idk about you but it definitely feels like:Trump: [ ]Market: 📉😭Solana Sensei (@SolanaSensei):Trump: We’ve imposed 100% tariffs on all goods coming in from China.Market: 📉😭Trump: Neither China nor the US want a recession.Market: 📈😀Trump: We’re in the middle of a trade war with China.Market: 📉😭Trump: We’ll be fine with China.Market: 📈😀 ...

Market Sentiment & Investment Strategy - Market corrections, similar to those in April, present buying or holding opportunities, as selling out of fear is often detrimental [1] - New crypto investors should avoid moving to cash or stablecoins, anticipating further price drops and a prolonged bear market [3] Crypto Market Drivers - Crypto ETFs are experiencing significant growth [2] - Wall Street is increasingly involved in tokenization [2] - Digital asset treasury companies are consistently purchasing crypto assets [2] - Government fiscal policy, including printing money and overspending, supports crypto's value proposition [2] - The current declining interest rate environment is favorable for crypto [2] Risk Factors - Escalating China-US trade war is creating market uncertainty [1] - US government shutdown is contributing to market instability [1] - Tax-related selling pressure can negatively impact market performance [1]

💥BREAKING:🇺🇸 🇨🇳 China has said the US has launched a global trade war. https://t.co/1lzESS3nQA ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the struggles of small businesses, particularly in the footwear and retail sectors, due to increased tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which have significantly raised costs and created financial strain [4][6][10]. Impact on Small Businesses - Small businesses like AV Universal Corp. are facing severe financial challenges, with the CEO needing to take a $250,000 loan to cover a tariff bill that has skyrocketed from approximately $7,500 to $353,125 for 2025 [2][10]. - Many small business owners are forced to raise prices to manage higher tariff costs, but this has led to decreased sales, with some reporting a drop of around 30% in sales after price increases [5][10]. - The article notes that small businesses represent over 40% of the U.S. GDP and employ nearly half of the American workforce, indicating their critical role in the economy [6]. Tariff Costs and Business Strategies - AV Universal Corp. expects to pay $353,125 in tariffs for 2025, a significant increase from $45,000 in 2024, while other companies like Talus Products anticipate tariffs of approximately $499,000 for 2025, up from around $223,000 in 2024 [10][11]. - Companies are exploring various strategies to cope with tariffs, including raising prices, negotiating with suppliers, and considering relocating production to countries with lower tariffs, such as China and Vietnam [10][11][17]. Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the struggles of small businesses could foreshadow broader economic challenges, potentially impacting larger businesses in the future [7]. - The article mentions that larger retailers have managed to absorb tariff costs better due to their ability to stock up on inventory before tariffs were implemented, but this advantage may diminish as inventory runs out [7][8]. Legal Context - The future of the tariffs remains uncertain as a federal court has ruled them illegal, and the Supreme Court is set to review the appeal, with arguments scheduled for November [8].

Core Insights - The U.S. Treasury recorded a $198 billion surplus in September 2025, the largest for that month on record, contributing to a reduced fiscal 2025 deficit of $1.78 trillion, which is $41 billion (2.2%) less than in 2024 [1][2] Revenue and Fiscal Factors - September's surplus was influenced not only by typical tax payments but also by $30 billion in revenue from tariffs introduced by President Trump, which accounted for nearly half of the forecasted revenue for the entire fiscal year [2] - These tariff revenues helped mitigate record-high interest payments on the national debt, which stands at $38 trillion, with annual interest payments exceeding $1.2 trillion [3] Market Reactions and Federal Reserve Outlook - The unexpected revenue from tariffs indicates a continued commitment to the trade war strategy, potentially leading investors to shift from risk assets to safer alternatives like bonds and gold, similar to market reactions during the April "tariff tantrum" [4] - The Federal Reserve anticipates that any inflation resulting from trade tensions will be temporary and is likely to continue lowering interest rates, currently set at 4.00% to 4.25%, with market expectations of a 50 basis points cut in 2025 [5]

IF THESE RECIPIENTS OF CHINESE GOODS FEEL THE HEAT, WE MAY STILL HAVE THE RISK OF A TRADE WAR MOVING FROM ONE PLACE TO ANOTHER, SO OUR MESSAGE TO EVERYBODY IS BECOME AN TO CHINA, BE CAREFUL. DO NOT PROVOKE OTHER COUNTRIES TO SEE YOU AS A THREAT. HASLINDA: THE IMF IS CALLING FOR CALM AND RESTRAINT AS BEIJING AND WASHINGTON TRADE SHARP BARBS, ESCALATING FEARS OF A DEEPENING TRADE WAR AND GLOBAL FALLOUT FROM TARIFFS.LIVE FROM SINGAPORE, THIS IS "INSIGHT" WITH HASLINDA AMIN WHERE WE DIVE DEEPER INTO STORIES THA ...

Paraguay is betting that closer ties with Latin America’s largest economy Brazil will allow it to weather the trade war between Washington and Beijing, Finance Minister Carlos Fernandez said in an interview https://t.co/7ouEzQC8Vv ...

Geopolitical Relations - The US is considered responsible for the recent escalation of trade tensions with China due to Donald Trump's trade war [1]

Things were moving along, progressing pretty well for a number of months there, and markets seemed to tend to look the other way when it came to US-China relations. But this week they turned they turned pretty sour and it even got personal with the Treasury secretary in the US, calling the one of his Chinese counterparts an engine. And so it's always been a point of tension, the, you know, the differences between the two.But they are they're definitely heating up now and they're a long way from a deal for s ...

Trump is speaking at 3pm ESTGrab your drink of choice...Wendy O (@CryptoWendyO):Trump says we are in a trade war with China.This is bearish for the market.The US government is currently shutdown.Historically since the 1980s during a government shutdown stocks do well….2025 is not real.https://t.co/KVwz3r1jM3 ...