Workflow
Contrarian investment
icon
Search documents
Hims & Hers: Short Squeeze Or Strong Fundamentals? (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-07 15:18
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
AMD: Brace For A 10% Impact On EPS For FY 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-21 14:48
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
Here's Why ChargePoint Stock Is a Buy Before the End of May
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-21 09:52
Core Viewpoint - ChargePoint, a leading electric vehicle (EV) charging station builder, is currently undervalued and may present a contrarian investment opportunity despite its recent struggles and stock price decline [1][4]. Company Overview - ChargePoint operates in the EV charging sector, providing charging stations for residential and commercial customers, managing 342,000 charging ports by the end of fiscal 2025, including over 33,000 DC fast chargers [5][6]. - The company’s business model differs from Tesla's, focusing on selling connected charging stations and providing network access, billing, and customer support, rather than standalone charging stalls [6][7]. Financial Performance - ChargePoint experienced significant revenue growth in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, but revenue declined in fiscal 2025, with a total revenue of $417 million, down 18% year-over-year [9]. - Adjusted gross margins improved to 26% in fiscal 2025, despite the overall revenue decline, while operating and net losses narrowed compared to previous years [10]. - The company reported a net loss of $283 million in fiscal 2025, with adjusted EBITDA improving to a loss of $117 million [9][10]. Market Conditions - The EV market faced challenges in fiscal 2024 due to high interest rates, leading to decreased demand for new charging stations and negatively impacting ChargePoint's financial metrics [8][11]. - Analysts expect ChargePoint's revenue to rise by 11% in fiscal 2026, although this outlook may be influenced by external factors such as tariffs and trade tensions [11]. Future Outlook - ChargePoint anticipates achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2026, with analysts projecting a return to positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2027, which could stabilize the company and enhance its stock value [12]. - The company’s enterprise value stands at $434 million, trading at less than 1 times its estimated sales for fiscal 2026, indicating potential for stock appreciation with positive news [13]. Investment Considerations - ChargePoint's stock is considered a risky investment, but potential positive developments, such as better-than-expected quarterly results and a clearer outlook, could attract deep-value investors and trigger a short squeeze due to high short interest [14].
ASML: Shares Could Get Way Cheaper
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-19 14:23
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Analysis Methodology - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
Alphabet: The Cheapest Of The Mag 7 And The Least Exposed To Tariffs
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-13 04:53
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Market Focus - The investor primarily screens stocks in the US market but is open to owning shares in less stable economies, referred to as "banana republics," indicating a willingness to explore diverse investment opportunities [1]
Nvidia: Bargain At 2020 Valuation
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-06 13:50
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Analysis Methodology - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
Rivian: A Quiet Turnaround With The Software Segment In The Driver's Seat
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-31 02:35
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
NIO: Don't Expect Positive Free Cash Flows Any Time Soon - Rating Downgrade
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-24 20:07
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly those with insider buying at lower prices, which may indicate potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing market movements and potential price actions [1]