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中国人寿(601628)1Q25业绩点评:净利润、净资产、NBV均有增长 业绩全面超预期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 04:36
Core Insights - China Life Insurance reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 28.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.5% [1] - The company's net assets at the end of Q1 2025 were 532.5 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% [1] - The new business value (NBV) grew by 4.8% year-on-year, despite a decline in new premium income [2] Financial Performance - The total premium income for Q1 2025 was 354.4 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year, while new premium income was 107.4 billion yuan, down 4.5% [1][2] - The annualized net and total investment returns were 2.60% and 2.75%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [1][2] - The decrease in insurance service fees by 32.8% year-on-year contributed to the net profit growth, alongside improved underwriting management and rising market interest rates [1] Product and Investment Strategy - The company optimized its product structure, with the proportion of floating income-type regular premium income reaching 51.7% in Q1 2025, which is expected to lower liability costs [2] - Despite market volatility impacting investment returns, the company maintained stable solvency ratios, with core and comprehensive solvency adequacy ratios at 146.1% and 199.3%, respectively [2] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a strong buy rating, with expectations for continued profit growth driven by a recovering equity market and dividend insurance sales [3] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 107.4 billion yuan, 108.2 billion yuan, and 110.5 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.4%, 0.7%, and 2.1% respectively [3] - The projected NBV for the same period is 36.7 billion yuan, 38.9 billion yuan, and 40.9 billion yuan, with growth rates of 8.8%, 6.2%, and 4.9% respectively [3]
保险行业3月月报:寿险保费增速回暖,关注后续预定利率调整落地情况-20250427
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-27 10:33
证券研究报告·行业月报·保险Ⅱ 保险Ⅱ行业月报 保险行业 3 月月报:寿险保费增速回暖,关 注后续预定利率调整落地情况 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 负债端、资产端均有改善机会,低估值+低持仓,攻守兼备。1)我们认 为市场储蓄需求依然旺盛,同时在监管持续引导和险企主动性转型下, 负债成本有望逐步下降,利差损压力将有所缓解。2)近期十年期国债 收益率稳定在 1.66%左右,我们预计,未来伴随国内经济复苏,长端利 率若继续修复上行,则保险公司新增固收类投资收益率压力将有所缓 解。3)当前公募基金对保险股持仓仍处于低位,估值对负面因素反应 较为充分。2025 年 4 月 25 日保险板块估值 2025E 0.50-0.81 倍 PEV、 0.89-1.96 倍 PB,处于历史低位,行业维持"增持"评级。 ◼ 风险提示:长端利率趋势性下行;股市持续低迷;新单增长不及预期。 2025 年 04 月 27 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书:S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曹锟 执业证书:S0600524120004 caok@ ...