Core Viewpoint - The ongoing debate regarding the effectiveness of the recent U.S. military strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, with conflicting assessments from U.S. officials and Iranian sources about the extent of the damage caused by the attacks [1][3][5] Group 1: U.S. Military Actions and Intelligence Leaks - U.S. intelligence intercepted communications among Iranian officials suggesting that the damage from the U.S. strikes was less severe than anticipated, contradicting claims of "complete destruction" of Iran's nuclear capabilities [3][4] - The Pentagon and White House have strongly denied these claims, labeling them as misleading and politically motivated, asserting that the core components of Iran's nuclear program remain intact [3][4] - This incident marks the second leak of sensitive intelligence regarding the aftermath of the U.S. strikes, indicating that the narrative of total destruction is being challenged [3] Group 2: Diplomatic Relations and Negotiations - Despite Trump's assertions of having "totally destroyed" Iran's uranium enrichment facilities, he has threatened further military action if Iran resumes uranium enrichment, complicating potential diplomatic negotiations [5][6] - Iranian officials have expressed a willingness to negotiate but demand guarantees against further U.S. military actions during talks, highlighting a lack of trust in U.S. commitments [5][6] - The Iranian military leadership remains skeptical about the sustainability of any ceasefire, indicating readiness to respond to any aggression, which reflects a broader sentiment of distrust towards U.S. intentions [6][7] Group 3: Regional Implications and Future Conflicts - The ongoing conflict has not achieved its intended goals for the U.S. and Israel, as Iran's nuclear program remains operational, and the potential for future confrontations persists [6][7] - Analysts suggest that the lack of a formal ceasefire agreement and unresolved underlying issues may lead to renewed hostilities, indicating a precarious security situation in the region [6][7]

七国集团外长：我们呼吁恢复谈判，达成一项全面、可验证且持久的协议，以解决伊朗的核计划问题。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The effectiveness of the recent U.S. military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities is being questioned, with claims of significant damage being challenged by intercepted communications from Iranian officials [1][2]. Group 1: Military Action and Impact - The U.S. military used powerful munitions, including a 30,000-pound (approximately 14-ton) bunker buster bomb and Tomahawk cruise missiles, to strike three Iranian nuclear sites [2]. - Reports indicate that while the explosions sealed entrances to two nuclear facilities, they did not destroy the underground structures, and Iran had relocated enriched uranium prior to the attack [5]. - U.S. intelligence officials claim that key components of Iran's nuclear program, including metal conversion facilities, were "completely destroyed," with reconstruction expected to take years [5][7]. Group 2: Government Responses and Disputes - The Trump administration has strongly refuted Iranian officials' assessments of the strikes, labeling them as erroneous and asserting that the military action achieved its intended effects [5][6]. - White House Press Secretary and Pentagon officials criticized media reports as politically motivated and misleading, emphasizing the military's success [1][6]. - There is a divide among U.S. lawmakers regarding the effectiveness of the strikes, with some believing that the core components of Iran's nuclear program remain intact and capable of being quickly restored [7][8].

据央视新闻，当地时间6月29日，美国总统特朗普表示，美国对伊朗福尔多核设施的袭击完全摧毁了目标地点。 据美国有线电视新闻网6月24日报道，三位知情人士描述的一份美国早期情报评估报告显示，此前美国对伊朗三处核设施的 军事打击并未摧毁伊朗核计划的核心部件，可能仅使其核计划推迟了数月。其中一位知情人士称，该报告基于美国中央司 令部在美国空袭后进行的战斗损失评估。 报道称，目前，对伊朗核设施受损情况以及空袭对伊朗核计划影响的分析仍在进行当中，随着更多情报的披露，分析结果 可能会有所变化。两位知情人士表示，伊朗的铀浓缩库存并未被销毁。其中一位知情人士表示，伊朗核设施的离心机基 本"完好无损"。 报道还称，美国白宫承认了该评估的存在，但对其中的内容并不认同。 美国国防部长赫格塞思表示："根据我们所掌握的信息，我们的轰炸行动摧毁了伊朗制造核武器的能力。" 特朗普已在其社交平台"真实社交"上转发了赫格塞思的相关言论。 美国媒体此前披露了一份早期情报评估，称美国对伊朗的空袭并未摧毁其核设施。 特朗普说，"现在那个地方只有几千吨的岩石，整个地方被摧毁了，伊朗另外两个核设施也被摧毁了"。特朗普称，以色列 对伊朗核设施造成了破坏，但 ...

据央视新闻，当地时间6月29日，美国总统特朗普表示，美国对伊朗福尔多核设施的袭击完全摧 毁了目标地点。 特朗普说，"现在那个地方只有几千吨的岩石，整个地方被摧毁了，伊朗另外两个核设施也被摧毁了"。 特 朗普称，以色列对伊朗核设施造成了破坏，但美国造成了最后的破坏。 特朗普否认伊朗在美国发起袭击前将任何东西进行了转移。此外，参与袭击的B-2轰炸机飞行员将去往白 宫。 当地时间6月24日消息，美白宫和国防部强烈反驳有关美国未能摧毁伊朗核设施的说法。 白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特在社交平台X上表示，报告是由情报界一位匿名人员泄露，并称"当十四颗三 万磅的炸弹精准命中目标时，结果只有一个——彻底摧毁"。 美国国防部长赫格塞思表示："根据我们所掌握的信息，我们的轰炸行动摧毁了伊朗制造核武器的能力。" 特朗普已在其社交平台"真实社交"上转发了赫格塞思的相关言论。 美国媒体此前披露了一份早期情报评估，称美国对伊朗的空袭并未摧毁其核设施。 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体 法律责任的权利。 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理，微信ID：SecuritiesTimes ...

Group 1 - President Trump hinted at potentially lifting sanctions on Iran if they maintain peace and demonstrate no further harm [1] - Trump stated that the U.S. has implemented sanctions and considered relaxing them after a ceasefire, but ultimately decided to maintain them [1][2] - Trump claimed that a recent U.S. strike destroyed a key underground facility of Iran's nuclear program, although intelligence suggests the damage may not be as extensive as claimed [2][3] Group 2 - Senator Lindsey Graham suggested that the U.S. should require Iran to recognize Israel as a condition for resuming negotiations [2] - The head of the UN nuclear watchdog indicated that Iran could resume uranium enrichment within months, despite U.S. strikes causing significant damage [2][3] - Preliminary intelligence assessments show that Iran's stockpile of 400 kilograms of enriched uranium remains largely intact [2][3] Group 3 - Officials revealed that Iran's enriched uranium stock was dispersed across multiple locations during the recent attacks, complicating damage assessments [3] - The head of the IAEA emphasized that Iran retains the knowledge and industrial capability to enrich uranium to weapon-grade levels [3] - Trump mentioned that several countries expressed interest in joining the Abraham Accords following the bombing of Iran [3]

Core Viewpoint - Iranian officials believe that the damage caused by the recent U.S. military strike on Iran's nuclear program was not as significant as anticipated [1] Group 1 - U.S. intelligence intercepted communications among Iranian officials regarding the military strike [1] - The strike occurred earlier this month and was aimed at Iran's nuclear program [1] - Iranian officials expressed that the impact of the attack was less than their expectations [1]

来源：新华社 特朗普回应美国被"打耳光" 警告不排除再袭伊核设施 在伊朗最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊发表"伊朗给了美国一记耳光"等强硬言论后，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普27 日回应称，他当初没有下令袭击哈梅内伊本人，因对方的言论现已不再考虑解除对伊制裁。特朗普还威 胁，不排除再次攻击伊朗核设施。 伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐28日说，只有美方停止对哈梅内伊出言不逊，双方才有达成协议的可 能。 特朗普：哈梅内伊"不感恩" 特朗普27日在社交媒体发文，称伊朗"被严重削弱"，三处核设施"被摧毁"。 以色列13日凌晨对伊朗境内核设施和军事目标等发起大规模空袭，伊朗当晚还击。以伊冲突爆发后，双 方发动多轮互袭。美国东部时间21日，特朗普宣布美军"成功打击"伊朗福尔道、纳坦兹和伊斯法罕三处 核设施。特朗普于美东时间23日宣布以伊就停火达成一致，以伊两国24日均表示接受停火方案。 伊朗：停止出言不逊才谈协议 伊朗外长阿拉格齐28日在社交媒体写道："如果特朗普总统的确想达成协议，就应该放下对伊朗最高领 袖、即大阿亚图拉哈梅内伊的不敬和令人无法接受的语调，停止伤害他数以百万计的忠诚追随者。" 按照特朗普说法，他"知道"哈梅内伊藏身何处， ...

美媒：美国虚拟驻伊朗大使馆发布公告，坚持敦促在伊美国公民立即撤离。 据环球网援引福克斯新闻网28日报道，伊朗重新开放部分领空之际，美国虚拟驻伊朗大使馆发布公告，坚 持敦促在伊美国公民立即撤离。尽管以色列和伊朗已于6月24日达成停火，美国虚拟驻伊朗大使馆认为， 当前该地区局势仍具重大风险。 使馆在公告中称："自2025年6月26日起，伊朗已开放部分领空，但德黑兰等主要枢纽的商务航班仍可能 中断。在伊美国公民应关注当地媒体，并向商业航空公司咨询离境航班动态。"公告还建议美国公民在安 全条件下，可通过陆路前往阿塞拜疆、亚美尼亚、土耳其或土库曼斯坦。 报道称，美国虚拟驻伊朗大使馆承认："由于在伊领事援助能力有限，美政府无法提供直接撤离协助"，计 划离境者需自主安排行程，并采取下列应急措施：制定不依赖政府的紧急撤离方案；保持通讯设备畅通； 准备应急物资包等。 对于无法离开伊朗的美国公民，美国虚拟驻伊朗大使馆建议其在住所或其他安全建筑中寻找安全地方，随 身携带食物、水、药品和其他必需品。 此前，当地时间6月27日，美国总统特朗普表示，他希望伊朗能够接受国际检查，以核实其不会重启核计 划。他还表示，将考虑因铀浓缩问题再次轰 ...

Group 1 - The ceasefire between Israel and Iran has led to a gradual restoration of order in Israel, with schools, ports, and airspace reopening, although full recovery will take time due to significant losses from the conflict [1][3] - The Israeli central bank governor reported that the losses from the recent conflict amount to approximately 1% of the country's GDP, equating to about $5.9 billion, which is significantly higher than the losses from the prolonged Gaza conflict [3] - Reconstruction efforts are estimated to require an additional $1.3 billion due to severe damage to infrastructure, indicating potential economic pressure if the conflict were to continue [3] Group 2 - There is skepticism regarding the permanence of the ceasefire, as it was not negotiated directly between Israel and Iran, and no agreement was reached on critical issues such as Iran's nuclear and missile programs [4] - Different assessments exist regarding the impact of attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, with Israeli and U.S. claims of severe damage being contested by the International Atomic Energy Agency and Iranian officials, suggesting that Iran may quickly restore its uranium enrichment capabilities [6] - Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have stated that any resumption of Iran's nuclear program would prompt immediate military action from Israel, highlighting the ongoing hostile relationship and lack of trust between the two nations [8]