Core Viewpoint - The ongoing federal government shutdown is creating uncertainty in the stock market, leading to potential volatility, but there are strong long-term investment opportunities available [1][3]. Group 1: Reasons to Invest - The long-term potential of the market remains lucrative despite short-term volatility risks due to the government shutdown [3]. - Historically, investors who remained in the market during downturns have achieved the highest returns, indicating that patience can be rewarding [4]. - An extreme hypothetical scenario suggests that even if the current shutdown leads to a recession similar to the 2007-2009 financial crisis, the S&P 500 has historically rebounded significantly, with total returns of 343% since December 2007 [5][7]. Group 2: Reasons to Exercise Caution - The uncertainty surrounding the duration of the government shutdown and its potential economic impact may warrant caution for some investors [1][6]. - The immediate aftermath of a recession can be challenging, as portfolios may decline in value without clear recovery timelines [7].

美国儿童和家庭管理局工会负责人 艾普尔·戈根斯：我们基本上处于瘫痪状态，无法提供任何实时帮助。 编辑：潘煦 （央视财经《第一时间》）美国联邦政府时隔近七年再次"停摆"，导致部分公共服务被暂停或延迟，一些民生项目受到直接冲击。 美国儿童和家庭管理局工会负责人 艾普尔·戈根斯：联邦政府现在的行为正在将疲于奔命的民众推向贫困的深渊，如果我们不果断干预，局面将无法挽回。 转载请注明央视财经 艾普尔·戈根斯是美国儿童和家庭管理局工会的负责人，联邦政府"停摆"后她被迫休假，多个民生项目也陷入停滞。据了解，该局原本负责向各州贫困家庭 分配联邦补助金，目前对低收入家庭的拨款审批已完全中止。戈根斯认为，联邦政府"停摆"正在直接伤害最脆弱的群体，加剧民众的贫困问题。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) has enough funding to operate for only about 8 days due to the ongoing government shutdown [1][3] - If funding runs out, NNSA will retain only a small number of personnel to ensure nuclear weapon safety, which will severely disrupt overall operations [3] - Approximately 60% of NNSA employees may be forced to take leave, with only 1,575 employees retained for "life and property protection" [3] Group 2 - The government shutdown began on October 1, following the Senate's failure to pass a new temporary funding bill before federal funding expired [2][3] - An estimated 750,000 federal employees will be "furloughed," and some public services may be suspended or delayed, impacting the release of economic data [3]

能源部的关停预案显示，约60%员工可能被迫休假，仅1575人因"保护生命与财产"被留用。赖特将此归 咎于国会民主党阻挠拨款，而参议院多数党领袖舒默则反指特朗普政府"玩弄政治"。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 当地时间10月3日，记者获悉，美国能源部长克里斯·赖特表示，因政府停摆持续，美国能源部下属国家 核安全管理局（NNSA）维持全部运作的资金仅够支撑约8天，之后将不得不进入"紧急关停程序"。 赖特称，若资金耗尽，NNSA将仅保留少量人员，确保核武器安全，但这将严重扰乱整体运作。此前 NNSA负责维护核武库、核不扩散及海军核动力系统等关键任务，涉及6.5万名雇员和承包商。 ...

2025.10. 03 本文字数：287，阅读时长大约1分钟 来源 | 环球时报 北京时间10月3日下午1时23分，美国驻华使领馆在美国社交平台X上的官方账号上宣布，由于拨款问 题未解决，除紧急的安全和安保信息外，此账户将不会定期更新，直至恢复全面运作。 （注：我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。） 推荐阅读 得力集团辞退跛脚员工，CEO留言致歉 此前，由于美国国会两党无法就延长联邦政府资金的临时拨款法案达成一致，美国政府已经于当地时 间10月1日凌晨零时起陷入"停摆"状态。 微信编辑 | 格蕾丝 第 一 财 经 持 续 追 踪 财 经 热 点 。 若 您 掌 握 公 司 动 态 、 行 业 趋 势 、 金 融 事 件 等 有 价 值 的 线 索 ， 欢 迎 提 供 。 专 用 邮 箱 ： bianjibu@yicai.com I t i - FCI ...

Core Insights - Global investors are navigating through the U.S. government shutdown and the indefinite delay of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' September jobs report while stocks continue their record-setting rally into early October [1][2] Group 1: Market Reactions - Despite the ongoing government shutdown, stocks are extending their rally, indicating investor confidence [1] - Investors remain relatively calm despite weaker-than-expected private job creation data from ADP and the lowest hiring intentions since 2009 reported by Challenger Gray [2] Group 2: Data Release Impact - The Bureau of Labor Statistics was scheduled to release the September jobs report, but the government shutdown has caused an indefinite delay [1] - The lack of official employment figures has not significantly impacted investor sentiment, suggesting a disconnect between market performance and employment data [2]

Group 1 - Policymakers are facing challenges due to the government's shutdown, which is expected to withhold employment data [1]

Core Insights - The monthly government jobs numbers will be delayed, prompting private firms to step in to provide employment data [1] Group 1 - The absence of timely government jobs data creates a gap that private firms are addressing by offering alternative employment statistics [1] - Private sector involvement in labor market data collection may enhance the accuracy and timeliness of employment insights [1]

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown has officially entered its third day, with the Senate expected to vote on a temporary funding bill today. If not passed, the shutdown may continue into next week [1] - President Trump is increasing pressure on Democrats, considering significant cuts to "thousands" of federal positions, aiming to reduce federal spending [1][2] - The White House is reportedly reviewing potential layoffs, focusing on agencies that do not align with government values and waste taxpayer money [1] - The shutdown is attributed to a stalemate between Democrats and Republicans over healthcare spending, with both parties blaming each other for the funding impasse [3][4] Group 1 - The Senate failed to pass a new temporary funding bill before the government funding expired, leading to the shutdown [3] - Approximately 750,000 employees are expected to be furloughed during the shutdown, with economic losses potentially being significant [3] - The ongoing negotiations are complicated by the Democrats' push to extend subsidies for the Affordable Care Act, while Republicans insist on resolving funding issues first [3] Group 2 - A recent poll indicates that more voters blame Trump and Republicans for the shutdown rather than Democrats, with a 17-point gap in public opinion [4] - The House and Senate had no voting arrangements on Thursday due to the observance of a holiday, with the next Senate meeting scheduled for October 3 [4] - There are expectations that the Senate Democrats will block the funding bill again, potentially prolonging the shutdown into next week [4]

Core Points - The U.S. government officially announced a shutdown on October 1 due to depleted funds, stemming from failed negotiations between Trump and Congress over budget disagreements [1] - The fundamental reason for the government shutdown is the lack of money, as the U.S. government has been running large deficits and once funds are exhausted, federal departments cannot continue operations [3] - The government typically addresses funding shortfalls by borrowing, but it has reached its statutory debt ceiling multiple times in recent years, requiring Congressional approval to raise the debt limit [3] Debt and Economic Implications - Borrowing does not equate to simply "printing money"; the government issues bonds and borrows from the public and financial institutions through auctions [5] - If bonds are not purchased, the Federal Reserve may absorb the remaining bonds, increasing the money supply and potentially leading to inflation [5] - The government prefers external markets to purchase its bonds to avoid excessive inflation risks and a potential financial crisis that could arise from the Fed becoming the largest bondholder [5] Current Financial Landscape - The current fiscal situation is dire, with many countries and financial institutions hesitant to purchase U.S. debt; for instance, China sold over $50 billion in U.S. bonds in the first seven months of the year [6] - The U.S. government is relying on allies like Japan and the UK to increase their holdings of U.S. debt while reluctantly accepting continued purchases by the Federal Reserve [6] - Trump's reluctance to pressure China into buying more U.S. debt is influenced by China's strong leverage in areas such as rare earths and soybeans, which could lead to severe repercussions if mishandled [6]