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Dragonfly's Rob Hadick on 2026 crypto outlook, bitcoin price trends and future of prediction markets
Youtube· 2025-12-24 13:26
Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market has faced challenges in the past year, but a broader perspective shows that Bitcoin has increased by approximately 26% since the day before the 2024 election, while the NASDAQ has risen by about 28% [2]. - Over a two-year period, Bitcoin's value has doubled, compared to a 50% increase in the NASDAQ [2]. - The long-term outlook for cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, remains positive, with expectations of continued momentum and adoption of tokenized assets [6]. Market Trends - The adoption of stablecoins is expected to grow significantly, with McKenzie reporting that 3% of all cross-border payments currently occur in stablecoins, up from virtually 0% a year ago, with a projected tenfold increase [6]. - Prediction markets are anticipated to grow tenfold as well, indicating a substantial market opportunity [8]. - Poly Market's trading volume has surged from $50 million per month in early 2024 to an expected $4 billion, with only about 35% of that volume related to sports betting [11]. Blockchain Ecosystem - Both Ethereum and Solana are seen as vital players in the blockchain space, with Ethereum currently hosting most stablecoins and economic activity, while Solana is recognized for its optimized transaction flow and lower costs [14][15]. - The belief is that multiple blockchains will coexist, as no single blockchain can scale sufficiently to handle all economic activity [16]. - New blockchain technologies, such as Monad, are emerging, aiming to compete with existing platforms like Solana [18]. Investment Focus - The investment strategy encompasses a wide range of sectors within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, including stablecoins, DeFi, and various tokenized assets [4]. - The company is not ideologically bound to any specific cryptocurrency but focuses on innovation and future financial market developments [5]. - There is a recognition of the potential for consolidation within the prediction market space, as it may merge with sports betting platforms [9].
Crypto Won In 2025—But Bitcoin Fell. Can They Rise to the Occasion?
Investopedia· 2025-12-24 13:00
Key Takeaways The rise and subsequent retreat of bitcoin perfectly encapsulates the crypto industry's year. It won big—but it doesn't have much to show for it yet. The price of bitcoin, the world's most well-known cryptocurrency, soared above $126,000, a record, but those gains evaporated and it's poised to finish down for 2025. The industry welcomed the passage of stablecoin legislation, eased regulation, and the proliferation of new ways to buy in, but by many measures it has yet to reap the benefits. Des ...
Bitcoin falls to $87,000 level as U.S. GDP grew much faster than expected in Q3: CNBC Crypto World
Youtube· 2025-12-23 20:21
Market Overview - Bitcoin has fallen to the $87,000 level, with Ether dropping nearly 3% below $3,000 and XRP losing around 2.5% to $189, despite a positive economic report [2][3] - The US economy expanded at a 4.3% pace in Q3, surpassing the 3.2% estimate, initially causing stock investors to reconsider the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut [3] Company Developments - Coinbase has agreed to acquire a clearing company to enhance its capabilities in prediction markets, although the terms of the acquisition were not disclosed [4] - Coinbase recently launched several new products aimed at becoming a comprehensive financial services provider, including prediction markets [5] Legislative Updates - A bipartisan draft bill, the PAR Act, has been introduced to simplify the tax process for digital assets, proposing a capital gains tax exemption for regulated US dollar stable coin transactions under $200 [6] - The bill also allows taxpayers to defer recognition of staking and mining rewards until after they are received, addressing the need for modernized tax regulations in the digital asset space [6][7] Industry Advocacy - Senator Cynthia Lumis, a key advocate for the crypto industry, announced her retirement, prompting expressions of gratitude from industry members for her support in advancing crypto legislation [7][8] - Lumis has played a significant role in pushing for the passage of the Genius Back Stable Coin Act and is working on a crypto market structure bill [9] Institutional Adoption Insights - Caroline Fam, former CFTC acting chair, has joined Moonpay as chief legal officer and chief administrative officer, focusing on institutional adoption of crypto and regulatory clarity [10][11] - Fam emphasizes the importance of legislative guardrails for the crypto industry, particularly ahead of the midterm elections, and highlights the momentum in regulatory efforts [11][15] - The collaboration between the SEC and CFTC is expected to deepen, creating a comprehensive regulatory framework for both crypto and traditional markets [20][22] Future Outlook - The year 2026 is anticipated to be pivotal for institutional adoption of digital assets, driven by regulatory clarity and the integration of crypto into existing financial frameworks [30][33] - The establishment of rules for tokenized financial instruments and the use of digital assets as collateral in derivatives trading are seen as key developments to attract institutional investors [31][32]
Big 3: META, GOOGL, ORCL
Youtube· 2025-12-23 17:14
分组1 - The discussion highlights key investment themes for 2026, focusing on AI, productivity, and the potential for a bubble in the market [2][3] - Meta is identified as a significant stock due to its heavy investment in AI, which is expected to enhance ad performance and engagement, positioning it for a potential rebound in 2026 [5][7] - Alphabet is noted for its strong performance, with a focus on AI-driven search and targeted ad revenue, bolstered by its acquisition of Intersect to enhance data center capacity [16][18] 分组2 - Meta's stock is currently trading at approximately 663.54, showing slight underperformance compared to the broader market year-to-date [13] - Alphabet has seen a 61% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming its peers, and is positioned for continued growth in AI and advertising [20][26] - Oracle is being considered for future investment due to its strategic exposure to AI and e-commerce, particularly through its partnership with TikTok, despite concerns over heavy AI spending [28][30] 分组3 - Technical analysis of Meta indicates a sideways movement with key support levels between 640 and 660, suggesting potential for a breakout [11][12] - Alphabet's stock is showing signs of a potential upward breakout, with moving averages indicating a bullish trend [23][24] - Oracle's stock has experienced volatility but remains above critical support levels, with an expected move of about 15% in the coming months [36][37]
Amplify ETFs Expands Crypto ETF Lineup With Stablecoin and Tokenization Funds
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 15:40
Core Insights - Amplify ETFs has launched two new exchange-traded funds focused on digital finance infrastructure: the Amplify Stablecoin Technology ETF (STBQ) and the Amplify Tokenization Technology ETF (TKNQ) [1][2] Group 1: Amplify Stablecoin Technology ETF (STBQ) - STBQ aims to provide targeted exposure to equities and digital assets that support the stablecoin ecosystem, which facilitates over $9 trillion in annual transaction volume [3] - The stablecoin market is projected to grow from approximately $300 billion today to over $3.7 trillion by 2030, driven by broader use cases in payments, trading, and settlement [4] - The fund seeks to track the MarketVector Stablecoin Technology Index (MVSTBQ) and may allocate 25% to 50% of its portfolio to crypto assets related to stablecoin and decentralized finance [5] Group 2: Amplify Tokenization Technology ETF (TKNQ) - TKNQ targets companies and digital assets involved in the tokenization of real-world assets, enabling fractional ownership and improved transparency [6] - Analysts estimate that the market for tokenized assets could expand from around $176 billion today to over $3.6 trillion by 2030, fueled by institutional adoption and regulatory advancements [7] - The fund aims to track the MarketVector Tokenization Technology Index (MVTKNQ) and may also allocate 25% to 50% of its portfolio to qualifying crypto-related assets [8] Group 3: Regulatory and Institutional Context - The launch of STBQ and TKNQ occurs amid increasing regulatory clarity for digital finance infrastructure, with evolving frameworks in the U.S. and Europe positioning stablecoins and tokenization as compliant elements of modern financial systems [9]
X @Polygon | POL
Polygon· 2025-12-23 15:19
Company Overview - BeToken is the first Spanish company to tokenize 100% of its equity under European securities regulation [1][2] - BeToken is collaborating with Polygon to provide infrastructure for tokenization [1] Technology and Partnership - Polygon, an Ethereum-based blockchain ecosystem, is supporting BeToken [1][2] - Polygon is providing a robust and scalable infrastructure for BeToken's tokenization [1] Regulatory Compliance - BeToken's tokenization is compliant with European securities regulation [1][2]
Will XRP Hit $5 in 2026? 5 Catalysts That Could Make It Happen—And 3 Risks That Won’t
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 14:32
Japan is quietly becoming one of the most important regions in the long-term XRP story. Ripple and SBI Holdings plan to launch RLUSD—Ripple's USD-backed stablecoin—in Japan by Q1 2026 through SBI VC Trade, pending regulatory approval. The project is being built through licensed trust banks and exchanges under Japan's Payment Services Act.That level of capital would reshape demand and strengthen the case for XRP hitting $5. It would also position XRP as the only crypto asset with an ETF tied to a fully regul ...
The volatility of bitcoin has actually been coming down, says Anthony Pompliano
Youtube· 2025-12-23 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin prices are experiencing significant volatility, currently down 30% from their highs, and there is uncertainty regarding future interest rate cuts which may impact market sentiment [1][2]. Company Insights - Coinbase aims to become an "everything exchange," allowing users to trade public stocks, cryptocurrencies, and prediction markets on a single platform, competing with Robinhood, which has a brokerage background [3][4]. - Coinbase has a competitive advantage with over 100 million users and a crypto-friendly approach, while traditional financial players are also entering the crypto space with substantial resources [6][7]. Industry Trends - The integration of artificial intelligence and tokenization is seen as pivotal for the future of finance, with companies vying for dominance in these areas [5][17]. - The competition among financial firms is expected to benefit individual investors through lower prices and improved market access [8]. Market Performance - Bitcoin has shown a compound annual growth rate of 70% over the last decade, despite recent disappointments regarding price expectations [10]. - The volatility of Bitcoin has been decreasing, which may lead to smaller drawdowns compared to historical trends, suggesting a more stable price environment moving forward [11][15]. Future Outlook - The potential for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies to serve as a defensive asset on corporate balance sheets is highlighted, with firms likely to invest in crypto to protect purchasing power [18][19]. - The lack of regulatory clarity remains a concern, with no significant legislative developments on the horizon that could impact the market [16].
The Year in Ethereum 2025: Institutions Embrace ETH as the 'Ivory Tower' Crumbles
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 14:01
Core Insights - Ethereum has made significant progress in gaining acceptance among centralized institutions in 2025, a year marked by major regulatory changes in the crypto industry [2][3] - The network's builders have historically focused on technical achievements and decentralization, but this year has seen a shift towards broader economic and political engagement [1][2] Group 1: Institutional Adoption - Centralized institutions are urgently expanding their businesses onto blockchain networks, with a notable preference for Ethereum's multi-layer network model [5][6] - Major financial players, including Fidelity and SWIFT, have chosen Ethereum for their tokenization projects, indicating a strong institutional validation of the network [6][7] - The trend of adopting Ethereum has occurred organically, driven by its perceived suitability for business rather than through aggressive marketing efforts [5][6] Group 2: Global Reach - Financial institutions from various regions, including Upbit in South Korea, Ant Group in China, and Amundi in Europe, have engaged in tokenization projects using Ethereum [7] - The success of Ethereum in institutional settings is exemplified by the establishment of layer-2 networks, such as Base, which have gained traction in Wall Street circles [6][7]
Amplify ETFs targeting stablecoin and tokenization sectors open for trade
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 13:28
Core Insights - Amplify ETFs has launched two new ETFs aimed at providing targeted exposure to companies and cryptocurrencies related to stablecoins and tokenized assets [1][2] - The Amplify Stablecoin Technology ETF (STBQ) tracks the MarketVector Stablecoin Technology Index, which includes equities and crypto assets, and currently holds 24 positions, with significant investments in spot crypto ETFs like XRP, SOL, ETH, and LINK [2][3] - The Amplify Tokenization Technology ETF (TKNQ) focuses on businesses that facilitate the digitization of real-world assets and tracks the MarketVector Tokenization Technology Index, currently holding 53 positions, including similar spot cryptocurrency ETFs and various equities [2][3] - Both ETFs have a total expense ratio of 69 basis points and are listed on NYSE Arca [3] - The launch of these ETFs aligns with recent regulatory changes, particularly the U.S. GENIUS Act, which established a federal framework for stablecoins and clarified compliance requirements for institutions dealing with tokenized assets [4]