1、委内瑞拉代总统致信美国及世界 当地时间1月4日，委内瑞拉外长希尔发布代总统德尔西·罗德里格斯致世界及美国的信息。信中 称，委内瑞拉重申其追求和平与和平共处的信念，渴望在国际尊重与合作的环境中，免受外部威胁地生 活。委内瑞拉相信，全球和平的构建首先要保障每个国家的和平。 委内瑞拉认为，推动美国与委内瑞 拉、委内瑞拉与本地区各国之间，建立基于主权平等和互不干涉的平衡、尊重的国际关系是当务之急。 这些原则指导着委内瑞拉与世界其他国家的外交关系。 委内瑞拉政府诚邀美国政府共同制定以共同发 展为导向的合作议程，在国际法框架内加强持久的共同体共处。 信中称，委内瑞拉人民和地区值得享 有和平与对话，而非战争。这始终是委内瑞拉总统马杜罗的立场，委内瑞拉有权享有和平、发展、主权 与未来。（CCTV国际时讯） 2、李在明在华表态：韩中如在同一海域同向航行的船只 据韩联社报道，韩国总统李在明5日在北京出席一场商务论坛时表示，韩国和中国需要深化在人工 智能（AI）、文化等领域合作。他同时以"同海共航"为喻，阐释韩中经贸的深厚联结。李在明当天表 示，韩中如同在同一海域同向航行的船只，曾携手跨越风浪，通过产业链供应链的深度互嵌相互成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is set to close with a lackluster performance, marking the third consecutive year of double-digit gains, while the anticipated seasonal rally has failed to materialize [1][2] Market Performance - As of 7:07 AM New York time, S&P 500 futures are down 0.2%, narrowing the index's 2025 gain to 17%. Nasdaq 100 futures are down 0.3%, and Dow futures are down 0.1% [1][2] - Silver prices have significantly declined, experiencing four consecutive days of volatility exceeding 5% [1][2] Investor Sentiment - In 2025, optimism surrounding the economic potential of artificial intelligence has driven strong returns for investors, although the journey has been turbulent due to U.S. trade policies, geopolitical tensions, and concerns over high valuations [1][2] - As December comes to a close, market momentum has faded, with traders locking in substantial profits before the holidays and deferring major decisions until after the break, leading to the absence of the expected "Santa Claus rally" [1][2] Fund Manager Insights - According to Roberto Scholtes, head of strategy at Singular Bank, after a stellar year for the stock market and high positioning in late November, fund managers may have closed positions and adjusted their allocations based on benchmarks [1][2] - The basic expectation is that the bull market will continue, but volatility is expected to increase, ultimately resulting in mid-single-digit returns [1][2]

国际现货白银周一开盘突破80美元/盎司后，持续暴拉，刷新纪录高位至83美元上方，在进入年底之际 延续其历史性涨势。现货白银已连续第六个交易日上涨，上周五收涨10%，创下2008年以来的最大单日 涨幅。现货白银今年累计上涨超过185%，有望创下自1979年以来的最佳年度表现。分析称，白银最近 的上涨受到投机资金流入和主要交易中心在10月逼空后持续的供应混乱的推动。 华尔街在 2025 年迎来了丰收之年，这一基准指数全年累计上涨 17.7%。道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅达 14.5%，有望创下 2021 年以来的最佳年度表现。纳斯达克综合指数年内表现更为亮眼，涨幅达到 22.2%。 与此同时，华尔街正处于"圣诞老人涨势"窗口 —— 这是股市传统上的强势上涨时段。根据《股票交易 者年鉴》的数据，自 1950 年以来，标普 500 指数在每年最后五个交易日至次年首个两个交易日的区间 内，平均涨幅超过 1%。 在标普 500 指数刷新历史纪录后，股指期货于周一早盘走势平稳，交易员们即将为 2025 年这一表现强 劲的年份收官。 标普 500 指数期货小幅上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数期货亦同步走高，纳斯达克 100 指数期货则在平 ...

在降息预期和地缘政治紧张局势的双重推动下，贵金属集体强势，原油走高，美股期货小幅上涨。 主要资产走势： 白银上涨2.25%至每盎司68.68美元的历史高位，盘中曾飙升至69.45美元/盎司的历史高位，年内翻倍，有望创1979年以 来最佳年度表现； 现货黄金日内涨近1.5%报4401.79美元/盎司，创历史新高； 铂金、钯金跟随上涨，现货铂金上涨1.74%至2011美元/盎司，自2008年以来首次升破2,000美元/盎司； 原油反弹，布伦特原油涨超1%至60.76美元附近，WTI原油也涨超1%，至57.19美元； 道指、标普500及纳指100期货在节前缩短的交易周前均小幅上扬，道指期货涨1%，纳指100期货涨0.4%； 【以下为13时之前更新】黄金、白银再创历史新高，现货铂金自2008年以来首次升破2000美元 贵金属市场正在结束历史性的一年，白银涨幅已超过一倍，黄金飙升约三分之二。各国央行增持和黄金支持的交易所交易基金资金 流入为价格提供了支撑。 据彭博汇编的数据，黄金ETF已连续五周录得资金流入。世界黄金协会的数据显示，除5月外，今年每个月这些基金的总持仓量都 在增长。与此同时，白银近几周受到需求激增以及主 ...

Group 1 - The core market sentiment is characterized by a loss of calculability regarding the future rather than a loss of confidence [2] - The market reactions to the non-farm payroll data were mixed, with the dollar index initially falling before recovering, gold prices spiking then declining, and S&P 500 futures showing volatility before closing lower [2][3] - The U.S. Treasury bonds experienced a comprehensive rise, with yields dropping by 2 to 3.5 basis points, indicating a preference for assets that do not require narrative justification [2] Group 2 - The overall market response was moderate, suggesting that it was not a significant trading day, with expectations of increased volatility compared to the previous day [3] - The market is currently in a state of risk avoidance, with defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and real estate performing poorly, while technology stocks managed to show slight gains [4] - The implications of the non-farm data are troubling for the Federal Reserve, as it disrupts the sense of direction in the market, creating uncertainty in pricing models [4]

Market Overview - Global stock markets are experiencing declines, with the S&P 500 futures indicating a third consecutive day of losses, while European markets are also weak [1] - Oil prices remain near their lowest levels since 2021, and gold has retreated after five days of gains [1] - Investors are adopting a cautious stance ahead of key U.S. economic data releases, particularly the November employment report, which is expected to show weakness in the labor market [1][2] Economic Data and Investor Sentiment - The upcoming November employment report, which includes delayed October data due to a government shutdown, is a focal point for market participants [2] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is also set to be released, contributing to the critical economic data that will guide investor sentiment [2] - There is a noticeable risk-off tone in the market, with some funds reducing their beta exposure or locking in profits ahead of these data releases [2] Federal Reserve Outlook - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is stable around 4.17%, with market expectations leaning towards two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year to support the labor market [3] - There is a divergence in views within the Federal Reserve regarding policy stance, with some members expressing concerns over restrictive policies while others see favorable conditions for future decisions [6] Stock Market Movements - S&P 500 futures are down 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures have decreased by 0.9% [7] - The Euro Stoxx 50 futures have fallen by 0.7%, indicating a broader trend of declining European markets [7] - Technology stocks are facing rotation pressure, with the MSCI Asia Technology Index experiencing consecutive declines, potentially reaching its lowest level since early December [8][9] Currency and Commodity Trends - The U.S. dollar index remains relatively unchanged, while the Japanese yen has appreciated by 0.2% against the dollar [7] - Gold prices have decreased by 0.4%, settling at $4289.85 per ounce, and West Texas Intermediate crude oil has dropped by 0.7% to $56.45 per barrel [7] - In the Asian currency market, the Indian rupee has fallen to a historical low, while the Japanese yen is expected to see a rate hike from the Bank of Japan [10]

纳斯达克100指数期货跌1%，标普500指数期货跌0.59%，道指期货跌0.17%。 (本文来自第一财经) (本文来自第一财经) 纳斯达克100指数期货跌1%，标普500指数期货跌0.59%，道指期货跌0.17%。 ...

Group 1 - US stock index futures have declined in the short term, with Dow futures down by 0.17% and both S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures down by 0.1% [1][2]

Core Insights - On November 28, 2025, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and its subsidiary, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), experienced a significant technical failure that halted futures and options trading for 11 hours, impacting a nominal value of over $15 trillion in contracts [4][5][11] - The official explanation for the outage was attributed to overheating at a third-party data center operated by CyrusOne, raising skepticism given the cold weather conditions in Chicago at that time [4][11] - The outage coincided with the expiration of key options, leading to substantial financial losses for institutions forced to close positions at unfavorable prices, amounting to over $1 billion [4][5] Group 1 - The CME's outage affected major contracts, including S&P 500 futures and oil futures, with an estimated nominal value of over $15 trillion unable to be traded [4] - On the same day, there was a notable surge in silver prices, which raised concerns about potential physical delivery demands that could exacerbate market conditions [7][9] - A significant player reportedly sought to deliver 400 million ounces of silver, equivalent to half of the global annual production, raising questions about the CME's capacity to fulfill such demands [9][10] Group 2 - The timing of the technical failure, just before a critical delivery date, suggests possible strategic motivations behind the outage, as it allowed the CME to avoid potential market disruptions [11][13] - The incident reflects deeper tensions within the financial system, particularly regarding the handling of physical deliveries and the competitive pressures on the U.S. dollar [14] - The appointment of Kevin Hassett as the next head of the Federal Reserve, known for his support of aggressive monetary easing, adds another layer of complexity to the current financial landscape [17]

Core Insights - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) temporarily halted all futures and options trading due to a technical failure at a third-party data center, raising concerns about price volatility upon resumption of trading [1][3] Group 1: Impact on Trading - The immediate cause of the trading suspension was a cooling system failure at the CyrusOne data center, affecting core trading products across various sectors including energy, agricultural products, fixed income, and stock indices [3] - Key contracts such as WTI crude oil futures and gasoline futures were impacted, with WTI last trading at 10:47 AM Beijing time before orders could no longer be matched [3] - The halt also affected U.S. Treasury futures and S&P 500 index futures, with trading channels closing rapidly after the incident [3] Group 2: Broader Market Effects - The failure significantly disrupted liquidity in the foreign exchange market, particularly affecting EBS, a major forex trading platform, leading to gaps in pricing and forcing traders to pause large forex hedging operations [3] - Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Capital Markets, noted that the current environment of relative liquidity scarcity, combined with a wait-and-see attitude ahead of macroeconomic data releases, could lead to a breakdown in price discovery mechanisms due to the trading halt [3] Group 3: Regional Impact - The Malaysian Exchange also announced a suspension of all derivative products due to the same technical failure, collaborating closely with CME's technical team for service restoration [4] - The palm oil futures contract, which is the largest by trading volume globally, was reported at 4,112 ringgit per ton before the suspension, reflecting a 0.54% increase from the previous trading day [4]