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Optimus Could Be ‘the Biggest Product of All Time.’ Does That Make TSLA Stock a Buy Despite Musk’s Distractions, Tesla’s Earnings Miss?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 14:28
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's recent earnings report reveals a mixed performance with record vehicle sales but declining profitability, while Elon Musk emphasizes the company's future focus on robotics and AI, particularly the Optimus humanoid robot [5][13][17]. Company Overview - Tesla, with a market cap of $1.44 trillion, is a leader in the transition to sustainable energy, manufacturing electric vehicles, solar energy systems, and energy storage products, while also expanding into AI and robotics [2]. Earnings Performance - Tesla's Q3 revenue increased by 11.6% year-over-year to $28.09 billion, surpassing Wall Street estimates by $1.39 billion, driven by a surge in demand before the expiration of EV tax credits [13]. - Automotive revenues grew 6% year-over-year to $21.2 billion, but concerns remain about a potential decline in U.S. EV sales in the current quarter [13]. - The energy segment achieved record deployment levels, generating $3.4 billion in revenue, up 44% year-over-year [14]. Profitability Challenges - Tesla's total GAAP gross margin fell by 185 basis points year-over-year to 18%, with operating profit dropping 40% year-over-year to $1.6 billion [15]. - Adjusted EPS was $0.50, down 31% year-over-year, missing expectations by $0.06, largely due to cost pressures and lower regulatory credit revenue [15]. Robotics Vision - Musk describes the Optimus humanoid robot as a potential "infinite money glitch" and believes it could become the biggest product of all time, with significant mentions during the earnings call [4][6]. - The company aims to produce up to 1 million robots per year by the end of the decade, although challenges in design and supply chain integration remain [11][12]. Market Outlook - Analysts are divided on Tesla's stock, with a consensus "Hold" rating, reflecting optimism about Musk's vision for AI and robotics against concerns over profitability and valuation [17]. - The humanoid robotics market is projected to reach $5 trillion by 2050, indicating significant long-term growth potential [9].
Tesla’s Next Huge Challenge
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 14:05
Core Insights - Tesla Inc. generates a significant portion of its revenue from its automotive business, with over $21 billion out of $28 billion in the most recent quarter [1] - Tesla faces increasing competition in the electric vehicle market, particularly from local companies like BYD in China and legacy automakers in Europe [2][3] - The UK market presents a unique opportunity for Chinese EV companies, as it lacks high tariffs on Chinese imports, allowing for more competitive dynamics [4] Group 1: Market Challenges - Tesla's market share in the U.S. electric vehicle sector has declined to less than 45%, down from nearly 80% [2] - Sales in the European Union have seen significant year-over-year declines, attributed to competition from established brands such as Volkswagen, Mercedes, and BMW [3] - Geely Auto, a Chinese competitor, has ambitious plans to penetrate the UK market, aiming to sell 100,000 units, which could surpass Tesla and BYD [8] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Geely Auto's unit sales in China reached 1,409,180 vehicles in the first half of the year, marking a 48% increase compared to the previous year [7] - The UK market is currently more favorable for Chinese brands, providing a competitive edge against Tesla [4] - Tesla's first-mover advantage is diminishing as new entrants like Geely expand into markets critical for Tesla's growth [9]
Tesla Board Chair Robyn Denholm: The technology of AI is truly transformative
CNBC Television· 2025-10-27 13:24
I know we're all focused on cars, but I'm curious if if we're all sitting together 10 years from now, will we think of Tesla as a car company or will it be a robot company. You know, just even seeing Becky getting those gummies, being handed the gummies by >> Optimus, is is that what it is. And and how how close are we to true dexterity.Because, you know, people always say that that robots can do a lot, but they they still can't fold laundry, for example. Oh, well, Optimus can fold laundry. I've actually la ...
Tesla Board Chair Robyn Denholm: The technology of AI is truly transformative
Youtube· 2025-10-27 13:24
Core Insights - The discussion revolves around Tesla's potential evolution from a car company to a robotics company, particularly focusing on the capabilities of its robot, Optimus [1][4] - Optimus is showcased as a versatile robot capable of performing tasks such as folding laundry, wiping tables, and even dancing, indicating advancements in robotics and AI [2][3] - The emphasis is on the transformative nature of AI technology and its impact on transportation and household operations, positioning Tesla at the forefront of this change [7][8] Company Developments - Elon Musk is reportedly dedicating significant time to the development of robotics and AI kits, alongside ongoing vehicle projects [5] - The company aims to redefine transportation and robotics, highlighting the integration of AI into these sectors [4][8] Shareholder Engagement - There is a call for Tesla shareholders to actively participate in voting, emphasizing the importance of their voice in company decisions [9][10] - Last year's shareholder turnout was notably high, with expectations for similar engagement this year, reflecting a strong retail shareholder base [10][11]
2 Big Highlights From Tesla's Q3 Earnings Call
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 12:48
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Tesla reported record quarterly revenue of $28.1 billion, driven by strong electric vehicle delivery numbers [2] - However, the company's operating margin fell significantly by 5 percentage points year over year, from 10.8% in Q3 2024 to 5.8% [2] Group 2: Future Challenges - The decline in profit margins is expected to worsen due to the end of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit in the U.S. and the introduction of cheaper versions of the Model 3 and Model Y [3] - Increased R&D expenses for robotics and autonomous driving initiatives may further impact profitability [3] - Tesla does not anticipate a significant ramp-up in production of its electric Semi until late 2026, with historical unreliability in such forecasts [3] Group 3: CEO Compensation and Control - CEO Elon Musk's proposed compensation package is set for a shareholder vote on November 6, which is unusual for an earnings call [5] - Musk aims to increase his stake in Tesla from 13% to the mid-20s percentage range to enhance his voting control and influence over the company [6][7] - Musk expressed concerns about maintaining influence over future developments, particularly regarding his plans for a "robot army" [7]
成交额超5亿元,机器人ETF(562500)连续9天净流入超13亿!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 02:40
Core Insights - The Robot ETF (562500) has shown a significant increase, with a 0.78% rise as of October 27, 2025, and a 4.81% increase over the past week [3][4] - The ETF has experienced substantial net inflows, totaling 13.46 billion yuan over the past nine days, with an average daily net inflow of 1.50 billion yuan [3] - The ETF's management fee is 0.50%, and its tracking error is 0.019%, indicating low costs and high tracking precision compared to peers [4] Performance Metrics - As of October 24, 2025, the Robot ETF has a 0.20% relative drawdown over the past six months, indicating lower risk compared to comparable funds [4] - The ETF's trading volume reached 5.83 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 2.47% [3] - The ETF's latest share count reached 22.654 billion, marking a one-year high [3] Fund Composition - Key stocks in the Robot ETF include: - Dahuashares (7.87% increase, 4.87% weight) - Dazhu Laser (4.10% increase, 3.17% weight) - Huichuan Technology (-0.40% decrease, 9.93% weight) [6] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Robot Index, which includes companies involved in system solutions, digital workshops, automation equipment manufacturing, and other robot-related sectors [4]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-26 21:35
Humanoids have been getting all the buzz, writes @cathythorbecke. But the race for robot dogs offers crucial lessons (via @opinion) https://t.co/ma9ItDTaTe ...
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-26 15:46
Market Analysis - The total DeRobo Market Cap (MC) is $420 million [1] - DeRobo Market Cap accounts for only 1.5% of the DeAI Market Cap, which is $273 billion [1] - The robotics sector presents a medium-term asymmetric investment opportunity [1] Emerging Trends - There's a growing trend involving AI + payments, including Neo banks, stablecoins & DeFi [1]
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-10-26 15:11
Market Trend & Ecosystem - The market is transitioning towards a machine economy driven by Robotics, AI, and Crypto [1] - PEAQ is positioned as the Ethereum ($ETH) equivalent within the machine economy ecosystem, boasting significant partnerships and numerous projects [1] Price Analysis & Prediction - PEAQ experienced a notable bounce from its support level, indicating potential for an upward breakout [1] - A breakthrough above $0.0950 could trigger a rally towards $0.15 and potentially higher price levels [2] External Factors - Macroeconomic market conditions and a failure at Binance have previously hindered PEAQ's price appreciation [1]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-26 15:10
Investment Focus - The industry is observing projects similar to ERC404 with added utility, exemplified by x402 [1] - Payment rails and stablecoin networks are key sectors of interest [1] - Identity, reputation, and verification projects (like legiondotcc, echodotxyz, buidlpad) are attracting attention [1] - Agent marketplaces and robotics are emerging as significant sectors [1] - Privacy sector projects, such as Aztec Network, are gaining traction [1] Partnerships and Investments - Notes Paypal's investment in GoKiteAI [1] - Highlights Brevis_zk's partnership with KiteAI for agent payment privacy [1]