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What the Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge Could Reveal on Thursday
Investopedia· 2026-01-21 21:02
Core Insights - The Bureau of Economic Analysis is expected to report a 2.8% increase in core consumer prices, excluding food and energy, for the 12 months ending in November, consistent with the previous report in September [2][3] - This inflation rate remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures [3] Economic Implications - The delayed release of the PCE inflation data means it will have less influence on Federal Reserve interest rate policy than usual [6][10] - Inflation has exceeded the Fed's target since 2021, although it has decreased from its peak in 2022 [6] - Concerns exist among Fed officials that tariffs are contributing to inflation, while a slowdown in the housing market is helping to moderate rent increases, a significant component of inflation [7][10] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates since 2022 to combat inflation, but has recently lowered rates in response to economic conditions and job market concerns [8] - With the PCE data delayed, the Fed may focus more on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for inflation trends [9][10]
Major European Markets Close Roughly Flat After Trump's Davos Speech
RTTNews· 2026-01-21 18:17
European stocks pared early losses and settled on a mixed note on Wednesday as investors largely stayed cautious for much of the trading session till about mid afternoon, and then weighed U.S. President Donald Trump's speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos later on in the day.The U.S. President ruled out the use of military force to take control of Greenland during his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland."We probably won't get anything unless I decide to use excessive strength and ...
Dollar Little Changed as President Trump Dials Back Harsh Rhetoric on Greenland
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 15:37
Economic Indicators - The dollar index (DXY00) is down by -0.02%, reflecting concerns over potential tariffs imposed by President Trump on several European countries if they do not allow the acquisition of Greenland [1] - US pending home sales in December fell by -9.3% month-over-month, marking the largest decline in 5.5 years, significantly worse than the expected -0.3% [2] - US construction spending in October rose by +0.5% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of +0.1% [3] Monetary Policy and Market Reactions - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 basis points in 2026, contributing to underlying weakness in the dollar [5] - The dollar is under pressure as the Fed has begun purchasing $40 billion a month in T-bills since mid-December, increasing liquidity in the financial system [6] - Markets are currently pricing in a 5% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC's next meeting on January 27-28 [4] Political Developments - President Trump announced a 10% tariff on goods from eight European countries starting February 1, which will rise to 25% in June unless a deal for the "purchase of Greenland" is reached [4] - President Trump stated he is seeking "immediate negotiations" to acquire Greenland, emphasizing that he does not want to use excessive force [3][6] - The euro (EUR/USD) is down by -0.10% today, with its losses limited by the dollar's weakness and supportive comments from ECB President Lagarde regarding the minor impact of additional tariffs on European inflation [7]
Chinese EVs Plan to Wreck Ford and GM
247Wallst· 2026-01-21 14:15
A headline in The Wall Street Journal says it all: "Chinese EVs Blow Past Tesla and Tariffs En Route to Global Reign.†Chinese automakers are methodically working their way into Mexico and Europe. In fact, they already have over 7% of Europe's market. Chinese electric vehicle companies have the United States surrounded. The moat between their current status and a successful move into the U.S. is tariff levels that make doing business in America less than economical. General Motors Stock Price Prediction and ...
Tariffs Test Margins While Companies Invest to Protect Profitability, Study Finds
PYMNTS.com· 2026-01-21 09:00
Core Insights - Tariffs and shifting trade policies have created ongoing operational challenges for U.S. businesses, particularly affecting financial and product leaders [1][3] - Middle-market firms are experiencing heightened uncertainty due to tariffs, policy changes, and uneven global demand, which has become a defining feature for 2025 [3][4] Impact on Goods vs. Services Firms - A significant divide exists between goods-producing firms and services providers, with over one-third of CFOs at goods firms reporting high operational uncertainty by late 2025, a sharp increase from pre-tariff conditions [5][6] - Goods firms face higher input costs and supply-chain disruptions, leading to operational constraints, while services firms are more insulated from these impacts [6] Margin Pressures - More than 40% of CFOs at goods companies reported declining operating margins in 2025, while only 12% saw improvements, indicating a severe impact on profitability [7] - High uncertainty correlates with margin deterioration, as over three-quarters of firms under high uncertainty reported margin declines [7] Strategic Responses - Companies have shifted to "reset mode," prioritizing defensive strategies over aggressive growth, with over one-third of CFOs focusing on risk management and compliance [8][9] - Goods firms are diversifying supply chains and renegotiating vendor contracts, while services firms are concentrating on operational efficiency [9] Technology Investment Trends - Technology investment has decreased, with only 15% of firms prioritizing AI and digital transformation in 2025, but expectations for 2026 indicate a shift towards prioritizing digital transformation [10] Future Outlook - As companies approach 2026, nearly two-thirds expect growth despite ongoing tariff uncertainties, emphasizing the need for flexible cost structures and resilient supply chains [11][12]
Explainer: Trump tariffs on six EU nations could create US customs headache
Reuters· 2026-01-21 08:54
Core Viewpoint - U.S. customs authorities may encounter significant challenges if President Donald Trump implements tariffs on six specific EU countries instead of the entire European Union, due to the seamless movement of goods among EU member states [1] Group 1 - The potential tariffs could create complications for customs enforcement [1] - The ease of goods movement within the EU complicates the implementation of targeted tariffs [1]
The Stock Market Sounds an Alarm as Investors Get More Bad News About President Trump's Tariffs. History Says This Will Happen Next.
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-21 08:15
Trade War and Economic Impact - President Trump has reignited the trade war with Europe, threatening new tariffs on eight European allies until Denmark agrees to sell Greenland, which is not for sale according to Danish leaders [2][3] - The threatened countries account for 13% of U.S. imports, making them as significant as China or Canada, and the European Union plans to retaliate with tariffs on $100 billion in U.S. exports [4][5] - Tariff hikes historically raise unemployment and lower GDP growth, contradicting Trump's claims that tariffs would bring manufacturing back to the U.S. and create jobs [5] Stock Market Valuation - The S&P 500 has a cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio of 39.9, the highest since the dot-com crash in October 2000, indicating a high valuation [7] - Historical data shows that when the S&P 500's CAPE ratio exceeds 39, the index has an average decline of 4% over the next year and 20% over the next two years [9] - Investors may be willing to accept higher CAPE ratios due to expectations that artificial intelligence will enhance profit margins and earnings growth in the future [10]
SharpLink (SBET) Tumbles 9.6% as Cryptos Fall on US-EU Trade Spat
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 07:52
Company Performance - SharpLink Gaming Inc. (NASDAQ:SBET) experienced a decline of 9.59% on Tuesday, closing at $9.94 per share, reflecting broader market sentiments amid ongoing trade tensions between the US and the EU [1] - The company has transitioned from a traditional online gaming and sports betting entity to a significant holder of Ethereum, with total ETH holdings of 639,241 and 224,183 ETH locked in staked form as of December 14, 2025 [3] Leadership Changes - SharpLink Gaming Inc. appointed Joseph Chalom as its sole chief executive officer following the resignation of Rob Phythian as co-CEO [4] Market Context - The global markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, have been unsettled due to uncertainties stemming from trade tensions, leading investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach [3] - President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on goods from eight countries, which could escalate to 25% if no agreement is reached, prompting potential retaliatory measures from the EU amounting to $108 billion in levies on American goods [2]
Peloton (PTON) Shares Trending In After-Hours Trading: Here's What You Should Know - Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON)
Benzinga· 2026-01-21 05:32
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive Inc. shares experienced a slight increase of 0.85%, trading at $5.91 in after-hours activity, following a regular session close at $5.86, which was a decline of 7.42% [1] Group 1: Stock Transactions - COO Charles Peter Kirol sold 22,520 shares at a weighted average price of $6.4676, totaling approximately $145,650, to cover tax liabilities from restricted stock units [2] - Kirol had 56,510 restricted stock units vest on January 15, 2023, and after the sale, he holds 81,001 shares and 508,590 restricted stock units [3] Group 2: Legal Actions - Peloton filed a lawsuit against the U.S. government on January 7, 2023, challenging tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act by former President Donald Trump, seeking to have the tariffs declared unlawful and requesting a full refund of all tariffs paid [4] Group 3: Trading Metrics and Technical Analysis - The stock has declined 30.57% over the past 12 months, indicating ongoing challenges for the company [5] - Peloton's market capitalization is $2.45 billion, with a 52-week trading range of $4.63 to $10.25 [5] - The stock is currently trading at 21.89% of its 52-week range, suggesting limited buying interest and potential for further declines [6]
Amazon CEO says that tariffs are starting to 'creep' into prices as vendors run out of stockpiled goods
Business Insider· 2026-01-21 05:01
Core Insights - Amazon's CEO, Andy Jassy, indicated that tariff price hikes are beginning to affect consumer prices as vendors deplete their stockpiled goods imported before the tariffs were implemented [1] - Jassy noted that some sellers are passing on the increased costs to consumers, while others are absorbing them to maintain demand, leading to a mixed impact on pricing [1] - The retail sector operates on mid-single digit margins, making it challenging to absorb significant cost increases, such as a 10% rise in costs [2] Pricing Dynamics - Amazon primarily functions as an e-commerce platform for independent sellers, limiting its control over price increases [7] - There was a previous rumor that Amazon would disclose the tariff impact on item prices, which drew criticism from the Trump administration; however, Amazon clarified that it had no such plans [7] Tariff Context - The majority of tariffs were enacted under presidential emergency powers, including a 10% baseline levy on nearly all imports, with ongoing legal scrutiny from the US Supreme Court regarding their constitutionality [8] - If the Supreme Court rules the tariffs unconstitutional, the government may face potential refunds amounting to $1 trillion to businesses that paid these tariffs [9] - According to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, 96% of the new revenue from US Customs is being borne by American consumers, while only 4% is shouldered by foreign exporters [10]