So, do you worry that the Fed will get it wrong. I mean, he he's got some appointments to fill and he and he wants lower interest rates. The president he wants lower interest rates and and I got to tell you, if I were the president, I would let the Fed do their job and I would let the Fed have as much perceived and real independence as possible because the Fed often has to make choices that are pretty painful to make. And if the president's perceived as being in control of the Fed, then what happens when th ...

Because I was going to ask you if you were warming to you've been critical on tariffs before, but if you were warming to the idea given how much money they're bringing in. I know you're worried about the deficit as well and the fact that we haven't seen sort of this spike in inflation. Well, so so we are bringing in money.Remember it's it's effectively a national in some sense it's a national sales tax and the incidence of tax is therefore disproportionately high on lowerass and middle class America. Right. ...

Welcome to Market Catalyst. I'm Julie Hyman. We are 30 minutes into the US trading day.Let's get to the three market catalysts we're watching this hour. First up, the US stock rally cooling with equity sliding for a third day. We'll have full full market coverage.Plus, Coreweave is expanding its deal with Open AI to as much as a total of $22.4% billion. How long can OpenAI's massive spend last. And we'll get a read on the state of the consumer as second quarter GDP grew at its fastest clip in two years.Let' ...

MATT: FUTURES DOWN AGAIN TODAY, THIRD DAY IN A ROW OF LOSSES. I MATT MILLER. >> BLOOMBERG OPEN INTEREST STARTS RIGHT NOW. MATT: COMING UP, FED GOVERNOR STEPHEN MIRON SOUNDS THE ALARM ON U.S. VULNERABILITY WHEN FRESH DATA POINTS TO RESILIENT ECONOMIC GROWTH. DANI: A BID FOR A COMEBACK. INTEL SEEKS AN INVESTMENT FOR APPLE AS THEY FEEL THEY CAN WORK MORE CLOSELY TOGETHER. MATT: STARBUCKS CLOSING STORES AND CUTTING JOBS WHILE THE WHITE HOUSE ORDERS FEDERAL AGENCIES TO PREPARE FOR MASS FIRINGS. DANI: THOSE HEADL ...

Ah, Thursday, September 25, 2025. Another day, another dizzying dance on Wall Street, orchestrated, it would seem, by the ever-unpredictable maestro, Donald J. Trump. As the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) dipped 0.3% (or a more precise 171.50 points to 46,121.28), the S&P 500 (SPX) slid 0.6% (to 6,637.97), and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) sank a notable 0.9% (to 22,497.86), one might wonder if the markets were simply reacting to an unexpected drop in jobless claims or the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut uncer ...

Core Insights - Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) is recognized as a relatively cheap stock within the S&P 500, having increased nearly 77% from its lows in April, with expectations of 18% earnings growth and a valuation of 22 times next year's earnings [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Caterpillar has shown significant stock performance, being described as having done "incredibly well" with a notable increase in stock price [1]. - The company is projected to achieve 18% earnings growth, indicating strong financial health and potential for future gains [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions - Morgan Stanley downgraded Caterpillar from Hold to Sell due to concerns over tariffs, reflecting a cautious market sentiment despite the company's strong performance [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from reshoring orders, although there are existing issues acknowledged by analysts [2].

Core Viewpoint - Dollar Tree is highlighted as a strong investment opportunity within the consumer staples sector, particularly appealing to lower-income consumers seeking value [1][2]. Company Overview - Dollar Tree operates discount retail stores offering a variety of low-cost products, including consumables, household goods, toys, party supplies, and seasonal merchandise [2]. - The company has recently spun off its weaker Family Dollar business, which is viewed positively [1]. Market Performance - Despite reporting a solid quarter, Dollar Tree's stock experienced a significant decline of 8% following earnings announcements, contrasting with the performance of Dollar General [2]. - The disparity in stock performance between Dollar Tree and Dollar General is attributed to their differing abilities to manage costs and respond to external pressures, such as tariffs [2]. Investment Potential - The stock is currently trading at less than 15 times next year's earnings, with an anticipated growth rate of 15%, making it an attractive buy [1].

Core Insights - U.S. new car sales are experiencing an unexpected boost heading into Q4, driven by regulatory uncertainties and strong consumer demand [1][2][3] - Cox Automotive has raised its 2025 U.S. new vehicle sales forecast to 16.1 million, up from a previous estimate of 15.6-15.7 million, indicating a positive trend in the automotive market [1][2] - Sales are projected to increase by 4.6% compared to the same period last year, as consumers are motivated to purchase vehicles sooner due to fears of rising prices [2][3] Industry Analysis - The automotive market has benefited from a strong stock market and changing policies, which have encouraged consumers to buy vehicles ahead of potential price increases [3] - The current sales pace is at 16.3 million vehicles, but a slowdown is anticipated in Q4 and into the following year [3]

The conversation people are not ready for is that we would probably be in a recession if the tariffs had not been put in place.They were incredibly deflationary and allowed for the massive GDP surge earlier this year.The truth is the exact opposite of what people predicted. ...

Core Viewpoint - Costco is expected to report strong earnings, positioning itself as a leading retailer globally due to its diverse business model and growth opportunities, particularly in store expansion [2][3]. Company Performance - Costco is anticipated to have exceptional growth, with the potential to expand its store count by 30 to 40% globally [2]. - Each Costco store is equivalent to 30 Albertson's stores, indicating its competitive advantage as rivals face closures [3]. - The company is outperforming competitors like Walmart and Sam's Club in various operational metrics, including better service and inventory management [3]. Market Positioning - Costco is benefiting from a value-driven consumer base, with a notable shift towards private label brands, particularly its Kirkland brand, which is recognized for quality and value [4][5]. - The company has stringent procurement practices, ensuring that vendors cannot unjustifiably raise prices, which enhances customer value [5][6]. Expansion Strategy - Costco is expected to announce expansion plans in regions such as the People's Republic of China, Asia-Pacific, and Central United States, capitalizing on opportunities in markets with less competition [7][8]. - The company is likely to convert vacant retail spaces from bankrupt stores into high-volume Costco locations, further solidifying its market presence [8]. Financial Outlook - Costco's stock is currently trading between $145 and $150, with a target price projected to increase by 20 to 24% within a year, indicating strong growth potential despite broader retail challenges [9]. - The company is managing tariff impacts by passing costs onto vendors rather than consumers, which may affect margins but helps maintain competitive pricing [9][16].