非农就业报告
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PMI给了市场一些安慰,接下来看非农
news flash· 2025-05-01 14:27
Core Viewpoint - The ISM manufacturing PMI provided some reassurance to the market, indicating that orders have not collapsed despite ongoing trade tensions [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - The USD/JPY exchange rate returned to the 145 level for the first time since April 8, following the PMI announcement [1] - Analysts noted that manufacturers are at the center of the trade war, and the ISM survey results have improved market sentiment [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - There are signs that the sentiment regarding the tariff war is improving, with companies expressing optimistic comments during Q1 earnings releases [1] - The upcoming non-farm payroll report is expected to cause some volatility, but there are currently no widespread discussions about layoffs among companies [1]
黄金td回吐涨幅GDP预期遭下调
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-04-30 07:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the impact of recent U.S. trade policies and economic indicators on the gold market, indicating a complex interplay between short-term pressures and long-term safe-haven demand [2][3] - President Trump signed an executive order to alleviate tariff impacts on automakers, while the U.S. Commerce Secretary revealed a secret trade agreement, aiming to reduce market anxiety [2] - The U.S. trade deficit reached a historical high of $162 billion in March, potentially dragging down Q1 GDP by nearly 2 percentage points, raising concerns about economic performance [2] Group 2 - The consumer confidence index fell to a five-year low in April, and job openings dropped by 288,000 in March, signaling economic weakness [2] - Goldman Sachs has revised its Q1 GDP forecast to a contraction of 0.8%, reflecting growing pessimism among economists [2] - Despite short-term pressures on gold prices, the long-term safe-haven logic remains intact, as indicated by David Meger, who noted that the recent price correction is merely technical [2] Group 3 - Current gold T+D prices are at 780.88 yuan per gram, with a decline of 0.49%, and trading has seen a high of 786.00 yuan and a low of 779.65 yuan [3] - Resistance levels for gold are observed at 835-840 yuan, while support is seen at 760-765 yuan [3]