Company Overview - Okta is an identity and access management firm with a market capitalization of $16 billion and reported revenue of $2.7 billion over the past twelve months [2] - The company achieved operational profitability with $23 million in operating profits and a net income of $130 million [2] Earnings Release Insights - Okta is scheduled to announce its earnings on August 26, 2025, and the results will be crucial in determining market expectations and consensus [2] - Historical trends can provide traders with insights into potential outcomes surrounding the earnings release [3] Historical Performance Analysis - Over the past five years, Okta has recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 10 positive and 10 negative one-day (1D) returns, indicating a 50% chance of positive returns [5] - The median of the 10 positive returns is 12%, while the median of the 10 negative returns is -8.9% [5] Correlation of Returns - Analyzing the correlation between 1D, 5D, and 21D returns can help traders position themselves effectively based on historical performance [4][6] - A strategy that focuses on the strongest correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be beneficial, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show a high correlation [4]

Group 1 - Home Depot is expected to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on August 19, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $4.70 per share and revenue of $45.37 billion, reflecting a 2% increase in earnings and a 5% rise in sales year-over-year [3] - The company has a current market capitalization of $400 billion, with revenue over the past twelve months at $163 billion, operating profits of $22 billion, and net income of $15 billion [3] - Historical data indicates that Home Depot stock has dropped 55% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day decline of 2.2% and a maximum observed decrease of 9% [3] Group 2 - In the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for Home Depot, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 45% of the time [5] - The percentage of positive one-day returns increases to 58% when considering data from the last three years [5] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 1.7%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -2.2% [5] Group 3 - The company is focused on maintaining prices despite tariff pressures, leveraging its scale, supplier relationships, and diversified supply chain to absorb costs and potentially capture market share as competitors raise prices [3] - In Q1, Home Depot experienced strong demand for smaller projects and seasonal activities, although high interest rates have deterred consumers from larger renovation projects [3]

Group 1 - Amcor is set to announce its earnings on August 14, 2025, with a current market capitalization of $22 billion [2] - The company generated $13 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, with operating profits of $1.4 billion and net income of $807 million [2] - Historical data shows that Amcor has recorded 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in a positive return rate of approximately 45% [5] Group 2 - The percentage of positive one-day returns decreases to 33% when analyzing data from the last three years [5] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 1.8%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -2.2% [5] - A strategy to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be beneficial for traders, particularly if the correlation is strong [4][6]

Core Insights - Consolidated Water reported revenue of $33.59 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-over-year and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $32.69 million by 2.76% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.32, up from $0.26 in the same quarter last year, representing a 60% surprise compared to the consensus estimate of $0.20 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Manufacturing revenue was reported at $5.23 million, surpassing the average estimate of $4.23 million by analysts, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 33.2% [4] - Services revenue totaled $11.45 million, slightly above the average estimate of $10.39 million, but showed a year-over-year decline of 4% [4] - Retail revenue reached $8.64 million, which was below the average estimate of $9.4 million, yet indicated a year-over-year growth of 5.6% [4] - Bulk revenue was reported at $8.28 million, slightly below the average estimate of $8.53 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.1% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Consolidated Water have returned -2.3%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 2.7% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Staar Surgical reported a revenue of $44.32 million for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year decline of 55.2% and an EPS of -$0.07 compared to $0.33 a year ago, indicating significant financial challenges [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $41.56 million by 6.63%, while the EPS surprise was 87.5% against a consensus estimate of -$0.56, suggesting better-than-expected performance in terms of earnings [1] Revenue Performance - Net Geographic Sales in the United States were $5.64 million, slightly below the average estimate of $6.46 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.4% [4] - Net Geographic Sales from Other International markets totaled $18.18 million, significantly lower than the average estimate of $24.03 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 10.6% [4] - Sales in Japan reached $10.92 million, surpassing the average estimate of $10.08 million with a year-over-year increase of 10.4% [4] - In China, sales were reported at $5.3 million, a dramatic drop from the average estimate of $0.96 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 91.6% [4] Stock Performance - Staar Surgical's shares have returned +59.8% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a change of +0.5% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Group 1 - RingCentral reported $620.4 million in revenue for Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of 4.6% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $1.06, compared to $0.91 a year ago, indicating a positive growth trend [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $617.72 million by 0.43%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.02 by 3.92% [1] Group 2 - Key metrics indicate that RingCentral's stock has returned -19.6% over the past month, contrasting with the S&P 500 composite's +1% change [3] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3] Group 3 - Gross Margin for Other was reported at -23.1%, significantly below the six-analyst average estimate of -7.6% [4] - Gross Margin for Subscriptions was 80.6%, slightly above the estimated 80.5% by six analysts [4] - Subscription revenues reached $598.73 million, exceeding the average estimate of $597.67 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +5.6% [4] - Revenues from Other amounted to $21.67 million, surpassing the estimated $19.98 million, but showed a year-over-year decline of -16.2% [4]

Group 1 - AIG is expected to report earnings of approximately $1.60 per share and revenues of around $6.85 billion, reflecting a 4.5% increase [2] - The company has shifted focus towards property and casualty insurance following the spinoff of its life insurance and retirement segment, with anticipated recovery in underwriting results in the second quarter [2] - AIG's current market capitalization stands at $46 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months reported at $27 billion and net losses of $-1.9 billion [3] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that AIG has had 19 earnings data points over the last five years, with 14 positive and 5 negative one-day post-earnings returns, resulting in a 74% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of the 14 positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of the 5 negative returns is -1.3% [5] - Analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide a less risky trading strategy, particularly if a strong correlation exists [6]

Core Insights - Eli Lilly is expected to report earnings of $5.59 per share and sales of $14.7 billion on August 7, 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous year's earnings of $3.92 per share and sales of $11.3 billion [3] - Historically, Eli Lilly's stock has shown a pattern of negative one-day returns following earnings announcements, with a 56% decrease rate over the past five years and a median decline of -3.1% [2][7] Financial Performance - Eli Lilly has a market capitalization of $685 billion, with $49 billion in revenue, $20 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $11 billion over the past twelve months [4] - The company has recorded 18 earnings data points in the last five years, with 8 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 44% occurrence of positive returns [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities and analyze immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide their strategies [6] - A correlation analysis between short-term and medium-term returns can help traders identify suitable trades, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show strong correlation [8] Peer Performance - The performance of peers can influence Eli Lilly's stock reaction post-earnings, with historical data indicating that peer stock returns may impact pricing ahead of the earnings announcement [9]

Core Insights - Amazon.com, Inc. is set to report its earnings on July 31, 2025, and historical patterns indicate that the stock has reacted negatively in 63% of instances following earnings reports over the past five years [2][3] Earnings Expectations - Current consensus estimates for Amazon's upcoming earnings are $1.33 per share on $162.1 billion in sales, compared to $1.26 per share on sales of $147.98 billion in the same quarter last year [3] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, there have been 19 earnings data points, with 7 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 37% of the time [6] - The median one-day negative return in instances of negative performance was -4.7%, with a maximum decline of -14% [3][6] Market Capitalization and Financials - Amazon currently holds a market capitalization of $2.4 trillion, with $650 billion in revenue, $72 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $66 billion over the last twelve months [4] Trading Strategies - Two primary approaches for traders include pre-earnings positioning based on historical odds and post-earnings positioning to react to actual results and market sentiment [5][7] - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed, particularly if the correlation is high [7][8]

Company Overview - LyondellBasell Industries is set to announce its earnings on August 1, 2025, with a current market capitalization of $21 billion [2] - The company reported revenue of $38 billion over the past twelve months, achieving operational profitability with $2.2 billion in operating profits and a net income of $1.1 billion [2] Earnings Performance Insights - Historical data shows that LyondellBasell has had 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in a positive return rate of approximately 35% [5] - This positive return rate increases to 50% when considering only the last three years [5] - The median of the 7 positive returns is 0.6%, while the median of the 13 negative returns is -1.8% [5] Correlation with Peers - The performance of peers can influence post-earnings stock reactions, with market pricing potentially beginning before earnings announcements [6] - Historical data on LyondellBasell's stock performance is compared with peers that published earnings prior, focusing on post-earnings one-day (1D) returns [6]