Group 1 - Yields on US government debt are near their lowest levels in months due to haven demand amid stock-market volatility and a tame January inflation reading, suggesting investor expectations for potential rate cuts later this year if labor-market weakness is observed [1][9] - Invesco, Carmignac, and BNP Paribas do not share the outlook of further rate cuts, citing strong economic data, including January job growth exceeding projections and significant corporate investments in artificial intelligence [2][9] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes indicate a cautious stance on rate cuts, with some policymakers suggesting that rate hikes may be necessary if inflation remains above the 2% target [2][9] Group 2 - Macro strategists at TS Lombard recommend betting on fewer rate reductions in the second half of 2026, while Invesco's fixed-income chief strategist anticipates one rate cut this year, though the likelihood of no cuts is increasing due to robust economic data [3][6] - Carmignac's co-head of fixed income, Guillaume Rigeade, is short US Treasuries and predicts the 10-year yield could rise to 4.5% in the coming months, up from approximately 4.1% [7][9] - Recent economic data presents mixed signals, with a headline annual consumer inflation figure of 2.4% indicating cooling, yet services prices have accelerated, creating a complex environment for bond investors [8][9]

JGBs rose in price terms in the morning Tokyo session, aided by government data released earlier showing slowing inflation in Japan. ...

Key TakeawaysJapan’s National CPI slowed to 1.5% in January, marking the slowest pace of inflation in two years and signaling a potential shift in the Bank of Japan’s hawkish trajectory.Gold prices hovered near the historic $5,000 mark as traders weighed geopolitical risks involving Iran against cautious interest rate signals from the Federal Reserve.Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) shares plunged 10% following a redemption halt at its Blue Owl Capital Corp II fund, sparking liquidity concerns across the private ...

Shop owners of a 70-year-old "takoyaki", or octopus balls, restaurant chat while cooking along a street in the Taito Ward area of Tokyo on February 21, 2025.Japan's headline inflation rate fell to 1.5% in January, its lowest level since March 2022. The reading ended a run of 45 straight months in which inflation had remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target.Core inflation rate, which excludes fresh food prices, eased to 2%, the lowest level since January 2024 and matching the 2% forecast by economists po ...

US stock futures slid on Friday as investors digested economic data that showed US economic growth cooling in the fourth quarter, while the Fed's favored inflation gauge heated up to end last year. Wall Street also kept an eye out for US-Iran tensions, private credit jitters, and a potential Supreme Court tariff decision. Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) moved down roughly 0.3%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell 0.2%, coming off the end of a three-day winning streak on Thursday. Nasdaq ...

US stocks rose on Friday after the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump's sweeping "Liberation Day" tariffs are unlawful, saying he lacked the authority to impose them using emergency powers. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) both moved up 0.4%, coming off the end of a three-day winning streak on Thursday. The tech-exposed Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the way higher, rising 0.6%. Stocks reversed course on the heels of the decision, having slid at the open as investors d ...

US stocks slid on Friday as investors digested economic data that showed US economic growth cooling in the fourth quarter, while the Fed's favored inflation gauge heated up to end last year. Wall Street also kept an eye out for US-Iran tensions, private credit jitters, and a potential Supreme Court tariff decision. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved down roughly 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell by a steeper 0.4%, coming off the end of a three-day winning streak on Thursday. The Nasdaq Compo ...

Consumer inflation, excluding volatile fresh food prices, climbed 2.0% in January from a year earlier, compared with December's 2.4% rise. ...

Welcome back to Market on Close. I'm Marley Caden in Chicago alongside Sambatis at the New York Stock Exchange. Some final thoughts on today's session.For me, the US trade deficit came out totaling $91.5% billion for 2025. That was only slightly narrower than the 93.5% billion the year before. Despite our ongoing tariffs, exports rose 6.2% to 3.43% trillion, but imports climbed to 4.33% trillion, pushing the goods deficit.That's the piece that's most impacted by tariff policy to a record $1.24% trillion. De ...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was down 267.50 (-0.5386%) points today, closing at 49,395.16. Market sentiment turned cautious as Dow Futures (YM=F) also dropped 300.00 (-0.6034%) to 49,422.00. The primary narrative was a hawkish shift in monetary policy expectations following a higher-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report. This economic data fueled concerns that the Federal Reserve may delay anticipated interest rate cuts, triggering a broad sell-off in rate-sensitive sectors as investor ...