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百利好早盘分析:QE可能重启 黄金受益破位
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 01:45
Gold Market - Gold prices have recently broken out of a two-week consolidation range, indicating a positive long-term outlook for the metal [2] - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to halt its balance sheet reduction and initiate a short-term Treasury purchase plan suggests a shift towards quantitative easing, which is expected to support precious metals in the long run [2] - Technical analysis shows that gold has formed a bullish daily candle, with potential for further gains, while support is noted at the $4265 level [2] Oil Market - Oil prices have reached new lows not seen since late November, reflecting a lack of bullish sentiment among traders [4] - There is a consensus in the market regarding oversupply in the international oil market, with warnings from trading giant Trafigura about a potential "super oversupply" situation due to weak demand and increasing supply [4] - The U.S. Energy Information Administration has raised its 2025 oil production forecast to an average of 13.61 million barrels per day, indicating a record supply level and a projected oversupply of 4.09 million barrels per day by 2026 [4] Copper Market - Copper prices have shown a strong upward movement, with a bullish daily candle indicating a shift in market control towards buyers [6] - There is a potential need for short-term adjustments, with support noted at the $5.34 level [6] Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index has shown a series of small bearish and bullish candles, indicating a shift in price focus upwards [7] - The index appears to be in a consolidation phase, with a high probability of forming a bullish continuation pattern, and support is noted at the 50,330 level [7]
Maybe Weakness Isn't All Oracle's Fault: 3-Minutes MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-11 11:01
Mark, good morning to you. Let's have 3 minutes on the markets there and a lot of the negativity easy to attribute to Oracle. Nasdaq futures are down more than 80 minutes, for example, and that's a focused attack.But you think there's something more negative about the Fed that maybe that narrative ignores. Yeah, definitely. Oracle has been a driver of negativity today.Now, it was slightly delayed reaction in terms of Asia because after SoftBank also fell on the Oracle story that Asia got a little bit more n ...
DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: I don't feel like that was a hawkish cut
CNBC Television· 2025-12-10 21:14
Fed Policy Stance - The market interprets the Fed's recent actions as a dovish meeting rather than a hawkish cut, despite the rate cut [1][2][7][10] - The Fed is perceived to be more focused on employment risks, specifically the potential rise in unemployment, than on inflationary pressures [6] - The Fed seems to downplay inflationary risks, suggesting good progress on inflation, if not for tariffs [3][4][5] Quantitative Easing (QE) and Tightening (QT) - The Fed has unexpectedly ramped up QE by $40 billion, after a period of QT, raising hopes for further QE if needed [7] Interest Rate Dynamics - Despite the Fed dropping rates by 175 basis points since September, the 2-year Treasury rate remains unchanged [6] - The Fed funds rate is now in line with the 2-year Treasury yield [5][6] - Long-term interest rates, such as the 30-year Treasury, have risen by approximately 75 basis points since the Fed started cutting rates [8][9] - The 2s30s Treasury curve has steepened to around 123-124 basis points, approaching the year's high of 130 basis points [10] Economic Assessment - The Fed estimates that monthly jobs gains are overstated by approximately 60,000, suggesting a potentially weaker labor market than reported [2] - The market believes that cutting interest rates is not helpful for long-term interest rates [9] - Cutting rates by 175 basis points has not helped the housing market [8]
X @Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒· 2025-12-10 20:11
RT Presidentpush (@presidentpush)$USELESS continues to be bought by top smart money in the last 7 days.Bottom is in and the @theunipcs thesis will come true.QE is starting.Rate cuts are coming.Printer is turning on.@theuselesscoin will go to billions in 2026!@StalkHQ providing the alpha again.Check it out: https://t.co/Mss1aIWlhP ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-12-10 20:06
I think the biggest issue ppl have with all this is the fact that Bitcoin/Crypto isn't up."Just what the markets need"The tradfi markets are at or near all time highs.Crypto Montaigne (@solanaskeptic):@Tradermayne Just because we lived through 13 years where the FED often resorted to those extremes doesn’t mean we can just sit around waiting for a setup like that. It may be years away.Call it “QE” or not, it is a relaxing of policy, and that may be all the market needs rn ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-12-10 20:03
Quantitative Easing (QE) Analysis - Full QE involved hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars in buying [1] - Interest rates during these QE periods were 0-025% [1] Market Timing - Waiting for QE confirmation may cause investors to miss the most profitable part of the market move [1]
Fed rate cut was 'much more dovish,' says KKM Financial's Kilburg
CNBC Television· 2025-12-10 19:54
Let's talk more about that now with Jeff Kilberg. He's the founder and CEO of KKM Financial. What do you say, sir.Welcome. >> Well, Kelly, kind of a surprise. Everyone was looking for a cut in rates, but more hawkish, and we actually got more.If you think about that 40 billion that going to start purchasing in just a couple days, that's annualized half a trillion dollars of new QE. So, with a $6.5% trillion balance sheet, I think a lot of folks were surprised. That was the initial reaction, equities, but yo ...
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-12-05 19:50
From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 QE is Over & Assets are Ready to Explode3:28 Chaos Inside Apple - Will Tim Cook Be Out Next?5:16 Interview with Jonathan SwansonEnjoy! https://t.co/7Txvu8j8cT ...
X @Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒· 2025-12-02 15:17
$BTC went as low as $83k yesterday and everyone was screaming 'it's so over'it's back at $90k today and everyone is screaming 'we're so back'maybe we're indeed so backor maybe we're still going to have some more pullbacks from herethe short-term price action doesn't really matter IMOwhat really matters is the fundamentals:- ultra conservative, $11 trillion financial behemoth Vanguard just started allowing its clients to buy Bitcoin- FED has ended QT and we're now on a much faster track to QE- we likely get ...
Bitcoin and the End of Quantitive Tightening
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-12-01 03:12
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and the end of quantitative tightening. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, Bitcoin right now is coming in at around $87,000.Now, a lot of people are perplexed, right. They're like, "Well, quantitative tightening is coming to ...