook and Same-Store Sales Growth - Management anticipates that the new US stores will begin contributing to operating profits during the peak season in 4Q25. There has been sequential improvement in same-store sales growth (SSSG) in overseas markets, particularly in the US and Mexico, attributed to a refined strategy focusing on SSSG [4][5]. Future Expectations and Strategy Adjustments - Despite the 1Q25 miss, management's full-year target for 2025 remains unchanged, emphasizing a commitment to improving SSSG rather than aggressive store expansion. After a weak SSSG performance in 2024, there has been a quarter-over-quarter improvement in China, with expectations for further SSSG enhancement in 2Q25 [5][6]. Store Opening Plans - While the company still aims for a net store opening of 200-300 in 2025, management has indicated that this target is negotiable. The strategy of opening larger stores, particularly the IP-focused Miniso Land, is expected to support long-term SSSG growth [6]. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast remains unchanged, with expectations that Miniso's earnings will align with original forecasts if self-operated stores overseas ramp up sufficiently in the second half of 2025. The target price is set at US$26.5 and HK$51.60, reflecting a P/E ratio of 20x/15x for 2025E/26E [7].
AutoZone Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 12:10
Core Viewpoint - AutoZone, Inc. is expected to report its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 27, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $36.78 and revenues at $4.4 billion, reflecting a 0.25% growth year-over-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AutoZone's quarterly revenues indicates a year-over-year growth of 3.95% [2]. - In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, AutoZone's adjusted EPS was $28.29, missing the consensus estimate of $29.16 and decreasing from $28.89 in the prior year. Net sales were reported at $3.95 billion, missing the estimate of $3.99 billion but showing a 2.4% increase year-over-year [2]. Growth Prospects - AutoZone has achieved record sales for 35 consecutive years, with fiscal 2024 revenues of $18.5 billion, representing a 5.7% year-over-year increase. The company anticipates continued growth in fiscal 2025, driven by strong DIY and commercial business performance, with same-store sales growth expected to be 1.3% in the fiscal third quarter [3][5]. - The expansion of mega hubs is enhancing AutoZone's market penetration, with 111 mega hub locations established by the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The company plans to open at least 19 more locations in the latter half of fiscal 2025 and around 100 international stores [4]. Earnings Expectations - The company's earnings model suggests a potential earnings beat for the upcoming quarter, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.28% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6][7].
瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY.US)FY25Q1电话会:一季度SSSG达8% 预计未来同店销售增长将趋于温和
智通财经网· 2025-04-29 23:37
Core Viewpoint - Luckin Coffee reported a strong Q1 FY25 performance with total net revenue increasing by 41% year-on-year to approximately 8.9 billion yuan, driven primarily by sales volume growth and a same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 8% [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved an operating profit of nearly 740 million yuan, with an operating profit margin of 8.3% [1]. - The improvement in operating profit was attributed to changes in product mix and economies of scale, with a focus on lighter, healthier beverages that typically have higher gross margins [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese coffee market is still in its early growth stage, with scale expansion and market share being top priorities for the company [3]. - The company plans to maintain a competitive pricing strategy without any price increases, aiming to release demand and cultivate consumer habits through high-cost performance coffee [3]. Same-Store Sales Growth - The 8% same-store sales growth reflects the company's solid fundamentals and favorable external factors, including the ongoing development of the coffee market and the maturation of newly opened stores [2]. - The company expects same-store sales growth to moderate in the coming quarters as conditions normalize, while continuing to focus on maintaining positive and sustainable growth [2]. Product Strategy - The company has adjusted its product mix since March of the previous year, with the proportion of refreshing beverages in cup sales increasing by approximately 10 percentage points compared to last year, significantly enhancing overall gross margins [5]. - The strategy includes offering a wide range of high-quality beverages at attractive prices, supported by effective marketing activities, which have driven high single-digit year-on-year growth in daily cup sales per store [5]. Competitive Landscape - Rising coffee bean prices and increased competition from key beverage companies may impact profitability, necessitating continued investment in branding and marketing to maintain market leadership [4]. - The company plans to leverage its scale advantages and improve operational efficiency to absorb and offset these pressures while maintaining healthy and sustainable profit levels [4].