Core Viewpoint - Recent observations indicate that several cross-border ETFs have experienced temporary premiums in the secondary market, attracting market attention [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The cross-border ETF market has seen a rapid expansion this year, with significant growth in multiple thematic products, driven by continuous inflow of incremental funds and the introduction of new products [2][5] - The trading activity of cross-border ETFs has increased significantly due to domestic investors' growing demand for overseas asset allocation, leading to noticeable premiums in the secondary market [3] Group 2: Premium Mechanism - The cross-border ETFs exhibit a "price leading, net value lagging" phenomenon due to their cross-time valuation mechanism and structural capital flows, making short-term mismatches more likely [2][4] - The premium observed in cross-border ETFs is primarily a temporary deviation between price and net value, rather than an indication of inherent excess value in the products [4] Group 3: Fund Size and Growth - The latest scale of cross-border ETFs has reached 9237.82 billion, doubling from 4240.17 billion at the beginning of the year, reflecting a diversification in investor allocation needs [5][6] - Several cross-border ETFs, such as those tracking Hong Kong stocks, have shown particularly notable growth, with some products exceeding 200 billion in incremental scale this year [6]

Group 1 - Significant premiums are observed in some cross-border ETF funds, making it more challenging for investors to profit if they blindly chase these products [1] - Investors do not need to blindly pursue premium cross-border ETFs, as there are many opportunities in funds trading at parity, and premiums often indicate greater investment risks [1]

Group 1 - The recent increase in premium risk warnings for QDII funds, particularly for ETFs like S&P Consumer and Saudi ETFs, indicates a significant market concern, with some funds showing premiums exceeding 24% [1][2][4] - The S&P Consumer ETF (159529) and S&P 500 ETF (159612) have reported high premiums of 24.47% and 14.4% respectively, despite notable declines in their secondary market prices [2][3] - The premium phenomenon is attributed to strong underlying indices and supply-demand imbalances, with the S&P 500 index rising over 20% in the past 50 days and Brent crude oil prices increasing by 25.42% in June [4][5] Group 2 - Many popular funds have suspended subscriptions, leading to increased caution regarding the premium risks associated with on-market ETFs, driven by factors such as arbitrage expectations and limited supply of offshore QDII quotas [5][6] - Fund companies have issued multiple risk warnings regarding high premium situations, with specific measures like temporary trading halts being considered if premiums do not decrease within a specified timeframe [5][6] - The market for offshore QDII funds is constrained by foreign exchange controls, leading to a rush for available quotas, which further exacerbates the premium situation for on-market funds [6]