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摩根士丹利:美股短期回调风险加剧,标普500或先跌5%-10%
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-07-18 02:52
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is poised for a new bull market, but short-term risks should be monitored [1][3] Group 1: Market Outlook - The S&P 500 index may decline by 5% to 10% within the current quarter due to pressure on corporate earnings from President Trump's trade policies, but this pullback is expected to be "temporary and mild," providing a buying opportunity for investors [1][3] - The S&P 500 index has risen over 20% since its low in April, with a market capitalization increase of approximately $11.5 trillion [3] Group 2: Impact of Trade Policies - Recent broad tariff measures implemented by the Trump administration are beginning to impact corporate balance sheets, with the third-quarter earnings season expected to reflect these effects for the first time [3] - The number of industries with upward earnings revisions has significantly increased, indicating that companies are gradually absorbing the impact of tariffs [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The recent market rally has been primarily driven by a few technology giants, while cyclical sectors such as financials and industrials have not fully participated [3] - If trade risks lead to a broader earnings revision, funds may shift from growth stocks to value stocks, resulting in a more balanced rise in the index components [3] Group 4: Investor Sentiment - The market oscillates between fear and greed, and the key is to distinguish between temporary pullbacks and structural bear markets, with corporate earnings trajectories serving as the ultimate judge [3]
道琼斯指数7月17日(周四)收盘上涨230.32点,涨幅0.52%,报44485.10点;标普500指数7月17日(周四)收盘上涨33.76点,涨幅0.54%,报6297.46点;纳斯达克综合指数7月17日(周四)收盘上涨153.78点,涨幅0.74%,报20884.27点。
news flash· 2025-07-17 20:12
Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on July 17 with an increase of 230.32 points, representing a rise of 0.52%, ending at 44,485.10 points [1] - The S&P 500 index also saw gains, closing up 33.76 points, which is a 0.54% increase, finishing at 6,297.46 points [1] - The Nasdaq Composite index rose by 153.78 points, marking a 0.74% increase, closing at 20,884.27 points [1]
标普500指数涨0.4%,道指涨0.3%,纳指涨0.78%。秘鲁与美国围绕自由贸易协议洽谈新条款。
news flash· 2025-07-17 16:46
Group 1 - The S&P 500 index increased by 0.4%, the Dow Jones rose by 0.3%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.78% [1] Group 2 - Peru and the United States are negotiating new terms for a free trade agreement [1]
道琼斯指数7月17日(周四)开盘下跌34.51点,跌幅0.08%,报44220.27点;标普500指数7月17日(周四)开盘上涨1.85点,涨幅0.03%,报6265.54点;纳斯达克综合指数7月17日(周四)开盘上涨28.99点,涨幅0.14%,报20759.48点。
news flash· 2025-07-17 13:36
Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened at 44,220.27 points, down by 34.51 points, a decrease of 0.08% on July 17 [1] - The S&P 500 opened at 6,265.54 points, up by 1.85 points, an increase of 0.03% on July 17 [1] - The Nasdaq Composite opened at 20,759.48 points, up by 28.99 points, an increase of 0.14% on July 17 [1]
美股三大股指继续走低,纳指跌超0.6%
news flash· 2025-07-16 15:37
Group 1 - The three major US stock indices continued to decline, with the Nasdaq falling over 0.6% [1] - The S&P 500 index decreased by 0.5% [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.46% [1]
标普500指数高开10.74点,涨幅0.17%,报6254.50点;道琼斯工业平均指数高开129.45点,涨幅0.29%,报44152.74点;纳斯达克综合指数高开40.01点,涨幅0.19%,报20717.81点。
news flash· 2025-07-16 14:02
Core Points - The S&P 500 index opened up by 10.74 points, representing a 0.17% increase, reaching 6254.50 points [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened up by 129.45 points, showing a 0.29% increase, reaching 44152.74 points [1] - The Nasdaq Composite index opened up by 40.01 points, indicating a 0.19% increase, reaching 20717.81 points [1]
道琼斯指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨131.44点,涨幅0.30%,报44154.73点;标普500指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨10.79点,涨幅0.17%,报6254.50点;纳斯达克综合指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨48.11点,涨幅0.23%,报20725.91点。
news flash· 2025-07-16 13:34
道琼斯指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨131.44点,涨幅0.30%,报44154.73点; 标普500指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨10.79点,涨幅0.17%,报6254.50点; 纳斯达克综合指数7月16日(周三)开盘上涨48.11点,涨幅0.23%,报20725.91点。 ...
标普500指数期货日内转涨。
news flash· 2025-07-16 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 index futures turned positive during the day [1] Group 1 - The shift in S&P 500 index futures indicates a potential recovery in market sentiment [1]
道琼斯指数7月15日(周二)收盘下跌436.36点,跌幅0.98%,报44023.29点;标普500指数7月15日(周二)收盘下跌24.83点,跌幅0.40%,报6243.73点;纳斯达克综合指数7月15日(周二)收盘上涨37.47点,涨幅0.18%,报20677.80点。
news flash· 2025-07-15 20:11
道琼斯指数7月15日(周二)收盘下跌436.36点,跌幅0.98%,报44023.29点; 标普500指数7月15日(周二)收盘下跌24.83点,跌幅0.40%,报6243.73点; 纳斯达克综合指数7月15日(周二)收盘上涨37.47点,涨幅0.18%,报20677.80点。 ...
美股三大股指高开低走,标普500指数转跌,道指跌幅扩大至0.63%,纳指涨幅收窄至0.46%。
news flash· 2025-07-15 14:56
Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices opened higher but experienced a decline, with the S&P 500 index turning negative [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average's decline expanded to 0.63% [1] - The Nasdaq's gains narrowed to 0.46% [1]