Core Viewpoint - March U.S. Treasury note futures are presenting a selling opportunity due to a bearish trend in prices and technical indicators suggesting further weakness [1][2]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - Prices of March U.S. Treasury note futures are trending lower, indicating a bearish market sentiment [1]. - The MACD indicator is in a bearish posture, with the blue MACD line crossing below the red trigger line, giving bears a near-term technical advantage [1]. - A move below the chart support level at 111.29.0 would empower bears and create a selling opportunity, with a downside price objective of 110.00 or lower [3]. Group 2: Economic Context - The U.S. economy has shown resilience, supported by recent data, but inflation remains high, which is concerning for the Federal Reserve [2]. - The current economic conditions suggest that the Federal Reserve may not ease its monetary policy as much as previously indicated, which is bearish for U.S. Treasury prices [2]. Group 3: Trading Strategy - Technical resistance is identified at 112.26.0, where a protective buy stop should be placed above this level [3].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve cut the main interest rate by a quarter point three times from September to December last year, with the current federal funds rate ranging between 3.5% and 3.75% [3] - U.S. employers added only 50,000 jobs last month, falling below expectations, indicating a cooling labor market [3] - The unemployment rate decreased to 4.4% from 4.5% in November, but remains above the 4% level seen in January 2025 [4] Group 2 - Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% in December and 2.6% for the full year, matching a four-year low [7] - The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.3% for the month and 2.7% for the full year, with shelter costs contributing significantly to the monthly rise [7] - The lower inflation figures allow the Federal Reserve to prioritize labor market stabilization over immediate price pressure concerns [7]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are showing a slight dip as investors prepare for critical economic data and the start of the fourth-quarter earnings season [1] - Major U.S. indexes closed at record highs on Monday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.16% to 6,977.27 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.17% to 49,590.20 points, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 0.26% to 23,733.90 points [3] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December 2025 is set to be released, with expectations of an annual inflation rate stable at 2.7% and a monthly pace of 0.3% for both total and core CPI [4] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is up to approximately 4.19% [2] Corporate Earnings - The fourth-quarter earnings season begins today, with major companies like JPMorgan Chase & Co. expected to report total revenue of $46.25 billion and earnings per share of $5.02 [6] - Other companies reporting include Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and Delta Air Lines [6] Notable Corporate News - Alphabet Inc. reached a market value of over $4 trillion after Apple announced the integration of Google's Gemini AI into Siri, with Alphabet up 0.68% in premarket trading [7] - Xpeng Inc. ADR dropped 2.63% in premarket despite plans for localized supply chain teams in Europe and ASEAN [7] - Valeura Energy Inc. reported Q4 2025 performance in line with guidance and provided a positive outlook for 2026 [11] - Maple Leaf Foods Inc. announced 2026 financial guidance and a dividend increase [11]

Bitcoin went through a political stress test after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Justice Department had threatened him with criminal charges during a growing conflict with President Donald Trump. Bitcoin’s price dropped to around the $90k level on the day before regaining the $91k price level as of today, which is a small move for a story that stirred tension in Washington. The timing stands out as investors continue to debate whether Bitcoin really holds up when governments clash. There ...

The dollar fell against a basket of currencies after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Department of Justice had subpoenaed the central bank on Friday and threatened a criminal indictment against him over cost overruns at the agency's headquarters.The news is a stern reminder of the risks to Fed independence, especially as Powell "made it unusually clear" that the purpose of this was to influence monetary policy, Commerzbank's Thu Lan Nguyen said in a note.The U.S. government's move might not sig ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has been served grand jury subpoenas from the Department of Justice, which may lead to criminal indictment, focusing on his June testimony regarding renovations at Fed office buildings [1][2] Group 1: Federal Reserve's Independence - Powell emphasized that no one, including the Fed Chair, is above the law, but the subpoenas should be viewed in the context of the Trump administration's pressure on the Fed [2] - The situation raises concerns about whether monetary policy will be influenced by political pressure rather than economic conditions [2] Group 2: Renovation Controversy - The planned $2.5 billion renovations of the Fed's headquarters have been criticized by White House officials, accusing Powell of overspending and violating oversight laws [5] - Trump has previously suggested that Powell's actions could be grounds for dismissal, although he later indicated it was unlikely unless fraud was involved [5] Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the news of the subpoenas, the dollar and US stock futures declined, while gold prices increased by as much as 2%, indicating a flight to safe-haven assets [4] Group 4: Interest Rate Policy - Trump has been vocal about urging the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, with recent rate cuts bringing the range to 3.5%-3.75% [6] - Powell has faced criticism from Trump for not implementing larger rate cuts, highlighting ongoing tensions between the administration and the Fed [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of 10 stocks trading under $1 that are expected to experience significant growth, highlighting the current favorable macroeconomic environment and investor sentiment [1][4]. Macroeconomic Environment - U.S. equity markets are continuing their upward trajectory into 2026, with fewer major headwinds for investors, as noted by Morgan Stanley's CIO Mike Wilson [1]. - The Federal Reserve's proactive liquidity measures, including renewed asset purchases, have bolstered market confidence, shifting monetary policy to a supportive stance [2]. - Economic growth is anticipated to remain stable, with strong corporate earnings visibility, while weak labor data may allow for further rate cuts by the Fed [3]. Investment Strategy - The list of stocks under $1 was curated using screeners to identify those with at least 50% upside potential and meaningful analyst coverage, focusing on hedge fund sentiment [6]. - The strategy of imitating top hedge fund picks has historically outperformed the market, with a reported return of 427.7% since May 2014 [7]. Company Highlights Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) - Current share price is $0.91 with an upside potential of 92.90% and 20 hedge fund holders [8][9]. - The company has made significant operational progress, including the completion of a well in Ghana that could yield over 10,000 barrels of oil per day [10]. - License extensions for key oilfields have been approved, supporting higher reserves and additional drilling opportunities [11]. Blink Charging Co. (NASDAQ:BLNK) - Current share price is $0.78 with an upside potential of 156.40% and 9 hedge fund holders [13]. - The company raised approximately $20 million through a public offering to fund its DC fast-charging network expansion [14]. - A strategic contract with Sourcewell will enable access to over 50,000 government and nonprofit agencies for its charging solutions [15]. Canaan Inc. (NASDAQ:CAN) - Current share price is $0.81 with an upside potential of 270.10% and 10 hedge fund holders [17]. - The company is launching a proof-of-concept project in Canada to monetize waste heat from crypto mining for agricultural use, potentially capturing 90% of electricity consumed [18]. - This initiative positions high-density computing as an energy-efficient asset, with a low power cost and potential for shared economics [19].

分组1: Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran advocates for over 100 basis points of rate cuts in 2026 to stimulate economic growth, arguing that current monetary policy is restrictive [1][2] - Miran's views contrast with most Fed officials who are cautious about future rate cuts, reflecting concerns about the labor market and economic expansion [2] - If the economy declines significantly in early 2026, it is likely that the Federal Reserve would respond with rapid rate cuts, similar to past economic crises [3] 分组2: High-Yield Dividend Stocks - A screening of high-yield dividend stocks identified five companies yielding at least 5% and rated as Buy by top Wall Street firms, suitable for growth and income investors [4] - High-yield dividend stocks provide a reliable source of passive income, appealing to investors seeking to diversify income streams [5] 分组3: Altria Group Inc. - Altria Group Inc. offers a 7.06% dividend yield and is a major producer of tobacco products, primarily selling cigarettes under the Marlboro brand [6] - The company sold 35 million shares of Anheuser-Busch, representing 18% of its holdings, and announced a $2.4 billion stock repurchase plan [7] 分组4: Energy Transfer L.P. - Energy Transfer L.P. is a leading midstream energy company with a 7.97% distribution yield, owning over 114,000 miles of pipelines across the U.S. [10][11] - The company has a strong market position following its acquisition of Enable Partners and has an Overweight rating from J.P. Morgan with a $21 price target [12] 分组5: Pfizer Inc. - Pfizer Inc. pays a 6.80% dividend and has seen a decline in stock performance post-COVID-19 vaccine success, with anticipated revenues of around $62 billion for 2025 [14][15] - The company has a history of increasing dividends annually for the past 14 years, indicating financial stability [14] 分组6: United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) - UPS plans to cut its shipping volume for Amazon by over 50% by the second half of 2026, impacting its dividend yield, which is currently at 6.57% [19] - The company aims to focus on more profitable business segments amid expectations of slower economic growth [19] 分组7: Verizon Communications Inc. - Verizon offers a 6.72% dividend and trades at 9.13 times its estimated 2026 earnings, with a stable revenue stream from telecom services [22][23] - The company has a strong interest coverage ratio, providing a cushion for dividend payments, and operates in both consumer and business segments [23][27]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasizes the importance of lower interest rates for future economic growth, advocating for the Federal Reserve to act promptly in cutting rates [2][4]. Group 1: Interest Rate Cuts - The Federal Reserve implemented three interest rate cuts in the last four months of 2025, totaling 0.75 percentage points, bringing the key interest rate down to a range of 3.5%-3.75% [2]. - The pace of interest rate reductions is expected to slow in 2026, with markets anticipating only two cuts and Fed officials projecting just one [3]. Group 2: Economic Agenda - Bessent supports President Trump's economic agenda, highlighting the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill, new trade deals, and a deregulation agenda as foundational for robust economic growth [5]. - The administration believes that cutting interest rates is the missing ingredient for stronger economic growth, which will positively impact the lives of citizens [2]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Leadership - A new chair for the Federal Reserve will be appointed this year, with Bessent overseeing the selection process, as current Chair Jerome Powell's term ends in May [4]. - Scott Bessent and former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh are considered the leading candidates for the position [4].

March Swiss franc (S6H26) futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness. See on the daily bar chart for the March Swiss franc futures that prices are starting to trend down. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture as the blue MACD line is below the red trigger line and both lines are trending lower. More News from Barchart Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has seen recent depreciation versus the U.S. dolla ...