Deep Value Investing
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Joby Aviation: Bullish After The First Meaningful Revenue Print
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 21:45
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach between equity and derivatives [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
Mitsubishi Corporation: Consider Both H1 Miss And Unchanged Guidance
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 20:07
Group 1 - The article discusses the Asia Value & Moat Stocks research service aimed at value investors looking for Asia-listed stocks with significant discrepancies between price and intrinsic value, focusing on deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks [1] - The company's outlook is described as mixed, with its key "Mineral Resources" business facing pressure, but potential offset through value-accretive asset recycling moves [1] - The Value Pendulum is highlighted as an Asian equity market specialist with over a decade of experience, providing investment ideas particularly focused on the Hong Kong market [1]
Microsoft: $250B OpenAI Fuel, Azure Strong Growth, And The 2 GW Fairwater Next Year
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-06 18:07
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
The Bottom Fishing Club - Organon: Deep Value In Drugs/Medical Products
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-28 18:06
Core Insights - The article highlights the investment strategies and achievements of Paul Franke, a seasoned investor with 39 years of trading experience, emphasizing his contrarian stock selection style and the development of a system called "Victory Formation" for identifying stocks based on supply/demand imbalances [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies - Paul Franke recommends a diversified approach by owning at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve regular stock market outperformance [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on deep value candidates or stocks that are experiencing significant upward momentum reversals [1] - The "Volume Breakout Report" articles discuss positive trend changes supported by strong price and volume trading actions [1] Group 2: Performance and Recognition - Franke was consistently ranked among the top investment advisors nationally during the 1990s and achieved the 1 position in the Motley Fool® CAPS stock picking contest in 2008 and 2009 out of over 60,000 portfolios [1] - As of September 2025, he was ranked in the Top 4% of bloggers by TipRanks® for 12-month stock picking performance based on suggestions made over the last decade [1] Group 3: Risk Management - Franke suggests investors implement stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stock choices to manage risk effectively [1]
Microsoft: Ultra-Bullish Heading Into Q1 2026 Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-27 18:22
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
TSMC And ASML: The Deep Value Engine Of The AI Revolution
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-25 07:36
Core Insights - The article discusses the dual roles in technological revolutions, highlighting the visible protagonists and the invisible architects that shape the industry [1] Group 1: Economic Context - The author is an economist and independent investor based in Argentina, providing insights into a complex and dynamic market [1] - The research connects macroeconomic context with company-level valuation to identify long-term investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy focuses on a deep-value approach with a long-term vision, targeting underfollowed or undervalued companies [1] - The strategy also includes established leaders when new opportunities or structural value emerge [1]
Investing 101 - Module 4.1
GuruFocus· 2025-10-16 16:41
Investment Strategy & Asset Allocation - A great company isn't necessarily a great investment unless it fits an investor's plan, highlighting the importance of a tailored strategy [1] - Asset allocation should be tailored to personal goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon [2] - Time horizon is crucial when deciding asset allocation between stocks and less risky assets like bonds; shorter time horizons may warrant shifting to less risky assets [4][5] - Neither asset allocation nor overall strategy is static; it should evolve as life circumstances change [6] Investment Styles - Common investment philosophies include deep value investing, high-quality investing, growth investing, and dividend investing, each with different places in a portfolio [7][8] - Deep value investing focuses on companies priced significantly below their intrinsic value, even if they are not exceptional companies [9][10] - High-quality investing focuses on financially strong companies with competitive advantages, held for long-term compounding [11][12] - Growth investing targets companies with revenue growth outpacing the broader market, often in technology sectors, but with higher risk [12][13] - Dividend investing prioritizes recurring dividend payments for a steady income stream, typically from larger, more mature companies with less price volatility but slower capital appreciation [14][15]
Hims & Hers: Why I'm Betting On HIMS Heading To $100
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-13 16:16
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3]
Nvidia: Potential $350B Upside From The 10GW Deal With OpenAI And Likely $10B From AMD
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-08 13:32
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
Energy and Financials Lead This Week’s Deep Value Screen
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-10-08 03:16
Core Insights - The current investment landscape highlights persistent skepticism towards the Energy and Financial sectors, which are identified as undervalued [1] Financial Sector Summary - Bank of New York Mellon (BK) has an Acquirer's Multiple (AM) of 2.1 and a free cash flow (FCF) yield of 3.2%, while Synchrony Financial (SYF) shows an AM of 2.2 and an exceptional FCF yield of 37.2%, indicating a strong deep-value case in financials despite market concerns over credit and interest-rate risks [2] - The market's pricing reflects ongoing credit and interest-rate risks, which disciplined value investors may view as opportunities [2] Energy Sector Summary - Petrobras (PBR) trades at an AM of 4.1 with a 36.4% FCF yield, and Equinor (EQNR) has an AM of 2.7 with an 11.4% FCF yield and a near-double-digit dividend payout, showcasing a disconnect between strong cash generation and market doubts about fossil fuel demand [3] - Both Petrobras and Equinor maintain strong balance sheets and shareholder distributions, yet their valuations remain low [3] Healthcare Sector Summary - Molina Healthcare (MOH) appears with an AM of 6.0 and a 3.9% FCF yield, indicating consistent profitability and steady operating income growth, which is appealing in uncertain markets [4] Market Implications - The convergence of multiple sectors at the top of value screens signals broad-based pessimism regarding future earnings durability, particularly in Energy and Finance due to transition risks and credit concerns [5] - The presence of a healthcare company suggests selective investment opportunities beyond typical cyclical sectors [5] Conclusion - The value landscape is dominated by Energy and Financials, which offer high free cash flow and strong capital returns amidst market skepticism, presenting opportunities for patient contrarian investors [6] - Select healthcare names provide diversification, indicating fertile ground for disciplined value seekers in a cautious market environment [6]