来源：滚动播报 据CME"美联储观察"：美联储到3月降息25个基点的概率为10%，维持利率不变的概率为90%。美联储 到4月累计降息25个基点的概率为21.6%，维持利率不变的概率为77%，累计降息50个基点的概率为 1.5%。到6月累计降息25个基点的概率为44.8%。 ...

市场动荡的导火索包括特朗普提名凯文.沃什为美联储下一任主席，以及芝商所上调交易保证金要求。 此外，由于美国政府部分停摆，原定于本周五发布的1月就业报告将被推迟。 今日周三(2月4日)亚盘时段，伦敦金目前交投于5053.05美元附近，截至发稿，伦敦金最新报5034.69美 元/盎司，涨幅1.74%，最高上探至5053.05美元/盎司，最低触及4908.40美元/盎司。目前来看，伦敦金短 线偏向看涨走势。黄金周二强劲反弹超6%，创下自2008年11月以来的最大单日涨幅，主要受到坚挺基 本面支撑下的逢低买盘推动，同时，地缘紧张升温也推迟金价上涨 【要闻速递】 现货黄金上涨超6%，至每盎司4993.27美元，从周一的低点大幅回升。此轮反弹主要受到坚挺基本面支 撑下的逢低买盘推动。分析师普遍认为，近期回调属于长期上升趋势中的健康修正，推动黄金上涨的宏 观因素依然稳固。 Zaner Metals策略师Peter Grant指出，市场可能进入盘整阶段，关键支撑位在4400美元附近，上行阻力位 或为5100美元。尽管波动加剧，多数观点仍预期牛市将延续，金价有望在今年晚些时候再创新高。 摘要今日周三(2月4日)亚盘时段，伦敦金 ...

Group 1 - The central bank of China adjusted the RMB to USD midpoint rate to 6.9533, marking an increase of 75 points and reaching the highest level since May 16, 2023 [1] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 91.1%, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.9% [2] - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 22.5%, with a 76.0% chance of maintaining rates [2] - The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 46% [2]

Group 1 - The central point of the news is that the Chinese yuan has appreciated against the US dollar, with the midpoint exchange rate reported at 6.9608, marking the highest level since May 16, 2023, after an increase of 87 points [2] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 91.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.9% [4] - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 22.5%, with a 76.0% chance of maintaining the current rate [4] - The likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 45.9% [4]

Group 1 - The central bank of China has set the RMB to USD central parity rate at 6.9608, marking an increase of 87 points, which is the highest level since May 16, 2023 [2][6] Group 2 - According to CME's "FedWatch," there is a 91.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in March [3][7] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March is 8.9%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 91.1% [3][7] - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 22.5%, with a 76.0% chance of rates remaining unchanged [3][7] - By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut increases to 45.9% [3][7]

对于是否会出席三月下次议息会议，米兰表示这将取决于参议院确认流程的进度："若确认程序超过六 周，届时我将仍会参会。"本周早些时候，米兰对美联储维持利率不变的决定投下反对票，主张应降息 25个基点。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰表示，他在完成前任理事阿德里安娜·库格勒本周末即将届满的任期后，尚未确 定未来去向。米兰表示："唯一确定的是，在我的继任者获得确认前，我将继续留任现职。"米兰称预计 特朗普总统提名的美联储主席人选凯文·沃什将接替其职位，但补充道："最终结果需待总统正式向国会 提交提名后见分晓。" 美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰表示，他在完成前任理事阿德里安娜·库格勒本周末即将届满的任期后，尚未确 定未来去向。米兰表示："唯一确定的是，在我的继任者获得确认前，我将继续留任现职。"米兰称预计 特朗普总统提名的美联储主席人选凯文·沃什将接替其职位，但补充道："最终结果需待总统正式向国会 提交提名后见分晓。" 对于是否会出席三月下次议息会议，米兰表示这将取决于参议院确认流程的进度："若确认程序超过六 周，届时我将仍会参会。"本周早些时候，米兰对美联储维持利率不变的决定投下反对票，主张应 ...

美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为86.6% 据CME"美联储观察"：美联储到3月降息25个基点的概率为13.4%，维持利率不变的概率为86.6%。美联 储到4月累计降息25个基点的概率为25.5%，维持利率不变的概率为72.2%，累计降息50个基点的概率为 2.2%。 来源：市场资讯 1月30日，人民币兑美元中间价报6.9678，上调93点。升值至2023年5月16日以来最高。 ...

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Jan. 28, 2026 in New York City.U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday as investors assessed the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady.The 10-year Treasury yield rose more than one basis point to 4.267%, while yields on the 2-year Treasury note remained steady at around 3.584%. The 30-year Treasury yield rose about three basis points to 4.89%.One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. Yields and prices move in opposite dir ...

So what extent did the committee discuss the possibility of cutting at this meeting or in March. And how are you all thinking about the conditions that would merit another rate cut. Is there broad agreement on on the committee about what it would take. So there was broad support on the committee for holding.Today, broad, I would say, including among non-voters. So that's where that was. Of course, some people did want to cut and and dissented.But committee pretty broadly four four for holding today. We're n ...

美联储如期决定维持利率不变，但沃勒和米兰持反对意见，主张降息25基点。随后美国国债变动较小。 美国国债收益率曲线全线走高1至2个基点，收益率差较周二收盘水平相差不到1个基点。与美联储会期 挂钩的OIS合约依然押注到年底前累计降息约45个基点，日间基本持平。 ...