America will pay the price for Trumpian tariffs. Growth was underwhelming and inflation disappointingly high in the first half of the year. But the full toll of the dismal new policy will be felt over the long term https://t.co/b9vpS9EvATPhoto: AP https://t.co/luhF2gGaJ7 ...

Group 1: Interest Rate Cuts - Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman is considering three interest rate cuts this year due to concerns about the job market and the U.S. economy [1] - Bowman voted against the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged last month, advocating for a 0.25% cut in the benchmark rate [1] Group 2: Inflation and Tariffs - Bowman indicated that price increases from tariffs are likely to have a one-time effect, suggesting that short-term inflation spikes can be tolerated [2] - San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted that while tariffs will push inflation higher in the short term, the effect is not expected to be lasting [5] Group 3: Labor Market Concerns - Bowman expressed skepticism about the accuracy of monthly jobs data, citing declining survey response rates and changes in immigration and business creation patterns [3] - New York Fed President John Williams acknowledged that the job market remains "solid" but is concerned about downward revisions in hiring [5] Group 4: Growth Stocks and ETFs - Growth stocks tend to perform better in a low-rate environment, as lower borrowing costs make them more appealing to investors [6] - A list of top-ranked growth-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) was provided, including Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) and Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF (RPG) [7]

We have new details this morning on President Trump's new crackdown on crime in a city he loves to criticize in his own backyard, our nation's capital, our home, Washington DC. As part of his new week-long campaign, some 450 federal law enforcement officers from various agencies were stationed across the city last night in hightra areas. And Trump announced on social media that tomorrow he will hold an event at the White House that will quote essentially stop violent crime in DC, which he claims has become ...

Treasury yields slip as investors brace for a key reading of US inflation https://t.co/ezY2AbXJlQ ...

💥REMINDER:🇺🇸 CPI DATA DROPPING TOMORROW & PPI DATA DROPPING THURSDAY.BIG WEEK FOR INFLATION DATA!EXPECT VOLATILITY. https://t.co/gZblUl1jQw ...

Market Trends - Bitcoin price is approaching its all-time high [1] - Traders are awaiting key inflation data [1]

Market Events - OPEC releases monthly report on Tuesday [1] - July CPI inflation data released on Tuesday [1] - July PPI inflation data released on Thursday [1] - July Retail Sales data released on Friday [1] - MI Consumer Sentiment data released on Friday [1] - Five Fed speaker events scheduled for Friday [1]

Summary of US Consumer Chartbook 3Q 2025 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the US consumer market, analyzing labor market trends, income, consumption, sentiment, and credit conditions. Key Points Labor Market & Income - Real labor income growth has decreased from an average of nearly 3.5% in 2024 to just over 2% in 2025, with expectations for further decline due to slowing labor demand and rising inflation [3][12][25] - Employment growth has slowed significantly, with a 3-month average payroll growth now at 35,000, down from 168,000 last year [11][33] - The middle-income cohort, primarily in manufacturing, has seen the weakest employment growth but maintained wage growth of over 4.2% year-on-year [18][23] - The lowest income cohort's wage growth has weakened to just above inflation at 3.2% year-on-year as of June [19][25] - Real disposable personal income growth is projected to slow from 2.2% in 2024 to 1.5% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026 [8][57] Consumption & Sentiment - Consumption is expected to slow in the second half of 2025, with real consumption growth forecasted to drop to 0.6% in 2025 and 0.7% in 2026, down from 3.1% in 2024 [4][7] - Goods consumption is anticipated to decline more sharply due to tariff-induced price increases, particularly affecting durable goods [79] - Consumer sentiment has shown some recovery but remains below last year's levels, with employment expectations continuing to soften [60][62] - Spending intentions for back-to-school shopping are similar to last year, with a net 34% of consumers intending to spend more [66] Credit & Balance Sheet - Household debt has increased, with consumer revolving credit growth slowing, and debt-to-disposable income ratios remaining below pre-COVID levels [108][120] - Delinquencies in auto loans are rising, particularly among subprime borrowers, while credit card delinquencies have stabilized slightly [120] - The personal saving rate was steady at 4.7%, reflecting a drawdown of excess savings accumulated during the pandemic [92] Additional Insights - The report highlights the impact of inflation on lower-income cohorts, which tend to experience higher inflation rates due to their consumption patterns [26] - The fiscal bill is expected to add around 15 basis points to consumption in 2026, but this is minor compared to the negative impacts from trade and immigration policies [4] - The wealth effect on consumer spending is noted to be limited, with consumers increasing spending by less than 10 cents for every dollar increase in wealth [84][85] This comprehensive analysis provides insights into the current state of the US consumer market, highlighting potential risks and opportunities for investors.

The end goal, has and continue to be, get to a point I can just click a couple buttons a week on defi, and let my money compound at a rate that is unacceptableIt will outpace inflation, and allow me to stack bitcoin for eternity.I love you all, we are all going to get tired of winning. ...

August 8, 2025 07:27 AM GMT Investor Presentation | Japan M Foundation Japan Summer School: Global Economy Outlook Our Global Macro View: Which Economic Indicators Matter? Understanding the global economy requires careful interpretation of various macroeconomic indicators. In this session, we will share our global macro outlook and explain how we assess the significance of key economic data. Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd. Chiwoong Lee Principal Global Economist Chiwoong.Lee@morganstanleymufg.com + ...