Just hours before President Trump's trade deadline was set to take effect today, he signed an executive order announcing sweeping new tariffs for dozens of countries countries as well as formalizing the trade deal frameworks that his administration had already negotiated with a handful of nations. These new rates range from 10% to as high as 41% and they're scheduled to take effect on August 7th, next week. In an exclusive phone interview with NBC News, Trump said that it was too late for other countries to ...

too. Yeah. Who are you with. Who are you with.Because you're asking such nice questions. >> Sticking with trade. This morning, our next guest is out with a new piece in the Ft.It's called What the World Got Wrong About Tariffs. Joining us this morning, Rockefeller chairman Ruchir Sharma. Ruchir good to have you back.Good morning. >> Thanks. >> Good to be here.>> Your piece is great. You talk about what people thought was going to happen with the dollar. You talk about what people thought was going to happen ...

All right, let me just talk to you about the broader market. I mean, you know, it's very important to note out the NASDAQ and the S&P, they're both at record highs, double digit record highs this year so far. So, is the the concern about tariffs in the market, has it maybe been overblown.>> I don't think so. Uh, if you take out technology and communication uh sectors out of the S&P, earnings are only up less than 1% so far with revenue growth at about 3%, which is in line with nominal GDP, give or take. So ...

Group 1 - The article focuses on an exchange-traded fund (ETF) suitable for stagflationary or inflationary environments, continuing an inflation-focused series [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to provide transparency and analytics in capital markets, focusing on closed-end funds (CEFs), ETFs, and special situations [1] - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience and emphasizes delivering high annualized returns with low volatility [1]

Group 1 - The current inflation situation is concerning, with potential for a stagflationary environment prompting a review of funds that traditionally provide a hedge against such macroeconomic conditions [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to enhance transparency and analytics in capital markets, focusing on Closed-End Funds (CEFs), Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), and Special Situations to achieve high annualized returns with low volatility [1] - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience, backed by a Finance major from a top university, and has a background in investment banking cash and derivatives trading [1]

Is firing the Fed chair, a stagflation shock. Well, so stagflation charges, by definition that inflation will go up and GDP growth will go down. But if you fire the pitcher, as we saw yesterday, the dollar will likely go down.And at the same time, loan rates will be going up and the dollar going down is certainly inflationary, but rates going up is, of course, holding back growth. So firing the Fed chair will probably mainly mean a decline in the dollar and an increase in loan rates. Let's talk about the sn ...

Market Performance - NASDAQ is the only major market to close in the green [1] - Dow is down almost 1 percentage point [2] - S&P 500 is down about 04 percentage point [3] - S&P 600, a small cap market, is down 21%, marking the worst day for small caps in almost 8 weeks [4] - Tech is the only sector in the green, with Materials down 2% [6][7] Economic Indicators and Analysis - The 30-year yield is back above 5%, impacting equities [4] - CPI inflation is stalling out, with tariffs affecting goods inflation [10] - Consumer sentiment is delivering false alarms, with consumers judging their own finances positively but the overall economy negatively [35] - Economists suggest focusing on consumer spending rather than sentiment [40] - June CPI report shows a year-over-year number of 27%, but month-over-month numbers are fine, with the core number at 02% [47][48] Company Specific News - Nvidia is up 404%, resuming sales of some chips in China, potentially adding $8 billion in revenue [8][18][19] - JP Morgan's earnings were strong, with net interest income guidance exceeding expectations by at least $15 billion and investment banking revenues up over 9% year-on-year [25][26][27] - Bank of America expects net interest income to rise about 7% from the previous quarter [62]

Market Outlook - The market reacts significantly to Trump's tweets, but the actual economy is slowing sharply in the second half [1] - Strategists are mostly following what the market is doing, not thinking outside the box with big bold numbers [8] - May to October is a seasonally fraught period, with weakness occurring 60-65% of the time in the last century [9] - There are signs consumers could slow down, as seen in disappointing early Amazon Prime data [10] Inflation and Economic Conditions - Inflation is expected to breach 3% by year-end, based on the core personal consumption expenditure deflator (core PCE) [2] - A soft stagflationary environment with inflation above the 2% target and a slowing economy will affect S&P 500 earnings, including big tech [2] - The market may experience an echo of the stagflationary trades seen in the first four months of the year, though potentially half as bad (around 12% drop instead of over 20%) [3] - Inflation faced easy anniversary comparisons, but six-month annualized data and individual components of core PCE suggest inflation is sticky [5][6] Fed Policy - With a slowing economy and sticky inflation, fewer Fed cuts are expected [10] Potential Market Pullback - The market anticipates some weakness in the second half of the year [9] - A pullback is expected due to a slowing economy, slowing earnings, sticky inflation, and fewer Fed cuts [10]

It was one in the morning when Trump was still watching the vote on the "Big, Beautiful" bill in the White House . This was to stop the "Big, Beautiful" bill. The Democratic leader Hakim spoke for 8 hours and 44 minutes in the House of Representatives until his voice was hoarse. "(I hope my Republican colleagues) can come to a conclusion" "That is, we serve the American people." After a fierce game, the bill was finally passed . Trump got what he wanted with "218 to 214 votes." "Motion passed", what exactly ...

At the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting, they released their forecast for lower GDP, higher unemployment, and inflation than at the previous meeting. They projected GDP at 1.4%, unemployment to rise to 4.5%. And inflation to reach 3% in 2025.This combination of slowing growth and persistent inflation fits the classic definition of stagflation. A rare economic environment where both joblessness and prices climb at the same time. Now, in past instances of stagflation, it's been an exogenous force that pu ...