Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has a 90.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a 9.3% chance of maintaining the current rate [1] - The probability of maintaining the rate in October is 4.5%, while the cumulative probabilities for a 25 basis point and 50 basis point cut are 48.9% and 46.5% respectively [1] - Upcoming CPI and PPI data releases are critical, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the recent rebound in the U.S. stock market and reignite concerns about stagflation [1] Group 2 - The South Korean stock index opened up by 0.3%, while the Japanese market was closed for a holiday [2] - The U.S. government's proposed 39% tariff on Swiss gold bars has caused significant turbulence in international financial markets [2] - The White House has denied the tariff plans, labeling the reports as "misinformation," which has led to increased market anxiety due to conflicting statements from the U.S. Customs and Border Protection [3] Group 3 - Bitcoin has surpassed $119,000 [4] - Crude oil futures have declined, while the ICE U.S. Dollar Index has seen a slight increase [5] - President Trump is set to meet with President Putin to discuss a potential ceasefire agreement regarding Ukraine [5]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a rebound, but upcoming inflation data may challenge this trend, with CPI and PPI reports set to be released this week [1] Market Performance - Dow Jones futures rose by approximately 60 points, reflecting a 0.1% increase - S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also showed slight gains - Gold prices declined while Bitcoin surpassed $119,000 - Crude oil futures experienced a downturn - The ICE U.S. Dollar Index saw a modest increase against six major currencies [1] Economic Indicators - The upcoming CPI data is crucial for assessing inflation trends, with the report due on Tuesday - PPI data is scheduled for release on Thursday - Higher-than-expected inflation data could lead to investor hesitation and potentially halt the recent upward momentum in U.S. stocks, reigniting concerns over stagflation [1] Geopolitical Factors - U.S. President Trump is set to meet with Russian President Putin in Alaska on Friday to discuss a potential ceasefire agreement regarding Ukraine - Discussions surrounding Ukraine may have implications across various sectors, including sanctions, energy markets, and arms sales [1] Market Sentiment - Stephen Innes, a partner at SPI Asset Management, indicated that the market may shift from a stable phase to a more volatile one, influenced by macro trends and geopolitical developments [1]

标普500指数期货跌幅扩大，现跌2%，最新报6245.48点。 ...

Group 1 - Spot gold prices declined in the Asian market, reaching a low of $3,320.51 per ounce and currently reported at $3,327.02 per ounce, reflecting a daily drop of approximately 0.3% [1] - U.S. stock futures showed an upward trend, with Nasdaq 100 futures rising by 0.5% and S&P 500 futures increasing by 0.4% [1]

标普500指数期货抹去跌幅，转为上涨。 ...

标普500指数期货日内转涨。 ...

Group 1 - Nasdaq futures increased by 0.72% and S&P 500 futures rose by 0.46% [1] - U.S. Treasury yields declined, with the 2-year Treasury yield down over 1 basis point to 3.898% and the 10-year Treasury yield down over 2 basis points to 4.954% [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell slightly, decreasing by 0.13% during the day [1]

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures have risen to intraday highs, indicating positive market sentiment and potential bullish trends in the stock market [1] Group 1 - The S&P 500 index futures have shown an upward movement, reflecting investor confidence [1] - Nasdaq 100 index futures have also increased, suggesting strong performance in technology stocks [1]

标普500指数期货抹去跌幅。 ...

Group 1 - S&P 500 futures declined by 0.2% [1] - Nasdaq futures also fell by 0.2% [1]