AI革命加速裁员潮，美国10月挑战者企业裁员人数同比暴增175.3%，创二十年同期最高纪录。私人数据Revelio Labs显示美国10月非农就业人数减少9100人。 美国全国零售联合会(NRF)周四表示，今年该国零售商在假日季的招聘预计将在26.5万至36.5万人之间，为至少 15年来最低的季节性用工水平。英国央行按兵不动，利率维持4%不变，12月降息预期升温。 美国政府关门持续对经济冲击，就业市场承压，然而从美联储官员态度来看对于12 月是否降息仍有分歧，而英 国央行暂停降息对宽松预期亦有影响，流动性紧张缓和美元指数回落，但贵金属盘中冲高回落。 沪金运行区间890-950元/克，沪银运行区间10800-11600元/千克。 昨日贵金属价格维持震荡，COMEX黄金期货跌0.20%报3984.80美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货跌0.37%报47.85美 元/盎司。 美国正式公布新版关键矿产清单，首次纳入铜，银铀钾肥也入列。 美国内政部地质勘探局(USGS)公布的最新关键矿产清单首次将铜列入其中，标志着2018年来最重大调整。 美联储12月降息方向不明，今年票委因政府关门不敢行动，明年票委更担心通胀。今年票委古 ...

The Malaysian ringgit gained to the strongest in more than a year on fading expectations for a central bank interest-rate cut and by renewed optimism over growth https://t.co/LA7YjKM8wQ ...

By Michael S. Derby NEW YORK (Reuters) -Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack said on Thursday ongoing high levels of inflation argue against the U.S. central bank ​cutting interest rates again. "I remain concerned about high inflation and believe policy should be leaning against ‌it," Hammack said in the text of a speech to be delivered to an Economic Club of New York event. "‌After last week's meeting, I see monetary policy as barely restrictive, if at all, and it's not obvious to me that mo ...

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some easing in the overall fear level, while the index remained in the “Extreme Fear” zone on Wednesday.U.S. stocks settled higher on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 200 points during the session amid solid corporate earnings and growing signs that the Federal Reserve may be nearing another interest rate cut.The ADP National Employment Report — the key labor gauge in the absence of official government data during the ongoing shutdown — showed t ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a positive session, with the Dow Jones index increasing by approximately 226 points to close at 47,311.00, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained 0.37% and 0.65%, respectively [4] - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a slight easing in fear levels, currently at 24.1, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone, up from a previous reading of 21.5 [6][7] Employment Data - The ADP National Employment Report indicated that private employers added 42,000 jobs in October, rebounding from a loss of 32,000 jobs in September and surpassing economists' expectations of a 25,000 job gain [2] Corporate Earnings - Eli Lilly and Co. continued its post-earnings rally for the fifth consecutive session, with shares reaching their highest levels since September 2024 [3] - McDonald's Corp. reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the third quarter [3] - Investors are anticipating earnings results from Cummins Inc., Airbnb Inc., and ConocoPhillips [5] Sector Performance - Most sectors within the S&P 500 closed positively, with communication services, consumer discretionary, and materials stocks showing the largest gains [4] - In contrast, consumer staples and information technology sectors closed lower, bucking the overall market trend [4]

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday fell from a 5.25-month high and finished down by -0.05%.  The dollar gave up its advance on Wednesday and posted modest losses after stocks recovered following Tuesday's rout, which dampened liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown.  The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer and the more likely the Fed will have to cut interest rates. The dollar initially m ...

Wall Street always loves a hot take, and Rick Rieder didn’t just toss one; he effectively lit the runway. In a remarkably insightful Yahoo Finance interview, BlackRock’s fixed-income boss stated that he expects the Fed to cut interest rates in December, not next year, while laying out why the market has already signaled this. He touts cooling inflation and a dicey labor market that’s quietly softening due to AI-fueled productivity, along with rate pain that’s showing up exactly where it hurts the most: t ...

Group 1: Dollar Index and Economic Indicators - The dollar index (DXY00) is up by +0.29% at a 3-month high, driven by increased liquidity demand due to a slump in equity markets and support from Fed Chair Powell's comments regarding interest rates [1] - The ongoing US government shutdown is exerting pressure on the dollar, with a 70% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by the FOMC at the next meeting on December 9-10 [2] - October Wards total vehicle sales slowed to 15.32 million, below expectations of 15.50 million, marking the lowest sales in 14 months, which is a bearish factor for the dollar [3] Group 2: Euro and Central Bank Dynamics - The euro (EUR/USD) is down by -0.34% and has reached a 3-month low, primarily due to the strength of the dollar, although central bank divergence supports the euro as the ECB is seen as nearing the end of its rate-cut cycle [3] - ECB Governing Council member Rehn commented on the Eurozone's sluggish but resilient growth, highlighting two-sided inflation risks and the importance of maintaining flexibility in decision-making regarding interest rates [4] - Swaps indicate a 7% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut by the ECB at the December 18 policy meeting [4] Group 3: Japanese Yen and Market Reactions - The yen (USD/JPY) is down by -0.48% but has recovered from an 8.5-month low, with signs of potential intervention by Japanese authorities to support the yen following comments from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama [5] - Higher Japanese government bond yields, with the 10-year JGB yield rising to a 3-week high of 1.691%, have strengthened the yen's interest rate differentials [5] - Lower T-note yields are also supportive of the yen, contributing to its recovery [5]

Group 1 - The US dollar index has risen above the 100 mark, reaching a three-month high, while international spot gold has experienced a decline, briefly falling below $3930 per ounce before rebounding above $3950 per ounce [1] - Silver prices saw a daily drop of nearly 2%, approaching $47 per ounce, but the decline has since moderated [1] Group 2 - Analyst Rhona O'Connell from StoneX indicated that gold is losing some of its bubble, reflecting concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, the possibility of stagflation, and potential geopolitical risks [3] - The US government shutdown may become the longest in history, leading to a pause in the release of official economic data, prompting investors to focus on unofficial reports, including the upcoming ADP national employment data [3] - Federal Reserve officials have differing views on how to address the current data gap, with some suggesting that the risk of a weakening labor market outweighs the risk of rising inflation, while others advocate for significant rate cuts [3] Group 3 - Traders are assessing whether the upward trend in gold prices will resume, with Federal Reserve policy being a key factor influencing the outlook [4] - There is a risk that the Federal Reserve may attempt to downplay expectations for rate cuts, as the probability of a December rate cut has decreased since last week [4] - The recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell cautioning against assuming further rate cuts in December aim to temper market expectations for monetary easing [4] - Uncertainty surrounding the implementation details of China's new gold tax policy may cast a shadow over the demand outlook for gold [4]

In late October, the Federal Reserve delivered its second interest rate cut of 2025. Chairman Powell cast doubt on whether another reduction is coming in December. ...