Credit where credit's due, President Trump made a big bet that the US had a magnetic appeal and that would enable him to get a better deal from US trade partners and companies that want to do business in the United States. On the evidence of the last few months, that bet is playing out pretty nicely. Did the economics profession get it wrong on tariffs or is the impact just delayed.Economists don't agree on much. One thing they do agree on is that free trade is good and that tariffs are bad. If we were to t ...

RT Bloomberg New Economy (@BBGNewEconomy)"The US I'm always concerned about - it's [been] a very interesting two years for the US I think." Mark Coombs, CEO, Ashmore Group at #BloombergNewEconomy.⏯️ https://t.co/J5lCJTamOX https://t.co/c4yiqIBMKr ...

Mike, is this information like, you know, could have been useful six weeks ago to we get any do do we glean anything from something like this. No, not really. It's been described by one analyst as a sort of Rorschach test.You see in it what you want to see. You know, maybe some people see clouds or something like that. But those who think that the Fed should be on hold point to the strong job creation and the fact that inflation is still going up. And those who think the Fed should be cutting can point to t ...

RT AF Post (@AFpost)The unemployment rate for US college graduates is now 9.3%, higher than a peak of 8.7% during the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.This year, the US approved around 200,000 H-1B visas.Follow: @AFpost https://t.co/LIQY9cFeLH ...

The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September jobs report Thursday, after it was delayed due to the government shutdown. Investors are hoping the new data can shed light on the state of the US economy. Gene Sperling, former director of the National Economic Council, had to work through a government shutdown in 2013. He speaks on "Bloomberg The Close." -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg ...

(Subtitles may contain inaccuracies) We have none other than the Chair and CEO Jane Fraser. Thanks so much for having us. Well, we're delighted to have Bloomberg here.Thank you very much for joining our conference. So what do you hope to get out of this in talking to all your guests and your clients and to understand a little bit more about the China market, which you know very well. But we're coming out of a bruising trade war.We're not even out of it yet. Right. Some say it's a truce, not necessarily a la ...

Core Insights - President Trump's approval rating has dropped to 44%, a decline of 2 points from September, with the lowest ratings in handling inflation (39%) and tariffs (40%) [2][6] - 57% of voters characterize the U.S. economy as weak, marking a 6-point increase since September [6] - The Republican Party is urged to broaden its base as a majority of voters reject Zohran Mamdani's policies [8][12] Economic Concerns - 35% of voters believe the country is on the right track, a decrease of 5 points [6] - Inflation and affordability are the top issues for voters, with 48% citing inflation as their primary concern [6] - 55% of voters feel the government shutdown is significantly harming the economy [12] Political Landscape - Congressional approval has fallen to 27%, the lowest since June 2024 [6] - The Republican Party's approval rating stands at 44%, while the Democratic Party's approval is at 43% [6] - 63% of voters believe the GOP needs to broaden its positions to appeal to a wider audience [12] Public Opinion on Policies - Trump's policies maintain majority support, with 16 out of 18 policies favored by voters [6] - The most popular policies include lowering drug prices (85%) and deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (79%) [6] - 56% of voters believe Trump has exceeded his presidential authority, and 51% view his actions as dictatorial [6] International Relations - 63% of voters support the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, with 81% backing his removal in light of election fraud and criminal charges [19] - 71% of voters favor the Trump administration's efforts to secure the safe return of Israeli hostages and end hostilities in Gaza [12] - 72% support sanctions on Russia's oil and gas companies to push for a ceasefire in Ukraine [12]

Legal & Policy Analysis - The Supreme Court is reviewing the president's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs, with justices questioning whether the president is infringing on Congress's authority [1][2][9] - Some justices expressed skepticism about the administration's broad view of executive authority in foreign affairs and the delegation of power from Congress to the president [2][3][4] - The focus of the legal argument is whether IEEPA, which grants the president power to regulate imports, also includes the power to impose tariffs [9] - There is a debate on whether the tariffs are regulatory or revenue-raising, with the government arguing they are primarily regulatory, despite raising revenue [10][11] Economic Impact & Trade Strategy - The Trump administration views tariffs as a cornerstone of its economic policy, and is likely to pursue alternative measures if the current tariffs are struck down by the Supreme Court [14] - Alternative measures to tariffs would likely involve investigations by the Commerce Department or the International Trade Commission, requiring more time than the current approach [15] - The full impact of the hundreds of billions of dollars of tariffs collected is still being assessed, with uncertainty about whether it can be done without harming the economy [17] - Companies should prepare for some form of tariffs, whether these or others, as the administration is expected to continue using them [18] Market Outlook & Timeline - The Supreme Court's decision is expected relatively quickly, potentially before the end of the year or early next year, due to the expedited basis of the case [19]

Barclays' Middle East Strategy - Barclays is establishing its regional headquarters in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, aiming to secure investment banking and other licenses [1][2] - The new headquarters will be located in the King Abdullah Financial District, with headcount to increase as licenses are obtained [3] - Barclays is re-entering the Saudi market after a decade, differentiating itself by focusing on connecting Saudi Arabia with the rest of the world and facilitating foreign investment and liquidity, rather than competing in retail banking [4][5] - The Middle East is a very important part of Barclays' plan to boost IPOs, equity-linked business, and M&A [7] - Investment flows are increasingly two-way in the region, with money coming back into the Middle East, presenting an opportunity for Barclays [8] - Barclays sees significant growth in the wealth business in the Middle East, particularly in Dubai, and aims to help people save and grow wealth for future generations [11][12] - Barclays is expanding prime brokerage services to cater to asset managers and hedge funds moving to Dubai and Abu Dhabi [13][14] Economic Outlook and Risk Management - Barclays observes continued consumer strength in both the UK and the US, driven by improved balance sheets and conservative saving habits [18] - The bank is increasing vigilance in lending practices due to the end of a 15-year credit cycle and unexpected credit losses, emphasizing the importance of learning from instances of fraud [22][21] - Stable interest rates and relatively low credit spreads are seen as positive signals for deal-making, with AI and technological changes spurring M&A activity [26][27] AI Integration - Barclays is fundamentally altering its business through AI, focusing on making it available to staff and changing business processes [28] - The bank emphasizes a selective, patient, and realistic approach to AI implementation, aiming to empower employees and improve productivity rather than viewing it as a zero-sum game [29][30][32][33]

Economic Outlook - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in the U.S. economy, highlighting key deflationary trends and tax policy changes that are positively impacting working Americans [1][2] - Bessent anticipates that 2026 and 2027 will be strong years for the economy, attributing this to recent tax reforms enacted by President Trump [2] Tax Reforms and Disposable Income - The recent tax reforms include no taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security, as well as the deductibility of auto loans for American cars, which are expected to boost real income [2] - Many workers have kept their withholding levels unchanged, leading to substantial tax refunds in the first quarter of next year, which will increase disposable income [3][4] Inflation and Consumer Price Index - Bessent stated that the administration has the affordability crisis, referred to as "Biden inflation," under control, with energy prices decreasing [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a downward trend in the coming months, with the September report delayed but anticipated to impact Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [5][6] - A significant increase in the number of CPI components experiencing price surges was noted, rising from 55% a year ago to 72%, primarily due to Trump's tariffs [6]